Xangle Ticker Just the FACTs - Amazon S3 · Powered by Xangle BTC Halving Preview: BCH had its...
Transcript of Xangle Ticker Just the FACTs - Amazon S3 · Powered by Xangle BTC Halving Preview: BCH had its...
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Xangle TickerJust the FACTs
April 9th, 2020
Powered by Xangle, the global crypto disclosure platform. [email protected] http://xangle.io
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All the information used in this report are sourced from Xangle, the crypto disclosure platform.
There are 500+ projects whose information is readily available on Xangle, but the disclosures can only be
found or seen if the project has willingly published them to the public.
All the information on Xangle come directly from the project teams or from the Xangle Research Team.
Contents of this report come from credible or vetted sources. CrossAngle and Xangle has taken all
reasonable care to ensure its reliability, but we do not guarantee its completeness or accuracy.
MON TUE WED THU FRI
03.30 03.31 04.01 04.02 04.03
KLAY: Service suspension
MKR: Voting proposal
MBL: MovieBloc PICK launched
META: THEPOL launched
HINT: Token swap
ONE: Token burn
OBSR: partnership with Vietnam
7-Eleven
PAX: New listing
ICX: Dev Roadmap update
IRIS: Token burn
COSM: Token buyback
DGD: Delisting
STPT: Key progress
COSM: Xangle Credit Rating ‘A’
CON: Exchange Warning Issued
ADT: Delisting
BNB: Acquired CoinMarketCap
MED: Special disclosure
BTC, ETH: GTI March 2020
04.06 04.07 04.08 04.09 04.10
BSV: Milestone achievement
MKR: Execute Voting Proposal
Dash: Trust Protectors Election
GET: Token Burn
ETH: [OVERBOUGHT] RSI: 75.1
ETH: High price volatility (+17.8%)
MNR: New listing
BNB, TRX, EOS: Legal Concerns
BCH: Halving
VNT: Request for disclosure
MATIC, KAI: Strategic partnership
BNB, DATA: Strategic Partnership
SOL: New listing (Binance)
MIX: New listing (Hanbitco)
CZ: New listing
BSV: Halving (TBD)
04.13 04.14 04.15 04.16 04.17
VNT: Delisting (Coinone)
DAPPT: Delisting (Coinone)
LAMB: Delisting (Coinone)
IOTX: Delisting (GOPAX)
TBD TBD TBD
Calendar
Xangle Disclosure Calendar
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BTC Halving Preview
[Issue Review]Xangle T!cker
A Review of the Recent BCH Halving& Past BTC Halving Events (Statistics)
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BTC Halving Preview: BCH had its first halving this month*.At block 630,000, BCH reduced its block reward from 12.5 to 6.25 (2020-04-08).*BSV Halving is scheduled for 2020-04-10 (TBD, due after this report has been published).
Xangle Issue Review
Network Stats BCH BSV
Blocks (Total) 630,029 629,841
Blockchain Size 146.64 GB 207.52 GB
Current Total Supply 18,371,320 18,368,638
Transactions (Total) 287,245,844 385,271,723
Stat Trends (d-d) BCH BSV
Blocks 127 157
Inflation 1,400 1,963
Inflation (USD) $374,465 $426,732
Inflation (%) (Annualized) 0.0076% (2.78%) 0.0107% (3.90%)
Average transaction fee (USD) $0.0017 $0.0005
Block time 681.17 s 550.38 s
Transaction per second 1.11 6.13
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Tx volume (Right) Price (Left)
BCH
BSV
First halving (2020-04-08)
First halving (2020-04-08)
On-chain status on 2020-04-09
First halving (2020-04-10, TBD)
First halving (2020-04-10, TBD)
(USD)
(USD) (USD)
(USD)(BCH) (BCH)
(BSV) (BSV)
Powered by Xangle
BCH first halving result: Limited short-term impact on price.On-chain transaction count and transaction volume soared, but price increased by a moderate 6% and network freshness decreased by 20%p (day-to-day)
Xangle Issue Review
Activity Trends Data (%d-d) at 2020-04-08 UTC 24:00
Transactions 95,504 (+174.67%)
Network Freshness (New/Activity) 49.00% (-18.98%p)
New addresses 80,934 (-4.71%)
Active addresses 165,177 (+32.30%)
On-chain volume 1,660,236 (+154.20%)
On-chain volume (USD) $440.07M (+154.20%)
Number of +1.0 Mil. USD transaction 22 (+144.44%)
0
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First halving (2020-04-08 UTC 10:19am)
Activity Trends Data (%w-w) from 2020-04-01 to 2020-04-08
Transactions 318,096 (+29.26%)
Network Freshness (New/Activity) 76.13% (+22.86%p)
New addresses 251,861 (+111.68%)
Active addresses 330,812 (+48.12%)
On-chain volume 6,115,183 (-1.43%)
On-chain volume (USD) $1,650.86M (-1.43%)
Number of +1.0 Mil. USD transaction 92 (-39.87%)
UTC 24:00UTC 24:00UTC 24:00UTC 24:00UTC 24:00UTC 24:00UTC 24:00UTC 24:00
(USD) (BCH)
Price (Left)
On-chain tx volume (Right)
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Bitcoin’s 3rd halving is coming up…The event slashes by half the number of new coins awarded to bitcoin miners (per block)
Source: Reuters, Xangle
Xangle Issue Review
0
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2011-Nov 2012-Nov 2013-Nov 2014-Nov 2015-Nov 2016-Nov 2017-Nov 2018-Nov 2019-Nov
•New BTC Per Block Before: 50 BTC per block•New BTC Per Block After: 25 BTC per block
•New BTC Per Block Before: 25 BTC per block•New BTC Per Block After: 12.5 BTC per block
Mining reward: Block reward + Transaction fee
First halving (2012-11-28)
Second halving (2016-07-09)
BTC price
(BTC)
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2011-Nov 2012-May 2012-Nov 2013-May 2013-Nov 2014-May 2014-Nov 2015-May 2015-Nov 2016-May 2016-Nov 2017-May 2017-Nov 2018-May 2018-Nov 2019-May 2019-Nov 2020-May
Powered by Xangle
…expected to happen in May 2020.The halving happens every 210,000 blocks. This year’s halving will happen at block 630,000, and then at block 840,000 (est. 2024).
Xangle Issue Review
First halving (2012-11-28)
Second halving (2016-07-09)
Accumulated block countIs about to reach 630,000
Mining reward: Block reward + Transaction fee
210,000
420,000
2020 May
BTC price
(BTC) (Block)
Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13 Aug-130
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Price (Right)
Powered by Xangle
Prices after previous halving(s): First +8,069%, Second +284%.In the past, markets expected the price to soar… and soar it did.
Xangle Issue Review
First halving (2012-11-28)
Second halving (2016-07-09)
Block reward Block reward
Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17200
700
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1700
2200
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3200
Price (Right)
Price up by +8,069%,
1 year after the halving
event
Price up by +284%,
1 year after the halving
event
(USD) (USD)
Powered by Xangle
On-chain statistics: Transaction volume spiked before the halving(s).
Xangle Issue Review
First tx spike2012-09-19
(31325866 BTC)
Second tx spike2016-01-24
(67354303 BTC)
Third tx spike2019-08-21(24528670 BTC)
0
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2011-Nov 2012-May 2012-Nov 2013-May 2013-Nov 2014-May 2014-Nov 2015-May 2015-Nov 2016-May 2016-Nov 2017-May 2017-Nov 2018-May 2018-Nov 2019-May 2019-Nov 2020-May
First halving (2012-11-28)
Second halving (2016-07-09)
Third halving (2020-May)
D+70
D+167
D+268
Mining reward: Block reward + Transaction fee
2020 May
BTC price
Transaction volume soared before each halving event, but with low correlation to price.
On-chain transaction volume
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Price (Right) On-chain tx volume (Left)
Powered by Xangle
Closer look at on-chain transaction volume at previous halving events.
Xangle Issue Review
First halving (2012-11-28)
Second halving (2016-07-09)
First halving (2012-11-28)
Second halving (2016-07-09)
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Price (Right) On-chain tx volume (Left)
~~
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Price (Right) On-chain tx volume (Left)
Block reward Block reward
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Powered by Xangle
On-chain statistics: Effect on # of addresses was limited.Number of both new and active addresses move in relation to price.
Xangle Issue Review
Mining reward: Block reward + Transaction fee
2020 May
First halving (2012-11-28)
Second halving (2016-07-09)
New account address
Active account address
(BTC) (‘000)
Powered by Xangle
Closer look at on-chain addresses count at previous halving events.
Xangle Issue Review
First halving (2012-11-28)
Second halving (2016-07-09)
First halving (2012-11-28)
Second halving (2016-07-09)
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Price (Right) New account (Left) Active account (Left)
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Price (Right) New account (Left) Active account (Left)
Block reward Block reward
Block rewardBlock reward
(USD)(‘000) (USD)(‘000)
(USD)(‘000)(USD)(‘000)
Powered by Xangle
On-chain Statistics: Hashrate was adjusted immediately after the halving.The data confirms that of all the market participants, the miners are the most affected.
Xangle Issue Review
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1E+09
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Price (Right) Hashrate (Left)
First halving (2012-11-28)
Second halving (2016-07-09)
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Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13
Price (Right) Hashrate (Left)
Block reward Block reward
-21%(2012-11-26~2012-12-21)
+55%(2012-12-21~2013-02-27)
-11%(2016-07-09~2016-07-26)
+41%(2016-07-26~2016-10-09)
(TH/s) (USD) (TH/s) (USD)
Powered by Xangle
Closer look reveals that the hashrate increase preceded the price increaseA year after halving, hashrate increased by 19,766%, 248% respectively.
Xangle Issue Review
First halving (2012-11-28)
Second halving (2016-07-09)
Block reward Block reward
0
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Price (Right) Hashrate (Left)
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Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13 Aug-13
Price (Right) Hashrate (Left)
Price up by +8,069%,
1 year after the halving
event
Price up by +284%,
1 year after the halving
event
Hashrate up by +19,766%, 1 year after the halving
event
Hashrate up by +248%,
1 year after the halving
event(TH/s) (USD) (USD)(TH/s)
Powered by XangleXangle Issue Review
4000
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8000
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11000
12000
8E+10
8.5E+10
9E+10
9.5E+10
1E+11
1.05E+11
1.1E+11
1.15E+11
1.2E+11
1.25E+11
1.3E+11
2019-12-31 2020-01-14 2020-01-28 2020-02-11 2020-02-25 2020-03-10 2020-03-24
Price (Right) Hashrate (Left)
Conclusion: Pay attention to the hash rate change after the 3rd halving event. Uncertain market conditions can be a variable this time around.
The global financial market, including crypto, has been through a lot lately (high volatility, COVID-19).Hashrate has already been adjusted after the recent price plunge.
COVID-19
-24%(2020-03-07~2020-03-21)
+6%(2020-03-21~2020-03-31)
(TH/s) (USD)
So what will happen after this halving?
Comments about Halving Powered by Xangle
Michael Novograts Changpeng Zhao Dave Ripley
Tim Draper Willy Woo Peter Brandt
Crypto Michael Bobby Lee Tone Vays
Crypto Celebrities talk about Bitcoin Halving
Comments about Halving Powered by Xangle
Michael Novograts Changpeng Zhao Dave RipleyCEO of Digital Galaxy CEO of Binance COO of Kraken
“Bitcoin $20,000 to be achieved in the impending halving.”
"The speed of new supply will decrease, and demand is increasing."
“Historically, we saw a price surge in the 1.5 years after the halving, so it’s highly possible we’ll see new entrants in the market.”
The Block, 2020-04-07Cointelegraph, 2020-03-31Cointelegraph, 2020-02-17
Crypto Celebrities talk about Bitcoin Halving
Comments about Halving Powered by Xangle
“It looks like it will be something like six months to a year after the halvening that we will cross $250,000 by the end of 2022 or early 2023.”
”Never gone into a halveningin bearish price action."
“Bitcoin halving is crossly over-rated.”
Twitter, 2020-03-17Twitter, 2019-11-19BLOCKTV, 2019-12-19
Tim Draper Willy Woo Peter BrandtCEO of Draper Fisher Jurvetson Crypto Analyst CEO of Factor LLC
Crypto Celebrities talk about Bitcoin Halving
Comments about Halving Powered by Xangle
Crypto Michael Bobby Lee Tone VaysCrypto Enthusiast Founder of BTCC Crypto Enthusiast
“Currently, BTC's 21-week MA is 37 percent lower than its all-time high of $14,000. If the trend repeats, the BTC will test the corresponding support line and meet a half-life with the highest price record in 2020.”
“Within two years after the next halving, the price of bitcoin will surpass $100,000 and rise to $500,000 when it crosses the gold watch gun. Bitcoin will recover $10,000 after the halving and rise to $25,000 by December.”
“As the halving approaches, Bitcoin is expected to strengthen. Bitcoin's recent trend is similar to that of August 2015.”
Twitter, 2019-09-01 Cointelegraph, 2019-11-10 Cointelegraph, 2020-03-19
Dashboard https://xangle.io/project/BTC/dashboard
Mainnet Stats https://xangle.io/mainnet-stats
Major Coin Review
BTC
Activity Trends Data (%w-w)
Transactions 1,946,499 (+6.19%)
Network Freshness (New/Activity) 63.46% (+1.84%p)
New addresses 2,639,938 (+7.53%)
Active addresses 4,160,106 (+4.41%)
On-chain volume 6,665,406 (+6.99%)
On-chain volume (USD) $48,612.25M (+6.99%)
Number of +1.0 Mil. USD transaction 6,084 (+1.42%)
Xangle Ticker
Weekly On-chain Status & Performance (April 8th)
Powered by Xangle
Price (USD)
Technical Indicator (Index)
Note : Please see the appendix for details about RSI and MFI
2020-04-06 Death Cross (2020-04-05 24:00 UTC)
2020-04-03 [Google Trend Index] March 2020 Result (+13.8%)
2020-03-27 [OVERBOUGHT] Relative Strength Index (RSI): 71.4
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
4/1 4/2 4/3 4/4 4/5 4/6 4/7
(USD)
RSI Overbought (Over 70)
MFI Overbought (Over 80)
65.6
65.3
56.8
62.5
63.3 63.8
63.5
68
59.9
58.7
60.6
66.465.1
58.5
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
4/1 4/2 4/3 4/4 4/5 4/6 4/7
MFI
RSI
Dashboard https://xangle.io/project/ETH/dashboard
Mainnet Stats https://xangle.io/mainnet-stats
Major Coin Review
ETH
Activity Trends Data (%w-w)
Transactions 4,835,755 (-0.82%)
Network Freshness (New/Activity) 33.19% (+0.60%p)
New addresses 527,053 (-4.29%)
Active addresses 1,587,819 (-6.01%)
On-chain volume 13,670,966 (+7.49%)
On-chain volume (USD) $2,343.48M (+7.49%)
Number of +1.0 Mil. USD transaction 142 (+25.66%)
Weekly On-chain Status & Performance (April 8th)
Powered by Xangle
Note : Please see the appendix for details about RSI and MFI
Technical Indicator (Index)
Price (USD)
Xangle Ticker
2020-04-07 Technical Indicators at high price volatility (+17.8%d-d, 2020-04-06 24:00 UTC)
2020-04-07 [OVERBOUGHT] Relative Strength Index (RSI): 75.1
2020-04-03 [Google Trends Index] March 2020 Result (-16.2%)
120
140
160
180
4/1 4/2 4/3 4/4 4/5 4/6 4/7
(USD)
RSI Overbought (Over 70)
MFI Overbought (Over 80)
67.866.3
64.7
69.9
75.1 75.6 74.8
63.3
54.3
57.960
68.6
75.1
69.2
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
4/1 4/2 4/3 4/4 4/5 4/6 4/7
MFI
RSI
Market Review
Top 10 Xangle disclosures by view counts 2020-04-01 ~ 2020-04-08
Rank Project Published Date Xangle Ticker Price / Transaction change on published day (%d-d)
1 CosmoCoin 2020-04-02 Xangle assigns CosmoChain ‘A’ credit rating -0.21% +52.28%
2 MediBloc 2020-04-03 Severance Hospital is available though Medipass +4.38% +2036.62%
3 Bitcoin 2020-04-06 Death Cross (2020-04-05 24:00 UTC) +7.08% +58.92%
4 SOLVE 2020-04-03 New listing on CoinTiger (03 April 2020) +2.02% +689.99%
5 Ardor 2020-04-07 Partnership with Labrys -0.27% +4.95%
6 CosmoCoin 2020-04-01 Token buyback 2,000,000 COSM -3.89% -56.26%
7 STPT 2020-04-02 STP Joins Samsung Blockchain Ecosystem +1.25% +404.09%
8 ICON 2020-04-01 Partnership with 5 New Projects on My-ID Alliance +16.21% +254.86%
9 TRON 2020-04-07 Legal Concerns (Class-action Complaint) -2.87% -7.22%
10 EOS 2020-04-07 Legal Concerns (Class-action Complaint) -3.66% -4.19%
Powered by Xangle
Market Review
Xangle Weekly: Price change
Powered by Xangle
Top 5 Worst 5
Note: Top 10 price performance ranking is based on the publicly disclosed projects whose price data is available on XangleSource: Project team, Xangle
2020-04-01 ~ 2020-04-08
+349% +347% +339%
+232% +229%
-90% -81% -71% -68%-52%
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
PRA CVT MB QDAO JOB
EDC ADT XWC MCH DCN
Market Review
Xangle Weekly Top 10
Powered by Xangle
Wallet Count change On-chain transaction count change On-chain transaction volume change
Note: Top 10 on-chain performance ranking is based on increased net wallet count of the projects whose mainnets are available on Xangle. Projects without price change are not listed on CMC, where Xangle crawls price and volume dataSource: Project team, Xangle
Note: Top 10 on-chain ranking is based on increased net transaction volume of the projects whose mainnet analytics are available on XangleSource: Project team, Xangle
Note: Top 10 on-chain ranking is based on increased net count of the projects whose mainnet analytics are available on XangleSource: Project team, Xangle
2020-04-01 ~ 2020-04-08
3820%
1713%1538%
829%619%
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
764%
357%
229% 203%
127%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900 89909%
1230% 608% 519% 358%0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
APM DX MIX KCASH TOKO DX CND FXC KCASH DGTX MIX CHZ MFT BOLT EURS
Appendix : Technical Indicator
Relative Strength Index (RSI)Definition: The relative strength index (RSI) is a technical oscillator that
measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or
oversold conditions in an asset. The RSI moves between 0 and 100. Xangle’s
RSI calculations are based on data over the last 14 days.
Status Implication
- Above 70: Likely to be overbought
- Below 30: Likely to be oversold
Methodology
𝐑𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐠𝐭𝐡 𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐱 = 𝟏𝟎𝟎 −𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝟏+ 𝑹𝒆𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒗𝒆 𝑺𝒕𝒓𝒆𝒏𝒈𝒕𝒉 𝑹𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐
𝑅𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑆𝑡𝑟e𝑛𝑔𝑡ℎ 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖o =14 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 𝑎𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑢𝑝𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒
14 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 𝑎𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑜𝑤𝑛𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒
Where,
Money Flow Index (MFI)Definition: The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical oscillator that uses price
and volume for identifying overbought or oversold conditions in an asset. The
MFI moves between 0 and 100. Xangle’s MFI calculations are based on data
over the last 14 days.
Status Implication
- Above 80: Likely to be overbought
- Below 20: Likely to be oversold
Source : On-chain transaction volume data powered by Xangle are used.
The on-chain data presented for analysis is based on data collected from nodes
Xangle operates for each respective networks. While the data is based on real
transaction records, some of the results may have been adjusted to exclude
internal transactions and other manipulative transaction records.
Powered by Xangle
Methodology
𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐲 𝐅𝐥𝐨𝐰 𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐱 = 𝟏𝟎𝟎−𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝟏+𝑴𝒐𝒏𝒆𝒚 𝑭𝒍𝒐𝒘 𝑹𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐
𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑦 𝐹𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜 =14 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 of 𝑃𝑜𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑦 𝐹𝑙𝑜𝑤
14 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 of 𝑁𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑦 𝐹𝑙𝑜𝑤
𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑦 𝐹𝑙𝑜𝑤 = 𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 ∗ 𝑶𝒏𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒊𝒏 𝒕𝒓𝒂𝒏𝒔𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 𝒗𝒐𝒍𝒖𝒎𝒆𝒑𝒐𝒘𝒆𝒓𝒆𝒅 𝒃𝒚𝑿𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒍𝒆
𝑇𝑦𝑝𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 =𝐻𝑖𝑔ℎ + 𝐿𝑜𝑤+ 𝐶𝑙𝑜𝑠𝑒
3
Where,