World Future 2009 - Jay Gary · Futures Education: 100 years, prologue 1902 H.G. Wells,...

World Future 2009World Future 2009

How to start a new career as a

How to start a new career as a a new career as a

Futures a new career as a

Futures EducatorEducator

World Future Society

Susan Whitfield & Jay Gary Susan Whitfield & Jay Gary y

Chicago Hilton, July 19, 2009

Download slides: http://www.jaygary.com/career.pdf

PresentersPresentersPresentersPresenters

Susan Whitfield MOL Jay Gary, PhDSusan Whitfield, MOLWhite Tree Consulting;Previously, Chair of Entrepreneurship at

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Jay Gary, PhDAssistant Professor, Regent University;Director of Foresight

MBA t PhDMcHenry County College programs, MBA to PhD

AbstractAbstractHave you ever watched those “Extreme Makeover” reality shows and wondered what you might look like—in a new careerwhat you might look like in a new career as a professor of Futures Studies? Have you ever dreamed about rolling over your work experience into a teaching position at the college or graduate level? Despite the small numbers of foresight educators today, the prospects have never been brighter. This session will share the ‘ins and outs’ of how to recreate yourself as a professor of foresight for academic programs ranging from business toprograms ranging from business, to organizational leadership, to technology, the political or social sciences. Join the new vanguard of futurists who havenew vanguard of futurists who have decided to build their next career now.

Our format todayOur format todayOur format todayOur format today

1. Introduction: complete a FEAT (foresight educator assets test) self survey(foresight educator assets test) self-survey,and share what you want from this session.

2. Presentation: hear how one person2. Presentation: hear how one person started a new career as a futures educator.

3. Small Groups: meet others with similar paspirations and career development needs.

4. Large Groups: raise issues and questions in a large group format.

Take the F.E.A.T. Take the F.E.A.T. Take the F.E.A.T. Take the F.E.A.T.

1 Pl h k k1. Place a check mark besides each asset you have.y

2. Total up your assets at the bottom.

3. Turn to a neighbor, share your results

d h tand why you came to this session!

Results?Results?Results?Results?

F t h ll d (1 5) ?• Future challenged (1-5) ?

• Future positioned (6-9) ?

• Future ready (11-19) ?

What did you learn throughlearn through this survey?

What would you like to take away from this session?

What would you like to take away from this session? away from this session? away from this session?



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Jay Gary, PhDRegent University;Director of Foresight programs, from MBA to PhDMcHenry County College PhD

When preparation meets opportunity


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L k i h t h h

My story– Dr. Jay Gary

Luck is what happens whenpreparation meets opportunity.

—Seneca

http://www.regent.edu/global

My Regent ExperienceMy Regent Experience

• 2004: Elective track, existing MOL degree• 2006: Launched stand alone MSF degree

2007 St t d 3 d t k i DSL d• 2007: Started 3rd year track in DSL degree• 2008: Teaching 1st course in MBA degree• 2009: Teaching in PhD in Org. Leadership

= impacting 120 mid-career professionals each year


Regent ForesightRegent ForesightRegent Foresightis team sport

Regent Foresightis team sport


I am on campus 3 hours I am on campus 3 hours I am on campus 3 hours a week

I am on campus 3 hours a week

I am on campus 3 hours a week

I work from homeI work from home

I work from home!

I interact with students I interact with students I interact with students online

I interact with students online

My workspace is Blackboard.My workspace is Blackboard.

I interact in Virtual I interact in Virtual I interact in Virtual Classrooms

I interact in Virtual Classrooms

I meet online with my ystudents once every 3 weeks

Residency 1 week/yearResidency 1 week/yearResidency 1 week/yearResidency 1 week/year


100+ graduates/yr 100+ graduates/yr Masters & DoctorsMasters & Doctors

35 foresightcoursecourse

10 degreetrack


Futures Education: Futures Education: 100 years, prologue100 years, prologue

1902 H.G. Wells, Anticipations1927 William F Ogburn Social Changes1927 William F. Ogburn, Social Changes1945 RAND Corporation1946 Stanford Research Institute (SRI)1967 World Futures Studies Federation (WFSF)

World Future Society (WFS)Institute for the Future (IFTF)

1970 Rand Graduate Institute (PhD in Policy Analysis); Alvin Toffler, Future Shock

1971 U. of Hawaii, PhD in Futures Studies (Poli. Sci.)1974 U of Houston Studies of the Future M S (Technology)1974 U. of Houston, Studies of the Future M.S. (Technology)1987 Global Business Network1995 Tamkang U., Center for Futures Studies

Richard Slaughter, Foresight Principle1999 Swinburne, AGSE, Master of Mgt, Strategic Foresight (Entrep)2002 A i ti f P f i l F t i t (APF)2002 Association of Professional Futurists (APF)2004 ShapingTomorrow.com2006 Regent University, MA in Strategic Foresight, DSL (Leadership)2009 Univ of Malta, Postdam,Teesside & Turku: M.Sc. in Strategic Innovation & Future Creation

Our Vision– “To teach as much about the future as we teach about the past.”

Tips & Tricks Tips & Tricks pp

1) How do I develop a futures intro course?intro course?

2) How do I find schools to teach with?teach with?

3) How do I build a whole degree program?g p g

4) What further qualifications do I need as a futures educator?

5) Where can I find mentors h i i ?who can inspire me?

Use a CurriculumUse a CurriculumUse a CurriculumUse a Curriculumwww.wfs.org/futuring.htm

1. Explorers of the Future2. The Great Transformation3 Six Supertrends Shaping the Future3. Six Supertrends Shaping the Future4. Understanding Change5. Systems, Chance, and Chaos6. Futuring Methods7. Knowing the World around Us8. Using Scenarios9. The Wild Cards in Our Future10. Inventing the Future11. The Past as a Guide to the Future12 Predicting the Future

$19.95 paperback$9 99 Ki dl

$17.50Workbook

12. Predicting the Future13. How the Future Became14. The Futurist Revolution15. Improving Our Futures16. Future Generations

$9.99 Kindle

www aacc edu/future/IF @ AACCIF @ AACC

www.aacc.edu/future/

Push the EnvelopePush the EnvelopePush the EnvelopePush the Envelope

globalfuturist.com/more-on-the-extreme-future.html

Lead a Book ClubLead a Book ClubLead a Book ClubLead a Book Club

Strathern, Oona (2007). A brief history of the future:A brief history of the future: How visionary thinkers changed the world and tomorrow's trends are 'made' and marketed.

1: Sex, Drugs and Heads that Roll2: Fancy’s Seven-Leagued Boots3: In Next Week To morrow3: In Next Week To-morrow4: Here live lions5: Surprise-Free Futures6: Fast Forward7: Jam Tomorrow7: Jam Tomorrow …8: The 800-lb Gorilla9: A Week in the Life of a Futurist10: The Future of the FutureBackwordBackword

ISBN: 0786719044

QualityMatter.orgQualityMatter.orgLead a Workshop QualityMatter.orgQualityMatter.org

Online Course Syllabus

pfor High School Students

1. Course Overview and Introduction

Shaping our Future, http://www.ffof.org

Lead a DVD StudyLead a DVD StudyLead a DVD StudyLead a DVD Studyhttp://bimillennial.org/

Pathways to Foresight

Sessions: each 28 minutes1. The Making of a Futurist2. Critical Futures Studies3. The Knowledge Base of Future Studies4. Foresight and the Civilizational Challenge5 Foresight Methodologies

Dr. Richard Slaughter

5. Foresight Methodologies 6. How to Create Social Foresight, and7. Integral Futures: Deeper & Broader

foresightdevelopment.wetpaint.com

Smarts’ Course WikiSmarts’ Course WikiUndergraduate

Teach UndergradsTeach Undergrads

John Smart

Supplement a Supplement a ppGraduate Course

ppGraduate Course

millennium-project.org/millennium/FRM-V3.htmlforesightinternational.com.au ISBN: 0765805391

Lombardo’s ReadingsLombardo’s ReadingsLombardo’s ReadingsLombardo’s Readings

Tom Lombardo, PhD Jeanne Belisle Lombardo

Review Review Review Course Syllabi

Review Course Syllabi Syllabi Syllabi

Roger L. Caldwell, PhDUniversity of Arizona

http://cals.arizona.edu/futures

Foresight Education SpecialtiesForesight Education SpecialtiesPrimary (24) Secondary (24)y ( )Alternative FuturesCross Impact and Pattern AnalysisCritical Futures and CLADevelopment and Acceleration StudiesEmerging Issues/ Technology Analysis

Actuarial Science and Risk AssessmentCognitive and Positive PsychologyCollaboration, Facil., and Peace/Conflict StudiesComplexity, Evo Devo and Systems StudiesCritical and Evidence-Based Thinking

AccelerationStudiesFoundationA 501(c)(3) Nonprofit g g gy y

Environmental/ Horizon ScanningEthnographic FuturesForecasting and Modeling (basic)Foresight Frameworks and FoundationsHistory and Analysis of PredictionImages of the Future

gEthics and Values StudiesEvolution StudiesForecasting and Modeling (advanced)Futures, Sci-Fi, Utopian, and Dystopian Lit StudiesInnovation and Entrepreneurship StudiesIntegral Studies and ThinkingImages of the Future

Personal Futures/ Foresight DevelopmentPrediction MarketsPredictive Surveys/ DelphiRoadmappingScenario Development and Backcasting

Integral Studies and ThinkingInvesting and Finance (Long-Term)Leadership StudiesLibrary Science, KM, and Decision SupportLong-Range and Urban PlanningPolitical Science and Policy Studiesp g

Scenario PlanningStrategic ForesightSystems ThinkingTranshumanist/ Ethics of Emerging TechTrend ExtrapolationVisioning Int ition and Creati it

yProbabilistic (Statistical) PredictionPreferential Surveys/Polls and Market ResearchReligious Studies (Future Beliefs)Science and Technology StudiesSocially Responsible / Triple Bottom Line Mgmt.Sociolog Demographics and Social ChangeVisioning, Intuition, and Creativity

Weak SignalsWildcards

Sociology, Demographics and Social ChangeStrategic PlanningSustainability Studies

Other Foresight-Related Specialties (45, a partial list)Anthropology | Architecture | Astrobiology | Biological Sciences | Bioethics | Biotechnology | Business Administration | Chemical Sciences | Cliometrics | Computer Modeling and Simulation | Computer Science | Contemporary/Cultural Studies | Cybernetics | Decision Analysis/Decision Theory | Defense/National Security Studies | Development | Disaster/ Catastrophic Risk Management | Economics and Econometrics | Education | Engineering | Evolutionary Biology | Game Theory | Gambling Studies | Generational Studies | Geography | History | History and Philosophy of Science and Technology | Information Science | Investing and Finance (Short-Term) | Knowledge Management | Library Science (general) | Management | Management Science | Media and Communications | Marketing | Mathematics | Operations Research | Philosophy | Physical Sciences | Psychology (general) | Psychographics | Statistics (general) | Technology Policy | Tourism | Urban Studies

http://futuresphd.wetpaint.com/page/Foresight+Frameworks

Investigate MBA & Investigate MBA & Doctoral ResidencesDoctoral Residences

Dr Ron Kirsch

AdamGordon

MBA Dr. Ron KirschUniv of Florida

MBA lectures

Look for Fast Look for Fast Growing SchoolsGrowing Schools

• University of Phoenix• University of Phoenix• Strayer• Concordia

Many large for-profit colleges ... have seen recent enrollment jumps as high as 45 percent

• DeVry• Capella http://www.scrippsnews.com/node/40548

jumps as high as 45 percent nationally. Feb 9th

• Kaplan• Nova Southeastern• Grand Canyon• Grand Canyon

or look for small schools that want

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:For-profit_universities_and_colleges

a distinctive niche

Leverage your Leverage your local connectionlocal connection

•Approach your local Community College•Explore how a Futures 101 might work as an elective•As trust is earned discuss core course possibilitiesAs trust is earned, discuss core course possibilities.

MOL vs. MSFMOL vs. MSF

MOL- Org. LeadershipLeader integrationOrganizational theory

MSF - Strategic ForesightLeader adaptationOpen systems theory

Teamwork Human resourcesOrg. change S t l d hi

Environmental uncertaintySocietal changeOrg. transformation St t i l d hiServant leadership

InternalStrategic leadershipExternal

Curriculum PyramidCurriculum Pyramid

Core & ElectivesCore & Electives

Master of Arts in Strategic ForesightCORE COURSES

LMOL601 Foundations of Leadership

LMSF602 Survey of Futures Studies

THREE ELECTIVES

LMSF616 World Futures

LMSF617 Human FuturesLMSF602 Survey of Futures Studies

LMSF603 Social Change

LMSF604 Systems Thinking

LMSF605 Forecasting Techniques

LMSF617 Human Futures

LMSF618 Organizational Futures

LMSF622 Images of the Future

LMSF623 Religionists and FuturistsLMSF605 Forecasting Techniques

LMSF606 Scenario Dev. and Visioning

LMSF607 Strategic Planning & Change Mgt

LMSF609 Culminating Experience

g

LMSF624 Defense Futures

LMSF671 Professional Futures

LMSF675 Spec Topics in Strategic Foresightg pLMSF690 Ind. Study in Strategic Foresight

Stages of Backward DesignStages of Backward DesignStages of Backward DesignStages of Backward Design© 1998 Grant Wiggins and Jay McTighe

12

IdentifyDesired Results

DetermineAcceptableEvidence Plan Learning

3g

Experiences &InstructionCompetencies

KSA’s AssessmentCurriculumCurriculum

Resources: http://www.ascd.org/research_a_topic/Understanding_by_Design.aspx

Align degree to Align degree to Align degree to employmentAlign degree to employment

• Consulting Futurist • Non profit Executive• Non-profit Executive• Intelligence Analyst• Strategic Planner• Strategic Planner• Innovation Mgr

M k t R h• Market Researcher

MSF CompetenciesMSF Competencies

1. Create a horizon scanning and trend analysis systems.

2. Create a baseline forecast of trends for an industry.y

3. Lead departmental teams to develop visions & strategic plans.

4. Lead scenario learning process for leadership teams.g p p

5. Create a professional specialization and showcase their work.


ShapingTomorrow.comShapingTomorrow.comp gp gMichael Jackson, Education Strategy Network

B d dBrandedSite

Users: http://shapingtomorrow.com/Network: http://shapingtomorrowmain.ning.com/Tutorial: http://practicalforesight.wetpaint.com/

p p g

QualityMatter.orgQualityMatter.orgQualityMatter.orgQualityMatter.org

Online Course Syllabus

1. Course Overview and Introduction

2 Learning Objectives2. Learning Objectives

3. Assessment and Measurement

4 Resources and Materials4. Resources and Materials

5. Learner Engagement

6. Course Technologygy

7. Learner Support

8. Accessibility Peer Review by Faculty

Assess your QualificationsAssess your QualificationsAssess your QualificationsAssess your QualificationsPhD Masters Bachelors Secondary

Universities hire faculty that are:

1. Professional qualified – as adjuncts1. Professional qualified as adjunctshave a masters degreestill consulting 1 day a weekteaching in professional company programs

bli hi i f i l j lpublishing in professional journalscompletion of certifications (IBF, Six Sigma, etc) completion of continuing education coursestransferring professional experience into teachingg p p g--bridge program, http://www.aacsb.edu/bridge/

2. Academically qualified – to build the careerdoctoral or terminal degree (ABD) in the teachingdoctoral or terminal degree (ABD) in the teaching area, ABD, published in peer-reviewed journals

Foresight / Futures Studies Programs:5 PhD’s, 11 Masters – An Emerging Discipline

Foresight / FS Programs

Foresight / FS Programs

AUSTRALIA1. Swinburne U. of Tech., MS,PhD in Strategic Foresight (Bus. Admin.).

, g g p

http://www.accelerating.org/gradprograms.htmlAccelerationStudiesFoundationA 501(c)(3) Nonprofit

FINLAND2. Turku School of Econ. and Finland Futures Academy.

MS,PhD in Futures Studies (Econ. and Bus. Admin.).FRANCE3. CNAM, PhD in Strategic Foresight (Bus. Admin, Engrg).ITALYITALY4. Da Vinci Online U, MS in Scenarios for Innovation Mgmt.MEXICO5. Monterrey Inst. of Tech, MS in Strategic ForesightPORTUGAL6. Univ. Tecnica de Lisboa, MS in Foresight, Strategy & Innovation, g , gySOUTH AFRICA7. U. Stellenbosch and Inst. for Futures Resrch.

M.Phil,PhD in Futures Studies (Econ/Mgmt).TAIWAN8. Tamkang U. and Grad. Inst. of Futures Studies. g

MA in Futures Studies (Education).9. Fo Guang U. and Grad. Inst. of Futures Studies,

MA in Futures Studies (Sociology)UNITED STATES10. Regent University, MA in Strategic Foresight, DSL (Lead)11 U H ii MA PhD i Al i F (P l S i)11. U. Hawaii. MA,PhD in Alternative Futures (Pol Sci).12. U. Houston, MS in Studies of the Future (Tech).

© 2008Accelerating.org

Network w/ Foresight EducatorsNetwork w/ Foresight EducatorsDr. Stephen Steele www.aacc.edu/futureWFS Learning section, summits, resources

Dr. Jennifer Gidleywww.wfsf.org

WFS Learning section, summits, resources

Scholars & activists: membership

ForesightEducation Project

Dr. Peter Bishopforesighteducation.wetpaint.comProject g pCurriculum sharing among educators

John Smartfuturesphd wetpaint comfuturesphd.wetpaint.comLists, taxonomies and discussions

Dr Richard SlaughterDr. Richard Slaughterforesightinternational.com.au/Books and CD-Roms for educators

Keeping Abreast of the Keeping Abreast of the Finland Futures Research Centre Keeping Abreast of the Field

Keeping Abreast of the Field

http://www.futurumdatabase.com

•The Futurist• foresight•Futures•Journal of Futures Studies•World Futures •World Futures Review (formerly FRQ)•World Futures Review (formerly FRQ)•Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Contains abstracts from 1996 to 2009, not articles, Cost per annum: Personal: 500 EUR; Institution: 1000 EUR

foresightforesightforesightforesightthe journal of futures studies, strategic gthinking and policy

Access: http://www emeraldinsight com/fs htmhttp://www.emeraldinsight.com/fs.htmclick 'table of contents'username: WFSusername: WFSpassword: emerald

ResourcesResourcesResourcesResources

preparing-faculty.org/

http://books.google.com

Wiggins & McTighe foresightinternational.com.au/



M t D J G

L k i h t h h

My story– Dr. Jay Gary

Luck is what happens whenpreparation meets opportunity.

—Seneca




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Comment & Question

Comment & QuestionQuestionQuestion

1.Through this session I learned that….

2.One question I still have is ….

Small GroupsSmall GroupsSmall GroupsSmall Groups(20 minutes)

Meet others with similar aspirations and career d l t ddevelopment needs.

• Primary K-8S• High School

• College/Graduate • Corporate/Communityp y

Large GroupLarge GroupLarge GroupLarge Group

Let’s discuss issues and questions you considered in your small group

The Future of The Future of Foresight Education?Foresight Education?

B i M d l

Presently Utilizing…. Worth Exploring?

Business Models

1. Apprenticeship (IFTF) 2. Open Curriculum (ASF)3. Face-2-Face Masters (UH)

1. Certification (IBF)2. Consulting Teams - (ST) 3. Coordinators/ Extension (PSP)3. Face 2 Face Masters (UH)

4. Joint Masters (MS-SI-FC)5. Online Masters (Regent)

3. Coordinators/ Extension (PSP)



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World Future 2009 - Jay Gary · Futures Education: 100 years, prologue 1902 H.G. Wells,...

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