1 ©Ipsos.11
Global @dvisor: Power to the People?Part 2
January 2017
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©Ipsos.
2 ©Ipsos.
Contents
1
2
3
Society is broken and Confidence in institutions
Nativism
‘Populist’ measures
4
5
6
Voting behaviour
Country in decline
Is the system broken?
7 Exclusionism
Part 1: Is the system broken? (previously released)
SOCIETY IS BROKEN AND CONFIDENCE IN INSTITUTIONS
©Ipsos.3
4 ©Ipsos.
Most feel society is broken (especially Poland, Spain, Brazil and Mexico)…
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
58%
79%
78%
77%
76%
74%
73%
72%
72%
70%
66%
61%
56%
55%
53%
53%
52%
51%
47%
38%
37%
32%
32%
31%
Total
Poland
Spain
Brazil
Mexico
South Africa
Hungary
Serbia
South Korea
Argentina
United States
Germany
Great Britain
Peru
Turkey
Italy
France
Sweden
Australia
Belgium
Canada
India
Israel
Japan
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q5 To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements – “Society is broken”
5 ©Ipsos.
How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following…
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
COMPLETE CONFIDENCE
FAIR AMOUNT OF CONFIDENT
NOT VERY MUCH CONFIDENCE
NO CONFIDENCE AT ALL
The Justice System, including the courts
Banks
International Institutions
Political parties
4% 20% 5% 33% 38%
The Media
6% 30% 6% 33% 25%
6% 30% 5% 35% 24%
5% 32% 10% 35% 18%
4% 23% 5% 39% 28%
4% 28% 7% 39% 22%
Big Companies
The Government
2% 12% 6% 37% 43%
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
6 ©Ipsos.
Spain has the least confidence in International Institutions, as do many other Europeans –and Israel
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
52%
77%
66%
65%
64%
63%
63%
59%
59%
54%
54%
53%
52%
52%
51%
51%
51%
49%
46%
43%
41%
39%
29%
28%
Total
Spain
Israel
France
Italy
Serbia
Belgium
Germany
Great Britain
Australia
United States
South Korea
Argentina
Brazil
Poland
Turkey
Canada
Hungary
Mexico
Japan
Peru
Sweden
India
South Africa
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? International Institutions
7 ©Ipsos.
Spain and Italy have the least confidence in their banks
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
59%
92%
80%
75%
74%
72%
72%
69%
67%
63%
60%
60%
60%
58%
57%
56%
53%
52%
51%
50%
45%
35%
34%
18%
Total
Spain
Italy
Germany
Belgium
Hungary
Israel
France
Great Britain
Sweden
Argentina
Poland
Brazil
Turkey
Serbia
Mexico
Australia
South Korea
United States
Peru
Canada
Japan
South Africa
India
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Banks
8 ©Ipsos.
Confidence is marginally higher for the justice system, but very low in LATAM
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
59%
84%
84%
83%
75%
74%
74%
67%
64%
60%
59%
59%
58%
57%
56%
52%
52%
49%
48%
48%
44%
37%
34%
32%
Total
Argentina
Peru
Mexico
Serbia
South Korea
Spain
Hungary
Italy
Poland
Belgium
South Africa
Turkey
Israel
Brazil
Australia
France
Canada
Germany
United States
Great Britain
Sweden
India
Japan
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The justice system including the courts
9 ©Ipsos.
Most lack confidence in big companies
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
61%
82%
77%
73%
72%
70%
69%
68%
66%
66%
65%
64%
64%
61%
60%
60%
60%
59%
57%
53%
51%
46%
32%
31%
Total
Spain
South Korea
Israel
Germany
Serbia
Argentina
Great Britain
Belgium
France
Poland
Hungary
Canada
Australia
Mexico
Sweden
Italy
Peru
United States
Turkey
Brazil
Japan
South Africa
India
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Big Companies
10 ©Ipsos.
Two in three lack confidence in their media
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
68%
87%
85%
78%
76%
75%
75%
73%
71%
70%
70%
69%
68%
67%
67%
65%
65%
64%
63%
61%
57%
57%
51%
39%
Total
Hungary
Serbia
Spain
Mexico
Great Britain
Israel
Italy
Australia
Poland
Germany
Sweden
France
South Korea
United States
Belgium
Turkey
Japan
Brazil
Argentina
Canada
Peru
South Africa
India
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The media
11 ©Ipsos.
Most countries are not confident about their government – especially negative in Mexico and Spain
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
71%
90%
89%
84%
82%
82%
81%
81%
80%
78%
77%
75%
70%
69%
66%
66%
66%
64%
64%
60%
60%
58%
50%
35%
Total
Mexico
Spain
South Korea
Poland
Hungary
South Africa
Brazil
Italy
Israel
France
Belgium
Germany
Serbia
Australia
Great Britain
Peru
Sweden
United States
Canada
Japan
Argentina
Turkey
India
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? The Government
12 ©Ipsos.
Of all institutions, countries have the least confidence in their political parties
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
81%
94%
92%
90%
89%
88%
88%
87%
86%
86%
85%
83%
82%
81%
80%
79%
79%
75%
74%
72%
71%
68%
65%
59%
Total
Spain
Mexico
Hungary
Serbia
Israel
Peru
Poland
South Korea
Italy
Belgium
France
Brazil
Argentina
Germany
Australia
Great Britain
South Africa
United States
Sweden
Canada
Japan
Turkey
India
No confidence/not very much confidence
Q11 How much confidence, if any, do you have in the each of the following? Political parties
NATIVISM
©Ipsos.13
14 ©Ipsos.
Attitudes are divided on immigration – but most countries are against uncontrolled immigration
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
[Country] would be stronger if we stopped immigration
Immigrants take jobs away from real [nationality]
Immigrants take important social services away from real [nationality]
[Country] would be better off if we let in all immigrants who wanted to come here
34% 22% 6% 18% 9% 11%
When jobs are scarce, employers should prioritise hiring people of this country over immigrants
17% 17% 7% 22% 16% 20%
16% 19% 22% 6% 16% 21%
19% 19% 21% 7% 15% 18%
5% 8% 7% 21% 21% 37%
STRONGLY AGREE
SOMEWHAT AGREE
SOMEWHAT DISAGREE
STRONGLY DISAGREE
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
These days I feel like a stranger in my own country
17% 21% 22% 6% 15% 19%
15 ©Ipsos.
Just over half think employers should prioritize hiring locals over immigrants – especially in Serbia, Hungary, Turkey and Israel
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
56%
81%
76%
74%
73%
64%
63%
62%
60%
60%
58%
57%
56%
55%
54%
51%
51%
50%
48%
46%
45%
45%
38%
17%
Total
Serbia
Hungary
Turkey
Israel
Peru
Argentina
India
South Africa
Italy
United States
Poland
Brazil
Mexico
South Korea
Australia
France
Spain
Great Britain
Belgium
Canada
Germany
Japan
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q9 When jobs are scarce, employers should prioritize hiring people of this country over immigrants
16 ©Ipsos.
Europeans tend to be more worried about immigration’s impact on social/public services (Turkey most worried again overall)
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
39%
63%
50%
50%
50%
49%
49%
47%
46%
46%
46%
44%
40%
39%
37%
37%
35%
29%
27%
27%
21%
19%
19%
17%
Total
Turkey
Belgium
Hungary
Israel
Argentina
France
Italy
India
Spain
United States
South Africa
Great Britain
Australia
Serbia
Germany
Canada
South Korea
Brazil
Peru
Sweden
Mexico
Poland
Japan
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q9 Immigrants take important social services away from real [nationality]
17 ©Ipsos.
Concern about immigration’s impact on jobs highest in Turkey, India and Argentina
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
35%
62%
51%
48%
47%
43%
42%
41%
40%
37%
37%
36%
35%
34%
33%
32%
32%
32%
26%
24%
23%
22%
12%
9%
Total
Turkey
India
Argentina
South Africa
United States
Israel
Peru
Italy
Belgium
Australia
Hungary
Spain
South Korea
France
Brazil
Canada
Great Britain
Mexico
Serbia
Poland
Germany
Japan
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q9 Immigrants take jobs away from real [nationality]
18 ©Ipsos.
Most countries are against uncontrolled immigration , but people are split on whether immigration should be stopped – highest in Turkey, Israel, Hungary, Belgium and Italy
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
58%
77%
72%
72%
72%
69%
69%
67%
65%
64%
61%
61%
57%
56%
56%
56%
54%
53%
51%
48%
47%
46%
36%
29%
Total
Israel
Belgium
Hungary
Serbia
France
Canada
Great Britain
Italy
Turkey
South Africa
Poland
United States
Sweden
Germany
Australia
South Korea
Spain
Argentina
Mexico
Brazil
Peru
Japan
India
Strongly/Somewhat disagree
34%
61%
52%
49%
47%
46%
45%
40%
38%
38%
37%
37%
34%
31%
31%
30%
28%
27%
24%
19%
19%
17%
14%
12%
Total
Turkey
Israel
Hungary
Belgium
Italy
India
France
US
Serbia
Germany
South Africa
Argentina
Great Britain
Poland
Australia
Spain
Sweden
Canada
Peru
Mexico
Brazil
Japan
South Korea
Strongly/Somewhat agree
Q9 [Country] would be better off if we let in all immigrants who wanted to come here
Q9 [Country] would be stronger if we stopped immigration
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
19 ©Ipsos.
Overall people are split on whether or not they feel a stranger in their own country. High in Turkey, South Africa and Brazil, and amongst Western countries most prevalent in Italy, Belgium and the US
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
38%57%
54%49%
46%45%
44%43%
42%40%39%
38%37%
36%36%
36%35%35%
35%34%34%
22%20%
14%
TotalTurkey
South AfricaItaly
BrazilUnited States
BelgiumSerbia
HungaryFrance
IndiaGermany
MexicoGreat Britain
AustraliaSpainPeru
ArgentinaPoland
South KoreaCanadaSweden
IsraelJapan
Strongly/ Somewhat agree
Q14_1. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - These days I feel like a stranger in my own country
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
20 ©Ipsos.
ArgentinaAustralia
BelgiumBrazil
Canada
France
Germany
Hungary
India
Italy
Japan
Mexico
Poland
South Africa
South Korea
Spain
Sweden
Turkey
Great BritainUS
Israel
Peru
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Syst
em is
Bro
ken
Nativism
Nativism vs. System is Broken: Categorizing Countries
Feel the system is broken and HIGHER nativist sentiment
Feel system is broken but LOWER nativist sentiment
SUPPORT FOR ‘POPULIST’ MEASURES
©Ipsos.21
22 ©Ipsos.
Generally the balance of opinion is in favour of ‘populist’ measures – though more so for controlling the price of foodstuffs than nationalizing natural resources
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
The government should nationalize natural resources even if this means slower job growth
The government should control the price of the Basic Foodstuffs (Staples)
[Country] should stop terrorism at all costs even if that means ignoring people’s civil rights
20% 23% 24% 9% 14% 11%
[Country] should prioritize hiring [nationalities] over foreigners even if that means slower job growth
15% 21% 27% 13% 13% 11%
32% 26% 18% 7% 9% 8%
23% 22% 20% 7% 14% 13%
STRONGLY AGREE
TEND TO AGREE
TEND TO DISAGREE
STRONGLY DISAGREE
23 ©Ipsos.
Majority in favour of controlling price of foodstuffs – support tends to be higher in emerging economies, but is also high in France, Israel, Italy and Spain
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
58%80%
78%76%
73%70%70%69%69%
66%66%
65%62%
60%56%
54%53%
51%49%
45%41%
31%25%
19%
TotalArgentina
IsraelIndia
SerbiaTurkey
HungarySpain
ItalyFrance
PeruBelgium
South AfricaMexico
BrazilSouth Korea
AustraliaCanada
Great BritainPoland
GermanyUS
SwedenJapan
Strongly/ Somewhat agree
Q14_2. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - The government should control the price of the Basic Foodstuffs (Staples)
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
24 ©Ipsos.
Countries with recent experience of terrorism are likely to prioritise stopping terrorism over protecting civil rights (such as Turkey, France, India, Israel and Belgium), also high in Serbia
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
45%74%
69%63%
59%57%
55%50%50%
48%47%
43%42%
41%40%
38%37%37%
35%34%
31%31%
30%25%
TotalSerbiaTurkey
IndiaFrance
IsraelBelgium
PeruHungarySwedenPoland
Great BritainSouth Africa
AustraliaGermany
South KoreaUS
BrazilItaly
MexicoCanada
SpainArgentina
Japan
Strongly/ Somewhat agree
Q14_4. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - ... should stop terrorism at all costs even if that means ignoring people's civil rights
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
25 ©Ipsos.
Support for prioritising jobs for national citizens is especially high in Turkey, Israel, Serbia, LATAM, and India
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
44%70%
63%62%
61%57%
56%54%54%
50%49%
48%43%
42%39%
39%37%
36%33%
32%30%
22%21%
10%
TotalTurkey
IsraelSerbia
ArgentinaPeruIndia
South KoreaMexicoFrance
SpainItaly
BrazilPoland
USHungary
South AfricaAustralia
CanadaGermany
Great BritainJapan
BelgiumSweden
Strongly/ Somewhat agree
Q14_3. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - ... should prioritize hiring [nationalities] over foreigners even if that means slower job growth
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
26 ©Ipsos.
Highest support for nationalising natural resources in emerging economiesGLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
36%63%
58%58%
48%44%
42%41%
39%36%
34%34%
32%32%
31%30%
29%28%28%
27%27%
27%22%
14%
TotalSerbia
IndiaArgentina
PeruMexicoTurkey
ItalySpain
FranceGreat Britain
AustraliaHungary
IsraelBrazil
CanadaSouth Korea
PolandBelgium
South AfricaSweden
USGermany
Japan
Strongly/ Somewhat agree
Q14_5. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? - The government should nationalize natural resources even if this means slower job growth
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
VOTING BEHAVIOUR
©Ipsos.27
28 ©Ipsos.
So-called “populist” positions more attractive than unattractive – especially ‘standing up for the common people against the elite’, but also a party that prioritises nationals over immigrants – and radical change more popular than status quo. But a number of ‘pluralist’ positions are just as popular, like listening to alternative points of view/experts, or being prepared to make compromise.
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
A political party or leader that prioritises people born in [country] over immigrants
A political party or leader that stands up for common people against the elite
A political party or leader that wants to radically change the status quo
A political party with a leader who says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others
A political party or leader that has been in power before
22% 22% 12% 27% 8% 9%
36% 27%12% 18%
4% 3%
20% 24% 24% 17% 9% 6%
20% 25% 13% 23% 10% 8%
A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country
A political party or leader that listens to alternative points of view
11% 18% 14% 31% 14% 11%A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to [country]
25% 27% 12% 25% 6% 5%
24% 32%13% 21% 7% 4%
27% 29% 13% 22% 6% 3%
34% 33%11% 16% 3%2%
A political party or leader that is prepared to make compromises
A political party or leader that stands up for the rights of minorities
MUCH MORE LIKELY
SOMEWHAT MORE LIKELY
SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY
MUCH LESS LIKELY
Q. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference?
6% 12% 14% 43% 11% 14%
29 ©Ipsos.
On average a high proportion of people is more likely to vote for a political party or leader that stands up for common people against the elite
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
13%
17%
21%
26%
28%
27%
42%
35%
34%
31%
39%
34%
40%
42%
37%
44%
40%
43%
37%
44%
49%
36%
59%
36%
25%
26%
26%
27%
26%
31%
17%
24%
25%
31%
24%
31%
26%
25%
31%
26%
30%
28%
35%
28%
24%
38%
20%
27%
30%
20%
25%
21%
21%
23%
15%
18%
17%
17%
18%
20%
22%
18%
19%
17%
15%
13%
16%
16%
14%
12%
6%
18%
13%
30%
16%
22%
19%
12%
17%
9%
16%
14%
8%
11%
4%
9%
10%
6%
8%
10%
10%
4%
9%
6%
12%
12%
12%
5%
8%
3%
5%
4%
4%
9%
4%
3%
7%
3%
6%
3%
2%
3%
4%
4%
2%
4%
3%
3%
2%
4%
7%
2%
3%
2%
2%
3%
5%
6%
3%
4%
4%
1%
2%
3%
2%
4%
3%
2%
2%
4%
1%
4%
2%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
S o u t h K o r eaJ a p a n
G e r m a n yFr a n c ePo la n d
S we d e nB r a z i l
T u r k e yI t a ly
B e lg iu mI n d ia
G r e a t B r i t a inS o u t h Afr ic a
Ar g e n t inaAu s t r a l ia
M e xic oU S
S p a inCa n a d a
Pe r uS e r b iaI s r a e l
H u n g ar yT o t a l
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Sl ight ly more l ikely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party o r leader
Q19_1. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that stands up for common people against the elite?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
30 ©Ipsos.
Just under half attracted by radically changing the status quo, especially high in SpainGLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
11%
11%
9%
11%
13%
12%
14%
19%
12%
18%
16%
21%
19%
18%
30%
27%
24%
29%
25%
27%
31%
31%
36%
20%
16%
17%
25%
25%
24%
25%
25%
19%
28%
22%
27%
24%
26%
28%
19%
24%
26%
23%
28%
28%
24%
26%
26%
24%
26%
30%
36%
34%
17%
20%
31%
20%
23%
22%
31%
27%
24%
26%
15%
22%
29%
20%
23%
23%
22%
21%
15%
24%
17%
26%
12%
15%
12%
32%
17%
24%
20%
32%
16%
18%
14%
19%
20%
18%
12%
12%
10%
11%
9%
5%
11%
17%
15%
10%
11%
11%
17%
8%
11%
10%
11%
4%
8%
5%
11%
7%
9%
5%
5%
7%
10%
6%
6%
11%
7%
9%
14%
5%
7%
4%
16%
3%
4%
7%
6%
2%
2%
6%
6%
3%
7%
4%
4%
10%
4%
5%
7%
6%
4%
6%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
G e r m a n y
P o l a n d
S o u t h K o r e a
A u s t r a l i a
I s r a e l
J a p a n
C a n a d a
H u n g a r y
S w e d e n
F r a n c e
G r e a t B r i t a i n
A r g e n t i n a
U S
B e l g i u m
B r a z i l
I t a l y
S e r b i a
T u r k e y
P e r u
I n d i a
M e x i c o
S o u t h A f r i c a
S p a i n
T o t a l
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more l ikely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party o r leader
Q19_2. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that wants to radically change the status quo?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
31 ©Ipsos.
People are likely to say that the fact that a party or leader has been in power before has less influence on
their voting behavior – but more of a turn-off in LATAM
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
2%
4%
2%
4%
6%
3%
4%
4%
5%
6%
3%
8%
6%
4%
4%
7%
3%
3%
15%
7%
10%
15%
16%
6%
8%
7%
9%
8%
6%
9%
8%
11%
10%
9%
14%
9%
11%
13%
14%
11%
15%
15%
9%
18%
17%
17%
23%
12%
34%
38%
50%
37%
39%
39%
35%
36%
46%
38%
58%
35%
31%
59%
59%
33%
54%
51%
38%
48%
40%
44%
37%
43%
36%
23%
17%
11%
13%
17%
14%
22%
13%
16%
11%
19%
10%
12%
12%
7%
18%
17%
9%
8%
10%
5%
9%
14%
14%
11%
9%
14%
12%
13%
22%
16%
12%
11%
9%
11%
13%
7%
7%
18%
6%
9%
10%
10%
13%
9%
9%
11%
6%
17%
13%
26%
24%
19%
17%
11%
14%
19%
5%
17%
30%
5%
4%
24%
3%
5%
19%
9%
10%
11%
6%
14%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
J a p a nFr a n c e
B e lg iu mS e r b ia
Ar g e n t inaI t a ly
S o u t h K o r eaPo la n d
S p a inH u n g ar y
Au s t r a l iaB r a z i l
M e x ic oG r e a t B r i t a in
Ca n a d aPe r u
S we d e nG e r m a n y
T u r k e yI s r a e l
U SS o u t h Afr ic a
I n d iaT o t a l
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more l ikely to vote for that party or leader Sl ight ly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party o r leader
Q19_3. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that has been in power before
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
32 ©Ipsos.
On average close to half of people is more likely to vote for a political leader who says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others – especially Hungary and Turkey
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
2%14%
19%16%
17%10%
14%20%19%
17%25%
18%18%
16%22%
24%23%
22%27%
20%21%
34%32%
20%
5%20%
18%21%
21%29%
26%23%24%29%
22%30%30%
31%26%
25%28%
29%26%
34%36%
26%28%
25%
30%22%19%
16%7%
10%16%
11%5%
12%10%
12%12%
15%10%
5%24%
12%10%
14%8%
10%15%
13%
19%22%
21%24%
30%30%
27%21%
23%28%
24%24%
25%25%
24%21%
20%23%23%
23%21%
21%17%
23%
21%16%
10%12%
11%14%
9%13%
15%10%
10%11%
10%7%
11%14%
4%8%7%
3%11%
4%6%
10%
23%6%
13%10%
15%6%
8%12%
14%4%
8%5%5%5%
7%12%
3%7%7%
6%3%
5%2%
8%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
J a p a nP o l a n d
B r a z i lI t a l y
M e x i c oS o u t h K o r e a
G e r m a n yU S
S o u t h A f r i c aG r e a t B r i t a i n
S e r b i aC a n a d a
A u s t r a l i aB e l g i u m
I n d i aP e r u
F r a n c eS p a i n
A r g e n t i n aS w e d e n
I s r a e lT u r k e y
H u n g a r yT o t a l
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more likely to vote for that party or leader Make no difference Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader
Q19_4. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party with a leader who says what he/she thinks, even if it offends others
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
33 ©Ipsos.
On average just under half attracted by a political party or leader that prioritises people born in own country – again Hungary and Turkey top
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
7%
11%
15%
17%
21%
17%
20%
18%
20%
18%
14%
18%
21%
25%
26%
28%
28%
26%
31%
22%
29%
34%
42%
22%
13%
19%
17%
19%
16%
21%
18%
21%
19%
21%
27%
24%
23%
20%
20%
20%
24%
29%
25%
34%
27%
26%
20%
22%
12%
34%
15%
12%
21%
11%
19%
9%
9%
14%
12%
21%
8%
11%
15%
9%
9%
5%
10%
7%
4%
8%
12%
12%
22%
27%
26%
29%
23%
27%
27%
31%
32%
26%
34%
25%
34%
27%
23%
29%
27%
28%
27%
26%
27%
22%
17%
27%
11%
7%
12%
10%
6%
11%
7%
12%
10%
9%
7%
6%
8%
9%
7%
6%
8%
8%
3%
7%
8%
4%
5%
8%
35%
3%
14%
13%
13%
14%
9%
8%
10%
12%
5%
5%
7%
8%
9%
8%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
6%
4%
9%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
S w e d e n
J a p a n
G e r m a n y
S p a i n
F r a n c e
G r e a t B r i t a i n
B r a z i l
A u s t r a l i a
C a n a d a
B e l g i u m
S o u t h K o r e a
P o l a n d
M e x i c o
U S
I t a l y
A r g e n t i n a
I n d i a
P e r u
S e r b i a
I s r a e l
S o u t h A f r i c a
T u r k e y
H u n g a r y
T o t a l
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more l ikely to vote for that party or leader Sl ight ly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party o r leader
Q19_5. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that prioritises people born in ... over immigrants
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
34 ©Ipsos.
On average people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that is prepared to make compromises – but less so in Italy and Israel
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
9%
5%
19%
14%
12%
13%
14%
18%
16%
15%
21%
22%
19%
25%
35%
45%
34%
20%
35%
35%
38%
37%
41%
24%
18%
27%
22%
30%
31%
36%
35%
36%
38%
40%
34%
34%
38%
32%
27%
18%
29%
43%
33%
35%
32%
33%
32%
32%
18%
32%
9%
24%
10%
15%
15%
11%
16%
11%
20%
10%
11%
10%
9%
17%
8%
10%
13%
10%
5%
3%
7%
13%
24%
25%
28%
23%
17%
27%
28%
27%
24%
27%
18%
21%
26%
24%
18%
11%
18%
21%
12%
16%
15%
17%
14%
21%
15%
8%
15%
7%
16%
7%
6%
5%
5%
6%
4%
9%
5%
6%
5%
6%
6%
3%
5%
3%
6%
6%
4%
7%
16%
3%
7%
4%
13%
3%
1%
3%
0%
1%
3%
4%
1%
3%
6%
3%
5%
2%
2%
2%
4%
3%
3%
4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
I t a l y
J a p a n
I n d i a
F r a n c e
I s r a e l
B e l g i u m
G e r m a n y
S o u t h K o r e a
S w e d e n
G r e a t B r i t a i n
P o l a n d
U S
A u s t r a l i a
S e r b i a
A r g e n t i n a
B r a z i l
T u r k e y
C a n a d a
H u n g a r y
S p a i n
P e r u
S o u t h A f r i c a
M e x i c o
T o t a l
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more l ikely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party o r leader
Q19_6. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that is prepared to make compromises
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
35 ©Ipsos.
A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country is more likely to receive support across countries – but less so in richer countries
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
7%
15%
16%
17%
17%
20%
19%
16%
23%
21%
14%
19%
20%
33%
32%
44%
40%
39%
41%
45%
47%
42%
45%
27%
23%
28%
30%
29%
30%
28%
30%
35%
28%
30%
37%
34%
34%
27%
29%
23%
28%
31%
29%
26%
25%
30%
31%29%
13%
17%
32%
24%
15%
10%
11%
16%
15%
19%
8%
10%
11%
17%
7%
9%
10%
10%
8%
6%
12%
4%
5%13%
40%
32%
18%
23%
26%
26%
31%
26%
21%
22%
27%
28%
26%
13%
19%
17%
17%
15%
16%
15%
10%
14%
14%22%
10%
6%
3%
5%
8%
10%
7%
6%
6%
5%
9%
7%
6%
5%
9%
3%
1%
3%
4%
4%
4%
7%
3%6%
8%
4%
1%
3%
4%
6%
2%
3%
6%
3%
4%
2%
3%
5%
4%
3%
4%
2%
2%
4%
2%
3%
2%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
S o u t h K o r e a
G e r m a n y
J a p a n
F r a n c e
B e l g i u m
U S
G r e a t B r i t a i n
S w e d e n
I t a l y
P o l a n d
I s r a e l
C a n a d a
A u s t r a l i a
B r a z i l
I n d i a
S e r b i a
A r g e n t i n a
S p a i n
T u r k e y
M e x i c o
H u n g a r y
S o u t h A f r i c a
P e r u
T o t a l
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more l ikely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party o r leader
Q19_7. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? - A political party or leader that listens to what experts say is best for the country
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
36 ©Ipsos.
A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to the
country would divide support
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
5%4%
3%7%
5%8%8%8%
11%8%
12%11%
8%8%
16%15%
13%14%
12%15%
20%20%
25%11%
10%11%
12%11%15%
15%18%17%
15%19%
15%18%
21%23%
15%17%
19%19%
22%21%
25%27%
25%18%
24%12%
36%9%
17%16%
11%12%12%
13%11%
16%17%
12%20%
7%15%
19%22%
5%5%
9%10%
14%
27%37%
32%27%
42%34%
34%30%
29%39%
27%25%
39%38%
23%30%
36%27%
30%29%
28%25%
26%31%
14%20%
12%26%
14%15%
20%18%
18%14%
15%16%
10%11%
14%15%
11%11%
9%18%
12%12%
6%14%
20%16%
3%21%
7%13%
9%15%
16%7%
21%14%
5%7%
12%17%
7%10%
5%11%
10%8%7%
11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
F r a n c eA u s t r a l i a
J a p a nI s r a e l
G e r m a n yB e l g i u mC a n a d a
U SA r g e n t i n a
S o u t h K o r e aT u r k e y
H u n g a r yS w e d e n
G r e a t B r i t a i nB r a z i l
M e x i c oS p a i n
I t a l yP o l a n d
P e r uS o u t h A f r i c a
I n d i aS e r b i a
T o t a l
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more l ikely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party o r leader
Q19_8. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? -A political party or leader that wants to attract more foreign companies and workers to [country]
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
37 ©Ipsos.
Across countries, people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that listens to alternative points of view
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
20%25%
37%28%
21%26%
30%24%
36%21%
29%27%
29%38%
34%50%
36%44%
49%43%
47%43%
50%34%
34%32%
22%32%
39%36%
33%39%
29%45%
38%41%
40%31%
36%22%
37%30%
26%32%
28%33%
32%33%
30%19%16%
21%11%
14%14%
16%8%
8%9%
13%9%8%
9%7%
8%12%
6%4%
7%9%
2%11%
13%19%
17%15%
23%19%16%
18%17%
19%20%
16%19%19%
16%14%
16%9%
14%15%
13%11%
11%16%
3%4%
4%2%
4%4%
4%3%
6%5%
2%2%2%
1%3%4%
1%3%
3%3%
2%2%
3%3%
1%2%
5%1%2%2%
3%0%
4%2%2%1%1%
2%3%2%
1%2%
3%2%2%2%2%2%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
J a p a nPo la n d
B r a z i lFr a n c e
S o u t h K o r eaG e r m a n y
I t a lyS we d e n
I n d iaI s r a e l
Au s t r a l iaB e lg iu m
G r e a t B r i t a inS e r b ia
U ST u r k e y
Ca n a d aH u n g ar y
M e x ic oPe r u
Ar g e n t inaS p a in
S o u t h Afr ic aT o t a l
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more l ikely to vote for that party or leader Slightly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party o r leader
Q19_9. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for. Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? -A political party or leader that listens to alternative points of view
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
38 ©Ipsos.
On balance people are more likely to vote for a political party or leader that stands up for the rights of minorities
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
3%18%
16%19%
18%17%
15%22%
34%27%
21%25%
21%28%
25%25%26%
33%35%
40%31%
38%41%
25%
15%20%
23%22%24%
27%30%
25%16%
24%30%
28%32%
27%31%32%
32%26%
27%24%
35%31%
29%27%
35%10%
21%9%
23%8%
16%13%
17%8%
15%11%
10%9%
9%10%
11%17%
9%6%
10%3%
6%12%
31%33%
30%40%
27%26%
32%24%
19%27%
26%29%
30%26%
26%26%23%
17%20%
19%17%
18%17%
25%
12%9%
7%5%
4%12%
5%8%
6%9%
6%2%
5%6%
5%4%
5%3%
6%6%
4%5%
4%6%
4%10%
3%5%
4%10%
2%9%8%
6%3%
4%2%
5%3%3%
4%4%4%
6%3%
4%4%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
J a p a nT u r k e yPo la n dS e r b iaFr a n c e
I s r a e lG e r m a n yH u n g ar y
B r a z i lI n d ia
B e lg iu mS we d e n
G r e a t B r i t a inU S
Au s t r a l iaCa n a d a
S p a inI t a ly
Ar g e n t inaM e x ic o
S o u t h K o r eaPe r u
S o u t h Afr ic aT o t a l
Much more likely to vote for that party or leader Slightly more l ikely to vote for that party or leader Slight ly less likely to vote for that party or leader Much less likely to vote for that party o r leader
Q19_10. I'd now like you to think about what is important and what is not important to you when deciding what party to vote for.Would each of the following make you more or less likely to vote for a political party or leader, or would it make no difference? -A political party or leader that stands up for the rights of minorities
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
PART 1: IS THE SYSTEM BROKEN?
(PREVIOUSLY RELEASED)
©Ipsos.39
COUNTRY IN DECLINE
©Ipsos.40
41 ©Ipsos.
Overall, there is a sense that society is broken and that their country is in decline (though people tend to be optimistic that this is recoverable). People are also on balance likely to feel that their generation has had a worse life than their parents and are even more pessimistic for the future prospects for today’s youth.
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
“To what extent, if at all, do you feel that your generation will have had a better or worse life than your parents’ generation, or will it have been the same?
“…is in decline”
29%
29%
19%
10%
7%5% AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
DON'T KNOW
“…society is broken”“Do you think [country] can recover from
it’s decline or is it irreversible”*
9%
22%
19%26%
18%5% MUCH BETTER
SLIGHTLY BETTER
ABOUT THE SAME
SLIGHTLY WORSE
MUCH WORSE
DON'T KNOW
“And to what extent, if at all, do you feel that today’s youth will have had a better or worse life
than their parents’ generation, or will it have been about the same?”
28%
29%
20%
10%
8%5% AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
DON'T KNOW
67%
15%
18%CAN RECOVER
IS IRREVERSIBLE
DON'T KNOW
7%
19%
20%28%
20%
6% MUCH BETTER
SLIGHTLY BETTER
ABOUT THE SAME
SLIGHTLY WORSE
MUCH WORSE
DON'T KNOW
Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016.* Asked of all those who think their country is in decline
42 ©Ipsos.
Over half think their country is in decline (although not yet irreversible)
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
“…is in decline” “Do you think [country] can recover from its decline or is it irreversible”*
28%
29%
20%
10%
8%5%
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
NEITHER AGREE OR DISAGREE
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
DON'T KNOW67%
15%
18%CAN RECOVER IS IRREVERSIBLE
DON'T KNOW
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016.* Asked of all those who think their country is in decline
43 ©Ipsos.
Majority in 14 nations think their country is in decline – especially South Africa, South Korea, Italy and Brazil….
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
57%
77%
73%
73%
72%
70%
69%
69%
67%
64%
61%
60%
58%
57%
55%
53%
50%
49%
47%
44%
42%
40%
38%
22%
Total
South Africa
South Korea
Italy
Brazil
Hungary
Mexico
Spain
France
Belgium
Serbia
United States
Argentina
Great Britain
Turkey
Sweden
Poland
Australia
Germany
Peru
Israel
Japan
Canada
India
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q5 To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements – “Your country is in decline”
44 ©Ipsos.
…But are optimistic that it can recover (although less so in Japan, Belgium and Germany)
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
67%
85%
84%
84%
82%
81%
80%
78%
76%
72%
69%
68%
66%
66%
65%
61%
60%
60%
60%
60%
53%
52%
51%
24%
15%
5%
9%
2%
15%
8%
11%
9%
15%
11%
13%
10%
16%
11%
19%
19%
15%
14%
17%
17%
28%
29%
21%
34%
T o t a l
P e r u
M e x i c o
I s r a e l
I n d i a
A r g e n t i n a
B r a z i l
S o u t h A f r i c a
T u r k e y
S w e d e n
P o l a n d
U n i t e d S t a t e s
S e r b i a
A u s t r a l i a
S p a i n
I t a l y
H u n g a r y
C a n a d a
F r a n c e
G r e a t B r i t a i n
G e r m a n y
B e l g i u m
S o u t h K o r e a
J a p a n
Can recover Irreversible
Q6 And do you think [country] can recover from its decline or is it irreversible ?
Base: 9,525 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
45 ©Ipsos.
And there is significant pessimism for current and future generations in France, Belgium, Hungary, South Korea, Italy and Spain
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
44%
65%
63%
61%
60%
56%
56%
54%
53%
47%
46%
44%
43%
41%
40%
39%
38%
38%
38%
35%
33%
30%
22%
19%
Total
Hungary
Serbia
France
Italy
South Korea
Spain
Japan
Belgium
United States
Canada
Germany
Great Britain
South Africa
Turkey
Israel
Mexico
Sweden
Australia
Brazil
Poland
Argentina
India
Peru
Slightly/Much worse
48%
67%
66%
65%
63%
60%
56%
55%
55%
53%
53%
52%
50%
47%
45%
44%
44%
42%
38%
37%
36%
30%
22%
20%
Total
France
Belgium
Spain
South Korea
Hungary
Great Britain
Italy
Japan
Canada
Germany
United States
Serbia
Turkey
Sweden
Australia
Israel
South Africa
Brazil
Mexico
Poland
Argentina
India
Peru
Slightly/Much worse
Q7 To what extent, if at all, do you feel that your generation will have had a better or worse life than your parents’ generation, or will it have been the same?
Q8 And to what extent, if at all, do you feel that today’s youth will have had a better or worse life than their parents’ generation, or will it have been about the same?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
SYSTEM IS BROKEN
©Ipsos.46
47 ©Ipsos.
Strong feeling in many countries that the people in charge don’t care about ‘people like me’, and instead favour rich and powerful.
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks about their views
To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules
[Country] needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful
Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me
42% 27% 15% 5% 6% 4%
The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful
36% 29% 18% 6% 7% 5%
28% 21% 19% 6% 11% 14%
40% 23% 17% 6% 7% 6%
37% 27% 18% 6% 7% 4%
STRONGLY AGREE
SOMEWHAT AGREE
SOMEWHAT DISAGREE
STRONGLY DISAGREE
31% 29% 21% 7% 8% 4%
Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
48 ©Ipsos.
Most feel the system favours the rich and powerful – especially Mexico, Peru, Hungary, Israel and Spain
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
63%
81%
74%
72%
72%
72%
71%
71%
70%
70%
69%
68%
67%
67%
65%
63%
62%
60%
59%
59%
53%
45%
34%
31%
Total
Mexico
Peru
Hungary
Spain
Israel
Australia
India
South Korea
France
United…
Brazil
Great Britain
Italy
Canada
Turkey
Argentina
South Africa
Belgium
Serbia
Poland
Japan
Germany
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 [Country] needs a strong leader to take the country back from the rich and powerful
69%
83%
82%
81%
80%
79%
79%
75%
74%
71%
70%
69%
69%
68%
68%
67%
67%
66%
65%
64%
63%
59%
55%
39%
Total
Hungary
Mexico
Serbia
Israel
Peru
Spain
Italy
South Korea
Belgium
France
Brazil
United…
Turkey
Australia
Poland
Great Britain
Germany
Argentina
South Africa
India
Canada
Japan
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 The [country’s] economy is rigged to advantage the rich and powerful
49 ©Ipsos.
Most people feel politicians don’t care about them, especially parts of LATAM and continental Europe
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
64%
78%
77%
76%
75%
73%
72%
70%
70%
69%
66%
65%
65%
65%
64%
63%
61%
61%
58%
57%
56%
53%
42%
39%
Total
Mexico
Peru
France
Spain
Hungary
Italy
Poland
Serbia
Brazil
United States
Argentina
South Africa
South Korea
India
Belgium
Turkey
Australia
Great Britain
Israel
Canada
Germany
Sweden
Japan
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 Traditional parties and politicians don’t care about people like me
50 ©Ipsos.
Close to two-thirds on average favour outspoken politicians
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
65%
79%
79%
79%
76%
74%
72%
71%
70%
68%
66%
66%
64%
64%
64%
60%
59%
59%
58%
57%
53%
51%
49%
47%
Total
Argentina
Hungary
Israel
Serbia
Spain
Peru
Poland
France
South Korea
Belgium
India
Mexico
Germany
Great Britain
United States
Australia
Italy
Sweden
Canada
Turkey
Brazil
South Africa
Japan
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 Politicians should be able to say what’s on their minds regardless of what anyone else thinks about their views
51 ©Ipsos.
Similarly most people feel misunderstood by experts, especially Spain, France and Mexico
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
60%
74%
73%
72%
70%
69%
67%
65%
64%
64%
62%
60%
60%
60%
59%
58%
57%
55%
55%
53%
52%
46%
45%
38%
Total
Spain
France
Mexico
Hungary
Peru
Argentina
Italy
Poland
United States
Turkey
South Africa
Australia
India
Great Britain
Canada
Belgium
South Korea
Brazil
Israel
Serbia
Germany
Japan
Sweden
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 Experts in this country don’t understand the lives of people like me
52 ©Ipsos.
Big variation in desire for a strong leader willing to break the rules - especially high in France
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
49%
80%
69%
68%
66%
66%
65%
60%
54%
51%
50%
50%
48%
44%
42%
42%
41%
41%
40%
39%
36%
35%
23%
21%
Total
France
Israel
Italy
South Korea
Turkey
India
Poland
Belgium
Peru
Australia
Great Britain
Brazil
Serbia
South Africa
Hungary
Mexico
Canada
United States
Japan
Argentina
Spain
Sweden
Germany
Strongly Agree/Tend to Agree
Q10 To fix [country], we need a strong leader willing to break the rules
EXCLUSIONISM
©Ipsos.53
54 ©Ipsos.
On balance, people are still more likely to feel that opening up their country to foreign business and trade is an opportunity rather than a threat, but across the world people are split on whether their country should protect itself or open up more to the world.
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
26% 42%
31% 37%
OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO FOREIGN BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN TRADE IS A THREAT TO [YOUR COUNTRY]
OPENING UP [COUNTRY’S] ECONOMY TO FOREIGN BUSINESSES AND FOREIGN TRADE IS AN OPPORTUNITY FOR [YOUR COUNTRY]
[COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO PROTECT ITSELF FROM TODAY’S WORLD
[COUNTRY] NEEDS TO TAKE MORE STEPS TO OPEN ITSELF UP TO TODAY’S WORLD
BOTH/DON’T KNOW
BOTH/DON’T KNOW
32%
32%
55 ©Ipsos.
People tend to view globalisation as an opportunity, rather than a threat – but not in Italy and France
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
26%
21%
20%
20%
18%
19%
21%
25%
20%
24%
29%
34%
21%
28%
29%
32%
26%
29%
22%
28%
31%
38%
22%
33%
42%
55%
54%
54%
51%
50%
50%
50%
49%
49%
46%
45%
44%
44%
39%
39%
37%
37%
35%
34%
33%
28%
27%
26
T o t a l
P e r u
S o u t h A f r i c a
G r e a t B r i t a i n
S w e d e n
P o l a n d
H u n g a r y
I s r a e l
S p a i n
S e r b i a
M e x i c o
A r g e n t i n a
B r a z i l
I n d i a
U n i t e d S t a t e s
T u r k e y
C a n a d a
B e l g i u m
S o u t h K o r e a
G e r m a n y
A u s t r a l i a
I t a l y
J a p a n
F r a n c e
Opening up [country's] economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is a threat to [your country]
Opening up [country's economy to foreign businesses and foreign trade is an opportunity for [your country]
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
56 ©Ipsos.
Peru, Mexico and Argentina want to open up more to the world – but North Americans more likely to say they should protect themselves from the world
GLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
31%
47%
39%
39%
37%
36%
36%
36%
34%
33%
33%
32%
32%
32%
31%
29%
28%
27%
26%
25%
24%
22%
21%
19%
37%
25%
25%
34%
25%
22%
24%
27%
25%
32%
28%
47%
38%
24%
38%
38%
45
40%
56%
43%
45%
51%
48%
62
T o t a l
U n i t e d S t a t e s
C a n a d a
I s r a e l
A u s t r a l i a
B r a z i l
F r a n c e
I t a l y
G e r m a n y
B e l g i u m
S o u t h K o r e a
A r g e n t i n a
H u n g a r y
J a p a n
T u r k e y
I n d i a
S e r b i a
S w e d e n
M e x i c o
G r e a t B r i t a i n
S o u t h A f r i c a
S p a i n
P o l a n d
P e r u
Agree most that [country] needs to take more steps to protect itself from today’s world Agree most that [country] needs to take more steps to open itself up to today’s world
Base: Base: 16,597 adults aged 16-64 across Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, Serbia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States., November 2016
57 ©Ipsos.
MethodologyGLOBAL @DVISOR: POWER TO THE PEOPLE?
• These are the findings of a Global @dvisor survey into the political mood around the world. In total 16,597 interviews were conducted between October 21 – November 4 among adults aged 18-64 in the US and Canada, and adults aged 16-64 in all other countries.
• The survey was conducted in 23 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system. The countries reporting herein are Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Peru, Poland, South Africa, South Korea, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States of America.
• Between 500 and 1000+ individuals participated on a country by country basis via the Ipsos Online Panel. The sample was 1000+inAustralia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Spain and the United Stated of America. In all othercountries the sample was 500+. The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval with a poll of 1,000 accurateto +/- 3.5 percentage points and of 500 accurate to +/- 5.0 percentage points. For more information on Ipsos’ use of credibility intervals, please visit the Ipsos website.
• In countries where internet penetration is approximately 60% or higher the data output generally reflects the overall population. Of the 23 countries surveyed online, 17 yield results that are balanced to reflect the general population:Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hungary, Israel, Italy, Japan, Poland, South Korea, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Great Britain and the United States. The 6 remaining countries surveyed – Brazil, India, Mexico, Peru, South Africa and Turkey - have lower levels of internet connectivity and reflect online populations that tend to be more urban and have higher education/income than the general population.
• Where results do not sum to 100, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses or the exclusion of don't knows or not stated responses.
• Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
58 ©Ipsos.
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