HistoricFactorsShapingHousingInSeattle
AliModarres
Or
ContextforUnderstandingHousinginPugetSound
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
1890
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
HistoricalPatternsofPopulationGrowth
Tacoma Seattle Everett
City 2000 2014 Growth
Seattle 563,374 668,342 104,968(18.6%)
Bellevue 109,569 136,426 26,857(24.5%)
Renton 50,052 98,404 48,352(96.6%)
Kirkland 45,054 85,763 40,709(90.4%)
TheOtherPugetSound
• OtherCities:– FromBurienandSeaTactoOlympia,includingKitsapcounty.
– 42cities/censusplaces
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000Tacoma
Kent
FederalW
ay
Aubu
rn
Lakewoo
dSouthHill
Burie
nOlym
pia
Lacey
Puyallu
pParkland
Un
iversityP
lace
DesM
oines
Spanaw
ay
SeaTac
Graham
Frederickson
Tukw
ila
Cascade-Fairw
ood
Tumwater
ElkP
lain
FortLe
wis
Artond
ale
Lakeland
South
Lakeland
North
Vashon
Sumner
Edgewoo
dFife
DuPo
nt
Midland
Summit
Waller
GigH
arbo
rMilton
Pacific
Fircrest
Norm
andyPark
Steilacoom
FoxIsla
nd
McCho
rdAFB
2014Population
-10000
-5000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000Au
burn
SouthHill
Burie
n
Graham
Frederickson
Kent
Lacey
Parkland
FederalW
ay
Tacoma
Spanaw
ay
DuPo
nt
Tumwater
Olym
pia
Puyallu
p
Fife
Artond
ale
Tukw
ila
SeaTac
UniversityP
lace
Lakeland
South
Milton
Pacific
GigH
arbo
r
DesM
oines
Midland
Sumner
FoxIsla
nd
Fircrest
Lakewoo
d
Edgewoo
d
Vashon
Norm
andyPark
Steilacoom
Summit
McCho
rdAFB
Waller
ElkP
lain
Lakeland
North
FortLe
wis
2000-2014PopulationGrowth
-50.0
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
DuPo
nt
Frederickson
Graham
Fife
Aubu
rn
SouthHill
Burie
nArtond
ale
Parkland
Tumwater
Lacey
Spanaw
ay
FoxIsla
nd
Milton
Pacific
Total
GigH
arbo
rPu
yallu
pMidland
Lakeland
South
Tukw
ila
Kent
Olym
pia
Fircrest
Sumner
FederalW
ay
SeaTac
UniversityP
lace
Edgewoo
dTacoma
DesM
oines
Vashon
No
rmandyPark
Lakewoo
dSteilacoom
Summit
ElkP
lain
Lakeland
North
Waller
McCho
rdAFB
FortLe
wis
%2000-2014Growth
Aregionalperspective• AsoftheCensus2014populationestimate,these42cities/censusplaceshousedslightlymorepeoplethanthecitiesofSeattle,Bellevue,Renton,Redmond,andKirkland,combined.– 1.2millionversus1.05million
Age
6.1 6.4
6.3
6.2 6.7
17 17.8
14.9
4.8
3.3
5.1
3.9
1.4
6.2
5.9
5.6 5.8 6.6
16.6
15.1
14.4
6.6
5.5 6.
5
3.3
1.8
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Under5years
5to9years 10to14years
15to19years
20to24years
25to34years
35to44years
45to54years
55to59years
60to64years
65to74years
75to84years
85yearsandover
KingCounty
2000
2014
6.7 7.5 7.8
7.4
6.5
12.9
16.8
15.2
5.1
3.5
5.4
3.8
1.3
6.9
6.5 6.9
6.6 7.4
14.5
13.1 14
.2
6.5
5.5 6.
8
3.5
1.5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Under5years
5to9years 10to14years
15to19years
20to24years
25to34years
35to44years
45to54years
55to59years
60to64years
65to74years
75to84years
85yearsandover
PierceCounty
2000
2014
37.2
39.3
35.8
37.5
38.4
35.7 35.8
34.1
34.7
36.5
30
32
34
36
38
40
KingCounty KitsapCounty PierceCounty SnohomishCounty ThurstonCounty
MedianAge
2014 2000
AverageHouseholdSizebyCounty
• King 2.44(Seattle,2.1)• Kitsap 2.51• Pierce 2.64(Tacoma,2.49)• Thurston 2.52• Snohomish 2.67
Source: 2010-2014 ACS
FirstImpression• Threeregionsareemerging:
– FamilyandChildren– Hip(EnergizerBunnyUrbanism)– Aging
• Housingcost• Desirabilityofparticularurbanform• Minimalregionalgrowthmanagement
Diversity
GrowingDiverse(KingCounty)
• Comparativegrowthratesofracialandethnicgroupsbetween2000and2014
• Overallpopulation=15.7%(averageannual1.12%)• Non-HispanicWhitePopulation=0%• Non-HispanicAsianPopulation=63.4%(averageannual
growth4.5%)• Latinopopulation=93.5%(averageannualgrowth6.7%)
GrowingDiverse(PierceCounty)
• Comparativegrowthratesofracialandethnicgroupsbetween2000and2014:
• Overallpopulation=18.7%(averageannual1.34%)• Non-HispanicWhitePopulation=6.6%(averageannual
growth0.55%)• Non-HispanicAsianPopulation=39%(averageannual
growth2.8%)• Latinopopulation=119%(averageannualgrowth8.5%)
HousingandTransportation
LaborMovement• 93%ofKingCountyresidentsworkinKingCounty• Nearly36,000workinSnohomishand25,000inPierceCounty.
• 73%ofPierceCountyresidentsworkinPierceCounty.
• Nearly24%workinKingCounty
• Thismovementiscausedbyunevengeographiesof– housingaffordability,– housingtype,and– employment.
• Theseareallindicatorsofunevendevelopment.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
KING KITSAP PIERCE SNOHOMISH
HousingPermitsbyHousingType2013
MF50+ MF1-49 SF
Economy
ARegionalPerspective• ThefivecountiesofSnohomish,King,Kitsap,Pierce,andThurstonhadabout190,000worksitesasofthe3rdweekofDecember2015.
• Theyemployedabout1.97millionpeople.• ThecitiesinmySouthSoundhousedabout45,000worksites(or24%ofallworksites).Theyalsocollectivelyemployedabout507,000 individuals(26%).
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0SEATTLE
TACO
MA
BELLEV
UE
EVERETT
OLYMPIA
KENT
KIRK
LAND
LYNNWOOD
RENTO
N
PUYA
LLUP
REDM
OND
AUBU
RN
FEDE
RALWAY
BOTH
ELL
BREM
ERTO
N
GIGHA
RBOR
ISSA
QUA
H
LAKEWOOD
EDMONDS
TUKW
ILA
SNOHO
MISH
Top20CitiesbyNumberofWorksites– PugetSoundRegion
KING67%
KITSAP7%
PIERCE19%
THURSTON7%
PercentageofWorksitesbyCounty
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10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
100000
KING KITSAP PIERCE SNOHOMISH THURSTON Kitsap,Pierce&Thurston
FirmsbyEmployeesizebyCounty2015
10000+
5000-9999
1000-4999
500-999
250-499
100-249
50-99
20-49
10-19
5-9
1-4
0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000
RetailTrade
HealthcareandSocialAssistance
AccommodationandFoodServices
Manufacturing
Professional,Scientific,andTechnicalServices
PublicAdministration
EducationalServices
Construction
OtherServices(ExceptPublicAdministration)
Information
Wholesale
FinanceandInsurance
Administrative,Support,WasteManagementandRemediationServices
RealEstateandRentalandLeasing
Arts,Entertainment,andRecreation
TransportationandWarehousing
Utilities
Agriculture,Forestry,FishingandHunting
ManagementofCompaniesandEnterprise
MiningandOilandGasExtraction
Kitsap Pierce Thurston
0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000
RetailTrade
HealthcareandSocialAssistance
AccommodationandFoodServices
Manufacturing
Professional,Scientific,andTechnicalServices
PublicAdministration
EducationalServices
Construction
OtherServices (ExceptPublicAdministration)
Information
Wholesale
FinanceandInsurance
Administrative,Support,WasteManagement andRemediationServices
RealEstate andRentalandLeasing
Arts,Entertainment,andRecreation
TransportationandWarehousing
Utilities
Agriculture,Forestry,FishingandHunting
Management ofCompaniesandEnterprise
MiningandOilandGasExtraction
EmploymentbyIndustry
King Kitsap Pierce Thurston
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000RetailTrade
HealthcareandSocialAssistance
AccommodationandFoodServices
Manufacturing
Professional,Scientific,andTechnicalServices
PublicAdministration
EducationalServices
Construction
OtherServices(ExceptPublicAdministration)
InformationWholesale
FinanceandInsurance
AdministrativeandSupportandWasteManagementandRemidiationServices
RealEstateandRentalandLeasing
Arts,Entertainment,andRecreation
TransportationandWarehousing
Utilities
Agriclture,Forestry,FishingandHunting
ManagementofComaniesandEnterprise
MiningandOilandGasExtraction
EconomicSectorsbyEmploymentSize
King Kitsap Pierce Snohomish Thurston
MovingForward• Canwecontinueourpatternsofuneveneconomicdevelopment?
• Canweboastaboutasustainablecity(ormorerealisticallypocketsofsustainability),iftheregionisnotsustainable?
• HowmanygreenbuildingsdoesittaketocompensateforthousandsofpeoplecommutingupanddownI-5corridor?
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