Download - Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions end Q1 2011.

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Page 1: Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions end Q1 2011.

Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions

end Q1 2011

Page 2: Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions end Q1 2011.

(1) Recap from previous Autocall piece

(2) Do Autocalls look attractive?

Rates

Vols

Secondary Market

(3) Long-term Autocall trends

(4) Summary of Autocall structures traded

Page 3: Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions end Q1 2011.

(1) Recap from previous Autocall piece

•Pricing of autocalls should be taken in context of rates

•Expected life of most autocalls – take prevailing 2-Year Swap Rate

•Sensitivity of Coupon to rates

•Volatility – Are VIX and 12M implied Vol relevant measures to Autocalls?

•Yields of Other Asset Classes and Macro Correlations

Page 4: Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions end Q1 2011.

(2) Do Autocalls look attractive?

•Volumes of Autocalls

•Performance: Absolute and Relative

•Absolute Return Funds

•Investor mark-to-market experience

•Two broad investor types:

- around 8% and low autocall barriers

- those looking for 10% plus

Page 5: Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions end Q1 2011.

(2)...RatesRecap from last Autocall analysisexcellent absolute and relative performance

Page 6: Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions end Q1 2011.

(2)...VolatilityRecap from last Autocall analysisexcellent absolute and relative performance

Page 7: Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions end Q1 2011.

(2)...Secondary MarketRecap from last Autocall analysisexcellent absolute and relative performance

Page 8: Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions end Q1 2011.

(3) Long-term Autocall trendsRecap from last Autocall analysisexcellent absolute and relative performance

Page 9: Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions end Q1 2011.

(4) Summary of Autocall structures tradedRecap from last Autocall analysisexcellent absolute and relative performance

Page 10: Autocallables in Context of Market Conditions end Q1 2011.

Any Questions?