100% Internet Access:
Balancing Risk and Reward
Steve Song@stevesong iWeek 2013
iWeek 2009
iWeek 2011
Cape Town TVWS Pilot
Stages of Truth
1. This is worthless nonsense (2009)
2. This is an interesting, but perverse, point of view (2011)
3. This is true, but quite unimportant (2013)
4. I always said so. (2014?)
J. B. S. Haldane (1892-1964)
Predictability
2009
African Undersea Cables
2014
On PredictabilityPreviously Unimportant
Mobile phones
WiFi
Mobile Broadband
Tablets
Dynamic Spectrum
Previously Important
WiMax
ISDN
ATM
Antifragility
Nassim NicolasTaleb
The opposite of fragile is not
tough or robust or
bulletproof. It is something
that grows stronger when
stressed.
Antifragile
So what kinds of things are Antifragile?
Netflix isAnti-
fragile
The Unlicensed Antifragile Ecosystem
Distribution of Android smartphone-originated traffic across cellular and Wi-Fi networks, Jan 2013
Wi-Fi delivers over three-quarters of all UK smartphone data
Maslow’sHierarchyOf Needs(revised)
Skin in the game
Influence and Personal Risk – a Disconnect
"At no point in history have so
many non-risk-takers,
that is, those with no personal
exposure, exerted so much control."-- Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Shuttleworth FoundationFellowship
“skin in the
game”
Predictability
Antifragility
Skin in the game
Imag
e C
r ed i
ts
Prism, Dawn Light Sanctuary by Ingrid Truemperhttp://www.flickr.com/photos/ingridt/5551456055/BY SA
Telephone Box by Vissagohttp://www.flickr.com/photos/vissago/4249091962/BY NC
Antenna Setup by Razvan Calimanhttp://www.flickr.com/photos/tsk/2760922792/#BY
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Reserved ParkingLicensed from iStockPhotohttp://www.istockphoto.com
Cat skeleton by Jeremy Yoderhttps://secure.flickr.com/photos/jbyoder/3922970655/BY NC
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SAA A340 by Aero Icarushttps://secure.flickr.com/photos/46423105@N03/6091150164/BY SA
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