Introduction of MAIRS Activities
The 2nd CORDEX South Asia Science and Training Workshop, 27-30 August 2013, Kathmandu
Ailikun
International Program OfficeMonsoon Asia Integrated Regional Study
(MAIRS)
Monsoon Asia Integrated Regional Study
The vision of MAIRS is “To significantly advance understanding of the interactions
between the human-natural components of the overall environment in the monsoon Asian
region, and implications for the global earth system, in order to support strategies for
sustainable development. “
MAIRS Themes
Multiple stresses in high mountain zones
Vulnerable systems in dryland zones
Rapid transformation in coastal Urban zones
Rapid development of urban zones
Modelling and observations
70°E 80°E 90°E 100°E 110°E 120°E 130°E 140°E30°N
35°N
40°N
45°N
50°N
55°N
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1314
1516
Observation network in dryland east Asia
Drought Impact on Rangeland Herders in Inner Mongolia
- Study by Xiaoyi Wang, CASS
- Pastoral village of 80 households
- 10,000 livestock
- Decade-long drought & rising temperature affected pasture & water availability
- Herders' incomes significantly reduced
- But there are social factors
Social Factors interacting with Drought Impacts
Xiaoyi Wang, CASS
Impact of Warming on Precipitation
S. Liu et al. (2009)
Comparison of precipitation intensity in Taiwan for the two coolest years (blue) and two warmest years (red) over the period 1961-2005
Find similar result for GPCP data
Response is larger than expected from Clausius-Clapeyron
TokyoOsaka
Seoul
Beijing
Shanghai
Guangzhou
Primary pollutant concentrations are expected to increase as:
C ~ N
where N: population
Air Pollution in Mega-Cities
Parrish and Zhu, 2009, Science
IGBP/IGAC Program
Going to deeper water ---New Nansha Harbour (100KM from city central)
Fresh water supply of Nansha is rely on upstream Xijiang river
Influence of sea level rise and coastal erosion
Future scenario of cyclone and urban flood in Pearl River Delta
Mountain
City
Field
Sea
Expanding of GuangzhouExpanding of Guangzhou---Urban Case study ---Urban Case study
Nansha
AusAID Public Sector Linkages Program AusAID Public Sector Linkages Program (PSLP)(PSLP)
Working towards improving resilience and adaptive capacity to climate change in the Hindu Kush-Himalayan (HKH) Region (China, Bangladesh, India & Nepal).
PI: Lance Heath, Climate change Institute, ANUPI: Lance Heath, Climate change Institute, ANUTime: 2013-2015Time: 2013-2015
AusAID Public Sector Linkages Program AusAID Public Sector Linkages Program (PSLP)(PSLP)
Working towards improving resilience and adaptive capacity to climate change in the Hindu Kush-Himalayan (HKH) Region (China, Bangladesh, India & Nepal).
PI: Lance Heath, Climate change Institute, ANUPI: Lance Heath, Climate change Institute, ANUTime: 2013-2015Time: 2013-2015
This project will use a number of approaches to identify the risks, vulnerabilities and opportunities of climate change impacts on small downstream communities in Bangladesh and upstream communities in Nepal and India.
Build the local capacity to help communities cope better with those risks and vulnerabilities identified.
A key outcome resulting from this project is the development of a climate change adaptation toolkit.
Asian Dryland Model Intercomparison Project (ADMIP)
- Led by Jun Asanuma and Dennis Ojima
- Support from APN, MAIRS and MEXT-JSPS
- Few observations and relatively poor performance of LSM in Asian drylands
- Data from sites at Tongyu, China; Kherlen Bayan Ulaan, Mongolia (AsiaFlux)
- 7 LSMs and 7 TEMs from Japan, China, Korea, USA, Australia
Model performance at dryland
2010/7/11 ADMIP Kickoff, Beijingfigures made by Dr. Yorozu at Kyoto Univ.in reference to Guo, and Dirmeyer (2002) JGR, Vol.111, D22S02
correlation between GSWP2 (multi model analysis) and GSMDB(obs.)
13
lower model reproducibility of soil moiture
Goals of ADMIP
Evaluating & improving land surface models (LSM, energy and water) & terrestrial ecosystem model (TEM, carbon) through offline model intercomparison using data obtained at Asian dryland
but not to improve a model/models specific to Asian dryland
Better reproduction/prediction of landsurface state at Asian dryland using improved models
2010/7/11 ADMIP Kickoff, Beijing14
RMIP Simulation Design
Integration Domain: (45-165E, 0-45N)Resolution: 60KM (for whole area, downscaling to 30KM in some key areas)Participating Countries: China, Japan, Korea, Australia, US Regional Models: 6 models in RMIP II, and 9 models in RMIP IIISimulation Periods: 1978-2000 for control, 2038-2070 for projection, A 2-year spin-up time is applied to both control and projection runs
Shuyu Wang, Nanjing University
RMIP Activities
- Regional projections for 2040-2070 with uncertainties
- Data sharing
- Development of integrated assessment tool for urban policy and planning (UrbanCLIM – Yinpeng Li)
- High-resolution precipitation events
- High-resolution urban simulations
- High-resolution mountain simulations (WCRP CORDEX south Asia, ICIMOD)
Training workshop on remote sensing and regional land surface processes
Date: 16-20 Sep. 2013
Location: Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS
Sponsors: UNESCO, MAIRS, NSFC, CARRI/CAS
Jointly organized by CARRI/CAS, MAIRS
To provide the knowledge required for societies in the world
to face risks posed by global environmental change and to seize opportunities in a transition
to global sustainability
Future Earth: A New Initiative by ICSU/ISSC
Objectives:To report the latest research on integrated studies in Asia-Pacific regionTo promote the research of both natural and social scientistsTo promote the research by young scientists from the regionTo promote multi-disciplinary studies and the new ICSU-ISSC Future Earth in Asia-Pacific regionTo discuss the implementation of the Future Earth initiative
Top Related