Energy AnalyticsAbhinanda Sarkar
Indian Institute of ScienceOctober 2012
Power Generation:Where do we drill for oil? (Geospatial analysis)How much wind/solar might we get? (Weather forecasting)What is the state of the power plant? (Monitoring & diagnostics)
Transmission and Distribution:Is our electrical grid in good condition? (Reliability analysis)When is the highest daily electricity usage? (Pattern recognition) Are there indications of power theft? (Machine learning)
“Show me the money!”What will be the market price of biomass? (Demand analysis)Will there be lower tariffs with smart meters? (Asset pricing)How do we brand nuclear energy? (Risk management)
How many years does insulation on transformers last?
Step 1: Simulate electrical loads and ambient temperatures
How many years does insulation on transformers last?
Step 2: Use an accepted engineering aging standard
How many years does insulation on transformers last?
Step 3: Simulate to design life based on environment and standard
How many years does insulation on transformers last?
Step 4: Find ‘hitting time’ distributions
How many years does insulation on transformers last?
Step 5: Solve business problems
How many years does insulation on transformers last?
Step 5: Solve business problems
How many years does insulation on transformers last?
Step 5: Solve business problems
Muthanna, Sarkar, Das, and Waldner, IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery, 2006
How much power can we get from a wind farm?
Challenge 1: Power curve uncertainty
How much power can we get from a wind farm?
Challenge 2: Variation and correlations across turbines at site
How much power can we get from a wind farm?
Solution 1: A wind farm simulator
How much power can we get from a wind farm?
Solution 2: An operational power production forecasting system
How much power can we get from a wind farm?
Solution 3: Reusable analytics modules
Vineel and Sarkar, IASTED ICMS, 2006, IEEE ISIE, 2007
Some strategic points of view …
• Research- Example: Stanford University and the Global Climate and Energy Project (GCEP)
• Technology- Example: GE and the ecomagination initiative
• Solutions- Example: IBM and Smarter Planet, Green Sigma Coalition
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