Kuala Lumpur Residential: Gaining 128271 Units in 9 Years Real Estate QUAN Briefing

A Service of Oriental Realty Contributed by Zeppelin Real Estate Analysis Limited

July 2012 Summary: We have compared the 1st Quarter 2004 data to the 1st Quarter 2012 data and found that of the 128,271 residential units built within the 9 year period, some 43% or 55631 units, are condominiums. The Batu district captures the award for having the highest number of units built during the period, standing at 37349 units or 29% of the increase. Read for more… Here we seek to apply simple quantitative methods to review, ascertain, and / or analyze, where feasible, the market performances and probable trends using available data: a) Data source = www.jpph.gov.my b) Scope = Kuala Lumpur Residential categorized by major house types and sub-house types such as Terraced –single and 2 or 3 storey, Semi-Detached – single and 2 or 3 storey, Detached, Townhouse, Flat, Serviced Apartments, Condominiums, Low Cost Flat, and the like. Also, the data is also divided based on geographical districts within WP Kuala Lumpur. c) Period = comparing 1Q 2003 to 1Q 2012 d) Method = we calculate changes in numbers and percentages from both geographical district and house type perspectives. The results are reflected in the following tables and charts: 1) First, the distribution of residential units by house type among the districts of WP Kuala Lumpur as of 1Q 2012

1Q 2012 House types: Terraced Semi-Detached Detached Townhouse Cluster Low Cost House Low Cost Flat Flats Apartments SOHO TOTAL % of TotalDistricts: Single storey 2-3 storey Single storey 2-3 storey Serviced Condominiums

Section 1-100 63 917 - 146 244 105 6 - 8,161 7,193 8,446 30,299 - 55,580 13.37%Ampang 565 974 - 179 186 - - - 3,128 1,170 - 2,557 - 8,759 2.11%Batu 8,222 22,406 38 1,121 833 863 934 161 18,100 9,983 1,307 27,814 - 91,782 22.08%Cheras 653 723 - - 21 74 - 470 393 366 312 236 - 3,248 0.78%Hulu Klang 94 277 - - - - - - - 4,184 - 624 - 5,179 1.25%Kuala Lumpur 4,670 14,000 164 2,752 3,854 1,732 1,632 407 19,673 7,262 2,558 33,793 238 92,735 22.31%Petaling 5,403 15,348 162 1,200 932 636 - 1,438 26,909 9,663 612 27,589 - 89,892 21.63%Setapak 1,880 10,705 126 302 765 904 1,676 1,310 19,283 10,335 286 20,850 - 68,422 16.46%

WP Kuala Lumpur 21,550 65,350 490 5,700 6,835 4,314 4,248 3,786 95,647 50,156 13,521 143,762 238 415,597 100.00%% of Total 5.19% 15.72% 0.12% 1.37% 1.64% 1.04% 1.02% 0.91% 23.01% 12.07% 3.25% 34.59% 0.06% 100.00%

2) Second, the distribution as above but in 1Q 2003 [note there was no SOHO house type]

1Q 2003 House types: Terraced Semi-Detached Detached Townhouse Cluster Low Cost House Low Cost Flat Flats Apartments SOHO TOTAL % of TotalDistricts: Single storey 2-3 storey Single storey 2-3 storey Serviced Condominiums

Section 1-100 63 907 - 34 176 35 - - 2,807 5,192 2,060 19,037 - 30,311 10.55%Ampang 565 968 - 179 186 - - - 2,180 1,185 - 2,619 - 7,882 2.74%Batu 8,222 16,754 126 298 1,931 474 934 161 6,784 8,993 - 9,756 - 54,433 18.94%Cheras 653 678 - - 21 - - 470 393 366 - - - 2,581 0.90%Hulu Klang 94 142 - - - - - - - 4,184 - 624 - 5,044 1.76%Kuala Lumpur 4,670 13,645 161 1,828 3,657 2,108 1,632 316 14,675 8,433 650 25,573 - 77,348 26.92%Petaling 5,238 12,646 178 730 605 636 - 1,621 12,907 8,215 - 17,117 - 59,893 20.84%Setapak 2,598 11,807 168 752 750 869 - 1,792 8,258 9,435 - 13,405 - 49,834 17.34%

WP Kuala Lumpur 22,103 57,547 633 3,821 7,326 4,122 2,566 4,360 48,004 46,003 2,710 88,131 - 287,326 100.00%% of Total 7.69% 20.03% 0.22% 1.33% 2.55% 1.43% 0.89% 1.52% 16.71% 16.01% 0.94% 30.67% 0.00% 100.00%

3) The percentages of 1Q 2012 of 1Q 2003

1Q12 / 1Q03 House types: Terraced Semi-Detached Detached Townhouse Cluster Low Cost House Low Cost Flat Flats Apartments SOHO TOTALDistricts: Single storey 2-3 storey Single storey 2-3 storey Serviced Condominiums

Section 1-100 100.00% 101.10% 0.00% 429.41% 138.64% 300.00% 0.00% 0.00% 290.74% 138.54% 410.00% 159.16% 0.00% 183.37%Ampang 100.00% 100.62% 0.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 143.49% 98.73% 0.00% 97.63% 0.00% 111.13%Batu 100.00% 133.74% 30.16% 376.17% 43.14% 182.07% 100.00% 100.00% 266.80% 111.01% 0.00% 285.10% 0.00% 168.61%Cheras 100.00% 106.64% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 125.84%Hulu Klang 100.00% 195.07% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0.00% 102.68%Kuala Lumpur 100.00% 102.60% 101.86% 150.55% 105.39% 82.16% 100.00% 128.80% 134.06% 86.11% 393.54% 132.14% 0.00% 119.89%Petaling 103.15% 121.37% 91.01% 164.38% 154.05% 100.00% 0.00% 88.71% 208.48% 117.63% 0.00% 161.18% 0.00% 150.09%Setapak 72.36% 90.67% 75.00% 40.16% 102.00% 104.03% 0.00% 73.10% 233.51% 109.54% 0.00% 155.54% 0.00% 137.30%

WP Kuala Lumpur 97.50% 113.56% 77.41% 149.18% 93.30% 104.66% 165.55% 86.83% 199.25% 109.03% 498.93% 163.12% 0.00% 144.64%

A 100% indicates no change, a percentage higher than 100% means a gain in the number of units, and a percentage lower than 100% implies a decrease in the number of units for any particular district and house type. 0% represents ‘not applicable’. 4) Subtracting the 1Q 2003 figures from the 1Q 2012 figures to find out the numeric differences between each district and house type combination

1Q12 - 1Q03 House types: Terraced Semi-Detached Detached Townhouse Cluster Low Cost House Low Cost Flat Flats Apartments SOHO TOTAL % of TotalDistricts: Single storey 2-3 storey Single storey 2-3 storey Serviced Condominiums

Section 1-100 0 10 0 112 68 70 6 0 5,354 2,001 6,386 11,262 0 25,269 19.70%Ampang 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 948 (15) 0 (62) 0 877 0.68%Batu 0 5,652 (88) 823 (1,098) 389 0 0 11,316 990 1,307 18,058 0 37,349 29.12%Cheras 0 45 0 0 0 74 0 0 0 0 312 236 0 667 0.52%Hulu Klang 0 135 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 135 0.11%Kuala Lumpur 0 355 3 924 197 (376) 0 91 4,998 (1,171) 1,908 8,220 238 15,387 12.00%Petaling 165 2,702 (16) 470 327 0 0 (183) 14,002 1,448 612 10,472 0 29,999 23.39%Setapak (718) (1,102) (42) (450) 15 35 1,676 (482) 11,025 900 286 7,445 0 18,588 14.49%

WP Kuala Lumpur (553) 7,803 (143) 1,879 (491) 192 1,682 (574) 47,643 4,153 10,811 55,631 238 128,271 100.00%% of Total -0.43% 6.08% -0.11% 1.46% -0.38% 0.15% 1.31% -0.45% 37.14% 3.24% 8.43% 43.37% 0.19% 100.00%

Positive figures mean a net gain of units, while negative figures mean a decrease. Zeros mean no change. Note in the above tables we have also shown the percentages occupied by each district or house type of the total stocks or increases. As to which districts and house types have the most units, or the most gains, and the like, please refer to the charts below: A1) Nowadays = 1Q 2012 residential stock by districts

A2) In the past = 1Q 2003 residential stock by district

B1) Nowadays = 1Q 2012 residential stock by house type

B2) In the past = 1Q 2003 residential stock by house type

C1) Stock changes between 1Q 2003 and 1Q 2012 by change % and district

C2) Stock changes between 1Q 2003 and 1Q 2012 by change % and house type

D1) Stock changes between 1Q 2003 and 1Q 2012 by no of units and district

D2) Stock changes between 1Q 2003 and 1Q 2012 by no of units and house type

Summing up, we have the following table to show you the top 3 winners in each category: Categories: Highest numeric

gain by district Highest numeric gain by house type

Highest % gain 1Q12 / 1Q03 by district

Highest % gain 1Q12 / 1Q03 by house type

First Prize Batu Condominiums Section 1-100 Serviced Apartment Runner Up Petaling Low Cost Flat Batu Low Cost Flat 2nd Runner Up Section 1-100 Serviced Apartment Petaling Cluster Assuming all other attributes being the same, purely as a guess and based on the above numbers, one may wish to go for districts and / or house types which have not seen abundant increase in supply. Important Notes: 1) The above is provided by Zeppelin Real Estate Analysis Limited [Zeppelin], which along with the broader Zeppelin Group, is a Hong Kong-based consulting operation involved in real estate development, investment, and management in China including Hong Kong. For more information, please visit www.Real-Estate-Tech.com and http://zeppelin.net.cn/. 2) Stating the obvious, the author(s) and Zeppelin, including its staff, associates, consultants, executives and the like, are not experts on or knowledgeable about the Malaysian real estate markets. 3) However, Zeppelin has experience in analyzing real estate markets and projects, being one of the professional services offered by the Zeppelin Group collectively. The analytical methodologies and techniques are also portable i.e. they can be applied, with adaptations if needed, on markets worldwide. 4) Oriental Realty [Oriental], a real estate services group in Malaysia, with Zeppelin are working toward analyzing the Malaysian real estate markets, focusing on the quantitative aspects. 5) As such, readers and potential investors, including clients and customers of Oriental, can benefit from the enhanced and comprehensive angles and services. 6) Vital Disclaimer = the article and/or content contained herein are for general reference only and are not meant to substitute proper professional advice and/or due diligence. The author(s) and Zeppelin / Oriental, including its staff, associates, consultants, executives and the like do not accept any responsibility or liability for losses, damages, claims and the like arising out of the use or reference to the content contained herein.