Download - Building development trajectories

Transcript
Page 1: Building development trajectories

Building Development TrajectoriesJeremy Gibberd

Jeremy Gibberd

Jeremy Gibberd

http://sfari.org/news-and-opinion/news/2012/long-term-studies-chart-autisms-different-trajectories

Page 2: Building development trajectories

Structure

• Trajectories: natural, accidental, intentional

• Sustainable development trajectories • Building development trajectories

Page 3: Building development trajectories
Page 4: Building development trajectories

Electron trajectories

http://www.cstl.nist.gov/div837/837.02/epq/Example1.html

Page 5: Building development trajectories

http://nadp.sws.uiuc.edu/fukushima/

Radioactive trajectories

Page 6: Building development trajectories

http://tracmass.org/

Ocean current trajectories

Page 7: Building development trajectories

Sound trajectories in space

http://dvlpt.gmem.free.fr/web/static.php?page=HoloEdit_main

Page 8: Building development trajectories

http://sfari.org/news-and-opinion/news/2012/long-term-studies-chart-autisms-different-trajectories

Growth trajectories

Page 9: Building development trajectories

Sendagire I, Schim Van der Loeff M, Mubiru M, Konde-Lule J, et al. (2010) Long Delays and Missed Opportunities in Diagnosing Smear-Positive Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Kampala, Uganda: A Cross-Sectional Study. PLoS ONE 5(12): e14459. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0014459http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0014459

Patients' trajectories through the health system

Page 10: Building development trajectories

Income per capita trajectories

Page 11: Building development trajectories

Chris Martin

Building development trajectories?

Page 12: Building development trajectories

Building development trajectories?

Page 13: Building development trajectories

Building development trajectories?

Page 14: Building development trajectories

Building development trajectories?

Page 15: Building development trajectories

Chris Martin

Building development trajectories?

Page 16: Building development trajectories

http://www.masdar.ae/

Building development trajectories?

Page 17: Building development trajectories

Carbon concentration trajectories

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/

Page 18: Building development trajectories

Carbon emission trajectories

http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/syr/en/figure-5-1.html

Page 19: Building development trajectories

Slum population trajectories expected to be 889 million by 2020. HABITAT)

Global Urban Observatory, UNHABITAT 2005

Page 20: Building development trajectories

Development of the SBAT

WWF 2006

National developmenttrajectories

USAHungary

South Africa

Page 21: Building development trajectories

Built Environment Sustainability Capability• Ecological Footprint Capability (EFC): Is a measure of the

extent to which the built environment is configured and includes the characteristics required to support the achievement of Ecological Footprint targets.

• Human Development Capability (HDC): Is a measure of the extent to which the built environment is configured for includes the characteristics required to support the achievement of Human Development targets

• Built Environment Sustainability Capability (BESC): (EFC + HDC) / 2

Page 22: Building development trajectories

Built Environment Sustainability Capability Measurement

Ecological• Shelter• Mobility• Goods• Services• Waste• Biocapacity

Human Development• Health• Knowledge• Employment

Page 23: Building development trajectories

Built Environment Sustainability Capability Measurement: Elements of the BEST tool

Assessment criteria

‘Existing’ performance

‘Proposed’ performance

Options evaluation

Congruence and resilience

‘Existing’ and ‘Proposed’ sustainability performance and difference

Page 24: Building development trajectories

Pretoria, South Africa

D

A

B

C

Page 25: Building development trajectories

A: Rietfontein

0.001.002.003.004.005.000.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

Human Development Capability

Ecol

ogica

l Foo

tprin

t Cap

abili

ty

Recycling schemeEnergy efficiency and renewablesPublic transport / pedestrian upgradeHome business / densification

Existing ProposedECFC Ecological Footprint Capability 2.80 3.73HDIC Human Development Capabilty 2.82 3.49BESC Built Environment Sustainability Capability 2.81 3.61

Built Environment Sustainability Capability

Page 26: Building development trajectories

B: Sunnyside

0.001.002.003.004.005.000.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

Human Development Capability

Ecol

ogica

l Foo

tprin

t Cap

abili

ty

Energy efficiency & renewablesUrban greeningPedestrian & NMT upgradesBusiness incubators

Existing ProposedECFC Ecological Footprint Capability 3.20 3.98HDIC Human Development Capabilty 3.80 4.24BESC Built Environment Sustainability Capability 3.50 4.11

Built Environment Sustainability Capability

Page 27: Building development trajectories

C: Attridgeville

0.001.002.003.004.005.000.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

Human Development Capability

Ecol

ogica

l Foo

tprin

t Cap

abili

ty

Building envelope upgrades Non motorised transportSchools with ICTFood gardens

Existing ProposedECFC Ecological Footprint Capability 1.12 2.61HDIC Human Development Capabilty 0.89 2.53BESC Built Environment Sustainability Capability 1.01 2.57

Built Environment Sustainability Capability

Page 28: Building development trajectories

D: Moikloof

0.001.002.003.004.005.000.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

Human Development Capability

Ecol

ogica

l Foo

tprin

t Cap

abili

ty

Energy efficiency and renewablesRecycling schemeHome enterprise schemeLocal mixed market

Existing ProposedECFC Ecological Footprint Capability 1.30 3.73HDIC Human Development Capabilty 1.07 3.49BESC Built Environment Sustainability Capability 1.18 3.61

Built Environment Sustainability Capability

Page 29: Building development trajectories

ConclusionsBuilding development trajectories, a useful concept:

• Demonstrates need to understand existing situation and develop responsive approaches

• If combined with appropriate tool and processes, enables:

• Assessment of capability for sustainability of existing built environments

• Sustainability capability targets to be set• Development, and testing, of options to achieve

targets• Development of local ‘sustainability plans’ which set

out linked actions to efficiently improve local capability for sustainability

Page 30: Building development trajectories

Further information: www.sustainablebuiltenvironments.com