Metro Vision 2035 Regional Growth Scenarios. Scenario Workshop.
Www.envisionutah.org. Baseline Scenario Quality Growth Strategy.
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Transcript of Www.envisionutah.org. Baseline Scenario Quality Growth Strategy.
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www.envisionutah.org
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BaselineScenario
Quality GrowthStrategy
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Quality Growth Strategy ReviewQuality Growth Strategy Review
Traffic Congestion decreases 12%Traffic Congestion decreases 12% Auto Emissions decreases 7%Auto Emissions decreases 7% Total open land preserved 171 square Total open land preserved 171 square
miles (160 square miles of Ag land)miles (160 square miles of Ag land) Decreased water demandDecreased water demand
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Assessment and Renewal ProcessAssessment and Renewal Process
FindingsFindings Public TransportationPublic Transportation Water ConservationWater Conservation HousingHousing Economic DevelopmentEconomic Development
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Assessment and Renewal ProcessAssessment and Renewal Process
FindingsFindings Public TransportationPublic Transportation Water ConservationWater Conservation HousingHousing Economic DevelopmentEconomic Development
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Water Supply and DemandWater Supply and DemandGreater Wasatch AreaGreater Wasatch Area
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
1,100,000
2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030
Acre-Feet
1997 Baseline Demand 2003 Baseline Demand Supply
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Mountain View Mountain View CorridorCorridor
EISEIS
16 Cities16 Cities 2 Counties2 Counties 2 MPO’S2 MPO’S Lot’s of trafficLot’s of traffic
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The Wasatch Front’s pinch pointsThe Wasatch Front’s pinch points
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Workshop format was table top exercise Workshop format was table top exercise with diverse people discussing land use with diverse people discussing land use and transportation solutionsand transportation solutions
Mountain View CorridorMountain View CorridorEISEIS
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1025.55
728.5
589.2
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Ho
urs
- H
un
dre
ds
Total
Vehicle Hours of Delay
No Build
Long Range Plan
Vision
Mountain View CorridorMountain View Corridor Vision Model ResultsVision Model Results
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25,415
35,360
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
Da
ily
Tri
ps
Long Range Plan Vision
Transit Trips
Mountain View CorridorMountain View Corridor Vision Model ResultsVision Model Results
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Mountain View Corridor ProcessMountain View Corridor Process
Changes to land use will impact Changes to land use will impact transportation system significantlytransportation system significantly
Cities in specific locations now have Cities in specific locations now have opportunity to modify plans opportunity to modify plans
All entities with land use changes have All entities with land use changes have ‘signed on’‘signed on’
1 to 1 ½ year time frame to make changes1 to 1 ½ year time frame to make changes
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WFRC Long Range Plan: an integrated WFRC Long Range Plan: an integrated road and transit planroad and transit plan
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Benefits of Public TransportationBenefits of Public Transportation
Issue: Long Range Plan would require Issue: Long Range Plan would require increases in funding for both roadways and increases in funding for both roadways and transittransit
Question: Do potential benefits of the plan Question: Do potential benefits of the plan outweigh the costs?outweigh the costs?
Many benefits are well understood; road Many benefits are well understood; road benefits, transit impact on air pollution, etc.benefits, transit impact on air pollution, etc.
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Other Public Transportation Other Public Transportation Benefits?Benefits?
Effect on business developmentEffect on business development Reductions in the cost of doing business (freight Reductions in the cost of doing business (freight
mobility improvements, parking reductions, air quality mobility improvements, parking reductions, air quality improvements)improvements)
Effect on workforce attractionEffect on workforce attraction Impact on individuals and households (value of time Impact on individuals and households (value of time
spent in traffic, transportation expenses)spent in traffic, transportation expenses) Generating development activity, especially Generating development activity, especially
moderately priced housing, near transit nodes and moderately priced housing, near transit nodes and associated reductions in sprawlassociated reductions in sprawl
Economic impact of air quality improvements (e.g., Economic impact of air quality improvements (e.g., health benefits, business benefits, road building health benefits, business benefits, road building benefits) benefits)
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Other Public Transportation Other Public Transportation Benefits?Benefits?
Effect on business developmentEffect on business development Transit projects alone, almost never the sole impetus for Transit projects alone, almost never the sole impetus for
economic development and community transformationeconomic development and community transformation• Codes and ordinancesCodes and ordinances• Ease of building permits etc.Ease of building permits etc.
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Other Public Transportation Other Public Transportation Benefits?Benefits?
Reductions in the cost of doing business (freight Reductions in the cost of doing business (freight mobility improvements, parking reductions, air quality mobility improvements, parking reductions, air quality improvements)improvements)
Effect on workforce attractionEffect on workforce attraction As the size of a regions workforce doubles, a companies As the size of a regions workforce doubles, a companies
productivity increases by about ½ percent- can be significant productivity increases by about ½ percent- can be significant in certain industriesin certain industries
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Other Public Transportation Other Public Transportation Benefits?Benefits?
Impact on individuals and households (value of time Impact on individuals and households (value of time spent in traffic, transportation expenses)spent in traffic, transportation expenses)
Factors affecting willingness to ride transitFactors affecting willingness to ride transit Quantifying savings to individuals by utilizing transitQuantifying savings to individuals by utilizing transit ‘‘REMI’ Model will forecast economic impact of increased REMI’ Model will forecast economic impact of increased
disposable income (saved by using transit) by citizensdisposable income (saved by using transit) by citizens
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Importance for disabled, young, old Importance for disabled, young, old and poorand poor
By 2020, 40% of U.S. will be seniors- By 2020, 40% of U.S. will be seniors- many will be unable to drivemany will be unable to drive
Over 54 million Americans have Over 54 million Americans have disabilities- 75% unemployment due in disabilities- 75% unemployment due in many cases to lack of transportation many cases to lack of transportation optionsoptions
Gets former welfare recipients into the Gets former welfare recipients into the workforce- 94% do not own cars workforce- 94% do not own cars
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Other Public Transportation Other Public Transportation Benefits?Benefits?
Generating development activity, especially Generating development activity, especially moderately priced housing, near transit nodes and moderately priced housing, near transit nodes and associated reductions in sprawlassociated reductions in sprawl
TOD impact on housing costs and sprawlTOD impact on housing costs and sprawl LEM (Location Efficient Mortgages)LEM (Location Efficient Mortgages)
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Public Transportation and Public Transportation and HomeownershipHomeownership
Cost of owning one car per year = $8400Cost of owning one car per year = $8400 In Mortgage Calculations, Fannie Mae In Mortgage Calculations, Fannie Mae
credits households near transit with $200 credits households near transit with $200 additional in monthly income to account for additional in monthly income to account for transportation savingstransportation savings
QUESTION: how might the LRP affect auto QUESTION: how might the LRP affect auto ownership for those living in station areas?ownership for those living in station areas? What does this do for home ownership?What does this do for home ownership?
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Other Public Transportation Other Public Transportation Benefits?Benefits?
Economic impact of air quality improvements (e.g., Economic impact of air quality improvements (e.g., health benefits, business benefits, road building benefits) health benefits, business benefits, road building benefits)
Transit’s influence may help the region avoid non conformanceTransit’s influence may help the region avoid non conformance• Might enable the continued construction of roadwaysMight enable the continued construction of roadways
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Economic DevelopmentEconomic Development
Impetus for studyImpetus for study Smart SitesSmart Sites EU residential and retail focusEU residential and retail focus
Toolbox Document (Study)Toolbox Document (Study) Region wide cooperationRegion wide cooperation
• Job locationsJob locations• Quality JobsQuality Jobs
Potential Impact to transportationPotential Impact to transportation
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Estimated Statistics Estimated Statistics between Salt Lake, Davis between Salt Lake, Davis and Weber Counties:and Weber Counties:
Number of acres within the ½ mile transit nodes:
80,03080,030
Number of units within the ½ mile transit nodes @ 8 DU/acre on half of the acres:
320,120 units320,120 units
Population estimate @ 3 persons per household:
960,358960,358
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Population Within 1/2 MilePopulation Within 1/2 Mile of Rail Transit: 2020 of Rail Transit: 2020
38,755 45,557
664,991
866,765
0100,000200,000300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000800,000900,000
1,000,000
A B C D
Po
pu
lati
on
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www.envisionutah.org