Zimpleman
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Transcript of Zimpleman
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7/28/2019 Zimpleman
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Rebuilding
IIS Conference, 8 June 2010
Larry Zimpleman, Chairman, President,
and Chief Executive Officer
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Impact of the Recession
on World Economies
2
Freezing Up of world economies in late 2008/early 2009
Re-Build of World Economies is happening at differentrates
Asia leads the way China,Australia, India, ASEAN
Latin America continues tomove forward Chile, Brazil
USA is having slow butsteady recovery
Europe and Japan arelagging
IMF, World Bank, CIA Factbook, 2009 and 2010 estimates
Real GDP Growth (Annual Percent Change)
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2007 2008 2009 2010
Australia and New Zealand
Brazil
China, People's Republic of
Germany
India
Japan
Mexico
Spain
Thailand
United Kingdom
United States
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Impact of the Recession in the U.S.Workers with less than $10,000 in Savings
36%
43%
39%
33%
37%
41%
45%
2009 2008 2007
3
Closer to Retirement butwith depleted savings
Average deferral rates are
6-7% but need to behigher
Asset Allocation mismatch 27% of participants aged 56-65 have at least 90% ofportfolio in Equities
Employee Benefit Research Institute, Profit Sharing Council of America, Bloomberg
% of Portfolio Exposed to Equities for Participants
Aged 56-65
27%
11%
10%
52%
> 90% 90-80% 70-80% < 60%
27% of participants aged 56-65 have at least 90% of their portfolio in Equities
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Impact of the Recession in the U.S.
4
Baby Boomers are getting back to even
2007 401(k) Account Balances: Tabulations from EBRI/ICI Participant-Directed Retirement Plan Data Collection
Project; 2008 and 2009 Account Balances: EBRI estimates. The analysis is based on all participants with accountbalances at the end of 2007 and contribution information for that year.
Change in Average Account Balances (by Age and Tenure)
From Jan 2008 to Dec 2009
-10%
10%
30%
50%
70%
90%
110%
1 to 4 100.9% 72.6% 54.9% 46.7%
5 to 9 53.9% 22.0% 15.1% 13.8%
10 to 19 10.8% 3.1% 2.2%20 to 29 -1.8% -2.9%
25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64
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Impact of the Recession in the U.S.
5
Average person has$70,970 balance in 2009,compared to $79,570 in2007
Cant rely on equity
markets alone
Return to S&P 500 in2009 was 23%
Will be difficult to repeatin slow growthenvironment
Profit Sharing Council of America, Bloomberg, Hewitt
Average 401(k) balance
$70,970
$79,570
$68,000
$72,000
$76,000
$80,000
2009 2007
Average Social Security payment around $1,000/month
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Growth ofmiddleclasses inlarge core
emergingmarkets
Top 7Nationsshifting tomiddleincome
Goldman Sachs, UN World Report, CIA FactBook, IBGE, Deutsche Bank, McKinsey, ADB, Chulalongkorn Univ, Central Bureau of Statistics and estimates
Middle Class Population Growth
612 583
135122 84
0
100200
300
400
500
600
700
China India SE Asia Brazil Mexico
SE As ia includes Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand
populationinmillions
2008
2025
How do we address the Retirement Shortfall?
6
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Most customers simply want professional
help - Do It For Me
7
Can get theeducation how theywant it
Blended portfoliosappropriate to ageor risk tolerance
Focus on adequate
levels of savings,NOT 6-7%
Hewitt indicates 15.7x salary needed: 4.7x from SocialSecurity, 13.3x from savings and 401k, gap of 2.4x
Hewitt, May 2010
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Help Me Do It Myself for a smaller portion ofcustomer base
8
Allow customersto pick theirallocation, let itage with them,
rebalance, staystatic or anycombination
Use third partyadvisor forinvestmentadvice
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Simple, Understandable Message
9
Focus on customers need for help
Message from customers - Do NOT start with Products
Awareness, Education, Guidance, Solutions
41%
10%
36%
13%
24%
18%
28%30%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Neither work
longer nor save
more
Save more only Work longer only Save more and
work longer
Initial response to downturn Response to downturn after receiving advice
Center for Retirement Research at BC, Feb 2010, Sass, Monk, Haverstick
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Client Focus
10
Bundled Packaged Solutions
Target Date or Target Risk Solutions
Transparent, Simple Design
Addresses clients lack of deep financial sophistication
Invest in Knowledge Transfer to Distribution
Make the financial advisor the expert
Center for Retirement Research at BC, Feb 2010, Sass, Monk, Haverstick
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Rebuilding Message works around the World
11
Makes us recognize the importance of a global strategy
No markets were spared
Although some performed better than others
Concept of Rebuilding financial assets is appropriateeverywhere
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Rebuilding Message Resonates
12
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Thank you!
13
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrC8DC1vl-s
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrC8DC1vl-shttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrC8DC1vl-shttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrC8DC1vl-shttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrC8DC1vl-s