Written by Bacchetta & van Wincoop Presented by Seth Leonard Discussed by João Cunha.

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SUDDEN SPIKES IN GLOBAL RISK Written by Bacchetta & van Wincoop Presented by Seth Leonard Discussed by João Cunha

Transcript of Written by Bacchetta & van Wincoop Presented by Seth Leonard Discussed by João Cunha.

Page 1: Written by Bacchetta & van Wincoop Presented by Seth Leonard Discussed by João Cunha.

SUDDEN SPIKES IN GLOBAL RISK

Written by Bacchetta & van Wincoop

Presented by Seth LeonardDiscussed by João Cunha

Page 2: Written by Bacchetta & van Wincoop Presented by Seth Leonard Discussed by João Cunha.

Summary

Risk Panic

Disconnect from Macro Fundamentals

Two country OLG static model with closed-form analytical solution

Self-fulfilling

Page 3: Written by Bacchetta & van Wincoop Presented by Seth Leonard Discussed by João Cunha.

Summary

Very tractable

Multiple Equilibria

Contribution to the Risk Panics literature

Page 4: Written by Bacchetta & van Wincoop Presented by Seth Leonard Discussed by João Cunha.

Extensions

OLG structure

Constant interest rate on bonds

Booms\Bubble

Triggers of (Global) Risk Panics

Page 5: Written by Bacchetta & van Wincoop Presented by Seth Leonard Discussed by João Cunha.

Alternative Arguments

Credit Crunch

Reduction of Leveraged Positions

Losses in the Financial Markets

Expectations