YOUR ROADMAP TO A SUCCESSFUL TRANSITION › wp-content › ... · 11/6/2017 · YOUR ROADMAP TO A...
Transcript of YOUR ROADMAP TO A SUCCESSFUL TRANSITION › wp-content › ... · 11/6/2017 · YOUR ROADMAP TO A...
Jim Crooks
Partner
Pricewaterhouse Coopers LLP
YOUR ROADMAP TO A SUCCESSFUL TRANSITION
Business Transitions Forum
How to Build a Saleable Business: Your Roadmap to a Successful Transition
November 2017
What we’ll focus on today…
Influences on the M&A Market1.
Deal Activity & Trends2.
Transaction Process 3.
Potential Deal Issues4.
Influences on the M&A Market
Strong capital markets
1 Excludes Financials; all years calculated using S&P constituents as at October 2017 for comparability; in USD 2 Moody’s Seasoned AAA Corporate Bond Yield3 Excludes Real Estate, Mezzanine and Distressed private equity funds; in USD4 Latest ‘global PE dry powder waiting to be deployed’ data available is as of May 2017Sources: Capital IQ, Preqin
S&P 500 companies 1
Corporate bond yield 2
Cash of S&P 500 companies1
Global PE ‘dry powder’ 3
13.4xEV/EBITDA
3.9%Yield
$1.3Trillion
2015 $745Billion
2016 14.5xEV/EBITDA
3.7%Yield
$1.5Trillion
$821Billion
2017 YTD
15.1xEV/EBITDA
3.8%Yield
$1.6Trillion
$9064
Billion
State of capital markets in Canada
13.3x $74.4CAD Billion
S&P/TSX Composite Index
(excluding Energy & Financials)
Cash & EquivalentsEV/EBITDA Multiple
Source: Capital IQ, Pitchbook, PwC Analysis as of October 2017173 of 251 companies on the index included
Canadian Private Equity Dry Powder
$77.5CAD Billion
-6%
-1%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17
US (S&P 500) Canada (S&P/TSX) UK (FTSE 100) China (Shanghai)
Global equity markets buoyant over the last year
Source: Capital IQ, PwC Analysis
+19%
+8%
+10%
+6%
Bull or Bear – where will the market go in 2018?
Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2016 Oct 31, 2017 2018
S&P 500 2,044 2,239 2,575
?
NASDAQ 5,007 5,383 6,728
S&P/TSX 13,010 15,288 16,026
Gold (US$/oz) $1,060 $1,152 $1,271
Silver (US$/oz) $13.80 $15.99 $16.68
Oil (WTIUS$/bbl)
$37.04 $53.72 $54.38
Cdn / US FX 1.39 / 0.72 1.34 / 0.74 1.29 / 0.78
Poll: Bull or Bear – where do you think the market will go in 2018?
1 2
38 →
42
19→
25
42→
46
30→
40
33→
37
29→
41
We’re not getting younger…
Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects, 2015 revision (2015 – 2050)
Source: Alberta Treasury Board and Finance, Population Projections
…and an aging population is driving succession activity
Alberta Population by Age Group
1997 – 2.8 million 2017 – 4.3 million
23% 38%
2041
31%90+
85 to 8980 to 8475 to 7970 to 7465 to 6960 to 6455 to 5950 to 5445 to 4940 to 4435 to 3930 to 3425 to 2920 to 2415 to 1910 to 14
5 to 90 to 4
Deal Activity & Trends
Energy$56.6
Materials$8.7
Real Estate$6.3
Industrials$8.7
Consumer Discretionary
$3.5
Consumer Staples$9.0
Healthcare$2.8
Financials$2.5
Information Technology
$9.2
Telecommunication Services
$4.5
Utilities$5.2
Source: Capital IQ as of November 6, 2017 (CAD $ billions)
$117Billion
Over 1,500 transactions in Canada over the past 12 months…
Energy$17,418
Materials$23
Real Estate$98
Industrials$1,180
Consumer Discretionary
$162
Consumer Staples
$8
Healthcare$45
Information Technology
$663 Utilities$435
…and 8% of those deals were in Alberta
Source: Capital IQ as of November 6, 2017 (CAD $ millions)
$20Billion
107
9489
97
112
103
138131
141 143
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Dea
l C
ou
nt
Private equity is very active in Canada
Source: Pitchbook, PwC Analysis
Source: Preqin Q2 2017 Report; Capital IQ S&P 500 Q2 2017, excluding financials (USD $ billions)
Lots of cash looking for a home…
Global private equity
capital ($b)
$527
$1,597$627
$906
S&P 500 cash & ST
investments
($b)
2006 2017
…..debt is readily available
4.6x 5.2x 4.7x5.5x 5.2x 5.7x 5.4x
6.2x
3.5x4.0x
3.8x3.8x 4.0x
4.5x 5.3x4.6x
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Debt/EBITDA Equity/EBITDA
Source: Pitchbook, PwC Analysis
US Private Equity Transactions
8.1x
10.8x
Observations on Private Equity buyers
Debt contributions of 4-5 x EBITDA are common in the US
Canadian PE’s multiples are not as strong as US PE’s –Debt of 3-4x
PE’s are becoming specialised –acting more like strategic buyers
Strong valuations are driving significant due diligence
Source: PitchBook M&A Report Q4 2016 and Q1 2017
Poll: What do you think is the most common reason for selling?
3 Special situations
1 Succession 2 Approached by potential buyer
4 Business is great
Drivers for Mid-Market Deals
Succession/Retirement Approached by a potential buyer or investor
Special situations• shareholder• matrimonial• health• financial distress
Opportunistic
Transaction Process
Strategic options for a shareholder
Recapitalization
Sale to strategic buyer
Sale to financial buyer (private equity)
Management buyout
IPO
Family transition
Exclusive Sale Process
Targeted Sale Process
Auction Process
Potential sale process options
Transaction process summary
Time leading up to process
Sale Preparation
Formal Marketing
Due Diligence &
Final Offers
Negotiation & Closing
Every deal is different: 16 – 36+ weeks
Areas of due diligence
Commercial Financial Tax Legal Environmental
Areas of due diligence
• Products and/or services and life cycles
• New product and/or services development
• Geographic concentration
• Competitors
• Customer/supplier dependence
• Industry outlook
Commercial
Areas of due diligence
• Quality of earnings
• Normalizations
• Working capital analysis
• Margin analysis
• Data room
• Business plan review
Financial
Potential Deal Issues
Market conditions
Business impact
Deal structure
Do your due diligence
Know the target’s “value”
Emotional impact
Confidentiality and disruption
Competitive tension
Be ready for taxes
Clean house and be prepared
Transaction Considerations
Transaction considerations
Sell SideBuy Side
Poll: What do you think is the biggest value disruptor in a deal?
Significant deal issues
1 Lack of preparation
Flawed sale processChange in financial performance2
3
4
5
Market changes
Presentation key highlights
Market conditions are excellent for vendors
Strategic and private equity buyers are very active
Demographic shift and favourable economic conditions are impacting market activity
Continue to focus on business operations
Do your homework and be prepared
If I had one hour to save the worldI would spend fifty-five minutes defining
the problem and only five minutesfinding the solution!
- Albert Einstein
Any questions?
Jim Crooks
Managing Director and Partner
PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance Inc. *
PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance LLC * *
604 806 7306
* Jim Crooks is a Partner with PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (Canada) and a Managing Director with PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance Inc. PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance Inc. conducts an investment banking
business in Canada, and is owned by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, an Ontario limited liability partnership and a member firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited. Each member firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers
International Limited is a separate legal entity.
* * Jim Crooks is a FINRA Registered Representative with PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance LLC, which is owned by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP (US), a Delaware limited liability partnership and a member firm of
PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited. Each member firm of PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited is a separate legal entity. PricewaterhouseCoopers Corporate Finance LLC conducts an investment banking
business in the United States and is a member of FINRA and SIPC, and is not engaged in the practice of public accountancy.