‘ CLIMATE CHANGE’-The macro –micro link
Indian Network on Ethics & Climate Change
(INECC)
Youth Summit, Guwahati May 2011
5
Inter-linkage between CC, Depletion of Natural Resources & Poverty
Accelerated Global ClimaticChanges
Evidence of Changes in Local Climate
Depletion of Resources
Industrial Processes to serve demand
Greenhouse gas emissions
Demand from urban elites
Raw materials needed for Industries
LIFESTYLESTECHNOLOGY
Who is Responsible?
Mainly Industrial countries Over 80% of CO2 emissions in last 150 years from richer
countries
But who suffers?
The poor not only are most impacted by the problem of climate change but are low energy (carbon) users and therefore do not contribute to the Climate problem!
Can we sustain a continuation of past trends of energy use ?
Commercial Energy Requirements in Reference Scenario
0
400
800
1200
1600
2000
2400
2001/02 2006/07 2011/12 2016/17 2021/22 2026/27 2031/32
year
mto
e
Coal Natural Gas Oil
Hydro (large & small) Nuclear Solar & Wind
Total
11
Energy security:Where will all the coal and oil come from?
Infrastructure:How will all this energy be transported/handled?
Environment:What will be the implications on local and global environment?Source: TERI
Energy Mix Under Alternative Scenarios
Primary commercial energy supply - 2031(mtoe)
0
430
860
1290
1720
2150
Reference Evolution Resolution Ambition
Coal Natural Gas Oil Hydro Nuclear Renewables Energy Saving
12
TERI
Village Electrification (June 2009) STATES PERCENTAGE OF
UNELECTRIFIED VILLAGES
JHARKHAND 68.9ORISSA 44.2ARUNACHAL PRADESH 43.2TRIPURA 42.8MEGHALAYA 40.7BIHAR 38.7NAGALAND 35.6RAJASTHAN 30.8ASSAM 21.4
Source / Systems
Estimated Potential Cumulative Installed Capacity (as on 31.03.05) (MW)
Potential Utilised
(%)
Wind Power 45000 3595 7.98
Biomass Power 16000 303 1.89
Bagasse Co-generation 3500 447 12.80
Small Hydro (up to 25 MW)
150001706
11.37
Waste to Energy Municipal Solid Waste Industrial Waste
17001000
1730 1
2.95
Solar 20 MW /sq km.
3 Negligible22 GW by 2022
Total7000
Source: Akshay Urja: Renewable Energy March-June Vol 1. Issue 2&3, 2005
Estimated Potential & Utilised Potential - Renewable Energy
Our Stake In The Climate Change Issue
• Impact of climate change will affect us all drastically
• The issue raises the question of model of development that is being followed today and the issue of social justice
• India’s emissions are increasing and we have to address this issue at some point
The Key Issue Industrial World responsible for emissions in the past
but the Developing countries will increase emissions in the future
The Developed World cannot solve the Climate Crisis on its own
Issues of Poverty & Development will have to be addressed if developing countries have to be part of the solution
Underlying equations and questions!
Energy consumption= Fossil fuel use=increased
emissions=climate crisis Energy = Growth Growth related to development? What is the nature of development that we
seek?
What Should We Do?
• Reduce Dependence on Fossil Fuels – Reduced GHG emissions
Explore Renewable Energy sources like Sun, Wind, Biomass, Water etc. (DEOs)-a vital approach in Indian Scenario (56%)
– Reduces GHG emissions– Resources for generating power is locally available– Develops local ownership and control– Ensures sustainability of Development
• Support vulnerable communities adapt• Make Sustainable Lifestyle Choices
Way AheadDelink Emissions from DevelopmentDefine an Alternate Paradigm to development which is a ‘Low Carbon Pathway’
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