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Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 2,513 Canadians by Smart IVR™ on April 6th, 2016. A mixture of landlines and cell ph
were surveyed. Margin of error: +/- 1.95%, 19 times out of 20. Regional margins of error: Atlantic (ATL): +/-5.46%; Quebec (+/-4.03%; Ontario (ON): +/-4.01%; Prairies: +/-5.39%; Alberta: +/- 5.41%; BC: +/- 5.28%; 19 times out of 20. Results w
weighed by geography, age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.
METHODOLOGY
THE PANAMA PAPERS
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81% SAY THE RICH ARE NOT PAYING THEIR FAIR SHARE
April 9, 2016 (Ottawa, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll finds 81% of Canadians do not believe thich are paying their fair share. The survey on tax avoidance and tax evasion comes after the publicatio
of the Panama Papers, an unprecedented leak of files from the database of a major international law fiThe Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.95%, 19 times out of 20.
It's pretty clear from these numbers that Canadians don't believe the one percent are paying their fair
hare of taxes,” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “Over 80 percent of Canadiansbelieve they are not paying their fair share in fact, with just 10% believing they do and almost another 1unsure. It's unclear whether people believe the wealth of the 1 percenters has influence on political parbut when asked which party is likeliest to be influenced by them, 34% said the Conservatives, followed
Liberals at 21%, the NDP at 17%, just 6% were not sure”.
Over 6 in 10 Canadians also believe that offshore tax havens are very damaging to the Canadian
economy. Experts estimate there is over $100 billion in assets in these foreign tax havens that cost theederal government an estimated $7.8 billion in revenues every year. “
There is a public sentiment against wealth, and the perception of influence it buys. Recent revelations
he Panama papers show a pattern of tax avoidance and evasion that confirms what many people belieabout the super-rich and that is driving these results.”
It should also be noted that these numbers reveal some lack of financial literacy in the distinction
between tax avoidance and tax evasion. Tax avoidance is the reduction of taxes paid through legal me
Deductions that could include RRSPs, TFSAs, transit and childcare expense deductions. Further researwould be required to determine to what extent the literacy plays in to these opinions. It's likely that to
ome extent, people feel the tax system has more deductions for those who make more,” finished Mag
About Mainstreet ResearchMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of
government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public
opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in BritColumbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate pollingfirm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet wahe only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.
-30-
Available for Interview from Ottawa: Quito Maggi, [email protected]
For more information: David Valentin, (514) 913-5524 - [email protected]
"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protecteby copyright. The information and/or data may onlybe rebroadcast or republished with full and propercredit and attribution to “Mainstreet/Postmedia”.
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Some Canadians utilize legal methods to minimize t
amount of taxes they pay. This is known as tavoidance. In your opinion, how acceptable is it legally avoid paying taxes?
Completely Acceptable Very Acceptable Moderately Acceptable
Not SureSlightly Acceptable Not At All Acceptable
7%
11%
29%
31%
17%
5%
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Completely Acceptable
Very Acceptable
Moderately Acceptable
Slightly Acceptable
Not At All Acceptable
Not Sure
Sample
18-34
4%
10%
31%
32%
19%
4%
391
35-49
7%
11%
29%
31%
18%
5%
494
50-64
9%
11%
29%
31%
15%
6%
778
65+
9%
13%
29%
29%
15%
5%
850
Male
10%
12%
28%
28%
16%
5%
1195
Fema
4%
10%
30%
33%
18%
5%
1318
Completely Acceptable
Very Acceptable
Moderately Acceptable
Slightly Acceptable
Not At All Acceptable
Not Sure
Sample
BC
5%
9%
23%
39%
19%
6%
344
AB
7%
11%
33%
28%
16%
5%
328
Prairies
9%
12%
31%
28%
15%
5%
331
ON
9%
12%
30%
27%
16%
5%
598
QC
5%
9%
30%
32%
20%
3%
590
ATL
5%
13%
26%
36%
14%
5%
322
Some Canadians utilize legal methods to minimize tamount of taxes they pay. This is known as t
avoidance. In your opinion, how acceptable is it legally avoid paying taxes?
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And have you ever done anything to legally avo
paying taxes?
11%
81%
8%
Yes No Not Sure
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Yes
No
Not Sure
18-34
7%
84%
9%
35-49
10%
81%
9%
50-64
13%
80%
7%
65+
15%
79%
6%
Male
14%
78%
8%
Fema
8%
84%
8%
Yes
No
Not Sure
BC
12%
80%
8%
AB
12%
80%
8%
Prairies
12%
79%
9%
ON
12%
81%
7%
QC
7%
85%
8%
ATL
12%
80%
9%
And have you ever done anything to legally avo
paying taxes?
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If you were offered a chance to legally avoid paying
taxes how likely is it you would participate?
7%
9%
13%
7%
60%
4%
Completely Likely Very Likely Moderately Likely
Not SureSlightly Likely Not At All Likely
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Completely Likely
Very Likely
Moderately Likely
Slightly Likely
Not At All Likely
Not Sure
18-34
7%
8%
13%
6%
60%
5%
35-49
5%
10%
12%
7%
61%
4%
50-64
7%
10%
14%
6%
58%
4%
65+
8%
7%
13%
9%
61%
2%
Male
8%
10%
12%
7%
60%
3%
Fema
6%
8%
14%
7%
61%
5%
Completely Likely
Very Likely
Moderately Likely
Slightly Likely
Not At All Likely
Not Sure
BC
7%
10%
12%
8%
59%
5%
AB
7%
8%
14%
7%
58%
5%
Prairies
8%
9%
9%
8%
61%
4%
ON
8%
10%
15%
6%
58%
3%
QC
5%
7%
10%
9%
65%
4%
ATL
8%
9%
13%
7%
59%
4%
If you were offered a chance to legally avoid paying
taxes how likely is it you would participate?
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In Canada, the very rich, sometimes known as the 1
earn an average income of over $454,000 a yeaThinking about most Canadian politicians, hoinfluenced do you think they are by the 1 percent?
Not SureNot At All Influenced
Very Influenced Somewhat Influenced Not Too Influenced
29%
15%
19%
14%
23%
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Very Influenced
Somewhat Influenced
Not Too Influenced
Not At All Influenced
Not Sure
18-34
30%
15%
19%
14%
23%
35-49
28%
16%
20%
13%
23%
50-64
27%
15%
19%
15%
23%
65+
31%
13%
19%
14%
23%
Male
30%
15%
16%
14%
24%
Fema
27%
15%
22%
14%
22%
Very Influenced
Somewhat Influenced
Not Too Influenced
Not At All Influenced
Not Sure
BC
29%
15%
24%
8%
24%
AB
22%
12%
36%
5%
24%
Prairies
25%
13%
12%
22%
28%
ON
31%
16%
15%
17%
21%
QC
31%
15%
19%
13%
22%
ATL
23%
14%
17%
17%
29%
In Canada, the very rich, sometimes known as the 1
earn an average income of over $454,000 a yeaThinking about most Canadian politicians, hoinfluenced do you think they are by the 1 percent?
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Which political party do you think is the mo
influenced by the very rich, or 1 percent?
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
L
i b e r a l
N D P
C P C
G r e e n
B Q
N o
t S u r e
2 1 %
1 7 %
3 4 %
7 %
1 5 %
6 %
UndecidedNDP CPCLiberal Green
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Liberal Party
Conservative Party
NDP
Green Party
Bloc Québécois
Not Sure
18-34
17%
41%
13%
7%
18%
5%
35-49
20%
35%
17%
7%
15%
6%
50-64
24%
30%
21%
6%
12%
7%
65+
19%
39%
16%
7%
14%
6%
Male
23%
29%
18%
7%
16%
6%
Fema
19%
39%
16%
7%
14%
6%
Liberal Party
Conservative Party
NDP
Green Party
Bloc Québécois
Not Sure
BC
15%
38%
21%
6%
14%
6%
AB
25%
22%
25%
5%
18%
5%
Prairies
27%
21%
18%
8%
18%
7%
ON
21%
33%
16%
8%
16%
6%
QC
23%
40%
14%
7%
11%
6%
ATL
14%
42%
13%
7%
17%
7%
Which political party do you think is the mo
influenced by the very rich, or 1 percent?
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Which political party do you think is the leainfluenced by the very rich, or 1 percent?
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Liberal NDP CPC Green BQ UD
1 1 %
1 7 %
6 %
6 0 % 3
% 3 %
UndecidedNDP CPCLiberal Green
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Which political party do you think is the lea
influenced by the very rich, or 1 percent?
Liberal Party
Conservative Party
NDP
Green Party
Bloc Québécois
Not Sure
18-34
9%
18%
4%
62%
4%
3%
35-49
15%
17%
5%
58%
2%
3%
50-64
10%
17%
8%
60%
2%
3%
65+
11%
15%
8%
60%
3%
3%
Male
10%
18%
7%
57%
4%
3%
Fema
12%
16%
5%
63%
2%
3%
Liberal Party
Conservative Party
NDP
Green Party
Bloc Québécois
Not Sure
BC
14%
24%
5%
54%
2%
3%
AB
11%
12%
7%
65%
2%
3%
Prairies
11%
17%
9%
57%
2%
3%
ON
12%
19%
5%
60%
1%
3%
QC
7%
12%
8%
63%
8%
3%
ATL
14%
17%
6%
57%
3%
3%
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Do you think the 1 percent in Canada are paying thefair share?
10%
81%
9%
Yes No Not Sure
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Do you think the 1 percent in Canada are paying the
fair share?
Yes
No
Not Sure
18-34
8%
82%
10%
35-49
10%
81%
9%
50-64
11%
80%
8%
65+
11%
81%
8%
Male
12%
80%
8%
Fema
8%
82%
10%
Yes
No
Not Sure
BC
9%
82%
9%
AB
12%
78%
10%
Prairies
12%
80%
8%
ON
10%
80%
10%
QC
9%
83%
8%
ATL
9%
83%
9%
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29%
22%15%
9%
3%
3%
11%
8%
Cayman Panama Switzerland Virgin Islands Maldives
Sweden Other Not Sure
Which ountry do you most closely associate with ta
avoidance or tax evasion?
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Which country do you most closely associate with t
avoidance or tax evasion?
Cayman Islands
Panama
Switzerland
Virgin Islands
Maldives
Sweden
A Different Country
Not Sure
BC
30%
23%
14%
9%
3%
4%
11%
8%
AB
28%
21%
16%
13%
2%
2%
10%
7%
Prairies
29%
21%
16%
9%
4%
2%
11%
8%
ON
30%
21%
16%
8%
4%
3%
10%
8%
QC
28%
24%
14%
9%
2%
3%
12%
9%
ATL
29%
20%
14%
12%
2%
4%
12%
8%
Cayman Islands
Panama
Switzerland
Virgin Islands
Maldives
Sweden
A Different Country
Not Sure
18-34
33%
20%
16%
11%
2%
3%
6%
9%
35-49
28%
20%
15%
8%
3%
3%
15%
8%
50-64
28%
23%
15%
8%
3%
3%
12%
8%
65+
27%
24%
14%
9%
4%
3%
11%
7%
Male
28%
19%
17%
11%
3%
3%
11%
7%
Fema
30%
24%
13%
8%
3%
3%
11%
9%
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61%15%
8%
3%
13%
Not SureNot At All Damaging
Very Damaging Somewhat Damaging Not Too Damaging
Some financial analysts estimate that offshore ta
havens cost the federal treasury as much as $7.8 billioin lost tax revenues annually. How damaging do yo
think the use of offshore tax havens is to the country
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Very Damaging
Somewhat Damaging
Not Too Damaging
Not At All Damaging
Not Sure
18-34
62%
16%
5%
3%
13%
35-49
61%
15%
8%
3%
14%
50-64
61%
14%
9%
3%
13%
65+
60%
14%
10%
3%
13%
Male
58%
16%
8%
3%
14%
Fema
63%
14%
8%
3%
12%
Very Damaging
Somewhat Damaging
Not Too Damaging
Not At All Damaging
Not Sure
BC
60%
14%
9%
3%
14%
AB
60%
14%
12%
2%
11%
Prairies
61%
16%
9%
4%
10%
ON
61%
15%
8%
3%
13%
QC
62%
15%
6%
3%
14%
ATL
61%
17%
6%
3%
12%
Some financial analysts estimate that offshore ta
havens cost the federal treasury as much as $7.8 billioin lost tax revenues annually. How damaging do yo
think the use of offshore tax havens is to the country
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SCRIPT
Some Canadians utilize legal methods to minimize the amount of taxes they pay. This is known as ta
avoidance. In your opinion, how acceptable is it to legally avoid paying taxes?
Completely AcceptableVery Acceptable
Moderately AcceptableSlightly Acceptable
Not At All Acceptable
Not Sure
And have you ever done anything to legally avoid paying taxes?
Yes
NoNot Sure
If you were offered a chance to legally avoid paying taxes how likely is it you would participate?
Completely Likely
Very LikelyModerately Likely
Slightly LikelyNot At All Likely
Not Sure
In Canada, the very rich, sometimes known as the 1%, earn an average income of over $454,000 a yeThinking about most Canadian politicians, how influenced do you think they are by the 1 percent?
Most Canadian Politicians are very influenced by the 1 percentMost Canadian Politicians are somewhat influenced by the 1 percent
Most Canadian Politicians are not too influenced by the 1 percentMost Canadian Politicians are not at all influenced by the 1 percent
Not Sure
Which political party do you think is the most influenced by the very rich, or 1 percent?
Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauConservative Party led by Rona AmbroseNDP Led by Tom Mulcair
Green Party led by Elizabeth MayBloc Québécois led by Rheal Fortin
Undecided
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SCRIPT
Which political party do you think is the least influenced by the very rich, or 1 percent?
Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauConservative Party led by Rona Ambrose
NDP Led by Tom MulcairGreen Party led by Elizabeth May
Bloc Québécois led by Rheal FortinUndecided
Do you think the 1 percent in Canada are paying their fair share?
Yes
No
Not Sure
Which country do you most closely associate with tax avoidance or tax evasion?
Cayman IslandsPanama
SwitzerlandVirgin Islands
Maldives
SwedenA Different Country
Not Sure
Some financial analysts estimate that offshore tax havens cost the federal treasury as much as $7.8
billion in lost tax revenues annually. How damaging do you think the use of offshore tax havens is to
country?
Very DamagingSomewhat Damaging
Not Too DamagingNot At All Damaging
Not Sure
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ONLY WE
CALLED
THELIBERAL
MAJORITY
Mainstreet Research | 132−2255B Queen Street East
| Toronto | Ontario | M4E 1G3 | Canada
“I recommend "Raiders of the Lost Campaign Arc," released Oct. 18, because it’s an interviewwith a pollster that everyone who follows politics should hear. Quito Maggi, of Mainstreet Pub
Research, was the only pollster I saw call the Liberal majority with such confidence, a weekbefore we voted.
Maggi also has the distinction of being the guy who predicted the BC Liberals would win in 20in defiance of the majority of the polls.
His technique involves picking a true bellwether riding and polling it thoroughly. His explanatiofor how he does it is well worth a listen and should be required research for anyone running
political campaign.” - Shannon Rupp, The Tyee, November 4th, 2015
8/18/2019 Mainstreet - Panama Papers
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Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all thrlevels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadi
public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liber
government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet h
been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoelection. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal major
government in the 2015 federal election.
CONNECT WITH US: WEBSITE
mainstreetresearch ca
@MainStResearch
fb com/mainstresearch
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