World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus...
-
Upload
phunghuong -
Category
Documents
-
view
214 -
download
0
Transcript of World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus...
![Page 1: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
WORLD DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2019
THE CHANGING NATURE OF WORK
![Page 2: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
An Open Source and Transparent Process
▪Weekly updated drafts:http://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2019
▪ 130,000 downloads of the draft as of July 6th, 2018
▪ The Report will be published in October 2018.
1
![Page 3: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Focus on Developing Countries
2
Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing Nature of Work
Note: Top 10 most mentioned countries/regions in the 2019 WDR
India-55
China-46
Kenya-31
Mexico-23 Vietnam-21
Sub-Saharan Africa-20
Brazil-20
South Africa-20
United States-20
Bangladesh-18
![Page 4: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Advanced and Socioemotional Skills Are Becoming More Important
Source: Authors’ analyses based on Wenhui News and career website.
![Page 5: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Technology Is Disrupting the Nature of Firms
4
Source: Author’s calculation, based on data from NASDAQ, AirBnb, Marriot International Inc., Financial Times.
New Superstar Firms: digital platforms operating globally, existing in the cloud
![Page 6: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Industrial Jobs Are Falling in the West, Rising in the East
5
Source: Authors’ calculations based on World Development Indicators.Note: “Rising East Asia” include Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Mongolia, Myanmar, Thailand, the Philippines and Vietnam
![Page 7: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
The Forces of Automation and Innovation Will Shape Future Employment
6
• Automation causes the employment in old sectors to decline.
• Innovation causes new sectors or tasks to emerge.
Source: Authors’ analyses.
![Page 8: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Irrespective of Technological Progress, Markets in Emerging Economies Remain Largely Informal
7
Source: Authors’ calculations using household and labor force survey data from the International Income Distribution Database
![Page 9: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Investing in Human Capital Is the Priority
8
Source: Authors’ calculations
Argentina
Benin
China
Colombia
Côte d'Ivoire
India
Indonesia
Kenya
Malawi
Mexico
Morocco
Philippines
Russian Federation
Singapore
South Africa
ThailandTurkey
Vietnam
.2.4
.6.8
1
Pro
du
ctivity R
ela
tive
to
Be
nch
mark
6 8 10 12Log Real GDP Per Capita at PPP
Note: Data are preliminary and subject to revision.
Human Capital Index
WBG Human Capital Index measures the human capital that a child born today can expect to attain by the end of secondary school.
![Page 10: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Human Capital Foundations, Created in Early Childhood, Are More Important Than Ever
9
Children from disadvantaged background are least likely to attend early childhood
education programs
Source: Authors’ calculations based on data obtained from UNICEF Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey.
![Page 11: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Stronger Social Protection: Protect People, Not Jobs
10
Source: Adapted from World Bank 2018c.
![Page 12: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Social Inclusion Is Costly
11
Source: Authors’ calculations based on World Bank World Development Indicators, World Bank PovcalNet, and United Nations World Population Prospects.
Simulated cost of UBI for closing the poverty gap by country income group (% of GDP)
![Page 13: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Tax Revenues Have to Rise, Especially in Developing Economies
12
Source: Authors’ calculations based on International Centre for Tax and Development (ICTD) and UNU-WIDER Government Revenue Dataset2017.
![Page 14: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Countries Have Several Options for Generating Additional Fiscal Resources
13
▪ Value-added tax
▪ Excise tax (tobacco, alcohol, sugar, soda tax)
▪ Carbon tax
▪ Corporate tax
▪ Taxing immovable property
▪ Eliminate fuel subsidies
▪ Reduce tax avoidance by multinationals and tax the digital economy
![Page 15: World Development Report 2019pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/195181530913257957/2019-WDR-PPT.pdf · Focus on Developing Countries 2 Countries/regions with most relevant cases to the Changing](https://reader031.fdocuments.us/reader031/viewer/2022022610/5b94b1b609d3f219658d7be5/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
14
http://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2019