WVGOV: Public Policy Polling Shows Tomblin, Ireland in Comfortable Leads
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Transcript of WVGOV: Public Policy Polling Shows Tomblin, Ireland in Comfortable Leads
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8/7/2019 WVGOV: Public Policy Polling Shows Tomblin, Ireland in Comfortable Leads
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Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: [email protected]
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE April 26, 2011
INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312
IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS PLEASE [email protected] OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH
OF THE PRESS RELEASE
Tomblin and Ireland favorites to face off for WV governor
Raleigh, N.C. Former West Virginia Secretary of State Betty Ireland and acting
Governor Earl Ray Tomblin have healthy, almost 2:1 leads in their respective primariesto face off for governor this fall.
In the Republican contest, Ireland has 31% support over businessman Bill Maloneys
17%, with everyone else in single digits: State Sen. Clark Barnes and State Del. MitchCarmichael at 8%, district attorney Mark Sorsaia at 4%, former State Del. Larry Faircloth
and professor Ralph William Clark at 2%, and former Westover mayor Cliff Ellis at 1%.
The acting incumbent has an advantage in a crowded Democratic field. Tomblin leads
with 32%, about the same as the next two candidates combined. Three candidatesState
Treasurer John Perdue (17%), Secretary of State Natalie Tennant (16%), and State HouseSpeaker Rick Thompson (15%)are in a statistical tie for second. State Sen. Jeff
Kessler (5%) and activist Arne Moltis (1%) bring up the rear. 14% are still undecided,
with the primary less than three weeks away. Twice that many are undecided in the GOP
race, more than enough to make a difference if they end up voting.
In the GOP presidential race, Donald Trump has catapulted to a tie for the lead with Mike
Huckabee, each at 24%, with Sarah Palin at 13%, Mitt Romney at 11%, Newt Gingrich at
9%, Tim Pawlenty at 4%, and Ron Paul and Michele Bachmann at 3%. When PPP last
polled the race in January, Huckabee led Palin, Gingrich, and Romney, 28-23-17-10, soTrumps emergence has taken the greatest toll on Palin and Gingrich. Trump is the least
liked of the candidates, and the main reason he is getting so much support is birtherism.
Among the 53% who do not believe President Obama was born in the U.S., Trump topsHuckabee and Palin, 30-22-17, but among the 22% who do not buy into that theory,
Huckabee leads 23-16-15 over Romney and Trump, with Palin in seventh at only 6%.
PPP surveyed 590 likely West Virginia Democratic primary voters, with a +/-4.0%margin of error, and 274 likely Republican primary voters, with a +/-5.9% margin of
error, from April 21st to 24th. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign
or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephoneinterviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company but polling expert Nate Silver of the
New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward
Republican candidates.
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April 21-24, 2011Survey of 590 likely Democratic primary voters
April 21-24, 2011Survey of 590 likely Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
West Virginia Democratic Survey Results
Q1 The Democratic candidates for Governor areJeff Kessler, Arne Moltis, John Perdue, NatalieTennant, Rick Thompson, and Earl RayTomblin. If the primary was today, who wouldyou vote for?
5%Jeff Kessler.....................................................
1%Arne Moltis......................................................
17%John Perdue...................................................
16%Natalie Tennant...............................................
15%Rick Thompson...............................................
32%Earl Ray Tomblin.............................................
14%Undecided.......................................................
Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor EarlRay Tomblins job performance?
58%Approve.................
19%Disapprove............
24%Not sure................
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof John Perdue?
32%Favorable........................................................
26%Unfavorable....................................................
42%Not sure..........................................................
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Natalie Tennant?
43%Favorable........................................................
26%Unfavorable....................................................
31%Not sure..........................................................
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Rick Thompson?
32%Favorable........................................................
23%Unfavorable....................................................
46%Not sure..........................................................
Q6 Do you approve or disapprove of BarackObamas job performance?
42%Approve.................
46%Disapprove............
12%Not sure................
Q7 Who did you vote for President in 2008?
34%John McCain...................................................
54%Barack Obama................................................
12%Someone else/Don't remember......................
Q8 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?
15%Very liberal......................................................
19%Somewhat liberal............................................
37%Moderate.........................................................
19%Somewhat conservative..................................
10%Very conservative...........................................
Q9 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
58%Woman...........................................................
42%Man.................................................................Q10 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.
95%White..............................................................
5%Other...............................................................
Q11 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.
14%18 to 29...........................................................
20%30 to 45...........................................................
40%46 to 65...........................................................
26%Older than 65..................................................
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April 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Obama Approval
Approve Disapprove
Not
sure
2011 Dem Gov
Primary
Jeff Kess ler
Arne Moltis
John Perdue
Natalie Tennant
Rick Thomps on
Earl Ray Tomblin
Undecided
5% 8% 4% 4%
1% 0% 1% -
17% 16% 21% 9%
16% 20% 11% 17%
15% 15% 13% 23%
31% 27% 36% 30%
15% 14% 14% 18%
Base
Obama Approval
Approve Disapprove
Not
sure
Tomblin Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
58% 62% 56% 48%
19% 16% 23% 13%
24% 22% 21% 39%
Base
Obama Approval
Approve Disapprove
Not
sure
Perdue Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 38% 31% 16%
27% 29% 26% 19%
41% 33% 43% 66%
Base
Obama Approval
Approve Disapprove
Not
sure
Tennant Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
43% 57% 31% 37%
27% 20% 35% 18%
31% 24% 34% 45%
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April 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Obama Approval
Approve Disapprove
Not
sure
Thompson
Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 39% 26% 28%
23% 22% 26% 13%
45% 38% 48% 60%
Base
2008 Vote
John
McCain
Barack
Obama
Someone else/Don't
remember
2011 Dem Gov
Primary
Jeff Kess ler
Arne M oltis
John Perdue
Natalie Te nnant
Rick Thompson
Earl Ray Tomblin
Undecided
5% 8% 5% -
1% 1% - 2%
17% 19% 17% 11%
16% 11% 18% 16%
15% 10% 18% 14%
32% 37% 28% 34%
14% 13% 14% 23%
Base
2008 Vote
John
McCain
Barack
Obama
Someone else/Don't
rememberTomblin Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
58% 57% 61% 45%
19% 19% 19% 16%
24% 24% 20% 39%
Base
2008 Vote
John
McCain
Barack
Obama
Someone else/Don't
rememberPerdue Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 31% 35% 20%
26% 30% 26% 20%
42% 40% 39% 60%
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April 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
2008 Vote
John
McCain
Barack
Obama
Someone else/Don't
remember
Tennant Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
43% 33% 54% 21%
26% 38% 20% 22%
31% 30% 26% 56%
Base
2008 Vote
John
McCain
Barack
Obama
Someone else/Don't
remember
Thompson
Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 30% 34% 25%
23% 24% 23% 18%
46% 46% 43% 57%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
2011 Dem GovPrimary
Jeff Kessler
Arne Moltis
John Perdue
Natalie Tennant
Rick Thomps on
Earl Ray Tom blin
Undecided
5% 8% 7% 5% 5% 1%
1% - - 1% 1% 2%
17% 20% 12% 17% 24% 12%
16% 22% 21% 15% 8% 13%
15% 16% 18% 17% 7% 16%
32% 25% 25% 32% 42% 36%
14% 9% 18% 14% 13% 21%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Tomblin Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
58% 64% 56% 57% 56% 57%
19% 20% 22% 19% 19% 8%
24% 16% 22% 23% 26% 34%
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April 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Perdue Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 38% 33% 30% 38% 17%
26% 28% 31% 24% 29% 22%
42% 34% 36% 47% 34% 60%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Tennant Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
43% 53% 56% 37% 40% 27%
26% 26% 20% 28% 28% 30%
31% 21% 23% 36% 32% 42%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
ThompsonFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 42% 36% 30% 22% 32%
23% 25% 23% 23% 27% 10%
46% 34% 41% 47% 50% 58%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
2011 Dem Gov
Primary
Jeff Kessler
Arne Moltis
John Perdue
Natalie Tennant
Rick Thomps on
Earl Ray Tomblin
Undecided
5% 4% 7%
1% 0% 1%
17% 16% 19%
16% 16% 15%
15% 16% 13%
32% 32% 31%
14% 16% 12%
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April 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Tomblin Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
58% 58% 57%
19% 14% 25%
24% 27% 18%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Perdue Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 25% 42%
26% 24% 30%
42% 51% 28%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Tennant Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
43% 43% 42%
26% 24% 30%
31% 33% 28%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Thompson
Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 29% 34%
23% 19% 28%
46% 52% 37%
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April 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Race
White Other
2011 Dem Gov
Primary
Jeff Kess ler
Arne Moltis
John Perdue
Natalie Tennant
Rick Thompson
Earl Ray Tom blin
Undecided
5% 5% 6%
1% 1% -
17% 17% 18%
16% 16% 16%
15% 15% 5%
32% 31% 34%
14% 14% 20%
Base
Race
White Other
Tomblin Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
58% 58% 59%
19% 19% 7%
24% 23% 34%
Base
Race
White Other
Perdue Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 32% 24%
26% 26% 33%
42% 42% 42%
Base
Race
White Other
Tennant Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
43% 43% 40%
26% 26% 29%
31% 31% 31%
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April 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Race
White Other
Thompson
Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 32% 27%
23% 23% 22%
46% 45% 51%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
2011 Dem Gov
Primary
Jeff Kessler
Arne Moltis
John Perdue
Natalie Tennant
Rick Thomps on
Earl Ray Tomblin
Undecided
5% 5% 2% 7% 7%
1% - - 0% 2%
17% 23% 12% 16% 20%
16% 13% 19% 14% 18%
15% 13% 14% 18% 13%
32% 38% 38% 30% 27%
14% 10% 16% 15% 15%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Tomblin Approval
Approve
Disapprove
Not sure
58% 63% 59% 58% 54%
19% 15% 19% 21% 17%
24% 23% 22% 21% 29%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Perdue Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 35% 21% 30% 41%
26% 20% 33% 29% 21%
42% 45% 47% 40% 38%
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April 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 590 likely Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Tennant Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
43% 40% 40% 42% 46%
26% 25% 34% 26% 22%
31% 35% 26% 32% 32%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Thompson
Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
32% 40% 29% 33% 27%
23% 20% 22% 24% 23%
46% 40% 48% 43% 50%
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11/21
April 21-24, 2011Survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
April 21-24, 2011Survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
West Virginia Survey Results
Q1 The Republican candidates for Governor areClark Barnes, Mitch Carmichael, Ralph WilliamClark, Cliff Ellis, Larry Faircloth, Betty Ireland,Bill Maloney, and Mark Sorsaia. If the primarywas today, who would you vote for?
8%Clark Barnes...................................................
8%Mitch Carmichael............................................
2%Ralph William Clark.........................................
1%Cliff Ellis..........................................................
2%Larry Faircloth.................................................
31%Betty Ireland....................................................
17%Bill Maloney....................................................
4%Mark Sorsaia...................................................
28%Undecided.......................................................
Q2 If the Republican candidates for President in2012 were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich,Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, TimPawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Donald Trumpwho would you vote for?
3%Michele Bachmann.........................................
9%Newt Gingrich.................................................
24%Mike Huckabee...............................................
13%Sarah Palin.....................................................
3%Ron Paul.........................................................
4%Tim Pawlenty..................................................
11%Mitt Romney....................................................
24%Donald Trump.................................................
9%Someone else/Undecided...............................
Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Betty Ireland?
47%Favorable........................................................
15%Unfavorable....................................................
38%Not sure..........................................................
Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Bill Maloney?
27%Favorable........................................................
11%Unfavorable....................................................
62%Not sure..........................................................
Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Newt Gingrich?
57%Favorable........................................................
20%Unfavorable....................................................
23%Not sure..........................................................
Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Mike Huckabee?
73%Favorable................
10%Unfavorable............
17%Not sure..................
Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Sarah Palin?
67%Favorable........................................................
18%Unfavorable....................................................
15%Not sure..........................................................
Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Mitt Romney?
51%Favorable........................................................
23%Unfavorable....................................................
26%Not sure..........................................................
Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Donald Trump?
47%Favorable........................................................
33%Unfavorable....................................................
20%Not sure..........................................................
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April 21-24, 2011Survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
April 21-24, 2011Survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Q10 Do you think Barack Obama was born in the
United States?22%Yes..................................................................
53%No...................................................................
26%Not sure..........................................................
Q11 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?
2%Very liberal......................................................
6%Somewhat liberal............................................
18%Moderate.........................................................
34%Somewhat conservative..................................
41%Very conservative...........................................
Q12 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
51%Woman...........................................................
49%Man.................................................................
Q13 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.
6%18 to 29...........................................................
24%30 to 45...........................................................
45%46 to 65...........................................................
25%Older than 65..................................................
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13/21
April 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Obama Born in
US?
Yes No
Not
sure
2011 GOP Gov
Primary
Clark Barnes
Mitch Carmichael
Ralph William Clark
Cliff Ellis
Larry Faircloth
Betty Ireland
Bill Maloney
Mark Sorsaia
Undecided
8% 7% 8% 10%
8% 4% 9% 7%
2% 2% 2% 1%
1% - - 3%
2% 3% 2% 1%
31% 39% 25% 37%
17% 13% 21% 12%
4% - 6% 1 %
28% 32% 26% 28%
Base
Obama Born in
US?
Yes No
Not
sure
2012 GOP Pres
Primary
Michele Bachmann
New t Gingrich
Mike Huckabee
Sarah Palin
Ron Paul
Tim Pawlenty
Mitt Romne y
Donald Trump
Someone
else/Undecided
3% 7% 1% 5%
9% 13% 8% 8%
24% 23% 22% 28%
13% 6% 17% 10%
3% 2% 5% 1%
4% 7% 3% 2%
11% 16% 8% 13%
24% 15% 30% 18%
9% 12% 5% 15%
Base
Obama Born in
US?
Yes NoNot
sure
Ireland Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 67% 43% 41%
15% 13% 18% 9%
38% 20% 39% 50%
Base
Obama Born in
US?
Yes NoNot
sure
Maloney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
27% 29% 33% 14%
11% 15% 13% 2%
62% 56% 54% 84%
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April 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Obama Born in
US?
Yes No
Not
sure
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
57% 59% 58% 53%
20% 28% 21% 12%
23% 13% 22% 35%
Base
Obama Born in
US?
Yes No
Not
sure
Huckabee
Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
73% 72% 76% 71%
10% 20% 9% 2%
17% 8% 15% 27%
Base
Obama Born in
US?
Yes NoNot
sure
Palin Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
67% 54% 77% 60%
18% 34% 10% 20%
15% 12% 13% 20%
Base
Obama Born in
US?
Yes NoNot
sure
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
51% 59% 49% 49%
23% 27% 23% 19%
26% 14% 28% 32%
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15/21
April 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Obama Born in
US?
Yes No
Not
sure
Trump Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 37% 56% 38%
33% 56% 26% 29%
20% 8% 18% 34%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
2011 GOP Gov
Primary
Clark Barnes
Mitch Carmichael
Ralph William Clar k
Cliff Ellis
Larry Faircloth
Betty Ireland
Bill Maloney
Mark Sorsaia
Undecided
8% 16% 8% 1 3% 6% 8%
8% - 4% 7% 11% 6%
2% - - - 2% 3%
1% - - - - 2%
2% - 4% 1% 1% 2%
31% 34% 35% 42% 36% 22%
17% 28% 4% 15% 15% 20%
4% - - 2% 1% 7%
28% 22% 44% 18% 28% 30%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
2012 GOP Pre sPrimary
Michele Bachmann
Newt Gingrich
Mike Huckabee
Sarah Palin
Ron Paul
Tim Pawlenty
Mitt Romney
Donald Trum p
Someone
else/Undecided
3% - 4% - 3% 5%
9% 16% 12% 3% 15% 6%
24% 11% 16% 23% 22% 28%
13% 39% 24% 15% 9% 12%
3% - - - 5% 4%
4% - - 2% 2% 7%
11% - 15% 11% 17% 7%
24% 22% 20% 39% 18% 22%
9% 11% 8% 7% 10% 9%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Ireland Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 61% 42% 48% 45% 49%
15% 16% 16% 7% 22% 12%
38% 22% 42% 45% 33% 39%
-
8/7/2019 WVGOV: Public Policy Polling Shows Tomblin, Ireland in Comfortable Leads
16/21
April 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Maloney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
27% 11% 15% 19% 26% 34%
11% 39% 16% 15% 2% 14%
62% 50% 69% 66% 72% 52%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
57% 34% 30% 45% 60% 64%
20% 39% 48% 33% 15% 14%
23% 28% 22% 22% 25% 22%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
HuckabeeFavorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
73% 45% 59% 63% 70% 85%
10% 16% 31% 12% 7% 7%
17% 39% 10% 25% 23% 8%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Palin Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
67% 72% 46% 66% 59% 78%
18% 11% 39% 28% 20% 9%
15% 16% 14% 7% 21% 13%
-
8/7/2019 WVGOV: Public Policy Polling Shows Tomblin, Ireland in Comfortable Leads
17/21
April 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
51% 34% 37% 46% 53% 56%
23% 39% 34% 28% 14% 25%
26% 28% 28% 26% 33% 20%
Base
Ideology
Very
liberal
Somewhat
liberal Moderate
Somewhat
conservative
Very
conservative
Trum p Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 45% 34% 60% 39% 49%
33% 39% 47% 27% 39% 29%
20% 16% 18% 13% 21% 22%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
2011 GOP Gov
Primary
Clark Barnes
Mitch Carmichael
Ralph William Clark
Cliff Ellis
Larry Faircloth
Betty Ireland
Bill Maloney
Mark Sorsaia
Undecided
8% 6% 11%
8% 8% 7%
2% 0% 3%
1% - 1%
2% 2% 2%
31% 29% 34%
17% 17% 17%
4% 5% 2%
28% 32% 23%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
2012 GOP Pres
Primary
Michele Bachmann
New t Gingrich
Mike Huckabee
Sarah Palin
Ron Paul
Tim Pawlenty
Mitt Romne y
Donald Trump
Someoneelse/Undecided
3% 2% 5%
9% 7% 12%
24% 26% 21%
13% 9% 17%
3% 3% 4%
4% 3% 4%
11% 14% 9%
24% 25% 23%
9% 11% 6%
-
8/7/2019 WVGOV: Public Policy Polling Shows Tomblin, Ireland in Comfortable Leads
18/21
April 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Ireland Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 45% 50%
15% 12% 17%
38% 43% 33%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Maloney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
27% 24% 30%
11% 10% 12%
62% 66% 58%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
57% 54% 60%
20% 20% 21%
23% 26% 20%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Huckabee
Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
73% 76% 70%
10% 7% 13%
17% 17% 17%
-
8/7/2019 WVGOV: Public Policy Polling Shows Tomblin, Ireland in Comfortable Leads
19/21
April 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Palin Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
67% 65% 70%
18% 18% 17%
15% 16% 13%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
51% 55% 48%
23% 16% 29%
26% 29% 23%
Base
Gender
Wom an Man
Trump Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 48% 46%
33% 30% 37%
20% 23% 17%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
2011 GOP Gov
Primary
Clark Barnes
Mitch Carmichael
Ralph William Clark
Cliff Ellis
Larry Faircloth
Betty Ireland
Bill Maloney
Mark Sorsaia
Undecided
8% 11% 6% 9% 9%
8% - 15% 7% 4%
2% 11% - 1% 3%
1% - 3% - -
2% - - 2% 5%
31% 44% 24% 31% 37%
17% 11% 9% 23% 15%
4% - 6% 4% 2%
28% 22% 38% 24% 26%
-
8/7/2019 WVGOV: Public Policy Polling Shows Tomblin, Ireland in Comfortable Leads
20/21
April 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
[email protected] / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
2012 GOP Pres
Primary
Michele Bachmann
New t Gingrich
Mike Huckabee
Sarah Palin
Ron Paul
Tim Pawlenty
Mitt Romne y
Donald Trump
Someone
else/Undecided
3% - - 6% 2%
9% - 6% 8% 16%
24% 22% 26% 22% 25%
13% 11% 18% 12% 11%
3% - 3% 5% 2%
4% 11% 3% 3% 4%
11% 22% 9% 12% 11%
24% 33% 29% 21% 20%
9% - 6% 11% 10%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Ireland Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 56% 38% 49% 51%
15% - 24% 13% 12%
38% 44% 38% 37% 38%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Maloney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
27% 44% 15% 31% 28%
11% - 12% 15% 5%
62% 56% 74% 54% 67%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Gingrich Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
57% 56% 50% 61% 55%
20% 22% 21% 20% 20%
23% 22% 29% 19% 25%
-
8/7/2019 WVGOV: Public Policy Polling Shows Tomblin, Ireland in Comfortable Leads
21/21
April 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary votersApril 21-24, 2011survey of 274 likely Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
i f ti @ bli li lli / 888 621 6988
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604
i f ti @ bli li lli / 888 621 6988
Crosstabs
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Huckabee
Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
73% 67% 74% 74% 74%
10% 11% 9% 9% 11%
17% 22% 18% 17% 15%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Palin Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
67% 67% 71% 69% 62%
18% 11% 15% 20% 18%
15% 22% 15% 11% 20%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Romney Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
51% 67% 50% 51% 49%
23% - 24% 24% 24%
26% 33% 26% 24% 27%
Base
Age
18 to
29
30 to
45
46 to
65
Older
than 65
Trump Favorability
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
47% 56% 55% 48% 36%
33% 33% 24% 35% 39%
20% 11% 21% 17% 25%