Zurich, February 12, 2009 ABB Q4 and full-year 2008 results ......Power Products Q4 and full-year...
Transcript of Zurich, February 12, 2009 ABB Q4 and full-year 2008 results ......Power Products Q4 and full-year...
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 | Slide 1
ABB Q4 and full-year 2008 resultsJoe Hogan, CEOMichel Demaré, CFO
Zurich, February 12, 2009
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 2
Agenda
Summary of full-year and Q4 2008 results Joe Hogan
Financial review Michel Demaré
Adjusting cost base and seizing opportunities Joe Hogan
Summary and outlook
Q&A
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 3
2008 was the strongest year ever for ABBRecord orders, revenue and EBIT
Double-digit organic revenue growth in every division
EBIT at a record $4.6 billion ($5.4 billion when adjusted for ca. $870 million in Q4 provisions*)
Cash flow from operations at a record high of $4 billion
ROCE reached 31% (36% when adjusted for provisions*)
Steps taken to address outstanding compliance matters
Several bolt-on acquisitions in line with our focused M&A strategy
Solid opening backlog of $24 billion to start 2009
Dividend unchanged at CHF 0.48 a share – share buyback program inactive
* Comprises compliance, restructuring, VAT charge, write-offs and other operational provisions
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 4
The fourth quarter shows “underlying operational strength”Revenue growth continues, solid cash flow despite global slowdown
Steady double-digit revenue growth on successful execution of order backlog
Cash flow from operations healthy despite pressure on working capital needs
Earnings reduced by provision for compliance costs, tax-related charges and restructuring
Orders down 11% (local currency) on lower large orders, base orders 2% lower
Orders up 9% in the Americas, 12% higher in the U.S.
Power Products and Automation Products divisions with stable orders
Power grid upgrades continue in U.S. and Europe
Orders for energy-efficient technologies also higher
Power Systems and Process Automation down on weak large order intake
No significant order cancellations
Cost take-out program announced to meet challenging market environment
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 5
Q4 and full-year 2008 key figures
Q4 2008 Q4 2007 US$ Local FY 2008 FY 2007 US$ LocalOrders received 7,183 8,868 -19% -11% 38,282 34,348 11% 7%Revenues 9,140 8,713 5% 15% 34,912 29,183 20% 16%Order backlog 23,837 22,715 5% 14%EBIT 459 1,145 -60% 4,552 4,023 13% as % of revenues 5.0% 13.1% 13.0% 13.8%Net income 213 1,753 -88% 3,118 3,757 -17%
Basic earnings per share (US$) 0.09 0.76 1.36 1.66Dividend per share (CHF) 0.48 0.48
Cash from operations 1,395 1,469 3,958 3,054 Free cash flow 2,888 2,429 as % of net income 93% 65%Return on capital employed 31% 35%
Change
US$ millions unless otherwise stated
ChangeKey figures Q4 and full year 2008 vs 2007
1 1
1 After provisions of ca. $870 million for compliance, restructuring, VAT charges, write-offs and other operational provisions
1 1
Record earnings and cash flow
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 6
Large orders decreased in H2 2008 in worsening lending environmentBut the tender backlog in Power Systems continues to grow
ABB base vs large orders 2006 to Q4 2008 Power Systems tender backlog Q4 2006 to Q4 2008rebased to 100
Significant new projects being tendered
Further delays in converting them to orders
Base ordersLarge orders
Large order volumes declined
Base orders held up better
2006 2007 2008 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08
15%
17%16%
22%
11%
11%19%
16%
50
100
150
200
250
Q4 06 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08Full year Quarterly
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 7
Order backlog down $3.4 billion from Q3 08One-third from currency translation, two-thirds from book-to-bill
0
5'000
10'000
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20'000
25'000
30'000
Q106
Q206
Q306
Q406
Q107
Q207
Q307
Q407
Q108
Q208
Q308
Q408
Order backlog at end of period, Q1 2006 to Q4 2008
US
$ m
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Local currenciesU.S. dollars
-12%As reported
In local currencies-8%
Down $2 billionon book-to-bill,$1 billion on currency
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 8
0
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Order backlog contribution to 2009 revenues
Expected conversion of year-end 2008 order backlog to revenues 2009-2011
Ord
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ackl
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t end
of p
erio
d, U
S$
mill
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65%
25%
10%
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Service revenues outpaced total growth rates in 2008Strategy in place to drive growth further
Growth in service revenues vs total revenues 2006-2008
2006 2007 2008
Rev
enue
gro
wth
rate
s, %
Total revenues
Service revenues 17%
16%
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 10
Power Products Q4 and full-year 2008 summaryStrong revenue growth, Q4 EBIT impacted by one-offs
Q4 orders stable – up in the Americas and Middle East, lower in Asia and EuropeLarge new projects were delayed but grid upgrades continuedRevenues continue double-digit growth on strength of backlogEBIT incl. $35 million restructuring costs and more than $100 million in one-off itemsExcluding one-offs and restructuring, Q4 EBIT up 34%, EBIT margin exceeded 19%
Q4 2008 Q4 2007 US$ Local FY 2008 FY 2007 US$ Local
Orders received 2,615 2,751 -5% 2% 13,627 11,320 20% 15%Order backlog (end Dec.) 7,977 6,932 15% 24%Revenues 3,208 2,910 10% 19% 11,890 9,777 22% 18%EBIT 444 466 -5% 2'100 1'596 32% as % of revenues 13.8% 16.0% 17.7% 16.3%Cash from operations 578 635 1'575 1'279
ChangeUS$ millionsunless otherwise stated
ChangeKey data Q4 and full year 2008
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 11
Power Systems Q4 and full-year 2008 summaryTender backlog conversion critical over next 24 months
Base orders steady, decreased large orders, mainly in grid systems and substations Tender backlog at high levels with new projects still coming inGrid upgrades in U.S. and Europe, less new infrastructure in Asia and Middle EastRevenues increased on the strength of the order backlogRecord full-year EBIT margin benefited from improved project execution Cash flow reflects lower customer advances on fewer large orders
Q4 2008 Q4 2007 US$ Local FY 2008 FY 2007 US$ Local
Orders received 1,456 1,902 -23% -14% 7,408 7,744 -4% -8%Order backlog (end Dec.) 7,704 8,209 -6% 4%Revenues 1,902 1,977 -4% 7% 6,912 5,832 19% 16%EBIT 181 179 1% 592 489 21% as % of revenues 9.5% 9.1% 8.6% 8.4%Cash from operations 98 245 424 409
ChangeUS$ millionsunless otherwise stated
ChangeKey data Q4 and full year 2008
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 12
Automation Products Q4 and full-year 2008 summarySteady revenue and EBIT growth
Orders for energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies increased
Standard product orders for industry and construction were down
Revenues were higher – service grew significantly faster than divisional average
Cash flow impacted by increased working capital, mainly higher inventories
Q4 2008 Q4 2007 US$ Local FY 2008 FY 2007 US$ Local
Orders received 2,094 2,360 -11% -3% 10,872 9,314 17% 11%Order backlog (end Dec.) 3,863 3,490 11% 18%Revenues 2,484 2,396 4% 13% 10,250 8,644 19% 13%EBIT 422 410 3% 1'908 1'477 29% as % of revenues 17.0% 17.1% 18.6% 17.1%Cash from operations 299 452 1'343 1'257
ChangeUS$ millionsunless otherwise stated
ChangeKey data Q4 and full year 2008
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 13
Process Automation Q4 and full-year 2008 summaryRevenues up, EBIT margin continues to improve, fewer large orders
Q4 orders decreased across most segments and regions on reduction in large orders
Service and product orders remained steady
Strong revenues reflect order backlog and current-quarter service and product sales
Higher revenue and improved project execution lifted the EBIT margin
Cash flow mainly reflects timing of project payments
Q4 2008 Q4 2007 US$ Local FY 2008 FY 2007 US$ Local
Orders received 1,452 2,343 -38% -30% 8,657 7,935 9% 4%Order backlog (end Dec.) 6,111 5,951 3% 12%Revenues 2,088 1,939 8% 20% 7,815 6,420 22% 18%EBIT 240 220 9% 926 683 36% as % of revenues 11.5% 11.3% 11.8% 10.6%Cash from operations 282 456 1'034 766
ChangeUS$ millionsunless otherwise stated
ChangeKey data Q4 and full year 2008
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 14
Robotics Q4 and full-year 2008 summaryAggressive restructuring in a weakening demand environment
Further weakening in automotive, also in general industry - orders lower in all regions
Revenues steady on execution of the order backlog
EBIT reduced by restructuring charges ($70 million)
Aggressive drive to shift capacity to low-cost emerging countries
Q4 2008 Q4 2007 US$ Local FY 2008 FY 2007 US$ Local
Orders received 299 348 -14% -10% 1,658 1,488 11% 5%Order backlog (end Dec.) 545 529 3% 6%Revenues 407 419 -3% 3% 1,642 1,407 17% 11%EBIT -73 25 9 79 -89% as % of revenues -17.9% 6.0% 0.5% 5.6%Cash from operations 18 27 49 120
ChangeUS$ millionsunless otherwise stated
ChangeKey data Q4 and full year 2008
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 15
ABB continued smaller acquisitions to fill technology and geographic gapsFuelling profitable growth while maintaining our financial strength
Acquisition Country Division Strategic rationaleVektec Electronics N.Z. Automation Products Power electronics technology
Kuhlman Electric U.S. Power Products Transformer technology, regional scope
Ber-Mac Electrical Canada Process Automation Service, engineering and regional scope
In line with strategy to focus on smaller bolt-ons
Mainly in product businesses where we can integrate quickly
Total of approx. $650 million spent on acquisitions in 2008
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 16
Summary of 2008 full-year and Q4 operational performance
ABB benefited from lead position in power infrastructure and energy efficiency
Strong revenue growth, both on product sales and successful order execution
Record EBIT, even after provisions
Record cash flow from operations
Q4 orders down mainly due to absence of large orders
Tender backlog conversion critical for business over next several quarters
Order backlog will provide significant support into 2009
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 17
Agenda
Summary of full-year and Q4 2008 results
Financial review
Adjusting cost base and seizing opportunities
Summary and outlook
Q&A
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 18
68.7%74.9%
16.7%19.3%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
15.5%
5.4%
Record full-year EBIT and EBIT marginStrong demand, high capacity, improved cost base
SG&A as % of revenuesLower G&A on simplified processesHigher sales expenses to drive growth
EBIT margin
Cost of sales as % of revenuesLow-cost sourcingFootprint measuresStrong markets
*
* Adjusted for provisions in Q4 2008
Cos
t bas
e
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 19
17%
82%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
ABB has built a solid balance sheet foundationA definite competitive advantage in an uncertain market
Gearing*
* Total debt divided by the sum of total debt plus equity, incl. minority interest * Cash & equivalents plus marketable securities & short-term investments, less total debt
Net cash (debt)*US$ billions, end of period
-$6 bn
$5.4 bn
Strong balance sheet with substantial net cash provides strong base in a downturn
Among the lowest credit default spreads in the industry
Financial flexibility to act quickly – both restructuring and growth opportunities
years
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 20
ABB’s balance sheet is among the strongest in the industrySignificant improvement over the past five years
7,806
4,613
2,36311,158
7,9521,013
Cash & marketablesecurities
Total debt
Stockholders’ equity
Credit ratings*S&P: BB+(negative watch) Moodys: Ba3(negative outlook)
* on long-term unsecured debt
Credit ratings*S&P: A-Moodys: A3
(both outlook stable)
2002 2008
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 21
36%
30%
21%
14%
8%
3%
0
4
8
12
16
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
ROCE after tax (%)1 and capital employed (US$ bn)
EBIT up 67% CAGR since 2003
Capital employed CAGR 7%
1
Return on capital employed growing steadilyHigh capital efficiency
1 Adjusted for one-time items (deferred tax assets and gain from the sale of ABB Lummus Global);2 Adjusted for $870-million in provisions; on reported EBIT, 2008 ROCE = 31%
2
Cap
ital e
mpl
oyed
, US
$ bi
llion
Revenue CAGR 14%
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 22
Balance sheet protected by ABB’s conservative cash management
Cash & marketable securities$7.8 billion conservatively investedMore than 50 well-rated institutions, treasuries, corporates and government securities
Near-term debt maturity$354 million due in the next 12 months – next major maturities in 2011 and 2013
Bank support$2-billion revolving credit facility due in 2010 – no draw-down
Commercial paper 3 programs (USD, EUR, SEK) but unused in last 6 years
Strong bank relationship management – credit facility and multi-billion-dollar bonding lines in place to support
the business
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 23
Dec 31 2007 add cash less capex less acqui less div less shares Dec 31 2008
Sufficient cash generation to fuel growth, benefit shareholders and maintain a strong balance sheet
Cash from operations
DividendCapex
Sharebuyback
M&A
$5.4 bn$5.4 bn$4 bn
$1 bn
$1.2 bn
$620 mill
$650 mill
Net cash Net cash
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 24
Cash is king
Managed centrally – cautious investment policy driven by capital preservation
Capital efficiency program in place
Focus on collecting from customers – active credit risk management
Strict monitoring of inventories
Capital spending reduced by ca. 20%
Dividend maintained, but share buyback inactive
No large M&A activity until financial markets have stabilized – cash bolt-ons are a major opportunity
Investment-grade rating remains a key priority
Bank relationship management is essential
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 25
Agenda
Summary of full-year and Q4 2008 results
Financial review
Adjusting cost base and seizing opportunities
Summary and outlook
Q&A
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 26
Orders softening, revenues still rising on strong backlogWe are moving now with $1.3-billion cost take-out to stay ahead
Orders, revenues and book-to-bill development, Q1 2005 to Q4 2008
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0.5
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ers
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$ m
illion
s
Book-to-bill ratio
RevenuesOrders Book-to-bill
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 27
While demand environment is changing fast and is difficult to forecast …… there are cost and growth opportunities to keep us on target
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
* 2008 EBIT margin adjusted for provisions
* EBIT margin target corridor
11-16%
Rev
enue
s
EBIT as % of revenues
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 28
Cost take-out: Program overview
Goal: To reduce costs from 2008 levels by a total of $1.3 billion by 2010
Total program cost >$600 million 2008: >$100 million2009: >$300 million2010: >$200 million
Over half of savings to be realized in 2009
Four main cost levers: Global sourcingOperational excellenceFootprintG&A
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 29
Four main levers: Sourcing, footprint, operational excellence, and G&AABB is accelerating these programs across the board
Expand both manufacturing and engineering capacity in EMs
All capex for new capacity will be in EMs
Drive exports from EMs
>30 new plants and expansions in EMs in past 12 months
>45% of manufacturing employees already in EMs
> 40 cross-business commodity and supply teams in place
Focus on high labor-cost components
Optimize logistics globally
>40% of total sourcing from emerging markets (EM) by 2010
EM sourcing up more than $5 bn since 2005
Additional productivity measures
Improve process quality and efficiency
Collaborative planning with key suppliers
Improved engineering & product development to drive cost lower
Even tighter focus on project and risk management
FootprintSourcing Operationalexcellence G&A
Take full benefits from One Simple ABB
More shared services, also in emerging markets
Leaner head office operations
10% G&A reduction by 2010
EM =
Emerging markets
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 30
> 200% > 100% > 50% > 20% < 20%
Low order backlog businesses feel the downturn first
Power SystemsProcess AutomationAutomation ProductsPower ProductsRobotics
Order backlog as a share of 2008 revenues
Close to short-cycle markets, e.g., automotive, commercial and residential
construction
GridSystems
SubstationsNetwork
MgmtPower Gen
MachinesPower
Electronics
MarineMetals
Minerals
Oil & GasPulp & Paper
Construction and discrete
marketsPower
Products
Robotics
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 31
Electricity Consumption Set To Double By 2030Growing twice as fast as energy consumption
Source: IEA, World Energy Outlook 2008
Terra
wat
thou
rs (T
Wh)
12,0
00 17,5
0010,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
1990 2004 2015 2030
25,0
00 34,0
00
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 32
Massive investments in power infrastructure
$ 11 trillion investments projected between 2004-2030
50% required just to maintain current level of power supplyTransmission taking more than 50% share of investments in electricity infrastructure
Aging grids in mature economies require upgradesInterconnectivity, especiallyin EuropeCoping with new forms of electricity generation (e.g. further away from consumption, renewables)
Source: IEA, World Energy Outlook 2008
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 33
Fiscal stimulus measures directed towards power infrastructureSome €155 bn aimed at improving T&D
U.S. $19 bn direct spending and loan guarantees for power transmission, distribution and generation, of which
$8 bn loan guarantees for renewable energy, power transmission$6.5 bn loan guarantees to specified utilities for new power lines and transmission upgrades$4.5 bn for smart grid systems
China $132 bn to expand power grids by 26,000 km, incl. new equipment by 2009-10
€5 bn in 2009-10 to support trans-European infrastructure, including energy interconnections with a focus on energy trading
Europe €5 bn in 2009-10 to support trans-European infrastructure, including energy interconnections with a focus on energy trading
India €1.3 bn additional funding for the 2007-12 power development program to reduce T&D losses below 15%
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 34
Examples of near-term growth opportunitiesPower transmission, oil & gas expected to show greater resilience
EU incentives to promote greater interconnectivity, energy tradingHVDC will play a major roleIntegrating wind and hydro into existing grids will drive further investments
Oil capex is lower but still at high historical levelsState oil companies expected to continue investing– ABB well positionedNew market opportunities opening from technology advances:
ABB remote sensor and service capability for offshore platformsPolymer pumps to optimize end-of-life well output
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 35
Climate protection is here to stayCO2 emissions up 52% from 2004-2030
EU targets to improve energy efficiency by 20 % from 2007 - 2020Germany targets to double share of alternative energy power sources by 2020China targets to improve energy efficiency by 20% from 2006 – 2010New US government identifies climate protection as a top priority
Sources: IEA, World Energy Outlook 2008, EU commission report 2007, P.R. China 5-year plan 2006
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 36
• Payback time for energy efficient motors can be as low as one year. Initial investment may account for only 1% of total life cycle costs
• For EU industrial electricity costs can be cut by up to 202 billion kWh = ca. €10 billion a year lower for EU-25
• Additional reduction in operating cost of €5-10 billion a year through reduced maintenance and improved operations
• CO2 emissions cut by 79 million tons = 25% of EU’s Kyoto target
• In 2008, ABB drives saved more than 150,000 MW/h and more than 140,000 tons of CO2 emissions
The impacts of switching to high-efficiency motor systems, including variable-speed drives:
Source: European Copper Institute, “Energy Efficient Motor Driven Systems”
Energy savings means savings in CO2 and costsABB is world leader in motors and drives
Electric motors account for ca. 65% of electricity consumed by industry
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 37
Renewables: Wind energy growth to continue
Source: GWEC – Global Wind Energy Council, Global Wind 2006 Report
Global Cumulative Capacity 1995-2006 & Forecast 2007-2010
1724
3139
4859
74
94
117
143
172
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 20100
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160GW
Growth rate: 25% 20%27% 22%
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 38
World leader in power and automation technology for windpower
Static varcompensation
Permanent magnet generators(maintenance free)
Switches &breakers
Controlproducts
Transformers
HVDC Light(underground or subseaconnections to the grid)
Power electronics(control “unstable”power flows)
Converters(handling intermittent power supply for storage, changing power frequency for conventional grids)
Transformers
Compact substations(can also be used offshore)
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 39
Technology milestones in 2008
Successfully tested 800-kilovolt transformer for the ultrahigh-voltage direct current transmission corridor from the Xiangjiaba hydropower plant to Shanghai, 2,000 km away
World’s highest-voltage power link with record capacity of 6,400 megawatts, capable of supplying 30 million people
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 40
Technology milestones in 2008
Completed the world’s longest (580 km) and most powerful (700 MW) power link between Norway and the NetherlandsCO2 emissions reduced by 1.7 million tons/year by transmitting electricity from hydropower
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 41
Regional and country opportunitiesStrong local presence in all geographies
Large installed base in power and automationPower: Aging infrastructure and renewables, “smart grids”Automation: Energy efficiency in industry – product opportunitiesServices and service outsourcing in both power and automation
China
Strong local presence, seen as a reliable local partnerGrowth opportunities across all businessesChina grid investments continue to expand
Diversification into downstream oil & gas, chemicals and petrochemicals – electrification neededWater infrastructure becoming increasingly importantLarge number of opportunities – also in Africa
North America – World’s largest market for ABB scope
China – Will remain a key global growth driver
Middle East – Untapped opportunities across most ABB businesses
Lead technology with excellent track record and market strengthGovernment funding and export support for infrastructure expected to support growth“Smart grids” will also play an important role in future market deregulation
Europe – Power transmission and renewables are key
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 42
We will aggressively pursue further growth opportunities
$14 bn global market, growing ca. 3% a year
ABB orders in 2008: > $800 million
40% CAGR since 2004
Power electronicsTransformersMotorsElectrification
Sector Performance ABB scope$3-3.5 bn global market, growing ca. 16% a year
ABB orders in 2008: $900 million
50% CAGR since 2004
TransformersGeneratorsConvertersControl productsHVDC LightSubstations
InstrumentationMotors & drivesElectrical & control systemsPumping stationsSCADA systems
$4.5-7.5 bn global market, growing ca. 5% a year
ABB orders in 2008: > $600m
50% CAGR since 2004
Railway
Wind Power
Water
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 43
Service business will add stability in a slowdown
Service revenues 2005-2011 (est.)% change in local currencies
13%8%
17%
2005
3.3
2006
3.8
2007
4.4
2008
5.3
Power Products
Power Systems
Automation Products
Process Automation
Robotics
Rev
enue
s (U
S$
billio
ns)
8.5
2011 est
17% CAGR
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 44
Agenda
Summary of full-year and Q4 2008 results
Financial review
Adjusting cost base and seizing opportunities
Summary and outlook
Q&A
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 45
GDP projections for 2009 have decreased dramatically since September 2008
World GDP growth (real, yearly % change); Source: Global Insight, Jan 09
Source: Global Insight
-1
0
1
2
3
4Forecast Sept 08
2007 2008 2009 2010
%Forecast July 08
Forecast Nov 08
Forecast Jan 09%
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 46
0
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20'000
30'000
40'000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
ABB has reached record levels of revenues and profitabilityAll organic value creation through a focus on our core businesses
* 2008 EBIT margin adjusted for provisionss
Power Products
Power Systems
Automation Products
Process Automation
Robotics
2%
15.5%* EBIT margin
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 47
29'8
20
52'5
692004 2005 2006 2007 2008
We will continue to expand our presence in emerging economiesLeveraging both growth and cost opportunities
Employees in emerging markets 2002-08 Share of employees, 200810
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Capital expenditure in low-cost countries2004-08
8,500 employees added in emerging economies in 2007 and 2008 44%
56%
Emerging markets
Mature markets
MexicoBulgariaEstoniaPolandBrazilEgyptVietnam
Key new capacity in
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 48
A commitment to R&D is vital to our future competitiveness
Successful test of 800-kV transformer for ultrahigh-voltage direct current transmission corridor (Xiangjiaba hydro plant to Shanghai = 2,000 km)
World’s highest-voltage power link with record capacity of 6,400 megawatts, capable of supplying 30 million people
Distributed and renewable power
Smart power grids
Advanced materials (e.g., insulation, superconductors)
Power electronics
Wireless communication
Energy efficiency
Focus on breakthrough technology
ABB’s record of steadily increasing R&D over the cycle has paid off in market-leading technologies in every business
Example: Power transmission in China
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 49
Key integrity focus for ABB going forward
Zero tolerance is here to stay
Moving to the next step of maturity
Driving from mere compliance to an integrity culture
Rolling out an Ombuds program as an enabler
Integrity, as a fully integrated business process
Clear Accountability Profile
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 50
Preparing for 2009: Maximum flexibility
Timing and effectiveness of government stimulus programs
Availability of funding for large projects
Commodity prices
Housing and consumer demand
Business confidence
Cost competitiveness
Operational excellence
Financial strength
Staying alert to growth opportunities
Energy efficiency focus
Leverage global/local opportunities
Leading market share and technology
External factors: “Beyond our control”Internal factors: “In our own hands”
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 51
Summary
Market outlook for 2009 and 2010 is very uncertain
$24-billion backlog gives us some buffer heading into 2009
Short-term planning – $1.3 bn cost-cutting program in place, full savings by 2010
Ready to move fast to take growth opportunities as they arise
ABB aims to emerge from the downturn in a stronger position:
Flexible and competitive cost base, with significant opportunities for more cost take-out
Solid balance sheet to support the business in a downturn
Leading position in the right markets with the right products
Long-term market outlook remains positive – power infrastructure and energy efficiency are the right markets for future profitable growth
We confirm our 2011 targets
2009 will be a challenge but ABB well positioned to come out ahead
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 52
Safe-harbor statement
This presentation includes forward-looking information and statements including statements concerning the outlook for our businesses. These statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the factors that may affect our future performance, including global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for ABB Ltd. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as “expects,” “believes,” “estimates,” “targets,” “plans” or similar expressions. However, there are many risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking information and statements made in this press release and which could affect our ability to achieve any or all of our stated targets. The important factors that could cause such differences include, among others, business risks related to the financial crisis, costs associated with compliance activities, the amount of revenues we are able to generate from backlog and orders received, raw materials prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations and currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in ABB Ltd’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including its Annual Reports on Form 20-F. Although ABB Ltd believes that its expectations reflected in any such forward-looking statement are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved.
© ABB Group February 12, 2009 Chart 53