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Page 1: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Carsten Rahbek, PhDPatterns of Diversity

Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Ryan BurnerCommunity Ecology

23 April 2013

scholar.google.com

Page 2: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Education

University of Copenhagen, Denmark, Biology, B.Sc., 1988

University of Wisconsin, USA, visiting graduate student, 1990 - 1991

University of Copenhagen, Denmark, Zoology, M.Sc., 1992

Smithsonian Institution, NMNH, Research Fellow 1993 - 1995

University of Copenhagen, Denmark, Biogeography, PhD, 1995

Page 3: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

AppointmentsCurrently: Professor and Director, Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate at University of Copenhagen andPresident-Elect, International Biogeography Society

2005-present. Full Professor, Department of Biology, Univ. of Copenhagen, Denmark;

2001-2005. Professor MSO, Zoological Museum, Univ. of Copenhagen, Denmark;

1995-2005. Head of the Copenhagen Bird Ringing Centre & Curator of Birds;

1998-2001. Associate Professor, Zoological Museum, Univ. of Copenhagen, Denmark;

1995-1998. Assistant Professor, Zoological Museum, Univ. of Copenhagen, Denmark.

http://blog.ujjvalpanchal.com/

Page 4: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Research Interests

• Patterns of species distribution, species range sizes, species assemblages, species richness

and• Mechanisms that determine these patterns– “contemporary and historical factors or perhaps

also just a bit of chance”

“Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate”Shahid Naeem; http://macroecology.ku.dk/

Page 5: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Early Work

• A survey of the montane forest avifauna of the Loja province, southern Ecuador; 1991. H. Bloch, M. K. Poulsen, C. Rahbek, J. F. Rasmussen

• Lista de aves del Parque Nacional Podocarpus 1992. J. F. Rasmussen, M. K. Poulsen, C. Rahbek, H. Bloch

• Avian body weights from southern Equador 1993. C. Rahbek, H. Bloch, M. K. Poulsen, J. F. Rasmussen

Orange-headed Tanagerwikipedia.com

Page 6: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

• The elevational gradient of species richness: a uniform pattern? 1995. C. Rahbek– 493 citations, beginning of a major theme in his work

• The relationship among area, elevation, and regional species richness in neotropical birds 1997. C. Rahbek

biogeography.org

Species Richness, Gradients, Patterns, and Mechanisms

Page 7: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

• The functional biogeography of species: biogeographical species roles of birds in Wallacea and the West Indies 2013. D. W. Carstensen, B. Dalsgaard, J. C. Svenning, C. Rahbek, J. Fjeldså, W. J. Sutherland, J. M. Olesen

• The role of mountain ranges in the diversification of birds 2012. J. Fjeldså, R. C. K. Bowie, C. Rahbek

• Dispersion fields, diversity fields and null models: uniting range sizes and species richness 2010. M. K. Borregaard, C. Rahbek

• Predicting continental-scale patterns of bird species richness with spatially explicit models 2007. C. Rahbek, N. J. Gotelli, R. K. Colwell, G. L. Entsminger, T. Rangel, G. R. Graves

• s

Species Richness, Gradients, Patterns, and Mechanisms

J. Fjeldså N. Sanders w/ CR G. Graves R. Colwell N. Gotelli

Page 8: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Conservation and Biogeography

• Species richness and endemism in South American birds: implications for the design of networks of nature reserves 1997. J. Fjeldså, C. Rahbek

• Continent-wide conservation priorities and diversification processes 1998. J. Fjeldså, C. Rahbek

• Priorities for conservation in Bolivia, illustrated by a continent-wide analysis of bird distributions 1998. J. Fjeldså, C. Rahbek

• Conserving biodiversity in a world of conflicts 2007. M. B. Araújo, C Rahbek

x

Holt et al. 2012

Page 9: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Holt et al. (2012)

Redrawing Wallace’s Eco-regions

by Taxa,using Phylogenetic

Relationships

Page 10: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Recent Focus

• On “the effect of climate change, the role of scale and conceptual formulation, and practical design of null- and predictive models that allow direct testing of hypotheses related to patterns of diversity”

• Views his theoretical work as informing conservation priority setting and hypothesis testing

Page 11: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Effects of Climate Change on Species Diversity

• Habitat stability affects dispersal and the ability to track climate change 2012. C. Hof, M. Brändle, D. M. Dehling, M. Munguía, R. Brandl, M. B. Araújo, C. Rahbek

• Using species co occurrence networks to assess the impacts of climate ‐change 2011. M. B. Araújo, A. Rozenfeld, C. Rahbek, P. A. Marquet

• Additive threats from pathogens, climate and land-use change for global amphibian diversity 2011. C. Hof, M. B. Araújo, W. Jetz, C. Rahbek

Page 12: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Habitat Stability, Dispersal,

and the ability to trackClimate Change

Hof et al. 2012

Page 13: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Elevational Gradients in Species Diversity

• A major recurring theme in Carsten Rahbek’s research, and my focus for the rest of this presentation

Page 14: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Gradients in Species Diversity• The patterns and causes of elevational diversity gradients 2012. N. J. Sanders, C. Rahbek

• Contrasting patterns of phylogenetic assemblage structure along the elevational gradient for major hummingbird clades 2011. J. L. Parra, C. Rahbek, J. A. McGuire, C. H. Graham

• Elevational zonation of afrotropical forest bird communities along a homogeneous forest gradient 2009. T. S. Romdal, C. Rahbek

• Scale effects and human impact on the elevational species richness gradients 2008. D. Nogués-Bravo, M. B. Araújo, T. Romdal, C. Rahbek

• The Mid Domain Effect: There’s a Baby in the Bathwater‐ 2005. R. K. Colwell, C Rahbek, NJ Gotelli

• The Mid Domain Effect and Species Richness Patterns: What Have We Learned So Far? ‐ 2004 R. K. Colwell, C. Rahbek, N. J. Gotelli

Page 15: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Marine Fish Species by Latitude

From Rohde (1978) and Rohde (1993), combined in Rohde (2011)

Latitudinal Gradients in Species Diversity

• One of the ‘most universal biogeographic patterns’

PacificAtlantic

Page 16: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Latitudinal and Elevational Gradients

Similarities

-Generally declining diversity-Generally declining temperatures-Generally declining vegetation cover and primary productivity

Differences

-Seasonality-Location of humidity peak-Scale-Replication

Page 17: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

What Pattern? A First Question

From Rahbek (1995)From Rahbek (1995)

Page 18: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

The Richness/Elevation RelationshipLocally

From Rahbek (1995), citing Terborgh (1977)

Raw Data Standardized

Page 19: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

The Richness/Elevation RelationshipContinent Wide

Raw Data Standardized

From Rahbek (1995)

Page 20: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Simple Models of

Observed Distributions

Rahbek (1997)

Page 21: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Models predicting a monotonic declineMonotonic Richness/

Productivity

Rahbek (1997)

Rapoport’s ‘Rule’

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Models predicting a hump-shaped distribution

Rahbek (1997)

Hump-shaped Species/ Productivity relationship

Page 23: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Rahbek (1997)

Models predicting a hump-shaped distribution

Bounded Random Geographical Ranges

Page 24: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Simple Models of

Observed Distributions

Rahbek (1997)

Page 25: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Sampling Effects: multiple draws from the same data set

Rang

e of

Ele

vatio

nal

Grad

ient

(m)

Spatial Grain Size (km^2)Rahbek (2008)

Page 26: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Sampling Effects: multiple draws fro the same data set

Rang

e of

Ele

vatio

nal

Grad

ient

(m)

Spatial Grain Size (km^2)Rahbek (2008)

Page 27: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Sampling Effects: multiple draws from the same data set

Spatial Grain Size (km^2)

1 25 81

Rang

e of

Ele

vatio

nal

Grad

ient

(m)

Rahbek (2008)

Page 28: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Worldwide Average Human Impact by Elevation

Percent Original Vegetation Human Impact Index

Rahbek (2008)

Page 29: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Proposed Mechanisms

• Some of the most frequently tested:– climate and productivity – source-sink dynamics– mass and area effects– disturbance– geometric factors– evolutionary history– competition

N. J. Sanders and C. Rahbek (2012)

Page 30: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

Thanks

science.ku.dk

Page 31: Carsten Rahbek, PhD Patterns of Diversity Yesterday, Today, and Tomorrow

For Future ReferenceColwell, R. K., et al. (2004). "The Mid Domain Effect and Species Richness Patterns: What Have We Learned So Far?" ‐ The American Naturalist 163(3): E1-E23.

Colwell, R. K., et al. (2005). "The Mid Domain Effect: There’s a Baby in the Bathwater." ‐ The American Naturalist 166(5): E149-E154.

Hof, C., et al. (2012). "Habitat stability affects dispersal and the ability to track climate change." Biology letters 8(4): 639-643.

Holt, B. G., et al. (2013). "An Update of Wallace’s Zoogeographic Regions of the World." Science 339(6115): 74-78.

Nogués-Bravo, D., et al. (2008). "Scale effects and human impact on the elevational species richness gradients." Nature 453(7192): 216-219.

Rahbek, C. (1995). "The elevational gradient of species richness: a uniform pattern?" Ecography 18(2): 200-205.

Rahbek, C. (1997). "The relationship among area, elevation, and regional species richness in neotropical birds." The American Naturalist 149(5): 875-902.

Rohde, Klaus (2011). Latitudinal Gradients in Species Diversity: Why are there so many species in the tropics? [Internet]. Version 1. Clinical Sciences. Available from: http://clinicalsciences.wordpress.com/article/latitudinal-gradients-in-species-xk923bc3gp4-56/.

Sanders, N. J. and C. Rahbek (2012). "The patterns and causes of elevational diversity gradients." Ecography 35(1): 1-3.