Individual Level Analysis
Individual Level Analysis
Individual Level Analysis
• non-recognition of Ukrainian revolution
• principle of non-interference in the Ukrainian affairs
• defend the Russian population in Ukraine
• return of Crimea to RF on the basis of a referendum (volition of Crimeans)
• demonstration of a strong leader
Individual Level Analysis
• annexation of Crimea by violent means
• bringing troops (Russian army) in unmarked uniforms into the territory of Ukraine
• unleashing and waging war in eastern Ukraine
• support for separatist moods
Individual Level Analysis
• recognition of Euromaidan
• non-recognition Crimea's annexation
• appeal to Russia to stop interfering in the internal affairs of Ukraine
• impose sanctions
• fulfill the conditions of the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances of 1994
Individual Level Analysis
• an oligarch (ranked 6th on Forbes list)
• concluded an agreement on the cessation
of hostilities with the DPR and the LPR and
gave them special status
StateLevel Analysis
StateLevel Analysis
• aspiration to become a member of EU and NATO
• the presence of the pro-Russian political elite
• irrational regional policy
• separation of state
StateLevel Analysis
• defense of the Black Sea Fleet in Crimea
• saving the sphere of influence
• territorial deterrence of NATO and EU expansion to the east
• demonstration of the ability to protect it‘s interests
StateLevel Analysis
• desire to reduce Russia's position in the regional leadership
• new sphere of influence
• economic containment of Russia
SystemLevel Analysis
SystemLevel Analysis
Position of the United Nations: • UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon condemned the actions of the separatists
• called on the parties to protect the civilian population of Ukraine
SystemLevel Analysis
March 15, 2014
The UN Security Council discussed a draft resolution, which offered to announce the upcoming referendum in the Crimea "null and void"
• VOTE FOR - 13 countries
• Vote Against Russia (the veto)
• China abstained
SystemLevel Analysis
March 27, 2014
The UN General Assembly adopted a resolution in support of the territorial integrity of Ukraine
VOTE FOR - 100 States
Vote Against 11 countries Armenia, Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Nicaragua, North Korea, Russia, Sudan, Syria, Venezuela, Zimbabwe
SystemLevel Analysis
• call for the territorial integrity of Ukraine
• condemnation of Russia
• imposition of sanctions
SystemLevel Analysis
• condemnation of the revolution in Ukraine
• support of Russia's policy in the region
SystemLevel Analysis
Conclusion:• inability of UN to cope with emerging conflicts
• new hidden form of war (under the auspices of protection of the Russian population)
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