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Report of the International Commission on the 2012Population and Housing Census of Chile
2 September 22 November 2013
Roberto Bianchini
Griffith Feeney
Rajendra Singh
Summary of ContentsLi t of acronym and abbreviation1! "ntrod#ction2! $ethodo%ogy3! &reparatory 'or( )! Fie%d operation*! +ata proce ing,! -en # prod#ct and ervice .! &o t/en#meration #rvey
! +emographic e #ation e timate! Samp%ing of non/re ponding ho# ing #nit
10! Ne t pop#%ation and ho# ing cen #11! -onc%# ion and recommendation
4nne 1! &er on met4nne 2! Li t of -om#na for "N5 Regiona% +irector4nne 3! "nternationa% -ommi ion re #e t to regiona% office4nne )! S#mmary of the optica% character reading proce4nne *! "mp#tation of occ#pied ho# ing #nit 'ith non/re ponding inhabitant
4nne ,! -o#nt of ho# ing #nit and per on for Bio Bio fie%d vi it 544nne .! 6ype of en#meration in cen # e of Latin 4merica and the -aribbean
List of Acronyms and Abbre iations-5L4+5 Latin 4merican 7 -aribbean +emographic -entre / 5-L4-54 5n#meration area 8cen # ector95- 5 terna% -ommi ion"- "nternationa% -ommi ion"N5 Nationa% "n tit#te of Stati tic of -hi%e:N :nited Nation
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Report of the "- on the 2012 &op#%ation and ;o# ing -en # of -hi%e Fina% n 2, 4pri% 2013= fo%%o'ing p#b%ic a%%egation of inappropriate proce ing of the cen #data= the chairman of "N5 #bmitted hi re ignation! >n 2 4pri%= ?#an 5! -oeyman
became chairman of "N5! >n 2 $ay= p#b%ication of cen # re #%t that had been p%aced onthe "N5 'eb ite 'ere removed from ite!
>n $ay "N5 appointed an 5 terna% -ommi ion to inve tigate the i #e rai ed in thepre ! 6he 5 terna% -ommi ion de%ivered it report=Informe final Comisin Externa Revisoradel CENSO 2012 = on . 4#g# t 2013! 6he report i avai%ab%e on the "N5 'eb ite8'''!cen o!c%Cinforme fina%!pdf= vi ited 11/Nov/20139!>n 23 4#g# t 2013 "N5 appointed an "nternationa% -ommi ion to f#rther inve tigatecen # i #e ! 6he -ommi ion 'a compo ed of three independent internationa% e perton pop#%ation and ho# ing cen # e ! 6he e pert carried o#t the 'or( 'itho#t anyinterference from "N5 and from any other in tit#tion or per on! 6hi i the report of the"nternationa% -ommi ion!
"nternationa% -ommi ion member vi ited Santiago three time d#ring September/November 2013 and made fie%d vi it in 4ntofaga ta and Biobio region = and in Santiago$etropi%itana!
6he fo%%o'ing ection de cribe the methodo%ogy 'e fo%%o'ed to arrive at o#r conc%# ionand recommendation !
Section 3/. di c# pha e of the 2012 cen # activity in chrono%ogica% order!
Section di c# e demographic ana%y i for cen # eva%#ation!
Section di c# e matter pertinent to p%anning the ne t pop#%ation and ho# ing cen # !
Section 10 #mmariEe and e tend the conc%# ion and recommendation made inpreceding ection !
2# $ethodology
2#1# Introduction6hi ection de cribe the methodo%ogy # ed by the "nternationa% -ommi ion! 4dditiona%detai% on methodo%ogy i provided in evera% #b e #ent ection !
6he :nited Nation Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housin Censuses 8f#%%reference in ection 2!11 be%o'9 tate that cen # eva%#ation ho#%d inc%#de a e ment
of cen # operation H a 'e%% a eva%#ation of cen # re #%t 8paragraph 1!3 19!
6hi report foc# e main%y on eva%#ation of cen # p%anning= proce e and operation adetai%ed in -hapter ""= """ and < of the Principles and Recommendations!
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Report of the "- on the 2012 &op#%ation and ;o# ing -en # of -hi%e Fina% n the ba i of the re #%t of the map #pdating and ho# ing %i ting= en#meration area854 9 'ere demarcated to contain appro imate%y 12/1* ho# ing #nit ! 54 'eredemarcated according to the origina% p%an for a de facto cen # = fo%%o'ing the criteria thatone en#merator co#%d have intervie'ed one 54 in one day!
)#,# Production of census maps
"N5 Regiona% >ffice organiEed and #pervi ed map #pdating activitie and the co%%ectionof data on ho# ing #nit d#ring the pre/cen # pha e! 6he #pdated map and data onho# ing #nit 'ere then digitiEed and cen # map prepared for each en#meration area=identified by the #ni #e portafo%io n#mber! Fig#re )!1 and Fig! )!2 ho' i%%# trative 54map for #rban and r#ra% area = re pective%y!
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Report of the "- on the 2012 &op#%ation and ;o# ing -en # of -hi%e Fina% $R9 and inte%%igent character recognition 8"-R9 oft'are to the
canned image !6he o#tp#t of thi initia% tage of proce ing i a comp#ter databa e of cen #
#e tionnaire containing 8a9 image of the canned #e tionnaire and 8b9 fi%e containinga record for each #e tionnaire ho'ing the character prod#ced by the >$RC"-R
oft'are!
-omp#ter a i ted coding of #e tionnaire te t matter 8 #ch a com#na and co#ntry of birth9 'a incorporated into data capt#re= o the o#tp#t data ba e inc%#de code 8com#naand co#ntry code = for e amp%e9 a 'e%% a the o#rce te t matter!
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Report of the "- on the 2012 &op#%ation and ;o# ing -en # of -hi%e Fina% ne i that no per on for 'hom no mar(indicating one of the three code 'a born in -hi%e! "n thi ca e the denominator of themi ing va%#e rate i the n#mber of per on for 'hom code 3= "n another co#ntryH= ichec(ed!
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Report of the "- on the 2012 &op#%ation and ;o# ing -en # of -hi%e Fina% '5ee0# [)!!b] *%62+ $isabilit.>Mental [)!!0] *%624 $isabilit.>?earing [)!!d] *%626 $isabilit.>'ig#t [)!!e] *%62 Marital 'tatus [)!-] *%42& "elations#i5 'tatus [)!+] 1%!!* )m5lo.ment 'ituation [)!4] *%&!1 )m5lo.ment 'tatus [)!6] *%!>1% 3
!2 Comuna o8 @ork/'tud. [)! ] 1,&3!! "eligion [)!&] *%&!- C#ildren );er 9orn [)-*] 1!+ C#ildren 'ur;i;ing [)-1] >!4 Mont# o8 =ast 9irt# [)-2a] >!6 ear o8 =ast 9irt# [)-2b] >
ote $
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Report of the "- on the 2012 &op#%ation and ;o# ing -en # of -hi%e Fina% cc#pied ho# ing #nit = re pon e
>cc#pied ho# ing #nit = no re pon e
:nocc#pied ho# ing #nit
&er on
forR= +ata received from the regiona% office
and for the fo%%o'ing data received from the "N5 data proce ing taff in Santiago!
+1 +ata prod#ced by the proce de cribed in #b/ ection *!,! 4t thi tage the cen #data ha been proce ed #fficient%y to a%%o' con tr#ction of record for per on =ho# eho%d and ho# ing #nit = b#t no editing for incon i tencie bet'een variab%e ormi ing va%#e for variab%e ha been done!
+2 +ata after editing for incon i tencie and mi ing va%#e ! 6hi proce 'i%% not # #a%%ychange the n#mber of ho# ing #nit or the n#mber of per on !
+( +ata after imp#tation of ho# eho%d and per on to non/re ponding ho# eho%d ! 6hiproce convert non/re ponding ho# ing #nit to re ponding ho# ing #nit = o then#mber of re ponding #nit = and the n#mber of per on = 'i%% increa e if there are anynon/re ponding ho# ing #nit in the en#meration area!
+) +ata after imp#tation on #nen#merated ho# ing #nit ! 6hi 'i%% change the n#mber ofho# ing #nit and the n#mber of per on 'henever a ho# ing #nit not ob erved d#ringfie%d 'or( i imp#ted to the en#meration area!
4 an e amp%e= for the en#meration area 'ith portafo%io code2&+4&+
= %ocated in 6om com#na of -oncepciIn= the five co#nt for the five data et are a fo%%o' !
"A $1 $2 $! $-
1% Total #ousing units % % % % % % % % 1+ 1+ 1+ 1+ 1+
2% A00u5ied #ousing units, res5onse % % + + + 1+ 1+
!% A00u5ied #ousing units, not res5onse 1* 1* 1* 1* >
-% Uno00u5ied #ousing units % % % % % % * * * * >
+% 7ersons % % % % % % % % % % % % % % > 1& 1& 4! 4!
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Report of the "- on the 2012 &op#%ation and ;o# ing -en # of -hi%e Fina% n/demand tab#%ation refer to a prod#ct or ervice that a%%o' # er to pecify andreceive tab%e they 'o#%d %i(e to # e in rea% time= #bject to re triction nece ary to en #reconfidentia%ity! -omp#ter of'are app%ication to imp%ement on/demand tab#%ation areavai%ab%e commercia%%y and non/commercia%%y!
eb/ba ed on/demand tab#%ation i one option= b#t #b tantia% n#mber of # er may nothave "nternet connection ade #ate for efficient # e of a 'eb/ba e ervice! For the e # era -+ or +
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Report of the "- on the 2012 &op#%ation and ;o# ing -en # of -hi%e Fina% n/demand tab#%ation ervice ho#%d not be conf# ed 'ith prod#ct or ervice thatprovide acce to a %arge n#mber of pre/made tab%e ! 6he e prod#ct and ervice areva%#ab%e for ma(ing it po ib%e to co t/effective%y provide # er 'ith %arge n#mber 8tenor h#ndred of tho# and 9 of tandard tab%e = b#t they do not a%%o' # er to pecify apartic#%ar tab%e c# tomiEed to the # erT need!
,#*# Statistical briefs6he prod#ct and ervice di c# ed in preceding ection tend to ati fy the need ofre%ative%y ophi ticated # er of cen # data! 5ven traditiona% print/p#b%i hed cen #
tab%e = 'ith their di p%ay of tho# and #pon tho# and of n#mber = are %i(e%y toover'he%m many potentia% # er of cen # data 'ho %ac( the e perti e to e tract # ef#%information from them!
4dditiona%%y= both tandard tab%e and on/demand tab#%ation are omnib# prod#ct =covering mo t or a%% topic inc%#ded in the cen # ! 6hi can ma(e it diffic#%t for # er 'ith
pecific intere t to find 'hat they are intere ted in! 6hi in t#rn inhibit f#%% # e of theinformation re o#rce repre ented by the cen # re #%t !
Stati tica% brief are hort report pre enting de criptive data on partic#%ar topic covered by the cen # of intere t that are of intere t to partic#%ar gro#p of per on !
Stati tica% brief may be p#b%i hed in print and digita%%y on the "N5 'eb ite! henp#b%i hed digita%%y= it may be advantageo# for them to be in a format acce ib%e to"nternet earch engine o that peop%e 'ith intere t in the topic can more ea i%y find them!
&rod#cing tati tica% brief doe not re #ire e ten ive re o#rce or high tati tica%ophi tication= b#t it doe re #ire a o#nd #nder tanding of the #bject matter and of the
%arger ocia%= economic and c#%t#ra% conte t! 6o erve their f#nction they m# t beprod#ced to a high tati tica% and editoria% tandard!
"t may be appropriate= and indeed advantageo# = for a tati tica% office to prod#cetati tica% brief in cooperation 'ith tati tica%%y capab%e member of the # er comm#nity
intere ted in the topic of the brief!
-ooperating # er benefit by gaining acce = if on%y indirect%y= to data and data proce ingre o#rce not other'i e avai%ab%e to them! 6he tati tica% office benefit by trengthening
#bject matter e perti e in the topic and by e tab%i hing a potentia%%y va%#ab%ere%ation hip 'ith different egment of # er ! "n thi 'ay they may provide a co t/effective approach to deve%oping nationa% tati tica% capacity of prod#cer and # er ofcen # and re%ated data!
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Form#%a 81/39 are ta#to%ogie = meaning that their tr#th fo%%o' from the definition oftheir term !
5 timate of pop#%ation n#mber ba ed on the e and imi%ar e #ation are referred to ademographic equation estimates # Form#%a 81/39 are patent%y e%ementary= b#t they areva%id on%y if their term refer to the ame c%ear%y defined pop#%ation! 6hi re #irement=
imp%e in princip%e= fre #ent%y comp%icate ca%c#%ation of demographic e #ation e timate !
"f Initial Population i the de facto pop#%ation of ome geographic territory= for e amp%e=Endin Population m# t be the de facto pop#%ation of the ame territory= @irt's and >eat's m# t refer to event occ#rring 'ithin thi territory= and In mi rations and Out mi rations m# t refer to phy ica% movement acro the bo#ndary of thi territory!
"f Initial Population and Endin Population are ba ed on # #a% re idence= the definition of# #a% re idence m# t be the ame! "t 'i%% a% o be nece ary for vita% tati tic n#mber of
birth and death to be avai%ab%e by # #a% re idence= of the mother in ca e of birth and ofthe decea ed per on in ca e of death = and the definition of # #a% re idence # ed by thevita% tati tic y tem m# t be the ame a the definition # ed by the pop#%ation cen # e
or other o#rce of the initia% and ending pop#%ation n#mber !+emographic e #ation e timate for nationa% pop#%ation typica%%y invo%ve fo#r mainingredient !
1! 4n Initial Population from the mo t recent pop#%ation cen # = perhapadj# ted for net omi ion= referring to time t1!2! @irt's bet'een time t1 and time t2 e timated from vita% tati tic =perhap adj# ted for incomp%ete birth regi tration or other error = 'heret2 i the time for 'hich the e timated of pop#%ation i 'anted!
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)! Net in mi rants = defined a In mi rants Out mi rants = bet'een time t1 and time t23e timated from 'hatever data i avai%ab%e on internationa%migration!
6he demographic e timate i
8)9 Estimated population at time t1 YEstimated @irt's Estimated >eat's YEstimated net In mi rants
'here the %a t three term refer to event bet'een time t1 and time t2!
"f the pop#%ation i c%o ed to migration= the %a t term of 8)9 drop o#t! For many co#ntrie =net in/migration= tho#gh not Eero= i ma%% re%ative to the difference bet'een birth anddeath ! For the e co#ntrie = demographic e #ation e timate of the nationa% pop#%ationmay be rob# t again t error in the e timated n#mber of net in/migrant !
Form#%a 8)9 app%ie to #bnationa% a 'e%% a nationa% pop#%ation ! 4pp%ication re #iree timate of net in/migrant = ho'ever= and for #bnationa% pop#%ation net in/migrantmay be %arge re%ative to the difference bet'een birth and death ! 4cc#rate demographice #ation e timate therefore re #ire acc#rate e timate of net in/migrant ! +ata on interna%migration 8migration 'ithin the nationa% territory9 i for many co#ntrie #navai%ab%e orprob%ematic!
/#(# +emographic estimate of the 2012 census population4 demographic e #ation e timate of the 2012 cen # pop#%ation may be ca%c#%ated fromthe 2002 pop#%ation co#nt= e timate of inter/cen #a% birth and death ca%c#%ated fromregi tered birth and death = and an e timate of net inter/cen #a% net migration!
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