Monetizing the Health Impacts of Wood Smoke
Kickoff MeetingJanuary 13, 2014
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Kickoff Meeting Objectives
Project team and subcommittee introduction Overview of the project Project tasks and deliverables Establish a timeline for project tasks
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Abt Associates Team
Dr. Jonathan DornProject Manager
David CooleyEmissions Support
Dr. Anna BelovaSenior Reviewer and Quality Advisor
Jacqueline HaskellCOBRA Modeler
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Project Overview
Abt Associates (Abt) will quantify ($) the potential environmental and health impacts of reducing wood smoke through energy conservation programs
Required environmental impacts will be modeled using the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) Co-Benefit Risk Assessment (COBRA) Screening Model
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Task A: Collect Data on Sources of EmissionsOverview
Abt will work with RTF staff to obtain data and information on the following:
– Residential Building Stock Assessment (RBSA)
– Data on electricity generating units in the region, including the baseline and marginal generation by fuel source
County-level wood smoke emissions data will be calibrated to reflect PNW conditions described by RBSA data and EPA air quality data
Emissions data from existing power plants will be based on EPA county-level baseline emissions data
The list of inputs used to compute baseline emissions will be reviewed by the Wood Smoke subcommittee
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Task A: Collect Data on Sources of Emissions
Deliverables
Subcommittee-reviewed matrix of inputs and their sources required to model baseline emissions scenario in COBRA
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Task B: Construct Baseline Model
Overview
Construct a baseline model to meet the following criteria: Baseline emissions model will be calibrated using regional
data air quality published by the EPA
The simulation results will be calculated at the county level
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Deliverables
Calibrated baseline simulation results for a specified year presented in tabular and graphic forms
A brief memorandum describing the baseline model calibration process
Presentation to RTF staff on baseline assumptions and results
Task B: Construct Baseline Model
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Task C: Scenario Analysis
Overview
Develop alternate wood emissions scenario using the model developed under Task B
Each scenario will vary by a fixed increment from 0% to 100% wood heat reduction
– Abt and RTF staff shall mutually agree on the level of increments for scenario analysis based on time, and budget constraints
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Deliverables
Changes in emissions at the county level with respect to the baseline for each new scenario calculated and presented in tabular and graphic forms
Task C: Scenario Analysis
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Task D: Apply the Monetary Value of Avoiding Emissions
Overview
Monetize the health impacts (in $) due to net change in emission levels for each Task C scenario
A “$-per-unit emissions” value shall be researched through existing literature and converted to a $/kWh value of reducing wood smoke
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Deliverables
Per-unit impact ($/kWh) of reducing wood heat using electricity
$ impact of reducing wood heat for each Task C scenario
Task D: Apply the Monetary Value of Avoiding Emissions
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Task E: Final Deliverables and Presentation of Results
Deliverables
Final presentation of study results
Accessible and transparent dataset of results for baseline and emissions level scenarios
COBRA model used to develop the results
Memorandum recommending how the RTF should interpret and use the results of the study
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Schedule of DeliverablesTask Deliverable Date
Kick-off conference call January 13
A A.1. Matrix of inputs and sources January 24
BB.1. Calibrated, county-level baseline simulation results in tabular and graphic form February 12
B.2. Presentation to RTF staff on baseline assumptions and results February 14
CC.1. Changes in county-level emissions with respect to the baseline for each new scenario modeled with results presented in tabular and graphic form
February 28
D D.1. Per unit impact ($/kWh) of reducing wood heat using electricity March 12
E
E.1. Accessible and transparent dataset of results for baseline and emissions level scenarios March 19
E.2. COBRA model used to develop the results March 19
E.3. Memorandum recommending how the RTF should interpret and use the results of the study March 19
E.4. Final presentation (webinar) of study results March 21
Questions?
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