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NATIONAL TRACKING POLL
National Public Opinion Poll
March 27, 2014
#140313
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METHODOLOGYTHIS POLL WAS CONDUCTED FROM MARCH 21-23,
2014, AMONG A NATIONAL SAMPLE OF 1,846 LIKELY
VOTERS.
THE INTERVIEWS WERE CONDUCTED ONLINE AND
THE DATA HAS BEEN WEIGHTED TO APPROXIMATE A
TARGET SMAPLE OF LIKELY VOTERS.
RESULTS FROM THE FULL SURVEY HAVE A MARGIN OF
ERROR OF PLUS OR MINUS 2.3 PERCENTAGE POINTS.
SUBSAMPLES POSSESS HIGHER MARGINS OF ERROR.
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34%
59%
26%
13%
51%
37%
29% 27%
66%
41%
74%
87%
49%
63%
71% 73%
Total DEM(37%)
IND(30%)
GOP(33%)
Age 18-29(17%)
Age 30-44(24%)
Age 45-64(38%)
Age 65+(21%)
RD
Now, general ly speaking, would y ou say that th ings in th e country are going in ther ight direct ion, or have they pret ty ser iously got ten of f on th e wrong track?
NATION OFF ON WRONG TRACK
WT
Total By Party By Age
RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT
DEMs & young voters not as pessimistic.
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42%39% 37%
57% 58% 59%
National All Senate States Competitive Senate States*
Approve
And , do yo u approve or disapp rove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?
OBAMA JOB APPROVAL INVERTED
Disapprove
Senate battlegrounds even less amicable to President.
Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove
Disapprove +15 Disapprove +19 Disapprove +22
* Competitive Senate States based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report 3/21/14.
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Now, thinkin g abo ut yo ur vo te in 2014 for federal off ices su ch as U.S. Senate or Con gress ,
what would you s ay is the top issue that is mot iva t ing your vo te?
FISCAL ISSUES DOMINATE
32%
18%
15%
14%
12%
3%
2%
Immigration Reform
Foreign Policy
Health Care
Federal Budget Deficit
and Debt
Jobs/Unemployment
The Economy
Medicare
and Social Security
DEM
(33%)
IND
(30%)
GOP
(37%)
18-29
(17%)
30-44
(24%)
45-64
(38%)
65+
(21%)
36% 30% 29% 38% 35% 33% 22%
21% 18% 14% 21% 19% 18% 12%
6% 18% 21% 11% 12% 15% 20%
13% 14% 16% 15% 19% 14% 8%
16% 10% 10% 5% 6% 10% 28%
3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4%
2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2%
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OBAMACARE
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42%
59%
44%
37% 35% 37%
27%
54%
36%
51%
59% 62% 59%
67%
Total 18-29(17%)
30-44(24%)
45-64(38%)
65+(21%)
IND(30%)
Trust Neither(35%)
App
Do you app rove or disapp rove of the heal th care legis lat ion passed by
Barack Obama and Cong ress in 2010?
OBAMACARE
Dis App Dis App Dis App Dis App Dis App Dis App Dis
Total By PartyBy Age By Party
Trust
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Different peop le advocate dif ferent appro aches to the 2010 health care law kn own as the
Affordable Care Act and somet imes cal led ObamaCare. Please indicate wh ich of th e
opinions below comes closest to your own, even if none of them are exactly right
PARSING OBAMACARE OPINION
22%
31%
30%
10%
7%
ObamaCare goes too far. Congress should
repeal or defund the law.
DEM
(33%)
IND
(30%)
GOP
(37%)
6% 21% 40%
12% 37% 47%
50% 30% 7%
21% 6% 2%
11% 6% 4%
The U.S. health care system needs reform, but
ObamaCare is the wrong reform. Congress
should replace it with common sense reforms
aimed at controlling costs.
ObamaCare is not a perfect law, but it is a good
start. Congress should work to fix the parts of the
law that do not work.
ObamaCare is a good law. Congress should
leave the law alone and focus on other issues.
ObamaCare does not go far enough. Congress
should work on single-payer health system
legislation.
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Next we are going to d isplay a number of s tatements regarding the Affordable Care Act/
ObamaCare that apply to cand idates for t he U.S. Senate in vario us states this year. For
each s tatement, please indicate whether yo u are mo re l ikely o r less l ike ly to vote for thecand idate based on that statemen t.
SENATE CANDIDATES ON OCARE
Candidate A was the
deciding vote in passing
ObamaCare in 2010.
Candidate A continues
to support the law,saying that while it is not
perfect, it does solve
some critical problems
in the health care
industry like pre-existing
conditions and
extending insurancecoverage for young
people. Candidate A
wants to protect and
defend the law.
Candidate B opposesObamaCare and
says the law should
be repealed.
Candidate B has
pledged to support
repealing the law as
a U.S. Senator.
Candidate C
supported ObamaCare
in 2010, telling
constituents that if theylike their health care
they can keep it. Now,
after the rollout of the
law that saw millions
lose their health
insurance, Candidate
C supports keepingthe law in place and
trying to fix it one piece
at a time.
Candidate D says that
health care in the
United States needs
reform, but ObamaCare
is the wrong reform.Candidate D supports
and replacing the law
with common sense
reforms such as
allowing people to
purchase health
insurance across statelines and allowing
people to pay for health
insurance with pre-tax
dollars.
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46% 44% 44%
77%
39%
16%
45%50% 48%
15%
50%
76%
22% 20% 20%
43%
14%
6%
31%35% 37%
6%
36%
55%
National All SenateStates
CompetitiveSenate States*
DEM(37%)
IND(30%)
GOP(33%)
CANDIDATE A: PROTECT & DEFEND
* Competitive Senate States based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report 3/21/14.
Please indicate whether you are more likely or less likely to vote for the candidate based on that statement
Candidate A was the deciding v ote in pass ing Obam aCare in 2010. Candidate A continues to sup port th e law,
saying that whi le i t is not per fect , i t does solv e some cr i t ica l problems in the health care industry l ike pre-exist ingcondi t ions and extending insu rance coverage for you ng people. Candidate A wants to pro tect and defend the law.
Total By Party
Much More Likely Total More Likely Total Less Likely Much Less Likely
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51%54% 53%
23%
48%
85%
42% 40% 39%
71%
42%
11%
29%32%
29%
10%
28%
50%
32%29%
32%
60%
30%
4%
National All SenateStates
CompetitiveSenate States*
DEM(37%)
IND(30%)
GOP(33%)
CANDIDATE B: REPEAL
Total By Party
Much More Likely Total More Likely Total Less Likely Much Less Likely
Please indicate whether you are more likely or less likely to vote for the candidate based on that statement
Candidate B oppo ses ObamaCare and says th e law should be repealed. Candidate B has pledged to s upp ort
repealin g the law as a U.S. Senator.
* Competitive Senate States based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report 3/21/14.
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38%34% 35%
66%
32%
13%
53%57% 56%
23%
57%
81%
12% 13% 11%
23%
8%5%
36%39% 40%
11%
37%
62%
National All SenateStates
CompetitiveSenate States*
DEM(37%)
IND(30%)
GOP(33%)
CANDIDATE C: KEEP & FIX
Total By Party
Much More Likely Total More Likely Total Less Likely Much Less Likely
Please indicate whether you are more likely or less likely to vote for the candidate based on that statement
Candidate C supp orted Obam aCare in 2010, tel l ing co nstituents that if they lik e their health care they can keep it.
Now, after the rollout o f the law that saw mil l ion s lose their health insuranc e, Candidate C supports keeping the lawin place and tryin g to fix it one piece at a time.
* Competitive Senate States based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report 3/21/14.
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57% 59% 59%
30%
59%
84%
33%30% 28%
58%
28%
9%
26% 27% 26%
11%
23%
45%
18% 15% 16%
34%
14%
3%
National All SenateStates
CompetitiveSenate States*
DEM(37%)
IND(30%)
GOP(33%)
CANDIDATE D: REPLACE
Total By Party
Much More Likely Total More Likely Total Less Likely Much Less Likely
Please indicate whether you are more likely or less likely to vote for the candidate based on that statement
Candidate D says that health care in the United States needs reform , but ObamaCare is the wron g reform .
Candidate D supports and replacing the law with commo n sense reforms such as al lowing people to purchasehealth insurance across state lines and allowin g people to pay for health insurance with p re-tax dollars.
* Competitive Senate States based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report 3/21/14.
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