Magnus Matisons Brussels 4 June Setting the scene- The
forest-based sector contribution to growth of the bio based
economy
Slide 2
more use of renewable energy in the transport sector. Increased
use of renewable energy and products based on forest biomass Our
vision is to change the society in long- term process towards
Slide 3
BioFuel Region where? 225 464 km 2 (Holland 41 500 km 2 ) 97%
Forest land
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Efficient forest biomass supply chain for biorefineries
20120101-20140630 - Budget 2.5 M Results:
www.biofuelregion,sewww.biofuelregion,se
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Misleading conclusion 1: Carbon debt They assume that first you
burn the tree and then you grow it It is not possible to burn a
tree that has not already grown ! If an analysis of the carbon
cycle of a forest is limited to a short time period or a single
stand the interaction over time and space might be overlooked, and
misleading conclusions are the consequence. Too narrow boundaries
of an analyses lead to misleadeing results
Slide 6
Substitution 470 kg CO 2 /m 3 s This analysis ignores that
mature slower growing trees occupy the space that could otherwise
be utilized by young faster growing trees. Old trees will after
some time no longer be a carbon sink but a slow carbon emitter.
Misleading conclusion 2: Leave the trees in the forest as a carbon
sink
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The capacity of forests to store carbon is used up by the
present generation, The fossil fuel resources are depleted, Climate
change will be accelerated as soon as the forests dont absorb
additional carbon Misleading results of a too-narrow analysis about
the role of forests in the carbon cycle might cause decision makers
to post-pone the transformation of the energy systems to the next
generation Sustainability cannot be reduced to a concept of a few
decades defined by political targets The transformation of
productive growing forests to unproductive mature forests and using
fossil fuels instead is in several respects not sustainable :
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Sustainability Criteria, Traceability, ILUC - OK But what about
fossil fuels ! ILUC-FACTOR cereals and other starch rich crops 12 g
CO2/MJ Suger crops 13 g CO2/MJ Oil crops 55 g CO2/MJ 8 Fossil oil
87g CO2/MJ Rapeseed oil 95 g CO2/MJ Palm oil 105 g CO2/MJ Soya been
oil 103 g CO2/MJ
Slide 9
EROEI, Carbon footprint and Environmental impact for fossil
fuels are increasing ! Biofuels shoud be compared with
Unconventional > 100g CO2/MJ Not Conventional 87g CO2/MJ
Slide 10
The oil industrys global investment 2007-2011 Source : SIMON
MUI, PH.D.SCIENTIST CLEAN VEHICLES AND FUELS April 2013 BP decided
to abandon all investments in wind power and focus on oil and gas
TREND
Slide 11
11 The way forward We have the raw material, the sustainable
forest management, the infrastructure, the tradition and the know
how but;
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12 ....but we need the stable long-term investment
conditions...... 2000201020202030 LOW 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120
130 10 20 30 ~ crude Diesel/gasoline Todays cost for advanced
biofuels In Europe / MWh 100 /MWh = ~4.4 USD/g.g.e. Long term
stable legislation is required to cope with the difference With
permission from Ingvar Landlv
Slide 13
Natures Carbon Capture and Storage - We can use more of it! If
the present Swedish forest use strategy is continued, the long-term
climate change mitigation benefit will correspond to more than 60
million tonnes of avoided or reduced emissions of carbon dioxide
annually, compared to a scenario with similar consumption patterns
in society but where non-renewable products are used instead of
forest-based products. On average about 470 kg of carbon dioxide
emissions are avoided for each cubic meter of biomass harvested,
after accounting for carbon stock changes, substitution effects and
all emissions related to forest management and industrial
processes. Source: Potential Roles of Swedish Forestry in the
Context of Climate Change Mitigation Tomas Lundmark et al Thank
You!