A DAPTIVE MANAGEMENT: S TRATEGIES FOR COPING WITH CHANGE AND
UNCERTAINTY J. BRIAN NYBERG FRST 532 COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEM,
GLOBAL CHANGE SCIENCE AND ECOLOGICAL SUSTAINABILITY
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OUTLINE Definition Goals Adaptive Management Process Key points
Question
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The world is changing, WE ALSO Many uncertainties, continual
changes in societal and environmental values
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ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT IS ONE WAY TO COPE WITH THIS CHANGING WORLD
BUT WHAT IS ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT ?
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ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT is a process for improving policies and
practices by managing system( ecological, administrative and other)
so as to produce desired outputs and learn about the systems
dynamics and responses. DEFINITION it is also a systematic
management paradigm that assumes natural resource management
policies and actions are not static, but are adjusted based on the
combination of new scientific and socio-economic information.
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Adaptive management is widely recommended as a valuable method
for managing resources in the face of change and uncertainty.
-Forest Management -Water Management -wildlife Management
-Environmental impact Management Uncertainty is always present in
natural resource management
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System Analysis Social learning Experimental design Decision
analyses Feedback dynamics ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT An integrative
approach with a focus on
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G OAL Inform managers of the probable consequences of decisions
they will make in the future, so management programs will be more
likely to achieve societys goals and objectives.
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PROCESS
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Assess the problem : management objectives, indicatorsof
success, options for action, assumptions, key uncertainties,
alternative hypotheses Design : Design actions to test hypotheses;
predict outcomes based on current knowledge Implement: Implement
the actions as designed
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Monitor: Monitor implementation (is there any deviation from
the design?) and effectiveness (were the objectives achieved?)
Evaluate: Evaluate outcomes and learn : which actions were most
effective, and which hypotheses to accept / reject? Adjust: Adjust
future decision ; revise uncertainties and hypotheses and repeat;
share what has been learned
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K EY POINTS, 1 ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT ACKNOWLEDGES UNCERTAINTY
ABOUT HOW NATURAL RESOURCE SYSTEM FUNCTION AND HOW THEY RESPOND TO
MANAGEMENT ACTION.
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ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT IS DESIGNED TO IMPROVE UNDERSTANDING OF HOW
A RESOURCE SYSTEM WORKS, SO AS TO ACHIEVE MANAGEMENT OBJECTIVES. K
EY POINTS, 2
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ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT MAKES USE OF MANAGEMENT INTERVENTIONS AND
FOLLOWUP MONITORING TO PROMOTE UNDERSTANDING AND IMPROVE SUBSEQUENT
DECISION MAKING. K EY POINTS, 3
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9xm3cUsY7k 14minutes video on
Adaptive Management
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THANK YOU
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QUESTIONS D O A DAPTIVE M ANAGEMENT IS SUFFICIENT TO COPE WITH
THE CHANGING WORLD AND ITS UNCERTAINTIES GIVING THE FACT THAT
HUMANS PHILOSOPHY .?