Homogenization of daily data Homogenization of daily data series for extreme climate inseries for extreme climate inddeexx
calculationcalculation
Lakatos, M., Szentimey T. Bihari, Z.,Lakatos, M., Szentimey T. Bihari, Z.,Szalai, S. Szalai, S.
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Climate index calculationClimate index calculation
1998 CCL (Comission for Climatology of WMO) / CLIVAR (Research programme on CLImate VARiability and predictability) ECA&D (European Climate Assessment and Dataset)
NKFP-3A/082/2004 „Regional Climate Modeling” 2005 – 2007 (National Office for Research and Technology)
CECILIA (Central and Eastern Europe Climate Change Impact and Vulnerability Assesment) WP4: extreme index calculation on homogenized, gridded observations and on RCM’s data
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Index/unit Warm extremes
txx / °C absolute Tmax
dtx25/day summer days Tmax > 25 °C (SU)
dtx30e/day hot days Tmax >=30 °C
dtx35e/day very hot days Tmax >= 35 °C
dtn20/day tropical nights Tmin > 20 °C (TR)
ditxgnr/day heat wave duration index (HWDI)
ditgnr90/day warm spell days
itxgnr90/day maximum duration of warm spell (TXHW90 in Climdex)
dtgnr90/% Tavg > 90th percentile of normal period (TG90p)
dtngnr90/% Tmin > 90th percentile of normal period (TN90p)
dtxgnr90/day Tmax > 90th (TX90)
Index/unit Cold extremes
tnn/°C absolute Tmin
dtn0/days frost days Tmin < 0°C (FD)
itn0x/daysmaximum number of frost days Tmin < 0°C (CFD)
dtn0e/days frost days Tmin <= 0°C
t17s/°C heating degree days (HD17)
t20s°C heating degree days
dtx0/day ice days Tmax < 0°C (ID)
dtx0e/day ice days with Tmax <= 0°C
ditnlnr/day cold wave duration index (CWDI)
ditlnr10/day cold spell days (CWFI)
itnlnr10/daymaximum duration of cold spell TNCW10 Climdex)
dtlnr10/dayTavg < 10th percentile of normal period (TG10p)
dtnlnr10/dayTmin < 10th percentile of normal period (TN10p)
dtxlnr10/dayTmax < 10th percentile of normal period (TX10p)
Index/unit Precipitation Indices
rs/mm Precipitation sum
dr1/day Number of wet days
r1a/mm/day Mean wet-day precipitation
ir0xd/day Length of longest very dry period R≤1 mm
ir1xd/day Length of longest dry period R <1 mm
ir1xw/day Length of longest wet period R ≥ 1 mm
dr5/day Number of days R ≥ 5 mm
dr10 day Number of days R≥ 10
dr20/ day Number of days R≥ 20
rx1/mm Maximum daily sum
rx5/mm Maximum sum in 5 day long period
dr75gnr/day Number of days R> 75% of normal period
pdr75gnr/%Number of days R> 75% of normal period in % of wet days
r75gnr/mm Precipitation sum of days R> 75% of normal period
~95 % 99 %
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What we have What we have donedone??
Original, complemented, quality controlled and homogenized
temperature indices series and theirs trends for 15 stations
and precipitation indices series for 58 stations
1901-2007, annual and seasonal scale
and for ~10 km gridded data
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Multiple Analysis of Series for Homogenization; Szentimrey
MASH
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1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001
Siófok, Kalocsa, Miskolc; eredeti évi átlagos minimum
Siófok Kalocsa Miskolc
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1901 1911 1921 1931 1941 1951 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001
Siófok, Kalocsa, Miskolc; homogenizált évi átlagos minimum
Siófok Kalocsa Miskolc
Climate indices calculations require at least daily resolution of homogeneous time series.
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The new version MASHv3.02 (extended also for daily
precipitation data)The algorithm for daily data homogenization is as
follows:
1. Monthly values from daily data.2. MASH homogenization procedure for monthly series,
estimation of monthly inhomogeneities.3. On the basis of estimated monthly inhomogeneities,
continuous (smooth) estimation for daily inhomogeneities.4. Homogenization of daily data.5. Quality control for homogenized daily data.6. Missing daily data complementing.7. Monthly values from homogenized, controlled and
complemented daily data.8. Test of homogeneity for the new monthly series by MASH
homogenization procedure. Repeating steps if it is necessary.
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Verification of homogenization
VERIFICATION OF HOMOGENIZATION (MINIMUM)TEST STATISTICS for ANNUAL SERIES (OUTPUT of MASH)Critical value (significance level 0.05): 21.73Test Statistics Before Homogenization(TSB) Station TSB Station TSB Station TSB 5 2024.83 12 1232.54 13 843.11 10 735.77 3 644.61 15 631.40 6 617.90 1 579.59 2 496.33 7 438.06 8 390.13 11 384.80 4 317.23 14 309.52 9 99.56AVERAGE:649.69 Test Statistics After Homogenization(TSA) Station TSA Station TSA Station TSA 14 36.56 2 35.15 13 31.27 4 30.55 1 30.02 8 29.43 9 28.10 5 27.74 3 24.01 6 23.30 7 22.87 10 22.37 12 22.09 15 21.68 11 17.68AVERAGE: 26.85
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VERIFICATION OF HOMOGENIZATION (MAXIMUM)TEST STATISTICS for ANNUAL SERIES (OUTPUT of MASH)Critical value (significance level 0.05): 21.73Test Statistics Before Homogenization(TSB) Station TSB Station TSB Station TSB 12 1106.40 6 1031.97 5 488.03 8 360.65 13 314.53 7 311.95 11 284.94 10 206.09 1 158.15 14 145.63 4 135.56 2 133.73 15 130.89 9 79.72 3 46.26AVERAGE:328.97Test Statistics After Homogenization(TSA) Station TSA Station TSA Station TSA 1 60.91 7 49.90 5 44.96 2 44.82 14 34.28 8 32.99 6 31.73 9 28.31 11 25.28 10 22.59 3 21.89 13 21.44 15 21.21 4 20.36 12 19.39AVERAGE: 32.00
Verification of homogenization
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Verification of homogenization
VERIFICATION OF HOMOGENIZATION (PRECIPITATION)TEST STATISTICS for ANNUAL SERIES (OUTPUT of MASH)Critical value (significance level 0.05): 21.73Test Statistics Before Homogenization(TSB) Station TSB Station TSB Station TSB 13 175.11 10 170.34 27 137.97 17 110.87 3 81.79 20 80.32 4 76.88 18 60.28 1 59.43 ……………… 56 17.15 36 15.07 24 11.06AVERAGE: 43.10Test Statistics After Homogenization(TSA) Station TSA Station TSA Station TSA 2 66.34 18 59.33 37 54.23 58 51.60 20 51.54 51 48.02 1 44.91 44 43.98 52 43.85 ………………… 8 15.27 56 14.62 36 12.82AVERAGE: 29.13
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Quality control
Minimum temperature (1901-2007)Result of automatic Quality Control by MASHTotal number of errors: 2058Maximal positive error: 14.03Minimal negative error: -10.55Example: Túrkeve(55706), 18-19 February 1907 48101 47100 46401 58104 55706 64704 441211907 217 -9.0 -13.0 -16.4 -10.8 -15.0 -17.9 -10.501907 218 -6.0 -5.1 -10.0 -3.9 5.0 -7.2 -5.501907 219 -1.5 -2.5 -6.4 -4.6 10.6 -13.2 -0.601907 220 -1.0 -1.5 -2.4 -0.1 -0.2 -1.9 -0.40
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Quality control
Maximum temperature (1901-2007)Result of automatic Quality Control By MASHTotal number of errors: 3319Maximal positive error: 12.35Minimal negative error: -20.91Example: Kecskemét(46401), 26-31 May 1941 48101 47100 46401 58104 55706 64704 441211941 525 22.4 24.6 26.0 24.6 24.8 24.2 25.31941 526 23.9 23.8 2.4 24.0 24.0 23.8 25.61941 527 24.2 24.2 2.4 25.6 23.3 23.8 22.81941 528 26.9 26.6 2.7 28.2 26.7 25.4 27.81941 529 25.8 24.0 2.4 27.0 26.5 24.6 24.21941 530 24.7 24.6 2.5 25.5 24.0 22.4 23.81941 531 25.0 25.2 2.7 26.5 25.8 25.4 25.91941 6 1 22.1 21.5 21.0 19.7 17.6 18.8 22.8
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Quality control
Precipitation (1901-2007)Result of automatic Quality Control by MASHTotal number of errors: 854Maximal positive error: 84.0Minimal negative error: -33.4
Base period: 1961-1990
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TN10p homogenizált 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron -7.3 -6.3 -6.4Szombathely -4.5 -5.3 -6.0Keszthely -4.0 -2.8 -3.6Mosonmagyaróvár -3.8 -3.3 -3.3Siófok -7.8 -6.2 -7.7Pécs -5.4 -4.9 -5.4Baja -6.0 -3.8 -5.4Kalocsa -5.6 -1.5 -4.4Kecskemét -3.4 -2.0 -3.5Szeged -2.2 0.0 -0.5Túrkeve -5.1 -6.2 -11.4Miskolc -6.7 -3.9 -5.7Debrecen -2.5 -2.8 -5.3Nyíregyháza -6.1 -4.3 -6.1Budapest -6.2 -4.9 -6.6
TN90p homogenizált 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron 6.4 10.4 10.2Szombathely 10.0 11.8 12.2Keszthely 7.9 9.1 9.4Mosonmagyaróvár 8.6 9.0 9.3Siófok 8.0 13.8 15.4Pécs 8.1 11.5 12.2Baja 9.0 10.4 11.2Kalocsa 7.1 9.4 13.0Kecskemét 7.7 9.1 11.2Szeged 8.6 10.5 11.0Túrkeve 10.4 5.6 9.3Miskolc 8.1 9.2 12.1Debrecen 10.7 9.3 11.2Nyíregyháza 6.3 6.7 9.0Budapest 5.9 9.7 12.8
TN90p eredeti pótolt 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron 15.3 17.8 10.6Szombathely 5.8 14.4 13.8Keszthely 6.1 14.1 11.6Mosonmagyaróvár -0.2 0.0 3.8Siófok 21.0 16.5 17.4Pécs -1.2 11.8 12.4Baja 13.1 12.7 13.9Kalocsa 9.0 8.0 11.5Kecskemét -6.2 8.8 10.7Szeged -3.9 -2.5 -1.0Túrkeve 6.7 24.0 28.9Miskolc 11.6 10.9 12.1Debrecen -7.8 5.9 8.9Nyíregyháza 10.0 9.6 11.8Budapest 14.5 10.4 13.8
TN10p
original
homogenized
TN10p eredeti pótolt 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron -15.5 -11.1 -4.5Szombathely -0.5 -6.5 -6.7Keszthely -1.3 -7.6 -4.7Mosonmagyaróvár 2.3 2.6 0.4Siófok -23.9 -7.7 -8.5Pécs 1.2 -4.7 -5.2Baja -11.6 -5.4 -7.6Kalocsa -8.5 0.0 -2.7Kecskemét 5.8 -2.0 -2.9Szeged 6.1 9.4 8.2Túrkeve -1.4 -14.0 -19.4Miskolc -10.3 -5.2 -5.7Debrecen 9.6 -0.6 -3.9Nyíregyháza -9.8 -5.6 -7.3Budapest -15.7 -4.9 -6.9
original
homogenized
Base period: 1961-1990
TN90p
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1901-2007 %
-25 -15 -5 5 15 25
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
homogenizálteredeti pótolt
1961-2007 %-25 -15 -5 5 15 25
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
homogenizálteredeti pótolt
1976-2007 %-25 -15 -5 5 15 25
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
homogenizált
eredeti pótolt
The fitted linear trends to original and homogenized series
TN10p
TN10p TN10p
TN90pTN90pTN90p
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Extreme climate index calculations on gridded (interpolated) daily data
TN10p, 1961-2007
no sign.
Gridding of homogenized daily data series was carried out by method MISH (Meteorological Interpolation based on
Surface Homogenized Data Basis; Szentimrey T., Bihari Z.)
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TX10p eredeti pótolt 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron -9.4 -8.1 -10.0Szombathely -5.1 -8.2 -7.6Keszthely -6.9 -5.2 -5.7Mosonmagyaróvár -6.3 -4.4 -4.1Siófok -4.3 -4.6 -5.0Pécs -1.6 -4.5 -3.9Baja -5.3 -1.9 -2.9Kalocsa -5.7 -3.5 -7.4Kecskemét -5.8 -4.2 -5.3Szeged -8.7 -3.9 -5.7Túrkeve -11.7 2.8 -3.1Miskolc -7.3 -4.0 -6.8Debrecen -6.2 -3.1 -5.0Nyíregyháza -3.6 -2.4 -6.0Budapest -5.0 -2.6 -6.1
TX90p eredeti pótolt 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron 11.4 13.0 14.3Szombathely 9.4 12.9 12.7Keszthely 7.9 9.9 12.1Mosonmagyaróvár 5.7 10.3 10.7Siófok -0.7 11.7 13.7Pécs 2.7 10.5 9.2Baja 5.6 8.5 8.3Kalocsa 5.2 10.9 15.1Kecskemét 4.6 11.0 10.9Szeged 10.7 11.3 13.6Túrkeve 6.0 0.9 7.0Miskolc 6.5 10.0 12.0Debrecen 7.0 8.1 8.7Nyíregyháza 0.8 7.7 12.4Budapest 3.5 6.9 9.5
TX10p homogenizált 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron -5.9 -7.067 -8.9Szombathely -4.8 -5.883 -6.2Keszthely -5.1 -5.27 -5.6Mosonmagyaróvár -5.5 -5.135 -4.8Siófok -6.9 -5.995 -5.8Pécs -4.2 -3.753 -4.2Baja -5.7 -4.596 -5.7Kalocsa -4.3 -3.601 -6.6Kecskemét -5.2 -3.777 -5.7Szeged -4.2 -4.129 -4.8Túrkeve -3.6 -4.092 -8.8Miskolc -3.6 -3.045 -6.3Debrecen -4.4 -3.311 -5.2Nyíregyháza -5.7 -4.322 -6.7Budapest -5.1 -3.948 -7.8
TX90p homogenizált 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron 8.8 11.3 13.0Szombathely 8.7 10.0 10.7Keszthely 7.1 9.8 12.0Mosonmagyaróvár 5.5 11.3 12.1Siófok 2.4 12.8 14.8Pécs 5.9 9.9 9.3Baja 7.2 12.1 12.8Kalocsa 4.1 10.9 14.3Kecskemét 4.4 9.9 10.7Szeged 7.5 11.8 12.3Túrkeve 6.0 9.2 14.6Miskolc 4.0 8.5 11.2Debrecen 5.3 8.3 9.1Nyíregyháza 3.3 9.8 13.0Budapest 4.3 8.8 12.1
TX10p
TX90p
original
homogenized
original
homogenized
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1901-2007 %-25 -15 -5 5 15 25
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
homogenizálteredeti pótolt
1961-2007 %-25 -15 -5 5 15 25
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
homogenizálteredeti pótolt
1976-2007 %-25 -15 -5 5 15 25
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
Sopron
Szombathely
Keszthely
Mosonmagyaróvár
Siófok
Pécs
Baja
Kalocsa
Kecskemét
Szeged
Túrkeve
Miskolc
Debrecen
Nyíregyháza
Budapest
homogenizált
eredeti pótolt
The fitted linear trends to original and homogenized series
TX10p
TX10p
TX10p
TX90pTX90p
TX90p
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Tx10p, 1961-2007
Tx90p, 1961-2007
Trends on gridded data
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HWDI eredeti pótolt 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron 18.3 29.8 28.7Szombathely 17.8 26.3 27.5Keszthely 10.4 21.0 19.7Mosonmagyaróvár 8.1 19.8 23.9Siófok -2.9 17.2 19.2Pécs 4.2 25.1 21.8Baja 11.3 18.8 19.5Kalocsa 9.2 30.4 33.0Kecskemét 10.3 21.5 17.2Szeged 15.0 24.8 25.0Túrkeve 3.7 2.0 12.8Miskolc 7.3 22.6 24.1Debrecen 10.1 24.4 28.2Nyíregyháza 0.3 17.8 18.1Budapest 5.3 13.6 16.8
HWDI homogenizált 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron 15.4 26.7 24.8Szombathely 12.8 17.3 18.3Keszthely 11.5 21.9 20.3Mosonmagyaróvár 8.9 19.8 24.8Siófok 1.7 20.5 22.9Pécs 12.6 21.7 20.5Baja 14.3 28.3 31.4Kalocsa 7.5 28.6 30.6Kecskemét 9.8 20.8 17.2Szeged 14.8 24.6 22.1Túrkeve 6.3 12.1 23.2Miskolc 5.5 18.8 20.7Debrecen 9.7 25.1 29.3Nyíregyháza 4.1 19.9 19.7Budapest 5.5 15.4 19.1
HWDI
original homogenized
1961-2007
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Control in Climatological Databases, 26-30 Control in Climatological Databases, 26-30 May 2008 May 2008
R95pTOT R95pTOT
homogenizált 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron -0.3 3.3 6.9Fertőszentmiklós 2.1 0.3 7.3Szombathely 4.2 -0.4 0.4Felsőszölnök 3.0 -0.9 -3.1Mosonmagyaróvár -3.3 -2.7 9.3Ravazd 1.2 1.5 6.7Pér 3.3 2.5 -0.1Beled 1.7 -1.8 6.8Bakonyszentkirály 0.5 2.6 10.1Kemenesszentmárton -0.5 -3.9 4.7Kerta 1.2 -7.3 5.7Bakonybél 4.2 1.1 10.9Városlőd 0.9 -1.0 4.3Herend -3.5 -1.8 0.7Türje 0.8 -6.0 3.7Sümeg 0.7 -3.2 6.2Nagyvázsony 1.2 -2.2 3.4Keszthely -1.2 1.3 1.7Balatonkeresztúr -5.2 1.7 2.3Marcali 3.9 -0.3 6.0Mernye 8.5 1.2 6.6Iharos -6.6 -5.1 -3.0Rinyakovácsi -4.2 -1.4 -0.7Márianosztra 1.8 -2.7 7.2Kápolnásnyék -6.2 1.5 5.1Balatonalmádi -2.2 -6.0 -8.5Siófok 1.5 2.6 0.6Tab -0.9 -0.5 2.8Pincehely -0.6 4.7 19.3Tengelic 3.1 5.6 9.3Gölle -2.6 -1.8 13.5Szálka 13.3 4.0 11.0Pécs 6.5 6.1 12.2Pásztó -3.7 -2.8 3.9Budapest 1.8 1.1 4.4Tápiószele 0.4 -0.2 2.1Kecskemét-kült -0.9 3.5 6.8Kalocsa Öregcsertő 2.6 4.1 15.4Baja 1.4 4.7 14.7Felsőszentiván 6.4 3.7 14.9Miskolc -0.2 2.0 5.0Bogács -3.8 0.3 3.1Poroszló -1.7 0.4 6.9Fegyvernek -5.3 -6.3 -4.7Túrkeve 8.9 8.7 13.3Cibakháza 1.2 4.9 1.9Kunszentmárton 3.3 -2.1 3.0Kondoros 5.7 0.5 6.9Szeged 1.5 3.9 1.3Karcsa 3.2 3.1 -0.7Nyíregyháza 1.6 3.5 7.9Téglás Hadháztéglás 5.3 9.1 7.0Hajdúszoboszló 8.4 4.1 5.9Debrecen 7.7 6.2 6.5Méhkerék 9.9 8.2 -0.8Battonya 4.6 1.3 5.6Nyírmada 3.1 4.6 -0.2Vásárosnamény 7.9 0.3 3.4
eredeti pótolt 1901-2007 1961-2007 1976-2007Sopron -1.0 3.2 6.8Fertőszentmiklós 2.0 0.5 7.2Szombathely 1.3 -0.4 0.6Felsőszölnök -3.2 -0.9 -3.1Mosonmagyaróvár -1.5 -2.1 9.9Ravazd -2.8 1.6 6.8Pér 3.1 3.6 0.0Beled 2.1 -0.9 8.1Bakonyszentkirály 2.0 2.8 10.3Kemenesszentmárton 2.3 -5.5 4.2Kerta 0.7 -7.3 5.6Bakonybél 4.1 1.3 11.0Városlőd 4.1 3.9 6.0Herend -2.7 -1.9 0.6Türje 0.5 -6.1 3.6Sümeg 0.6 -3.2 6.0Nagyvázsony -2.8 -2.3 3.4Keszthely -0.8 1.8 1.0Balatonkeresztúr -4.1 2.4 3.0Marcali 5.8 -0.3 6.1Mernye 8.4 1.2 7.3Iharos -6.9 -5.1 -3.0Rinyakovácsi -4.7 -1.2 -0.5Márianosztra 1.8 -2.6 7.3Kápolnásnyék -6.7 1.5 5.1Balatonalmádi -3.9 -7.9 -8.4Siófok 0.8 2.2 0.4Tab -0.6 1.0 3.6Pincehely -0.6 4.5 19.3Tengelic 4.5 6.1 9.8Gölle -1.6 -2.1 13.5Szálka 13.7 4.2 11.1Pécs 5.0 6.1 12.0Pásztó -0.7 -2.4 4.4Budapest 1.6 1.1 4.2Tápiószele 0.7 0.0 2.6Kecskemét-kült -1.0 4.0 7.8Kalocsa Öregcsertő 2.4 3.8 14.3Baja 1.3 4.2 14.9Felsőszentiván 5.7 2.2 15.0Miskolc 0.4 1.4 5.5Bogács -3.9 0.3 3.1Poroszló 0.4 0.0 3.0Fegyvernek -5.4 -7.2 -4.6Túrkeve 8.8 8.8 13.5Cibakháza 0.5 4.9 1.9Kunszentmárton 4.2 -2.2 3.2Kondoros 5.5 0.9 7.6Szeged 1.1 4.6 2.1Karcsa 2.5 3.4 -1.9Nyíregyháza 1.2 3.5 7.7Téglás Hadháztéglás 3.0 9.5 7.3Hajdúszoboszló 7.7 4.2 6.0Debrecen 7.2 6.7 6.8Méhkerék 11.1 8.2 -1.0Battonya 4.5 1.3 5.7Nyírmada 3.0 4.6 -0.2Vásárosnamény 7.6 1.5 3.4
PrecipitatioPrecipitationn
Meteorológiai szélsőségek és várható Meteorológiai szélsőségek és várható alakulásuk a Kárpát-medencében, 2008. alakulásuk a Kárpát-medencében, 2008.
május 20. május 20.
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R95pTOT 1961-2007R95pTOT 1961-2007
Meteorológiai szélsőségek és várható Meteorológiai szélsőségek és várható alakulásuk a Kárpát-medencében, 2008. alakulásuk a Kárpát-medencében, 2008.
május 20. május 20.
2222
p=0.9 significance level 1961-2007p=0.9 significance level 1961-2007
Meteorológiai szélsőségek és várható Meteorológiai szélsőségek és várható alakulásuk a Kárpát-medencében, 2008. alakulásuk a Kárpát-medencében, 2008.
május 20. május 20.
2323
p=0.8 significance level R95pTOT, 1961-2007 p=0.8 significance level R95pTOT, 1961-2007
Meeting of COST-ES0601 (HOME) and 6th Meeting of COST-ES0601 (HOME) and 6th Seminar for Homogenization and Quality Seminar for Homogenization and Quality
Control in Climatological Databases, 26-30 Control in Climatological Databases, 26-30 May 2008 May 2008
1901-2007 %-10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0
Sopron
Fertőszentmiklós
Szombathely
Felsőszölnök
Mosonmagyaróvár
Ravazd
Pér
Beled
Bakonyszentkirály
Kemenesszentmárton
Kerta
Bakonybél
Városlőd
Herend
Türje
Sümeg
Nagyvázsony
Keszthely
Balatonkeresztúr
Marcali
Mernye
Iharos
Rinyakovácsi
Márianosztra
Kápolnásnyék
Balatonalmádi
Siófok
Tab
Pincehely
Tengelic
Gölle
Szálka
Pécs
Pásztó
Budapest
Tápiószele
Kecskemét-kült
Kalocsa Öregcsertő
Baja
Felsőszentiván
Miskolc
Bogács
Poroszló
Fegyvernek
Túrkeve
Cibakháza
Kunszentmárton
Kondoros
Szeged
Karcsa
Nyíregyháza
Téglás Hadháztéglás
Hajdúszoboszló
Debrecen
Méhkerék
Battonya
Nyírmada
Vásárosnamény
homogenizált
eredeti
1961-2007 %-10.0 -8.0 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
Sopron
Fertőszentmiklós
Szombathely
Felsőszölnök
Mosonmagyaróvár
Ravazd
Pér
Beled
Bakonyszentkirály
Kemenesszentmárton
Kerta
Bakonybél
Városlőd
Herend
Türje
Sümeg
Nagyvázsony
Keszthely
Balatonkeresztúr
Marcali
Mernye
Iharos
Rinyakovácsi
Márianosztra
Kápolnásnyék
Balatonalmádi
Siófok
Tab
Pincehely
Tengelic
Gölle
Szálka
Pécs
Pásztó
Budapest
Tápiószele
Kecskemét-kült
Kalocsa Öregcsertő
Baja
Felsőszentiván
Miskolc
Bogács
Poroszló
Fegyvernek
Túrkeve
Cibakháza
Kunszentmárton
Kondoros
Szeged
Karcsa
Nyíregyháza
Téglás Hadháztéglás
Hajdúszoboszló
Debrecen
Méhkerék
Battonya
Nyírmada
Vásárosnamény
homogenizált
eredeti
1976-2007 %-10.0 -5.0 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0
Sopron
Fertőszentmiklós
Szombathely
Felsőszölnök
Mosonmagyaróvár
Ravazd
Pér
Beled
Bakonyszentkirály
Kemenesszentmárton
Kerta
Bakonybél
Városlőd
Herend
Türje
Sümeg
Nagyvázsony
Keszthely
Balatonkeresztúr
Marcali
Mernye
Iharos
Rinyakovácsi
Márianosztra
Kápolnásnyék
Balatonalmádi
Siófok
Tab
Pincehely
Tengelic
Gölle
Szálka
Pécs
Pásztó
Budapest
Tápiószele
Kecskemét-kült
Kalocsa Öregcsertő
Baja
Felsőszentiván
Miskolc
Bogács
Poroszló
Fegyvernek
Túrkeve
Cibakháza
Kunszentmárton
Kondoros
Szeged
Karcsa
Nyíregyháza
Téglás Hadháztéglás
Hajdúszoboszló
Debrecen
Méhkerék
Battonya
Nyírmada
Vásárosnamény
homogenizált
eredeti
The fitted linear trends to original and homogenized series
Meeting of COST-ES0601 (HOME) and 6th Meeting of COST-ES0601 (HOME) and 6th Seminar for Homogenization and Quality Seminar for Homogenization and Quality
Control in Climatological Databases, 26-30 Control in Climatological Databases, 26-30 May 2008 May 2008
ConclusionConclusion
Extreme climate indices calculations for detection of climate change require good quality, homogeneous time series
In many cases the characteristics of the estimated linear trends are unambiguously unlike on the original and homogenized time series
Thank you for your attention!Thank you for your attention!
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