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Sept 28-29, 2006
Elke Smits1, Bart Van Looy2, Koenraad Debackere2, Elisabeth Monard3, Vincent Thoen1, Elie Ratinckx1, Danielle Raspoet1, Karel Vinck1
1Flemish Science Policy Council, Brussels, Belgium2Managerial Economics, Strategy and Innovation, Faculty of Economics and Applied Economics, K.U.Leuven, Belgium
3Research Foundation - Flanders, Brussels, Belgium
The second international Seville seminar on future-oriented technology analysis
Regional technology Foresight Flanders 2015
Expert validated priority setting on technology and innovation within 6
strategic clusters in Flanders (Belgium)
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Five years of regional foresight in Flanders (Belgium)
Methodological framework for S&T-foresight
Technological foresight studies for the technological industry, the food and chemical sectors in Flanders
Flanders 2015:
“Which priorities in technology and innovation do we need for the future to create wealth in Flanders?”
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Methodological framework for S&T priority setting
STAGE 1:IDENTIFYING PROMISING
DOMAINS
STAGE 2:EXPLORING THE DOMAIN
STAGE 3:ESTABLISHING SUPPORTIVE
ARRANGEMENTS
STAGE 4:ASSESSING PROGRESS
SELECTION OF PROMISING DOMAINS
DECIDING ON PRIORITIES WITHIN THE SELECTED DOMAIN(S)
IMPLEMENTING SUPPORTIVE ARRANGEMENTS
KEY I SSUES METHODS
Identifying promising findings and advances in science and technology.Identifying technological /commercial opportunities.
Identifying underlying technologies (components & architecture) -develop (multiple) scenario’s and roadmapsAssess emergence of different themes Identifying existing knowledge base
(actors) (Strengths & Weaknesses)
Choosing between different relevant subfields/themes based on SWOT analysis and synergetic potential (across industries).
Assessing Progress – When relevant, adjust selection of domains/selection of supportive arrangements.
Literature review of foresight exercises Content analyses of articles in leading scientific/ foresight oriented journals
Expert PanelsDelphi Surveys
Extensive literature reviewJudgmental/expert opinionsScenario Development and analysis
Exploring/ identifying relevant competencies and actors through patent and publications searchesTrend Analysis/Forecasting
Assess relevance/nature of project funding, price incentives or other legal supportive arrangements
Assess relevance of creating protected niches and of clustering and other co-operative mechanisms.
Trend analysis/forecastingBenchmarking – Performance assessement through analysis of publications, patents, new firms/ product introductions
F E E D -B A C K L O O P
STAGE 1:IDENTIFYING PROMISING
DOMAINS
STAGE 2:EXPLORING THE DOMAIN
STAGE 3:ESTABLISHING SUPPORTIVE
ARRANGEMENTS
STAGE 4:ASSESSING PROGRESS
SELECTION OF PROMISING DOMAINS
DECIDING ON PRIORITIES WITHIN THE SELECTED DOMAIN(S)
IMPLEMENTING SUPPORTIVE ARRANGEMENTS
KEY I SSUES METHODS
Identifying promising findings and advances in science and technology.Identifying technological /commercial opportunities.
Identifying underlying technologies (components & architecture) -develop (multiple) scenario’s and roadmapsAssess emergence of different themes Identifying existing knowledge base
(actors) (Strengths & Weaknesses)
Choosing between different relevant subfields/themes based on SWOT analysis and synergetic potential (across industries).
Assessing Progress – When relevant, adjust selection of domains/selection of supportive arrangements.
Literature review of foresight exercises Content analyses of articles in leading scientific/ foresight oriented journals
Expert PanelsDelphi Surveys
Extensive literature reviewJudgmental/expert opinionsScenario Development and analysis
Exploring/ identifying relevant competencies and actors through patent and publications searchesTrend Analysis/Forecasting
Assess relevance/nature of project funding, price incentives or other legal supportive arrangements
Assess relevance of creating protected niches and of clustering and other co-operative mechanisms.
Trend analysis/forecastingBenchmarking – Performance assessement through analysis of publications, patents, new firms/ product introductions
F E E D -B A C K L O O P
STAGE 1:IDENTIFYING PROMISING
DOMAINS
STAGE 2:EXPLORING THE DOMAIN
STAGE 3:ESTABLISHING SUPPORTIVE
ARRANGEMENTS
STAGE 4:ASSESSING PROGRESS
STAGE 1:IDENTIFYING PROMISING
DOMAINS
STAGE 2:EXPLORING THE DOMAIN
STAGE 3:ESTABLISHING SUPPORTIVE
ARRANGEMENTS
STAGE 4:ASSESSING PROGRESS
SELECTION OF PROMISING DOMAINS
DECIDING ON PRIORITIES WITHIN THE SELECTED DOMAIN(S)
IMPLEMENTING SUPPORTIVE ARRANGEMENTS
KEY I SSUES METHODS
Identifying promising findings and advances in science and technology.Identifying technological /commercial opportunities.
Identifying underlying technologies (components & architecture) -develop (multiple) scenario’s and roadmapsAssess emergence of different themes Identifying existing knowledge base
(actors) (Strengths & Weaknesses)
Choosing between different relevant subfields/themes based on SWOT analysis and synergetic potential (across industries).
Assessing Progress – When relevant, adjust selection of domains/selection of supportive arrangements.
Literature review of foresight exercises Content analyses of articles in leading scientific/ foresight oriented journals
Expert PanelsDelphi Surveys
Extensive literature reviewJudgmental/expert opinionsScenario Development and analysis
Exploring/ identifying relevant competencies and actors through patent and publications searchesTrend Analysis/Forecasting
Assess relevance/nature of project funding, price incentives or other legal supportive arrangements
Assess relevance of creating protected niches and of clustering and other co-operative mechanisms.
Trend analysis/forecastingBenchmarking – Performance assessement through analysis of publications, patents, new firms/ product introductions
SELECTION OF PROMISING DOMAINS
DECIDING ON PRIORITIES WITHIN THE SELECTED DOMAIN(S)
IMPLEMENTING SUPPORTIVE ARRANGEMENTS
KEY I SSUES METHODS
Identifying promising findings and advances in science and technology.Identifying technological /commercial opportunities.
Identifying underlying technologies (components & architecture) -develop (multiple) scenario’s and roadmapsAssess emergence of different themes Identifying existing knowledge base
(actors) (Strengths & Weaknesses)
Choosing between different relevant subfields/themes based on SWOT analysis and synergetic potential (across industries).
Assessing Progress – When relevant, adjust selection of domains/selection of supportive arrangements.
Literature review of foresight exercises Content analyses of articles in leading scientific/ foresight oriented journals
Expert PanelsDelphi Surveys
Extensive literature reviewJudgmental/expert opinionsScenario Development and analysis
Exploring/ identifying relevant competencies and actors through patent and publications searchesTrend Analysis/Forecasting
Assess relevance/nature of project funding, price incentives or other legal supportive arrangements
Assess relevance of creating protected niches and of clustering and other co-operative mechanisms.
Trend analysis/forecastingBenchmarking – Performance assessement through analysis of publications, patents, new firms/ product introductions
F E E D -B A C K L O O P
F E E D -B A C K L O O P
Debackere et al., 2000
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Step 1: Strength-weakness analysis of Flanders• Science – Technology – Innovation – Economic performance
Step 2: Matching strenghts&weaknesses to trendanalysis
• Analysis techno-economic trends (2015)• 6 strategic clusters • Validation by Flemish techno-economic experts (first session)
Step 3: Priority setting • Delphi-survey (electronically)• Panels of Flemish techno-economic experts (second session)
Process for priority setting in technology and innovation in Flanders (started 2005)
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Criteria for priority setting
Which development in technology and innovation has the greatest potential to create wealth in Flanders starting from a current technological strength?
Which development in technology and innovation has the greatest potential to create wealth in Flanders starting from a current economic strength?
or both
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Six strategic clusters for Flanders
Transport – Logistics – Services – Supply Chain Management
ICT and Services for Health Care
Health care – Food – Prevention and treatment
New materials – (Nanotechnology) – Manufacturing Industry
ICT for Socio-economic innovation
Energy and Environment for Services and Manufacturing Industry
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Cluster 1:Transport – Logistics – Services – Supply Chain Management
Intermodal Transport
Intelligent supply chain management
Intelligent transport
Virtual design and production
Expert panel Cluster 1: Chairman: Prof. Sleuwaegen, K.U.Leuven21 experts from industry and academia in Flanders
Priority setting within Cluster 1:
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Cluster 2:ICT and Services for Health Care
Expert panel Cluster 2: Chairman: Freddy Librecht, Agfa-Gevaert17 experts from industry and academia in Flanders
Priority setting within Cluster 2:
E-health: electronic medical file and integration of health care information systems
Innovative health care services and products
Medical imaging: computer-assisted reading, diagnosis and therapy – molecular and functional imaging
Multidisciplinarity: bioinformatics – cheminformatics - neuroinformatics
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Cluster 3:Health care – Prevention and Treatment – Food and Agriculture
Expert panel Cluster 3: Chairman: Staf Van Reet, Janssen Pharmaceutica20 experts from industry and academia in Flanders
Priority setting within Cluster 3:
Molecular diagnostics and biomarkers Preventive and therapeutic vaccins Cell therapy Molecular biology research for diagnosis and
threatment Translational medicine Interdisciplinarity with applications in health
care: system biology and biomedical engineering Relationship between food and health Agricultural biotechnology Industrial Biotechnology
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Cluster 4:New materials – (Nanotechnology) – Manufacturing Industry
Expert panel Cluster 4: Chairman: Prof. Gilbert Declerck, IMEC20 experts from industry and academia in Flanders
Priority setting within Cluster 4: Structured micro and nanomaterials
Materials for nanoelectronics, microoptics, fotonics, micromechanics
Materials with unique composition
Biomaterials, metals, ceramic materials, polymers
Materials and material systems interacting with the environment
Enabling technologies
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Cluster 5:ICT for Socio-economic innovation
Expert panel Cluster 5: Chairman: John Dejaeger, BASF Antwerp25 experts from industry and academia in Flanders
Priority setting within Cluster 5:
Advanced networks: broadband – mobile – wireless (multi-access and always connected)
Criteria for advanced networks: user friendly and ambient intelligence – context awareness – security and privacy
Converging technologies and application development
E-applications: E-health and E-society
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Cluster 6:Energy and Environment for Services and Manufacturing
Expert panel Cluster 6: Chairman: Marc Van Sande, Umicore20 experts from industry and academia in Flanders
Priority setting within Cluster 6:
Efficient energy use in industry and buildings
Smart Grids
Energy generation: photovoltaics – biomass – efficient use of fossil fuels – nuclear energy – fuel cells
Sustainability of production processes and products: environment friendly production processes – industrial biotechnology – agricultural biotechnology – decontamination of water, air and soil
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15 critical innovation factors identified for Flanders
Regulatory processVenture capitalLongterm vision on research funding
Human capital International networking
S&T communicationEducationR&D settings
Innovation SMELabour marketLabour cost researcherFiscal mattersPublic procurementBureaucracy
Dual useAverage competitive
Lowcompetitive
ACTUAL POSITION FLANDERS
Important Very Important
Essential IMPORTANCE FOR INNOVATION
Notimportant
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Priority setting on Technology and innovation for Flanders 2015
130 experts from industry and academia:
30 priorities within 6 strategic clusters
15 critical innovation factors
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Valorisation foresight exercise: reference framework to government – industry – academia
Selection frameworkStrategic research centres
Poles of competence
INVOLVEMENTPOLICY
Bottom-up Top-down
INTENSITY
Hands-on
Hands-offInspiration for
R&D
Verification framework‘Service Level Agreements’/
Round tables
Making choicesPriority settings
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For further information
Please visit our website at www.vrwb.be
or contact [email protected]
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