EXHIBIT 157
Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 1 of 9
PRELIMINARY DRAFT 1
Demographics of Harvard College Applicants
DRAFT
May 30, 2013
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Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 2 of 9
Overview PRELIMINARY DRAFT 2
• Low income applicants are more diverse than al l applicants to Harvard College.
• Likewise, a greater share of minority applicants are low income, than whiteapplicants: 25% of Hispanic applicants, 24% of African American applicants, and 18%of Asian applicants are low income, compared with just 10% of white applicants.
• Across all race/ethnicity groups, low income students are admitted at a higher rate.
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Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 3 of 9
Applicants to Harvard College by race/ethnicity PRELIMINARY DRAFT 3
All Applicants by Ethnicity, Classes of
2009-2016
nternational
Other/Unknown W 13%
8% Native American
10/0
Applicants with Incomes Less than $60K, by
Ethnicity, Classes of 2009-2016
Other/Unknown7%
Native American
10/0 International
10/0
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Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 4 of 9
Share of low income applicants by race/ethnicity PRELIMINARY DRAFT 4
Percent of Applicants with Incomes Less than
$60K, by Race/Ethnicity, Classes of 2009-2016
30%
25%-
20%
25%24%
18%
17%
15%
12%
10%10% -
5% -
1%
0%
Hispanic African American Asian Native American Other/Unknown White International
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Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 5 of 9
The income distribution for applicants by race/ethnicity PRELIMINARY DRAFT 5
Distribution of Income, by Ethnicity, Classes of 2009-2016
le le YYYYY YYYYY YYY Y00000000000000000000000000000000000 10N CO 010 c—I CNM.71- L11
rsi m Ln LID N CO 01 0 CN M Ln N- CO 01 0 CN M Ln rsi rsi CsJ rn m m m rn rnL-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 L-1 CN CsJ CsJ CsJ t N. I CN 1,1e 1,1e
.1A-00000000Y IC ILY IC ILY IC ILY Y0000000000CN m n coN00QOOOQQOOOQQOOOQQ N00OO l m t
cn 0 L-1 Csl m'cr LI1 1.0 r•••• 00 01 0 %-1 Cs1 CO Cr Cs1 Csl Csl CN CN rn M M CO CY)%-1 %-1 %-1 %-1 CV CV CV tN tN
if? if? i./)• if? if? -(1)- -(1)- -(1)- -(1)- -(1)- -(1)-
African American
Hispanic
White
Note: Of Of African American, White, Hispanic, and Asian applicants, White applicants have the highest proportion of applicants withincomes greAWALmariU5kilcarepetpawn, Asian applicants have second highest proportion of applicants with incomes greqW.Fivtlio764$350K, and the lowest proportion of applicants with unknown incomes (did not apply for financial aid).
Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 6 of 9
Admissions rates by race/ethnicity and income PRELIMINARY DRAFT 6
Admit Rates by Ethnicity and Income, Classes of2009-2016
16%
14% -
15%
12%12% -
11%10%
10% -
8% -
6% -
4% -
2% -
0%
12%
11% 11%
8%
10%
7%
8%
6%
Native American White African American Hispanic Asian International
• Low Income Income > $60K
Notes: Applicants with Race/Ethnicity unknown are excluded have similar admit rates at both income levels and are excluded from thechart above. Differences between low income and other applicants are significant for Native American, Asian, Hispanic, and whiteapplicants (NriptnagAiltrogylayrginally significant for African American applicants (p<.1). The difference for interne.WM
9765
applicants is not significant.
Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 7 of 9
Modeling admission to Harvard College PRELIMINARY DRAFT 7
Coefficients for Logistic Regression Modeling Predicting
Probability of Admissions, Classes of 2009-2016
Variable Coefficient p-value
Athlete 6.329 0.000
Personal 1 or 2 2.409 0.000
Legacy 2.397 0.000
African American 2.385 0.000
Native American 1.742 0.000
Extracurricular 1 or 2 1.584 0.000
Academic 1 or 2 1.308 0.000
Hispanic 1.289 0.000
Academic Index 1.285 0.000
Low Income 0.899 0.000
Asian and Low Income 0.282 0.000
I nternational 0.229 0.000
Female -0.003 0.877
Ethnicity Unknown -0.031 0.424
Asian -0.429 0.000
Constant -6.222 0.000
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Notes: Pseudo R2 of 0.45HARV00069766
Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 8 of 9
Modeling admission to Harvard College PRELIMINARY DRAFT 8
Coefficients for Logistic Regression Modeling Predicting Probability of
Admissions, Classes of 2009-2016
(Includes Interaction Terms for All Race/Ethnicity and Low Income)
Variable Coefficient p-value
Athlete 6.335 0.000
African American 2.509 0.000
Personal 1 or 2 2.410 0.000
Legacy 2.403 0.000
Native American 1.787 0.000
Extracurricular 1 or 2 1.586 0.000
Academic 1 or 2 1.314 0.000
Academic Index 1.284 0.000
Hispanic 1.232 0.000
Low Income 0.998 0.000
I nternational 0.249 0.000
Asian and Low Income 0.184 0.013
Hispanic and Low Income 0.126 0.160
Female -0.004 0.847
Ethnicity Unknown -0.016 0.707
Ethnicity Unknown and Low Income -0.136 0.263
Native American and Low Income -0.236 0.318
Asian -0.418 0.000
African American and Low Income -0.490 0.000
I nternational and Low Income -0.496 0.055
Constant Term -6.239 0.000
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Notes: Pseudo R2 of 0.45HARV00069767
Case 1:14-cv-14176-ADB Document 421-157 Filed 06/15/18 Page 9 of 9
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