Www.equitybd.org Climate Migrants Rights “National & International Policy Option”
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Transcript of Www.equitybd.org Climate Migrants Rights “National & International Policy Option”
www.equitybd.org
Climate Migrants Rights
“National & International Policy Option”
Our perception and understanding on climate induced migration
- Historical context of GHG emission by Annex-1 countries
- Climate displaced being happened as result of climate change and its impact. So they have responsibility.
- Recognize the migrants ethically but don’t accept geo-political and in economic perspective
- Voice need to raise realizing demand
Climate Migrants Rights: National & International Policy Options
www.equitybd.org
Climate migration: Future Global forecasting
- A greatest Human Migration AR1-IPCC
- Threatening to the economy & livelihood and created migration (CC & Dev. UNDP Report 2007)
- 180-200 million people migrated (Stern Review 2007)
- Most of the cases will be happened in South Asian countries
- Climate displacement would be six times higher than politicalrefugee at the end of 21st century (Jodi Jacobson).
Climate Migrants Rights: National & International Policy Options
www.equitybd.org
IPCC analysis vs. reality
- 21.9 million displaced in 2013.
- In 2008 to 2013 displacement identified in 161 countries, and the dataset includes disasters reported in 194 countries.
- 80.9 per cent of displacement took place in Asia. The five countries with the highest displacement levels: the Philippines, China, India, Bangladesh and Vietnam. Source: IDMC 2014
Climate Migrants Rights: National & International Policy Options
www.equitybd.org
www.equitybd.org
Bangladesh is the world third most vulnerable country to the extreme disaster
Global outlook to vulnerability and climate migrants in BD
Empirical observation on climate migrants
- 10 million people crossed international border during past decades. This migration has been exacerbated by a series of floods and droughts affecting the livelihoods of landless and poor farmers in this region. Land loss in coastal areas resulting from inundation from sea-level rise as a result of climate change. IPCC AR5-WG-II, Para 11.2.6.1
Climate Migrants Rights: National & International Policy Options
www.equitybd.org
Empirical observation on climate migrants
- Cyclone Aila affected 02 million and displaced 0.15 million.
- River erosion 10,000 hector/yr. and displaced 100,000 people
- Salinity 10-15000/yr. in coastal areas.
- Water Logging 30,000/yr. Source: CC, loss of livelihood and forced displacement in BD
Climate Migrants Rights: National & International Policy Options
www.equitybd.org
Why we demand for new protocol ?
Climate Migrants: Future projection in BD
- Sea Level Rise (SLR) -The research revealed that 01 m SLR in the coastal region of Bangladesh by 2100, affecting 25,000 Sq. km which is 17.5% of total landmass with a population of 31.5 million people displaced.
- River Bank Erosion- Present is displaced trend 9.35% of the total population. It will likely be increased by 12.375% of the total
population in affected areas.
- Drought- The seasonal or temporal migrated population will be increased by 20% from present 10% observed of the total
population in drought prone areas. Climate Induced Displacement in Bangladesh: An exploratory GIS based study, Innovators, 2011
Climate Migrants Rights: National & International Policy Options
www.equitybd.org
Source: PRB, 2010 World Population Data Sheet, BBS 2011.
In 2010 Projection 2050
Country Population (millions)
PopulationDensity/Sq.
Km.
Country Population (millions)
China 1,338 140 India 1,748
India 1,189 362 China 1,437
USA 310 32 USA 423
Indonesia 235 124 Pakistan 335
Brazil 193 23 Nigeria 326
Pakistan 185 232 Indonesia 309
Nigeria 158 171 Bangladesh 226
Bangladesh 150 964 Brazil 215
Russia 142 8 Ethiopia 174
Japan 127 337 Congo. D. Rep. 166
- Highest population with poverty,
- Unmanageable in future
Workshop on Climate Induced Migration
www.equitybd.org
Should worried to vulnerability and climate migrants in BD
www.equitybd.org
Bangladesh is the most vulnerable in mass unrest and creating migrants
Maple Croft 2014
Create Human Crisis as result of climate change impact
Present legal framework: Is enough to protect CC migration rights
Climate Migrants Rights: National & International Policy Options
www.equitybd.org
Developed as it was their interest- UN Human Rights Charter 1947
- UN Refugee Act 1951
- New UN Protocol for Climate induced displaced people
- UN Role for new treatment of climate induced displaced people
Deny as CVCs interest
Obscure & Questionable
We (CVCs) face the challenges
- Negative connotation by rich countries
- Create undue Debate on the definition of climate induced migration.
- Under toning in the CoP process
Climate Migrants Rights: National & International Policy Options
www.equitybd.org
Present Inter-State action on climate displaced
Nansen Initiatives
- Initiated in 2012 out of UN Process
- 09 member countries including Bangladesh
- A state-led, bottom-up consultative process intended to build consensus and develop protection agenda for climate displaced & cross border migration.
Climate Migrants Rights: National & International Policy Options
www.equitybd.org
Start works
- Inter-governmental regional and civil society meetings already taken place in the Pacific, Central America, the Horn of Africa, South-East Asia, and South Asia and
finalized by October 2015.
- Inter-govt. panel consultation (South Asia) will be held on next 3-5 April in Bangladesh
But a few limitation of this process
- No advocacy for any new legal framework under UN.
- Protection agenda to be feed with existing legal structures that might not work.
- All countries may not include with this process.
Climate Migrants Rights: National & International Policy Options
www.equitybd.org
We hope with Nansen Initiative
- Will extend its advocacy strategy beyond inter-state consensus on climate displaced rights.
- Include climate migrants rights issue to be included in beyond 2015 SDG , RO+20 discourse.
- New protocol must be emphasis under UN process to bring all countries in a frame.
- Easier VISA process for climate displaced cross border migrants.
- Bangladesh should develop their own policy establishing example on climate displaced mgt.
Climate Migrants Rights: National & International Policy Options
www.equitybd.org
www.equitybd.org