World Agriculture Production-USDA Feb-2012

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board

United States Department of Agriculture Foreign

Agricultural Service Circular Series WAP 02-12 February 2012

Drought in Southern Brazil Reduces 2011/12 Soybean Production Forecast

Brazil’s 2011/12 soybean production is forecast at 72 million tons, down 2 million tons from last month and down 3.5 million or 5 percent from last year. Area is forecast at a record 25 million hectares, unchanged from last month and up 0.8 million or 3 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 2.88 tons per hectare, down 3 percent from last month due to below-average rainfall in the south from November through January. Above-average rainfall during October gave nearly ideal planting conditions for most of Brazil. The planting pace was ahead of the 5-year average throughout the planting season, with most of the crop planted by the end of December. However, below-average rainfall in the south from November through January reduced potential yields and state crop estimating agencies for Paraná and Rio Grande do Sul reduced state production forecasts by nearly 5 million tons. Crop losses from the drought in the south will be partially compensated by above-average yields in the states of Mato Grosso, Goáis, Minas Gerais, and the northeastern states of Maranhão, Tocantins, Piauí, and Bahia (or the MATOPIBA region), but overall the southern drought will reduce national output by several million tons. (For more information, contact Curt Reynolds at 202-690-0314.)

World Agricultural Production

2

Argentina: Continued Timely Rains Supply Soybean Needs Argentina is forecasted to produce 48 million tons of soybeans, 5 percent less than last month and 2 percent less than last year, for the 2011/12 season. The production expected will be harvested from an estimated 18.6 million hectares (ha), only 1.6 percent more area than last year and 0.5 percent less area than last month. Expected yield will fall to 2.58 tons per hectare, 4 percent lower than last month and last year. Some regions affected earlier by drought have imperiled soybean yield and production. The regions hit hard; northwestern Buenos Aires, southern Cordoba and far-south Santa Fe, have suffered. Around Junín, a delegation in the province of Buenos Aires, most early-planted soy only received about 5.6 millimeters (mm), 0.34 inches, of rain from the end of November through December 20. In such areas hit by drought and heat, leaves on the soybean plants are smaller and the plant internodes are short which may limit plant branching and flower/pod set. Recent rains,

however, have helped across many fields. Many fields may pull out of some of the earlier plant stress if rains continue to be timely and replenishing as the bulk of the crop goes into and finishes pollination. Late-planted soybeans will be able to take full advantage of recent good soil moisture and warm temperatures as they emerge and proceed through the vegetative stage of development. (For more information, contact Dr. Denise McWilliams, at 202-720-0107.)

February 2012

3

Argentina: Corn Suffered from Hot Weather and Limited, Late Rains Too little, too late rain on Argentine corn will result in limited production during this season. USDA forecasts Argentine corn production for 2011/12 at 22.0 million tons. Harvested area is estimated at 3.6 million hectares (ha), down 2.0 million hectares. Additional moisture is necessary for the crop, which is in grain fill and approaching full maturity. The yield for the crop is now estimated at 6.11 tons per ha. In their Jan. 18 monthly report, the Argentine Ministry of Agriculture estimated that possibly 20 to 50 percent of the planted corn area may be lost due to earlier dry conditions. They further estimated that only about 1 percent of the fields were in very good condition, 32 percent good, 42 percent normal and 25 percent in bad condition. Cordoba, Argentina’s second-largest corn and soybean producing province declared a drought emergency January 17, 2012. A

handful of other districts in surrounding provinces have also made the declaration. Some corn fields have been cut for silage or have cattle grazing due to poor grain fill. Some stalks in areas with sandier drought prone soils have not developed ears. The early-planted corn in Argentina appears to be the most affected as high temperatures and moisture deficits hit during pollination, resulting in lower yield potential. Late-planted corn across the core area generally appears in better form but is in danger of not reaching maturity before a killing frost. (For more information, contact Dr. Denise McWilliams, at 202-720-0107.)

February 2012

4

Argentina: Barley Production gets Boost from Area Increase Argentine barley farmers planted additional area this season that will boost supplies. The area estimated at 1.05 million hectares is more than originally suggested by Argentine officials. This increase of 11 percent over last month’s estimation of 0.95 million hectares will supply more grain for the country. Production is now forecast at 4.0 million tons as compared to last month’s estimation of 3.3 million tons, a 21 percent increase. Yield is expected to nationally average 3.81 tons per hectare as compared to the earlier estimate at 3.47 tons, a 10 percent increase. On again off again rains during the fall establishment of barley and some dry periods during the winter result in farmers deciding to plant more barley than originally estimated. Rains during grain fill provided more assimilate to grain from barley plants that increased yield and production. (For more information, contact Dr. Denise McWilliams, at 202-720-0107.) India's Rice Production Projected at Record Levels

India's 2011/12 rice production is forecast at 102 million tons, up 2 percent from last month, and up 6 million or 6.3 percent from last year. Area is forecast at 45.2 million hectares, up 0.4 percent from last month, and up 5.9 percent from last year. Paddy yield is forecast at a record 3.39 tons per hectare, up 1.5 percent from last month and 0.4 percent from last year. The major factors shaping the current crop outlook include the better-than-expected Kharif rice production. Favorable 2011 monsoon rains coupled with overall weather conditions in the major rice growing areas supported higher kharif rice acreage (3.0 million hectare above last year) and productivity leading to a record rice production as reflected by strong market arrivals of kharif paddy. According to the recent Government of India’s estimate report the Kharif rice production is now estimated at 87 million tons, a significantly larger crop than previously forecasted. In addition, the Rabi rice crop is now forecast at approximately 15 million tons based on encouraging Rabi rice sowing progress reports. The Kharif rice harvesting is almost complete in most regions especially in the north and south peninsular regions. The Kharif rice crop represents approximately 85% the total India rice production, and early planting is normally in March-May and is harvested in June-October. Late Kharif planting is in June-October and the crop is harvested in November-February. The major Kharif rice producing states are Punjab, Haryana, and Uttar Pradesh. The Rabi rice crop accounts for 15 percent of total India rice production. The crop is planted in November-February and harvested in March-June. The major Rabi rice producing states are West Bengal, Andhra Pradesh, Orissa, Karnataka, Assam, and Tamil Nadu. (For more information, contact Dath Mita at 202-720-7339.)

February 2012

5

High Prospects Projected for the Pakistan Cotton The USDA estimates Pakistan’s 2011/12 cotton production at 10.4 million bales (480-pound bales), a 4 percent increase from last month and up 18 percent from last year. If achieved this will be the second largest harvest on record. Area harvested is estimated at 3.2 million hectares, the same as last month, and up 10 percent from last year. The yield is estimated at 708 kg/ha, up 4 percent from last month, and up 7 percent from last year. Cotton harvest in Pakistan is almost complete. According to the Pakistan Cotton Ginner’s Association (PCGA) cumulative seed cotton arrivals at factories show significant improvement compared to the same time in the last two years. At the end of January consolidated cotton arrivals at ginning factories were estimated at approximately 10 million bales, 23 percent higher than the same period last year. There is wide consensus that a significant quantity of cotton is still left with growers, raising prospects that the season’s output will be in excess of the previous estimate of

10 million bales. Historic averages of seed cotton arrivals for the remainder of season (February-May) tend to be around 400,000 bales, which is the basis of the current projection of the final estimate. The major cotton regions of Punjab and upper Sindh experienced favorable conditions during peak vegetative and maturity stages. Favorable monsoon rainfall was reported throughout the season in Punjab province. Sindh province

received heavier-than-normal and persistent rains from mid-August to mid-September. General observations and analysis indicated that flooding occurred in a few provincial districts in south-east Sindh including Sanghar, Mirpurkhas, Umarkot, and Badin. The northern Sindh districts were least affected. In contrast, the torrential rains did not cause significant flooding in Punjab province, and in most areas was actually beneficial to maturing cotton and rice crops resulting in above-average crop performance and yields. (For more information, contact Dath Mita, PhD, at 202720-7339.)

February 2012

6

This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Service’s (FAS) global network of agricultural attachés and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Branch, FAS, and are reviewed by USDA’s Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S. area, yield, and production are from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers within the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-503), February 9, 2012. Printed copies are available from the National Technical Information Service. Download an order form at http://www.ntis.gov/products/specialty/usda/fas_a-g.asp, or call NTIS at 1-800-363-2068. The FAS International Production Assessment Branch prepared this report. The next issue of World Agricultural Production will be released after 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time, March 9, 2012.

Conversion Table

Metric tons to bushels

Wheat, soybeans = MT * 36.7437 Corn, sorghum, rye = MT * 39.36825 Barley = MT * 45.929625 Oats = MT * 68.894438

Metric tons to 480-lb bales

Cotton = MT * 4.592917

Metric tons to hundredweight

Rice = MT * 22.04622

Area & weight

1 hectare = 2.471044 acres 1 kilogram = 2.204622 pounds

February 2012

7

For further information, contact: U.S. Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service Office of Global Analysis

International Production Assessment Division Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building

Washington, DC 20250-1051

Telephone: (202) 720-1157 Fax: (202) 720-1158 GENERAL INFORMATION Director Derrick Williams III 202-690-0131 [email protected] Acting Deputy Director Paul Provance 202-720-0873 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/SIA Manager Curt Reynolds, PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected] USDA Remote Sensing Advisor Glenn Bethel 202-720-1280 [email protected] Sr. Agricultural Economist Paul Provance 202-720-0873 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Dath Mita PhD 202-720-0881 [email protected] Program Analyst Mary Jackson 202-720-0886 [email protected] GIS Analyst/WAP Coordinator Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION South America Denise McWilliams PhD 202-720-0107 [email protected] Europe and North Africa Bryan Purcell 202-690-0138 [email protected] FSU-12, Russia Mark Lindeman 202-690-0143 [email protected] Canada, Mexico, Central America Arnella Trent 202-720-0881 [email protected] and Caribbean China, East Asia, Venezuela Paulette Sandene 202-690-0133 [email protected] South Asia, India, Australia Dath Mita PhD 202-720-7339 [email protected] and New Zealand Africa, Brazil Curt Reynolds PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected] Middle East and Southeast Asia Michael Shean 202-720-7366 [email protected] Eastern United States Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected] Western United States Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected]

February 2012

mailto:[email protected]�

Million Metric Tons

Table 01 World Crop Production Summary

World

-

Total

Foreign

North

America

North

America

North

America

EU-27

-

Former

Soviet

Former

Soviet

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

Asia

(WAP)

South

America

South

America

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

Selected

Other

All

Others

none

-

none

-

United

States

Mexico

-

Canada

-

none

-

Russia

-

Ukraine

-

China

-

India

-

Indo-

nesia

Paki-

stan

Thai-

land

Argen-

tina

Brazil

-

South

Africa

Turkey

-

none

-

Aus-

tralia

Commodity

---Million metric tons---

Wheat

2009/10 93.518.52.021.85.012.0nr24.0nr80.7115.120.961.8138.84.126.860.4625.1685.4

2010/11 prel. 82.417.01.527.95.916.1nr23.9nr80.8115.216.841.5135.73.723.260.1591.5651.6

2011/12 proj.

Jan 95.318.81.828.35.814.5nr24.0nr85.9117.922.056.2137.53.825.354.4637.1691.5

Feb 95.718.81.828.35.814.5nr24.0nr86.9117.922.056.2137.53.825.354.4638.5692.9

Coarse Grains

2009/10 164.911.213.910.958.428.54.23.66.933.9169.624.131.8155.027.322.5348.8766.81,115.6

2010/11 prel. 174.310.111.311.860.530.64.13.66.842.0183.421.416.4139.529.422.3330.2767.31,097.6

2011/12 proj.

Jan 170.310.713.012.963.834.44.23.68.140.4198.132.932.8147.027.821.9323.7821.91,145.6

Feb 170.210.713.013.163.830.84.23.68.140.4198.132.932.8147.227.821.9323.7818.51,142.2

Rice, Milled

2009/10 132.40.4nr0.17.90.720.36.836.489.1136.60.10.61.90.2nr7.1433.4440.5

2010/11 prel. 135.60.5nr0.59.31.120.35.035.596.0137.00.10.71.90.1nr7.6443.5451.1

2011/12 proj.

Jan 137.80.5nr0.78.21.020.36.637.3100.0140.50.10.71.90.1nr5.9455.5461.4

Feb 137.50.5nr0.77.81.020.36.637.3102.0140.50.10.71.90.1nr5.9456.9462.8

Total Grains

2009/10 390.930.015.832.971.441.224.434.443.3203.7421.345.194.2295.731.649.3416.31,825.22,241.5

2010/11 prel. 392.327.512.840.275.747.824.332.542.3218.8435.638.458.6277.033.245.4397.91,802.42,200.3

2011/12 proj.

Jan 403.429.914.841.977.849.924.534.245.4226.3456.555.089.7286.431.747.1384.01,914.52,298.5

Feb 403.429.914.842.177.546.324.534.245.4229.2456.555.089.7286.631.747.1384.01,913.82,297.8

Oilseeds

2009/10 39.61.51.22.671.457.90.65.29.432.457.810.58.029.60.616.598.9345.1444.0

2010/11 prel. 40.51.81.73.879.353.80.64.89.734.757.711.67.229.10.717.2100.4354.4454.7

2011/12 proj.

Jan 41.22.11.84.677.855.20.75.510.236.257.313.212.128.90.918.591.2366.1457.4

Feb 39.82.11.84.675.852.70.75.610.236.257.813.212.429.00.918.591.2361.3452.5

Cotton

2009/10 13.41.80.01.85.51.00.09.60.023.832.0nrnr1.10.5nr12.290.4102.6

2010/11 prel. 14.12.10.14.29.01.30.08.80.026.430.5nrnr1.10.7nr18.198.4116.5

2011/12 proj.

Jan 15.43.10.15.09.01.20.010.00.027.033.5nrnr1.61.2nr15.7107.2122.8

Feb 15.53.10.15.09.01.20.010.40.027.033.5nrnr1.61.2nr15.7107.7123.3

1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.

February 2012

Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MMTPercent

Yield

(Metric tons per hectare)

Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million metric tons)

Change in Production

2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Feb Percent

2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

227.61World 6.3341.270.201.37692.88223.04 222.61 222.66 3.01 2.92 3.11 3.11 685.43 651.61 691.50

20.19United States -9.41-5.650.000.0054.4119.27 18.50 18.50 2.99 3.12 2.94 2.94 60.37 60.06 54.41

207.42Total Foreign 7.9346.920.221.37638.46203.77 204.12 204.17 3.01 2.90 3.12 3.13 625.06 591.55 637.09

none

24.29China 2.382.740.000.00117.9224.32 24.20 24.20 4.74 4.74 4.87 4.87 115.12 115.18 117.92

South Asia

27.75 India 7.516.071.090.9486.8728.36 29.40 29.40 2.91 2.85 2.92 2.95 80.68 80.80 85.93

9.05 Pakistan 0.420.100.000.0024.009.03 9.00 9.00 2.65 2.65 2.67 2.67 24.00 23.90 24.00

2.58 Afghanistan -32.43-1.200.000.002.502.35 2.10 2.10 1.65 1.57 1.19 1.19 4.25 3.70 2.50

Former Soviet Union - 12

28.70 Russia 35.4714.720.000.0056.2326.61 25.68 25.68 2.15 1.56 2.19 2.19 61.77 41.51 56.23

6.75 Ukraine 30.615.160.000.0022.006.28 6.70 6.70 3.09 2.68 3.28 3.28 20.87 16.84 22.00

14.75 Kazakhstan 135.8613.091.030.2322.7314.26 13.80 13.85 1.16 0.68 1.63 1.64 17.05 9.64 22.50

1.40 Uzbekistan -3.08-0.200.000.006.301.40 1.40 1.40 4.43 4.64 4.50 4.50 6.20 6.50 6.30

25.82EU-27 1.341.810.000.00137.4926.11 25.76 25.76 5.38 5.20 5.34 5.34 138.82 135.67 137.49

5.15 France -5.78-2.210.000.0036.005.43 5.45 5.45 7.44 7.04 6.61 6.61 38.32 38.21 36.00

3.23 Germany -3.29-0.780.000.0023.003.23 3.26 3.26 7.81 7.37 7.06 7.06 25.19 23.78 23.00

1.78 United Kingdom 3.170.470.000.0015.351.94 2.00 2.00 7.93 7.67 7.68 7.68 14.08 14.88 15.35

2.35 Poland 0.000.000.000.009.302.41 2.42 2.42 4.17 3.87 3.84 3.84 9.79 9.30 9.30

1.77 Spain 13.830.810.000.006.651.94 1.95 1.95 2.71 3.02 3.41 3.41 4.81 5.84 6.65

1.90 Italy -6.01-0.390.000.006.101.81 1.67 1.67 3.53 3.59 3.66 3.66 6.70 6.49 6.10

0.74 Denmark -1.11-0.060.000.005.000.77 0.74 0.74 8.04 6.61 6.80 6.80 5.94 5.06 5.00

1.14 Hungary 7.890.300.000.004.101.01 0.98 0.98 3.85 3.76 4.18 4.18 4.40 3.80 4.10

2.15 Romania 26.411.530.000.007.302.15 1.96 1.96 2.47 2.69 3.72 3.72 5.30 5.78 7.30

1.25 Bulgaria 3.810.160.000.004.251.13 1.04 1.04 3.19 3.62 4.08 4.08 3.98 4.09 4.25

9.64Canada 9.032.090.000.0025.268.27 8.55 8.55 2.79 2.80 2.96 2.96 26.85 23.17 25.26

13.88Australia 1.470.410.000.0028.3013.65 14.10 14.10 1.57 2.04 2.01 2.01 21.83 27.89 28.30

Middle East

7.80 Turkey 10.591.800.000.0018.808.00 7.70 7.70 2.37 2.13 2.44 2.44 18.45 17.00 18.80

6.65 Iran -11.29-1.750.000.0013.757.00 6.80 6.80 2.03 2.21 2.02 2.02 13.49 15.50 13.75

1.50 Syria -9.72-0.350.000.003.251.35 1.50 1.50 2.40 2.67 2.17 2.17 3.60 3.60 3.25

North Africa

1.32 Egypt 20.831.500.000.008.701.26 1.32 1.32 6.45 5.71 6.59 6.59 8.52 7.20 8.70

2.98 Morocco 22.771.113.450.206.002.85 3.04 3.04 2.15 1.71 1.91 1.97 6.40 4.89 5.80

4.00Argentina -9.94-1.600.000.0014.504.60 5.00 5.00 3.00 3.50 2.90 2.90 12.00 16.10 14.50

18.57Others 3.311.410.000.0043.8618.07 18.07 18.07 2.43 2.35 2.43 2.43 45.17 42.46 43.86

World and Selected Countries and Regions

February 2012

Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

310.53World 4.0744.64-0.29-3.371,142.19309.50 314.70 314.37 3.59 3.55 3.64 3.63 1,115.55 1,097.56 1,145.56

36.32United States -1.98-6.540.000.00323.7036.52 36.96 36.96 9.60 9.04 8.76 8.76 348.76 330.24 323.70

274.21Total Foreign 6.6751.18-0.41-3.37818.50272.97 277.74 277.41 2.80 2.81 2.96 2.95 766.80 767.32 821.87

none

33.38China 7.9914.660.000.00198.0634.77 35.72 35.72 5.08 5.27 5.55 5.55 169.60 183.41 198.06

South America

13.93 Brazil 5.543.350.000.0063.8314.86 16.04 16.04 4.19 4.07 3.98 3.98 58.41 60.48 63.83

4.20 Argentina 0.820.25-10.46-3.6030.815.66 6.02 5.93 6.80 5.40 5.72 5.20 28.53 30.56 34.41

32.53EU-27 5.587.780.140.21147.2430.19 30.23 30.23 4.77 4.62 4.86 4.87 155.04 139.46 147.03

4.21 France 1.370.370.000.0027.543.77 3.76 3.76 7.52 7.22 7.33 7.33 31.65 27.17 27.54

3.68 Germany -7.76-1.570.000.0018.693.29 3.24 3.24 6.67 6.16 5.77 5.77 24.56 20.26 18.69

6.16 Poland -2.63-0.470.000.0017.276.01 5.64 5.64 3.24 2.95 3.06 3.06 19.94 17.74 17.27

4.13 Spain 9.541.230.000.0014.143.94 3.84 3.84 2.92 3.28 3.68 3.68 12.09 12.91 14.14

1.43 Italy 12.611.311.820.2111.721.37 1.53 1.53 7.20 7.61 7.51 7.67 10.32 10.41 11.51

1.72 Hungary 13.181.130.000.009.661.56 1.65 1.65 5.29 5.46 5.87 5.87 9.09 8.54 9.66

1.30 United Kingdom 4.890.300.000.006.371.07 1.12 1.12 5.80 5.65 5.67 5.67 7.54 6.07 6.37

3.14 Romania 15.751.650.000.0012.133.03 3.24 3.24 2.91 3.46 3.75 3.75 9.14 10.48 12.13


16.50 Russia 99.7816.380.000.0032.8013.80 15.40 15.40 1.93 1.19 2.13 2.13 31.84 16.42 32.80

8.06 Ukraine 53.4411.460.000.0032.907.64 7.94 7.94 2.99 2.81 4.14 4.14 24.14 21.44 32.90

2.21 Kazakhstan 72.971.440.860.033.401.94 1.99 1.86 1.49 1.02 1.70 1.83 3.30 1.97 3.38

81.09Africa -4.93-5.640.000.00108.7681.19 80.71 80.71 1.33 1.41 1.35 1.35 107.96 114.40 108.76

18.25 Nigeria -2.92-0.840.000.0027.9018.35 18.35 18.35 1.54 1.57 1.52 1.52 28.15 28.74 27.90

4.15 South Africa 14.341.620.000.0012.953.73 3.85 3.85 3.35 3.03 3.36 3.36 13.88 11.33 12.95

4.93 Ethiopia -9.07-0.900.000.009.034.93 4.93 4.93 1.63 2.02 1.83 1.83 8.05 9.93 9.03

1.05 Egypt -35.71-2.700.000.004.861.06 0.73 0.73 6.99 7.13 6.66 6.66 7.34 7.56 4.86

27.01India -3.88-1.630.000.0040.3727.09 26.45 26.45 1.25 1.55 1.53 1.53 33.89 42.00 40.37

Southeast Asia

3.06 Indonesia 19.121.300.000.008.102.85 3.15 3.15 2.25 2.39 2.57 2.57 6.90 6.80 8.10

2.52 Philippines -1.80-0.132.000.147.142.63 2.56 2.68 2.47 2.76 2.73 2.67 6.23 7.27 7.00

1.03 Thailand 3.700.150.000.004.201.01 1.03 1.03 4.04 4.01 4.08 4.08 4.15 4.05 4.20

8.20Mexico -5.43-1.590.000.0027.789.29 8.63 8.63 3.32 3.16 3.22 3.22 27.25 29.37 27.78

5.23Canada -1.78-0.400.000.0021.874.67 4.75 4.75 4.30 4.77 4.61 4.61 22.48 22.26 21.87

5.90Australia 11.441.351.550.2013.115.38 5.79 5.79 1.85 2.19 2.23 2.26 10.92 11.76 12.91

4.23Turkey 5.940.600.000.0010.704.17 3.98 3.98 2.64 2.42 2.69 2.69 11.18 10.10 10.70

25.12Others 2.831.86-0.52-0.3567.4425.83 27.37 27.14 2.59 2.54 2.48 2.49 64.97 65.58 67.79


February 2012

Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

157.74World 4.4236.57-0.46-3.95864.11163.11 168.83 168.64 5.19 5.07 5.14 5.12 819.23 827.54 868.06

32.17United States -0.71-2.250.000.00313.9232.96 33.99 33.99 10.34 9.59 9.24 9.24 332.55 316.17 313.92

125.57Total Foreign 7.5938.82-0.71-3.95550.19130.15 134.84 134.66 3.88 3.93 4.11 4.09 486.69 511.37 554.14

none

31.18China 8.1814.510.000.00191.7532.50 33.40 33.40 5.26 5.45 5.74 5.74 163.97 177.25 191.75

South America

12.93 Brazil 6.093.500.000.0061.0013.80 15.00 15.00 4.34 4.17 4.07 4.07 56.10 57.50 61.00

2.75 Argentina -2.22-0.50-15.38-4.0022.003.60 3.80 3.60 8.47 6.25 6.84 6.11 23.30 22.50 26.00

6.28Mexico -2.98-0.630.000.0020.507.00 6.65 6.65 3.24 3.02 3.08 3.08 20.37 21.13 20.50

8.29EU-27 15.648.730.330.2164.527.98 8.79 8.78 6.87 6.99 7.32 7.35 56.95 55.80 64.31

1.68 France 13.131.810.000.0015.601.53 1.57 1.57 9.10 9.00 9.94 9.94 15.29 13.79 15.60

0.93 Italy 11.501.012.190.219.790.92 1.00 1.00 9.30 9.60 9.58 9.84 8.65 8.78 9.58

1.18 Hungary 15.711.100.000.008.101.07 1.20 1.20 6.36 6.55 6.75 6.75 7.50 7.00 8.10

2.35 Romania 17.241.500.000.0010.202.25 2.55 2.55 3.19 3.87 4.00 4.00 7.50 8.70 10.20

0.27 Poland 22.450.390.000.002.100.30 0.34 0.34 6.23 5.72 6.18 6.18 1.71 1.72 2.10

8.33India -1.32-0.280.000.0021.008.55 8.50 8.50 2.01 2.49 2.47 2.47 16.72 21.28 21.00

1.14Canada -8.66-1.010.000.0010.701.20 1.20 1.20 8.37 9.74 8.92 8.92 9.56 11.71 10.70

3.06Indonesia 19.121.300.000.008.102.85 3.15 3.15 2.25 2.39 2.57 2.57 6.90 6.80 8.10

2.09Ukraine 88.7710.580.000.0022.502.65 3.50 3.50 5.02 4.50 6.43 6.43 10.49 11.92 22.50

1.20Serbia -7.84-0.530.000.006.271.23 1.26 1.26 5.33 5.53 4.97 4.97 6.40 6.80 6.27

0.84Egypt -41.54-2.700.000.003.800.85 0.52 0.52 7.48 7.65 7.31 7.31 6.28 6.50 3.80

2.52Philippines -1.80-0.132.000.147.142.63 2.56 2.68 2.47 2.76 2.73 2.67 6.23 7.27 7.00

1.13Vietnam 8.000.400.000.005.401.20 1.25 1.25 4.09 4.17 4.32 4.32 4.61 5.00 5.40

1.00Thailand 3.750.150.000.004.150.98 1.00 1.00 4.10 4.08 4.15 4.15 4.10 4.00 4.15

1.37Russia 117.243.610.000.006.681.42 1.74 1.74 2.90 2.17 3.83 3.83 3.96 3.08 6.68

Sub-Saharan Africa

3.26 South Africa 14.431.580.000.0012.502.86 3.00 3.00 4.11 3.82 4.17 4.17 13.42 10.92 12.50

4.90 Nigeria -6.85-0.640.000.008.704.90 4.90 4.90 1.83 1.91 1.78 1.78 8.95 9.34 8.70

2.00 Ethiopia -8.33-0.400.000.004.402.00 2.00 2.00 1.95 2.40 2.20 2.20 3.90 4.80 4.40

1.10 Zimbabwe 40.000.400.000.001.401.35 1.60 1.60 0.59 0.74 0.88 0.88 0.65 1.00 1.40

0.50Turkey 0.000.000.000.003.600.49 0.45 0.45 8.00 7.35 8.00 8.00 4.00 3.60 3.60

29.71Others 1.420.90-0.47-0.3064.0830.11 30.57 30.48 2.01 2.10 2.11 2.10 59.82 63.18 64.38


February 2012

Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

55.79World 8.7610.800.440.59134.0450.42 50.16 50.07 2.71 2.44 2.66 2.68 150.92 123.25 133.45

1.26United States -13.58-0.530.000.003.391.00 0.91 0.91 3.93 3.93 3.74 3.74 4.95 3.93 3.39

54.53Total Foreign 9.4911.330.460.59130.6549.43 49.25 49.17 2.68 2.41 2.64 2.66 145.97 119.32 130.06

none

9.09Russia 102.818.590.000.0016.947.21 7.96 7.96 1.97 1.16 2.13 2.13 17.88 8.35 16.94

13.94EU-27 -1.46-0.770.000.0052.2512.49 12.06 12.06 4.46 4.24 4.33 4.33 62.15 53.03 52.25

1.88 Germany -14.98-1.550.000.008.781.64 1.61 1.61 6.54 6.29 5.46 5.46 12.29 10.33 8.78

1.88 France -12.20-1.230.000.008.871.58 1.55 1.55 6.92 6.39 5.72 5.72 13.00 10.10 8.87

3.02 Spain 4.290.350.000.008.502.87 2.73 2.73 2.41 2.84 3.12 3.12 7.30 8.15 8.50

1.14 United Kingdom 4.720.250.000.005.500.92 0.97 0.97 5.83 5.70 5.68 5.68 6.67 5.25 5.50

0.59 Denmark 10.330.310.000.003.300.59 0.60 0.60 5.77 5.04 5.55 5.55 3.42 2.99 3.30

1.16 Poland -5.67-0.200.000.003.331.12 1.00 1.00 3.44 3.15 3.33 3.33 3.98 3.53 3.33

0.45 Czech Republic 16.920.270.000.001.850.39 0.37 0.37 4.41 4.08 4.97 4.97 2.00 1.58 1.85

0.60 Finland 10.960.150.000.001.480.41 0.41 0.41 3.63 3.26 3.60 3.60 2.18 1.33 1.48

0.36 Sweden 17.690.220.000.001.450.32 0.32 0.32 4.65 3.87 4.53 4.53 1.68 1.23 1.45

0.31 Italy 17.560.170.000.001.170.27 0.32 0.32 3.42 3.62 3.60 3.60 1.05 0.99 1.17

0.32 Hungary 2.480.020.000.000.990.29 0.26 0.26 3.22 3.37 3.81 3.81 1.03 0.97 0.99

0.18 Austria 2.830.020.000.000.800.17 0.15 0.15 4.59 4.60 5.23 5.23 0.84 0.78 0.80

4.99Ukraine 6.080.520.000.009.004.32 3.70 3.70 2.37 1.97 2.43 2.43 11.83 8.48 9.00

2.92Canada 2.040.160.000.007.762.39 2.37 2.37 3.26 3.19 3.28 3.28 9.52 7.61 7.76

4.42Australia 4.360.360.000.008.503.74 4.00 4.00 1.78 2.18 2.13 2.13 7.87 8.15 8.50

3.40Turkey 10.170.600.000.006.503.35 3.20 3.20 1.91 1.76 2.03 2.03 6.50 5.90 6.50

0.63China 4.000.100.000.002.600.65 0.68 0.68 3.70 3.85 3.85 3.85 2.32 2.50 2.60

1.68Iran -14.29-0.500.000.003.001.70 1.65 1.65 2.06 2.06 1.82 1.82 3.45 3.50 3.00

2.18Morocco -8.95-0.230.000.002.341.92 2.03 1.89 1.74 1.34 1.16 1.24 3.80 2.57 2.34

1.85Kazakhstan 97.491.28-3.96-0.112.591.58 1.60 1.55 1.36 0.83 1.69 1.67 2.52 1.31 2.70

0.98Ethiopia 0.000.000.000.001.400.98 0.98 0.98 1.61 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.57 1.40 1.40

0.61Belarus -8.44-0.170.000.001.800.69 0.65 0.65 3.47 2.85 2.77 2.77 2.12 1.97 1.80

0.78India 16.300.220.000.001.570.74 0.75 0.75 2.17 1.82 2.09 2.09 1.69 1.35 1.57

0.50Argentina 35.591.0521.210.704.000.75 0.95 1.05 2.70 3.93 3.47 3.81 1.36 2.95 3.30

0.23Mexico -27.91-0.220.000.000.560.31 0.21 0.21 2.17 2.52 2.67 2.67 0.50 0.78 0.56

0.50Iraq -13.04-0.150.000.001.001.25 1.13 1.13 0.90 0.92 0.88 0.88 0.45 1.15 1.00

1.24Algeria -10.00-0.150.000.001.351.00 1.00 1.00 1.94 1.50 1.35 1.35 2.40 1.50 1.35

4.59Others 9.590.660.000.007.494.36 4.35 4.35 1.75 1.57 1.72 1.72 8.05 6.83 7.49


February 2012

Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

11.26World 18.243.580.420.1023.2010.60 11.04 11.02 2.07 1.85 2.09 2.10 23.32 19.63 23.11

0.56United States -33.87-0.400.000.000.780.51 0.38 0.38 2.42 2.31 2.05 2.05 1.35 1.18 0.78

10.70Total Foreign 21.563.980.440.1022.4310.08 10.66 10.64 2.05 1.83 2.09 2.11 21.97 18.45 22.33

none

3.37Russia 65.762.120.000.005.332.90 3.23 3.23 1.60 1.11 1.65 1.65 5.40 3.22 5.33

0.98Canada 20.970.520.000.003.000.91 1.03 1.03 2.97 2.74 2.91 2.91 2.91 2.48 3.00

2.91EU-27 8.720.640.000.008.012.72 2.68 2.68 2.95 2.71 2.99 2.99 8.58 7.37 8.01

0.53 Poland 1.350.020.000.001.350.54 0.50 0.50 2.70 2.47 2.71 2.71 1.42 1.34 1.35

0.34 Finland 28.780.230.000.001.040.28 0.31 0.31 3.54 2.90 3.38 3.38 1.21 0.81 1.04

0.56 Spain 6.190.060.000.001.080.54 0.52 0.52 1.65 1.89 2.10 2.10 0.92 1.02 1.08

0.16 Germany 5.350.030.000.000.630.14 0.14 0.14 5.07 4.24 4.41 4.41 0.83 0.60 0.63

0.19 Sweden 44.510.240.000.000.780.17 0.18 0.18 3.99 3.23 4.26 4.26 0.75 0.54 0.78

0.13 United Kingdom 5.110.040.000.000.720.12 0.13 0.13 5.77 5.52 5.76 5.76 0.74 0.69 0.72

0.12 France -18.14-0.080.000.000.370.10 0.09 0.09 4.90 4.57 4.35 4.35 0.57 0.45 0.37

0.13 Italy 3.940.010.000.000.290.11 0.12 0.12 2.34 2.45 2.40 2.40 0.31 0.28 0.29

0.07 Denmark 3.900.010.000.000.240.05 0.05 0.05 4.70 4.91 4.80 4.80 0.32 0.23 0.24

0.20 Romania -2.94-0.010.000.000.330.20 0.18 0.18 1.45 1.74 1.83 1.83 0.30 0.34 0.33

0.05 Czech Republic 8.700.010.000.000.150.05 0.05 0.05 3.32 2.65 3.33 3.33 0.17 0.14 0.15

0.05 Hungary 26.020.030.000.000.160.05 0.06 0.06 2.19 2.41 2.82 2.82 0.11 0.12 0.16

0.03 Austria -8.16-0.010.000.000.090.03 0.03 0.03 3.89 3.63 3.60 3.60 0.11 0.10 0.09

0.02 Ireland 0.000.000.000.000.150.02 0.02 0.02 7.30 7.63 7.25 7.25 0.15 0.15 0.15

0.06 Lithuania 49.430.040.000.000.130.07 0.07 0.07 2.23 1.34 2.00 2.00 0.14 0.09 0.13

0.85Australia 44.610.510.000.001.650.83 1.00 1.00 1.37 1.37 1.65 1.65 1.16 1.14 1.65

0.42Ukraine 20.090.090.000.000.550.31 0.29 0.29 1.76 1.47 1.90 1.90 0.73 0.46 0.55

0.23China 0.000.000.000.000.420.24 0.24 0.24 1.78 1.75 1.75 1.75 0.41 0.42 0.42

0.17Belarus 81.000.360.000.000.800.18 0.28 0.28 3.31 2.40 2.91 2.91 0.55 0.44 0.80

0.13Brazil -2.37-0.010.000.000.370.15 0.15 0.15 1.89 2.46 2.40 2.40 0.25 0.38 0.37

0.14Argentina -47.73-0.320.000.000.350.29 0.22 0.22 1.31 2.32 1.57 1.57 0.18 0.66 0.35

0.08Chile -11.35-0.060.000.000.500.11 0.10 0.10 5.01 5.32 5.00 5.00 0.38 0.56 0.50

0.07Norway 0.000.000.000.000.250.07 0.07 0.07 3.36 3.36 3.36 3.36 0.25 0.25 0.25

0.09Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.210.10 0.10 0.10 2.34 2.21 2.21 2.21 0.22 0.21 0.21

0.15Kazakhstan 92.540.1261.250.100.260.17 0.16 0.15 1.34 0.77 1.00 1.78 0.20 0.13 0.16

0.07Serbia 0.000.000.000.000.120.07 0.07 0.07 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.85 0.12 0.12 0.12

1.05Others 0.660.000.000.000.611.04 1.04 1.04 0.60 0.58 0.58 0.58 0.63 0.61 0.61


February 2012

Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

6.43World 10.381.20-0.17-0.0212.735.49 5.28 5.23 2.73 2.10 2.42 2.43 17.52 11.54 12.76

0.10United States -14.81-0.030.000.000.160.11 0.10 0.10 1.75 1.77 1.64 1.64 0.18 0.19 0.16

6.33Total Foreign 10.801.23-0.17-0.0212.575.38 5.18 5.14 2.74 2.11 2.43 2.45 17.35 11.35 12.59

none

2.80EU-27 -11.70-0.910.000.006.882.59 2.28 2.28 3.55 3.01 3.02 3.02 9.95 7.80 6.88

1.40 Poland -21.56-0.710.000.002.571.40 1.10 1.10 2.66 2.34 2.33 2.33 3.71 3.27 2.57

0.76 Germany -12.76-0.370.000.002.530.63 0.62 0.62 5.70 4.63 4.11 4.11 4.33 2.90 2.53

0.13 Spain 22.910.060.000.000.340.14 0.15 0.15 1.37 2.02 2.27 2.27 0.18 0.28 0.34

0.08 Lithuania 49.430.040.000.000.130.05 0.05 0.05 2.54 1.67 2.50 2.50 0.21 0.09 0.13

0.06 Latvia 10.530.010.000.000.110.04 0.04 0.04 2.75 2.50 2.76 2.76 0.16 0.10 0.11

0.03 France -13.91-0.020.000.000.130.03 0.03 0.03 5.20 5.21 4.48 4.48 0.13 0.15 0.13

0.04 Denmark 0.000.000.000.000.250.05 0.05 0.05 5.57 5.44 5.33 5.33 0.25 0.25 0.25

0.04 Czech Republic -0.850.000.000.000.120.03 0.03 0.03 4.68 3.93 4.68 4.68 0.18 0.12 0.12

0.05 Austria 22.360.040.000.000.200.05 0.05 0.05 3.76 3.50 4.28 4.28 0.18 0.16 0.20

0.04 Sweden 22.030.030.000.000.140.03 0.03 0.03 5.92 4.72 5.76 5.76 0.22 0.12 0.14

0.04 Hungary 1.330.000.000.000.080.04 0.03 0.03 1.80 2.08 2.30 2.30 0.07 0.08 0.08

0.02 Slovakia 19.440.010.000.000.040.02 0.01 0.01 2.85 2.12 3.31 3.31 0.06 0.04 0.04

0.03 Finland 1.450.000.000.000.070.03 0.03 0.03 2.48 2.76 2.80 2.80 0.06 0.07 0.07

0.01 United Kingdom 12.900.000.000.000.040.01 0.01 0.01 7.20 6.20 7.00 7.00 0.04 0.03 0.04

0.02 Romania -11.760.000.000.000.030.02 0.01 0.01 2.06 2.27 2.50 2.50 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.02 Greece 0.000.000.000.000.030.02 0.02 0.02 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.02 Portugal 0.000.000.000.000.020.02 0.02 0.02 0.95 0.90 0.95 0.95 0.02 0.02 0.02

2.15Russia 80.821.330.000.002.971.76 1.62 1.62 2.02 0.93 1.83 1.83 4.33 1.64 2.97

0.45Belarus 104.080.770.000.001.500.35 0.58 0.58 2.70 2.09 2.61 2.61 1.23 0.74 1.50

0.46Ukraine 18.530.090.000.000.550.28 0.29 0.29 2.07 1.66 1.93 1.93 0.95 0.46 0.55

0.12Canada -15.95-0.040.000.000.200.10 0.08 0.08 2.43 2.44 2.47 2.47 0.28 0.23 0.20

0.14Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.270.13 0.13 0.13 2.49 2.08 2.08 2.08 0.34 0.27 0.27

0.05Argentina 25.000.010.000.000.050.02 0.04 0.04 1.15 1.67 1.43 1.43 0.06 0.04 0.05

0.06Kazakhstan -33.33-0.01-44.00-0.020.030.05 0.07 0.03 1.23 0.82 0.71 1.12 0.08 0.04 0.05

0.04Australia 0.000.000.000.000.020.04 0.04 0.04 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.02 0.02 0.02

0.00Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.020.00 0.00 0.00 6.67 6.67 6.67 6.67 0.02 0.02 0.02

0.06Others 0.000.000.000.000.090.06 0.06 0.06 1.36 1.39 1.39 1.39 0.09 0.09 0.09


February 2012

Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

40.66World -8.22-5.43-0.16-0.1060.6441.20 40.88 40.90 1.46 1.60 1.49 1.48 59.19 66.08 60.74

2.23United States -37.95-3.330.000.005.451.95 1.59 1.59 4.35 4.51 3.43 3.43 9.73 8.78 5.45

38.43Total Foreign -3.67-2.10-0.18-0.1055.2039.25 39.29 39.31 1.29 1.46 1.41 1.40 49.46 57.30 55.30

none

Sub-Saharan Africa

7.50 Nigeria -1.71-0.200.000.0011.507.60 7.60 7.60 1.53 1.54 1.51 1.51 11.50 11.70 11.50

6.00 Sudan -17.50-0.810.000.003.806.20 5.60 5.60 0.44 0.74 0.68 0.68 2.63 4.61 3.80

1.55 Ethiopia -15.63-0.500.000.002.701.55 1.55 1.55 1.34 2.06 1.74 1.74 2.08 3.20 2.70

1.62 Burkina -7.69-0.150.000.001.801.62 1.62 1.62 0.94 1.20 1.11 1.11 1.52 1.95 1.80

0.90 Tanzania -12.94-0.110.000.000.740.90 0.90 0.90 0.79 0.94 0.82 0.82 0.71 0.85 0.74

1.50 Niger -25.00-0.300.000.000.901.50 1.50 1.50 0.49 0.80 0.60 0.60 0.74 1.20 0.90

0.31 Uganda -3.85-0.020.000.000.500.31 0.31 0.31 1.60 1.68 1.61 1.61 0.50 0.52 0.50

0.61 Mozambique 6.770.030.000.000.410.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.66 0.66 0.38 0.38 0.41

0.34 Ghana -9.72-0.040.000.000.330.34 0.34 0.34 1.03 1.06 0.96 0.96 0.35 0.36 0.33

0.09 South Africa -19.35-0.030.000.000.130.07 0.05 0.05 2.26 2.25 2.50 2.50 0.20 0.16 0.13

South Asia

7.50 India 0.890.060.000.006.807.20 7.20 7.20 0.89 0.94 0.94 0.94 6.70 6.74 6.80

0.24 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.150.24 0.24 0.24 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.15 0.15 0.15

South America

0.75 Argentina 0.000.00-6.38-0.304.401.00 1.00 1.02 4.83 4.40 4.70 4.33 3.63 4.40 4.70

0.79 Brazil -4.93-0.110.000.002.200.82 0.80 0.80 2.34 2.83 2.75 2.75 1.85 2.31 2.20

1.62Mexico -10.20-0.750.000.006.601.92 1.70 1.70 3.87 3.84 3.88 3.88 6.25 7.35 6.60

0.56China 2.780.050.000.001.850.58 0.60 0.60 3.00 3.10 3.08 3.08 1.68 1.80 1.85

0.50Australia 25.730.538.330.202.600.67 0.66 0.66 3.03 3.07 3.64 3.94 1.51 2.07 2.40

0.16Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.900.16 0.16 0.16 5.63 5.63 5.63 5.63 0.90 0.90 0.90

0.12EU-27 20.930.130.000.000.750.11 0.13 0.13 5.22 5.45 5.73 5.73 0.62 0.62 0.75

0.06 France -3.50-0.010.000.000.280.05 0.04 0.04 5.40 5.50 6.27 6.27 0.31 0.29 0.28

0.04 Italy 43.170.120.000.000.390.04 0.06 0.06 6.08 6.61 6.16 6.16 0.24 0.27 0.39

5.78Others 1.910.120.000.006.155.84 6.71 6.71 0.96 1.03 0.92 0.92 5.57 6.03 6.15


February 2012


Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

156.02World 2.5811.650.281.31462.75157.03 160.14 160.23 4.23 4.31 4.32 4.33 440.52 451.10 461.44

1.26United States -22.64-1.72-1.06-0.065.871.46 1.06 1.06 7.94 7.54 7.92 7.92 7.13 7.59 5.94

154.77Total Foreign 3.0213.370.301.38456.88155.56 159.08 159.18 4.20 4.28 4.29 4.30 433.39 443.51 455.50

none

East Asia

29.63 China 2.553.500.000.00140.5029.82 29.94 29.94 6.59 6.56 6.70 6.70 136.57 137.00 140.50

1.62 Japan -0.96-0.070.000.007.651.63 1.58 1.58 6.52 6.51 6.66 6.66 7.71 7.72 7.65

0.92 Korea, South -1.65-0.070.000.004.220.89 0.85 0.85 7.04 6.51 6.58 6.58 4.92 4.30 4.22

0.59 Korea, North 0.000.000.000.001.600.58 0.57 0.57 5.02 4.24 4.32 4.32 1.91 1.60 1.60

South Asia

41.85 India 6.276.022.002.00102.0042.70 45.00 45.20 3.19 3.37 3.33 3.39 89.09 95.98 100.00

11.60 Bangladesh 2.410.800.000.0034.0011.80 12.00 12.00 4.01 4.22 4.25 4.25 31.00 33.20 34.00

2.80 Pakistan 31.001.550.000.006.552.10 2.75 2.75 3.64 3.57 3.57 3.57 6.80 5.00 6.55

Southeast Asia

12.10 Indonesia 5.071.800.000.0037.3012.08 12.15 12.15 4.73 4.67 4.83 4.83 36.37 35.50 37.30

7.42 Vietnam -0.57-0.150.000.0026.157.61 7.56 7.56 5.39 5.53 5.54 5.54 24.99 26.30 26.15

10.94 Thailand 0.190.040.000.0020.3010.67 10.96 10.96 2.81 2.88 2.81 2.81 20.26 20.26 20.30

7.00 Burma -2.33-0.250.000.0010.507.00 6.69 6.69 2.60 2.65 2.71 2.71 10.55 10.75 10.50

4.41 Philippines 0.960.101.330.1410.644.53 4.60 4.53 3.52 3.69 3.62 3.73 9.77 10.54 10.50

2.68 Cambodia 1.920.100.000.005.302.78 2.70 2.70 2.84 2.97 3.12 3.12 4.78 5.20 5.30

0.89 Laos 2.780.050.000.001.850.87 0.82 0.82 3.61 3.45 3.76 3.76 1.92 1.80 1.85

0.67 Malaysia 1.240.020.000.001.630.67 0.67 0.67 3.71 3.71 3.74 3.74 1.62 1.61 1.63

South America

2.77 Brazil -15.91-1.48-4.17-0.347.822.83 2.60 2.60 4.22 4.83 4.62 4.42 7.93 9.30 8.16

0.41 Peru -14.08-0.270.000.001.670.39 0.34 0.34 7.40 7.28 7.10 7.10 2.09 1.94 1.67

Sub-Saharan Africa

2.10 Nigeria 3.610.090.000.002.582.15 2.17 2.17 2.06 1.93 1.98 1.98 2.60 2.49 2.58

1.34 Madagascar -10.12-0.310.000.002.751.34 1.34 1.34 3.36 3.57 3.21 3.21 2.88 3.06 2.75

0.46EU-27 1.710.030.000.001.900.47 0.46 0.46 6.49 6.25 6.44 6.44 1.89 1.87 1.90

0.24 Italy 2.110.020.000.000.970.25 0.24 0.24 6.74 6.28 6.52 6.52 0.98 0.95 0.97

0.12 Spain 0.370.000.000.000.550.12 0.12 0.12 6.42 6.36 6.39 6.39 0.54 0.54 0.55

0.67Egypt 38.711.20-8.51-0.404.300.45 0.76 0.73 9.87 10.60 9.51 9.06 4.30 3.10 4.70

0.54Iran 0.000.000.000.001.500.54 0.54 0.54 4.20 4.21 4.21 4.21 1.49 1.50 1.50

11.39Others 2.890.68-0.10-0.0224.1711.69 12.04 12.03 2.96 3.08 3.08 3.08 21.95 23.49 24.19

Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling process

Production is on a milled basis, after the milling process

February 2012


Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

--World Total -0.50-2.26-1.07-4.87452.48-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 443.96 454.74 457.35

--Total Foreign 1.956.90-1.33-4.87361.26-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 345.06 354.36 366.13

--Oilseed, Copra -0.95-0.060.000.005.84-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5.88 5.89 5.84

--Oilseed, Palm Kernel 5.600.710.000.0013.35-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 12.22 12.64 13.35

none

206.24Major OilSeeds -0.67-2.91-1.11-4.87433.29212.95 218.79 218.13 2.06 2.05 2.00 1.99 425.87 436.21 438.17

35.51United States -9.12-9.150.000.0091.2237.18 35.20 35.20 2.79 2.70 2.59 2.59 98.90 100.38 91.22

none

170.73Foreign Oilseeds 1.866.24-1.40-4.87342.07175.77 183.58 182.93 1.92 1.91 1.89 1.87 326.97 335.83 346.94

50.21South America -4.31-6.26-4.03-5.83138.9351.72 53.37 53.15 2.80 2.81 2.71 2.61 140.71 145.19 144.76

24.50 Brazil -4.40-3.49-2.57-2.0075.7325.78 26.58 26.58 2.91 3.07 2.92 2.85 71.36 79.21 77.73

20.75 Argentina -2.17-1.17-4.53-2.5052.6820.91 21.43 21.33 2.79 2.58 2.58 2.47 57.94 53.85 55.18

2.82 Paraguay -22.22-1.91-15.57-1.236.673.03 3.14 3.02 2.61 2.83 2.52 2.21 7.35 8.57 7.90

1.14 Bolivia 3.870.070.000.001.800.99 1.06 1.06 1.74 1.75 1.70 1.70 1.98 1.73 1.80

27.10China 0.240.140.870.5057.8326.52 25.91 25.91 2.13 2.18 2.21 2.23 57.84 57.69 57.33

37.21South Asia 6.092.380.240.1041.3738.25 40.16 40.16 1.00 1.02 1.03 1.03 37.07 39.00 41.27

33.06 India 4.581.560.000.0035.4834.20 35.73 35.73 0.96 0.99 0.99 0.99 31.62 33.93 35.48

3.83 Pakistan 16.940.821.810.105.633.73 4.10 4.10 1.36 1.29 1.35 1.37 5.19 4.81 5.53

10.99EU-27 -0.40-0.120.170.0528.9611.41 11.70 11.70 2.70 2.55 2.47 2.47 29.65 29.07 28.91

2.25 France 10.830.710.000.007.312.21 2.34 2.34 3.30 2.98 3.13 3.13 7.43 6.60 7.31

1.50 Germany -29.33-1.690.000.004.061.51 1.48 1.48 4.26 3.80 2.74 2.74 6.36 5.75 4.06

0.83 Poland -17.19-0.390.000.001.860.86 0.82 0.82 3.05 2.63 2.28 2.28 2.52 2.25 1.86

1.26 Romania 1.430.040.000.002.491.44 1.42 1.42 1.48 1.70 1.75 1.75 1.87 2.45 2.49

0.82 Hungary 22.610.372.560.052.000.80 0.85 0.85 2.32 2.03 2.30 2.36 1.91 1.63 1.95

0.57 United Kingdom 18.830.420.000.002.650.64 0.70 0.70 3.35 3.47 3.79 3.79 1.91 2.23 2.65

17.19Former Soviet Union - 12 30.957.011.000.2929.6718.40 21.40 20.96 1.30 1.23 1.37 1.42 22.40 22.65 29.37

6.95 Russia 71.585.183.120.3812.437.20 9.27 9.22 1.16 1.01 1.30 1.35 8.03 7.24 12.05

6.64 Ukraine 14.291.650.000.0013.207.30 7.75 7.75 1.58 1.58 1.70 1.70 10.52 11.55 13.20

1.30 Uzbekistan 3.130.050.000.001.651.30 1.34 1.34 1.17 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.53 1.60 1.65

7.83Canada 7.501.290.000.0018.538.05 9.09 9.09 2.11 2.14 2.04 2.04 16.51 17.23 18.53

12.19Africa 2.740.320.000.0011.8312.53 12.99 12.99 0.89 0.92 0.91 0.91 10.87 11.52 11.83

2.08 Nigeria -1.45-0.030.000.002.172.10 2.05 2.05 1.05 1.05 1.06 1.06 2.19 2.21 2.17

3.57Southeast Asia 1.510.070.000.004.843.57 3.58 3.58 1.33 1.33 1.35 1.35 4.75 4.76 4.84

1.29 Indonesia -0.52-0.010.000.001.901.23 1.22 1.22 1.52 1.56 1.55 1.55 1.96 1.91 1.90

1.99Australia 20.540.780.000.004.592.75 2.48 2.48 1.31 1.38 1.85 1.85 2.61 3.81 4.59

2.45Others 12.800.630.270.025.542.56 2.89 2.90 1.86 1.92 1.91 1.91 4.55 4.91 5.52

World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel)

Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and rapeseed)

February 2012

Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

102.17World -4.81-12.71-2.15-5.54251.47102.76 103.51 103.29 2.55 2.57 2.48 2.43 260.85 264.18 257.00

30.91United States -8.20-7.430.000.0083.1731.00 29.80 29.80 2.96 2.92 2.79 2.79 91.42 90.61 83.17

71.26Total Foreign -3.04-5.28-3.18-5.54168.2971.75 73.71 73.49 2.38 2.42 2.36 2.29 169.44 173.57 173.83

none

South America

23.50 Brazil -4.64-3.50-2.70-2.0072.0024.20 25.00 25.00 2.94 3.12 2.96 2.88 69.00 75.50 74.00

18.60 Argentina -2.04-1.00-4.95-2.5048.0018.30 18.70 18.60 2.93 2.68 2.70 2.58 54.50 49.00 50.50

2.68 Paraguay -22.89-1.90-15.79-1.206.402.84 2.90 2.80 2.69 2.92 2.62 2.29 7.20 8.30 7.60

0.90 Bolivia 0.000.000.000.001.580.85 0.90 0.90 1.85 1.86 1.76 1.76 1.67 1.58 1.58

0.86 Uruguay 10.030.16-5.56-0.101.700.87 1.00 1.00 2.11 1.79 1.80 1.70 1.82 1.55 1.80

East Asia

9.19 China -10.60-1.600.000.0013.508.52 7.65 7.65 1.63 1.77 1.76 1.76 14.98 15.10 13.50

0.07 Korea, South 30.480.030.000.000.140.07 0.08 0.08 1.99 1.46 1.69 1.69 0.14 0.11 0.14

0.14 Korea, North 9.380.029.380.020.180.14 0.14 0.14 1.08 1.19 1.19 1.25 0.15 0.16 0.16

0.14 Japan 0.000.000.000.000.220.14 0.14 0.14 1.62 1.63 1.63 1.63 0.22 0.22 0.22

9.60India 12.241.200.000.0011.009.30 10.27 10.27 1.01 1.05 1.07 1.07 9.70 9.80 11.00

1.38Canada -2.28-0.100.000.004.251.48 1.54 1.54 2.54 2.94 2.75 2.75 3.51 4.35 4.25


0.62 Ukraine 30.950.520.000.002.201.04 1.10 1.10 1.68 1.62 2.00 2.00 1.04 1.68 2.20

0.79 Russia 43.130.5316.600.251.751.04 1.20 1.18 1.19 1.18 1.25 1.48 0.94 1.22 1.50

Southeast Asia

0.53 Indonesia -1.54-0.010.000.000.640.47 0.47 0.47 1.32 1.38 1.38 1.38 0.70 0.65 0.64

0.15 Vietnam 17.850.050.000.000.350.20 0.22 0.22 1.47 1.50 1.63 1.63 0.21 0.30 0.35

0.11 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.180.12 0.12 0.12 1.55 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.17 0.18 0.18

0.16 Burma 0.000.000.000.000.200.17 0.17 0.17 1.20 1.21 1.21 1.21 0.19 0.20 0.20

0.31EU-27 16.410.170.000.001.220.38 0.42 0.42 2.71 2.79 2.90 2.90 0.84 1.05 1.22

0.14 Italy 27.360.150.000.000.700.16 0.21 0.21 3.47 3.45 3.43 3.43 0.47 0.55 0.70

0.04 France -14.29-0.020.000.000.120.05 0.05 0.05 2.50 2.75 2.55 2.55 0.11 0.14 0.12

Sub-Saharan Africa

0.31 South Africa 5.630.040.000.000.750.42 0.42 0.42 1.82 1.70 1.79 1.79 0.57 0.71 0.75

0.44 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.450.44 0.44 0.44 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 0.45 0.45 0.45

0.15 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.170.15 0.15 0.15 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.17 0.17 0.17

0.15Serbia 18.570.070.000.000.420.15 0.17 0.17 2.41 2.41 2.52 2.52 0.35 0.35 0.42

0.08Mexico 19.050.030.000.000.200.11 0.13 0.13 1.49 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.12 0.17 0.20

0.08Iran 0.000.000.000.000.210.09 0.09 0.09 2.46 2.47 2.47 2.47 0.21 0.21 0.21

0.32Others 2.890.020.000.000.610.31 0.32 0.32 1.86 1.91 1.91 1.91 0.60 0.59 0.61


February 2012

Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

29.45World 6.983.040.340.1646.5832.66 34.81 34.81 1.33 1.33 1.33 1.34 39.07 43.54 46.42

3.05United States -13.63-0.750.000.004.784.33 3.95 3.95 1.24 1.28 1.21 1.21 3.76 5.53 4.78

26.41Total Foreign 9.983.790.380.1641.8028.33 30.86 30.86 1.34 1.34 1.35 1.35 35.30 38.00 41.64

none

5.30China 9.851.180.000.0013.135.15 5.50 5.50 2.37 2.32 2.39 2.39 12.54 11.95 13.13

South Asia

10.31 India 6.480.700.000.0011.5011.14 12.20 12.20 0.95 0.97 0.94 0.94 9.80 10.80 11.50

3.00 Pakistan 18.420.702.270.104.502.90 3.20 3.20 1.39 1.31 1.38 1.41 4.18 3.80 4.40


1.30 Uzbekistan 3.130.050.000.001.651.30 1.34 1.34 1.17 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.53 1.60 1.65

0.55 Turkmenistan -19.71-0.140.000.000.550.64 0.58 0.58 1.05 1.07 0.96 0.96 0.58 0.69 0.55

0.17 Tajikistan 43.750.0715.000.030.230.17 0.20 0.20 0.88 0.97 1.00 1.15 0.15 0.16 0.20

0.14 Kazakhstan -9.15-0.026.430.010.150.14 0.14 0.14 1.25 1.20 1.00 1.06 0.18 0.16 0.14

South America

0.84 Brazil 0.000.000.000.003.351.40 1.40 1.40 2.43 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.03 3.35 3.35

0.44 Argentina -14.77-0.070.000.000.380.61 0.55 0.55 0.70 0.73 0.68 0.68 0.31 0.44 0.38

Middle East

0.28 Turkey 44.930.310.000.001.000.32 0.48 0.48 2.04 2.16 2.08 2.08 0.57 0.69 1.00

0.17 Syria 19.190.070.000.000.410.13 0.15 0.15 2.75 2.75 2.73 2.73 0.45 0.34 0.41

0.11 Iran 12.500.020.000.000.140.12 0.14 0.14 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.11 0.12 0.14

0.20Australia 15.380.200.000.001.500.59 0.60 0.60 2.73 2.20 2.50 2.50 0.55 1.30 1.50

0.26EU-27 35.100.140.000.000.540.31 0.37 0.37 1.34 1.30 1.44 1.44 0.35 0.40 0.54

0.20 Greece 40.630.130.000.000.450.24 0.30 0.30 1.53 1.33 1.50 1.50 0.31 0.32 0.45

0.06 Spain 12.000.010.000.000.080.06 0.07 0.07 0.73 1.19 1.20 1.20 0.04 0.08 0.08

Sub-Saharan Africa

0.42 Burkina 7.220.010.000.000.190.40 0.40 0.40 0.46 0.45 0.48 0.48 0.19 0.18 0.19

0.25 Mali 68.660.090.000.000.230.26 0.48 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.47 0.47 0.13 0.13 0.23

0.15 Cameroon 18.250.030.000.000.160.14 0.18 0.18 0.75 0.98 0.93 0.93 0.11 0.14 0.16

0.03 Sudan 66.670.030.000.000.090.04 0.09 0.09 0.96 1.21 0.94 0.94 0.03 0.05 0.09

0.38 Zimbabwe 14.740.030.000.000.220.40 0.43 0.43 0.50 0.48 0.51 0.51 0.19 0.19 0.22

0.40 Nigeria -15.61-0.030.000.000.170.41 0.36 0.36 0.49 0.50 0.48 0.48 0.19 0.21 0.17

0.18 Benin 8.080.010.000.000.110.18 0.17 0.17 0.64 0.55 0.63 0.63 0.12 0.10 0.11

0.07 Uganda 20.180.020.000.000.130.10 0.10 0.10 0.74 1.09 1.31 1.31 0.05 0.11 0.13

0.12Egypt 35.590.060.000.000.240.16 0.21 0.21 1.14 1.14 1.14 1.14 0.14 0.18 0.24

0.08Mexico 63.450.160.000.000.410.12 0.19 0.19 2.09 2.15 2.14 2.14 0.16 0.25 0.41

0.30Burma 0.000.000.000.000.190.30 0.30 0.30 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.19 0.19 0.19

0.98Others 35.420.173.340.020.650.93 1.12 1.12 0.51 0.52 0.56 0.58 0.50 0.48 0.63


February 2012

Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

20.40World 0.380.140.000.0035.5321.33 20.74 20.74 1.64 1.66 1.71 1.71 33.36 35.40 35.53

0.44United States -12.57-0.240.000.001.650.51 0.44 0.44 3.83 3.71 3.71 3.71 1.68 1.89 1.65

19.96Total Foreign 1.110.370.000.0033.8820.83 20.29 20.29 1.59 1.61 1.67 1.67 31.68 33.51 33.88

none

4.38China 3.580.560.000.0016.204.53 4.70 4.70 3.36 3.45 3.45 3.45 14.71 15.64 16.20

South Asia

5.30 India -8.55-0.500.000.005.356.00 5.26 5.26 0.92 0.98 1.02 1.02 4.90 5.85 5.35

0.11 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.100.11 0.11 0.11 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.10 0.10 0.10

7.84Sub-Saharan Africa -1.29-0.100.000.007.297.80 7.80 7.80 0.93 0.95 0.93 0.93 7.32 7.39 7.29

1.25 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.001.551.25 1.25 1.25 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.55 1.55 1.55

1.06 Senegal -9.09-0.100.000.001.001.00 1.00 1.00 0.97 1.10 1.00 1.00 1.03 1.10 1.00

0.35 Chad 0.000.000.000.000.470.35 0.35 0.35 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.32 0.47 0.47 0.47

0.47 Ghana 0.000.000.000.000.440.47 0.47 0.47 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.44 0.44 0.44

1.00 Sudan 0.000.000.000.000.851.00 1.00 1.00 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85

0.48 Congo (Kinshasa) 0.000.000.000.000.370.48 0.48 0.48 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.37 0.37 0.37

0.35 Burkina 0.000.000.000.000.350.35 0.35 0.35 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.35 0.35 0.35

0.21 Guinea 0.000.000.000.000.260.21 0.21 0.21 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 0.26 0.26 0.26

0.31 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.240.31 0.31 0.31 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.24 0.24 0.24

0.25 Mali 0.000.000.000.000.280.25 0.25 0.25 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.28 0.28 0.28

0.22 Malawi 0.000.000.000.000.270.22 0.22 0.22 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.27 0.27 0.27

0.15 Cote d'Ivoire 0.000.000.000.000.150.15 0.15 0.15 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.15 0.15 0.15

0.21 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.150.21 0.21 0.21 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.15 0.15 0.15

0.13 Central African Republic 0.000.000.000.000.140.13 0.13 0.13 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 0.14 0.14 0.14

0.16 Benin 0.000.000.000.000.130.16 0.16 0.16 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.13 0.13 0.13

0.29 Mozambique 0.000.000.000.000.110.29 0.29 0.29 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.11 0.11 0.11

0.26 Niger 0.000.000.000.000.110.26 0.26 0.26 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.11 0.11 0.11

0.06 South Africa 4.350.010.000.000.120.06 0.06 0.06 2.05 2.09 2.18 2.18 0.12 0.12 0.12

Southeast Asia

0.75 Indonesia 0.000.000.000.001.250.75 0.75 0.75 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.25 1.25 1.25

0.67 Burma 0.000.000.000.001.000.67 0.67 0.67 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.00 1.00 1.00

0.25 Vietnam 5.970.030.000.000.520.24 0.25 0.25 2.11 1.99 2.10 2.10 0.53 0.49 0.52

0.07 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.120.07 0.07 0.07 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 0.12 0.12 0.12

South America

0.22 Argentina 49.460.360.000.001.100.27 0.30 0.30 3.80 2.78 3.67 3.67 0.84 0.74 1.10

0.10 Brazil 4.000.010.000.000.260.10 0.10 0.10 2.47 2.50 2.60 2.60 0.24 0.25 0.26

0.06Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.190.06 0.06 0.06 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 0.19 0.19 0.19

0.05Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.070.05 0.05 0.05 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.56 0.07 0.07 0.07

0.19Others 1.140.010.000.000.440.19 0.19 0.19 2.37 2.34 2.34 2.34 0.44 0.44 0.44


February 2012

Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

22.80World 18.956.20-0.11-0.0438.8922.88 26.21 25.85 1.39 1.43 1.49 1.50 31.63 32.70 38.94

0.79United States -25.46-0.320.000.000.930.76 0.59 0.59 1.74 1.64 1.57 1.57 1.38 1.24 0.93

22.01Total Foreign 20.706.51-0.12-0.0437.9722.12 25.62 25.26 1.37 1.42 1.48 1.50 30.25 31.46 38.01

none


5.60 Russia 79.944.280.280.039.635.55 7.30 7.20 1.15 0.96 1.32 1.34 6.43 5.35 9.60

5.00 Ukraine 13.101.100.000.009.505.40 5.80 5.80 1.52 1.56 1.64 1.64 7.60 8.40 9.50

0.23 Moldova 4.440.020.000.000.400.25 0.25 0.25 1.25 1.51 1.60 1.60 0.28 0.38 0.40

0.65 Kazakhstan 24.320.08-18.20-0.090.410.74 1.20 0.95 0.57 0.44 0.42 0.43 0.37 0.33 0.50

South America

1.49 Argentina -12.81-0.470.000.003.201.74 1.88 1.88 1.55 2.11 1.71 1.71 2.30 3.67 3.20

0.01 Uruguay 275.000.010.000.000.020.00 0.01 0.01 0.90 1.33 1.50 1.50 0.01 0.00 0.02

0.24 Bolivia 43.790.070.000.000.220.14 0.16 0.16 1.32 1.07 1.38 1.38 0.31 0.15 0.22

0.96China 5.260.100.000.002.000.95 0.96 0.96 2.04 2.00 2.08 2.08 1.96 1.90 2.00

3.90EU-27 17.051.180.620.058.103.74 4.16 4.16 1.77 1.85 1.94 1.95 6.91 6.92 8.05

0.73 France 15.850.260.000.001.900.70 0.74 0.74 2.34 2.36 2.57 2.57 1.70 1.64 1.90

0.53 Hungary 39.390.393.760.051.380.50 0.57 0.57 2.35 1.98 2.33 2.42 1.26 0.99 1.33

0.85 Spain 20.630.180.000.001.070.70 0.84 0.84 1.02 1.27 1.27 1.27 0.87 0.89 1.07

0.12 Italy 9.010.020.000.000.240.10 0.11 0.11 1.98 2.20 2.20 2.20 0.25 0.22 0.24

0.08 Slovakia 40.000.060.000.000.210.09 0.09 0.09 2.23 1.70 2.36 2.36 0.19 0.15 0.21

South Asia

1.40 India 32.630.160.000.000.630.76 1.00 1.00 0.59 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.82 0.48 0.63

0.45 Pakistan 9.490.070.000.000.750.45 0.50 0.50 1.52 1.52 1.50 1.50 0.69 0.69 0.75

0.46Turkey -7.50-0.080.000.000.930.49 0.49 0.49 1.74 2.06 1.89 1.89 0.80 1.00 0.93

0.40South Africa 2.410.020.000.000.850.65 0.65 0.65 1.23 1.29 1.31 1.31 0.49 0.83 0.85

0.55Burma 0.000.000.000.000.350.55 0.55 0.55 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.35 0.35 0.35

0.17Serbia 3.750.020.000.000.420.17 0.18 0.18 2.35 2.35 2.37 2.37 0.40 0.40 0.42

0.07Canada 0.000.000.000.000.120.07 0.07 0.07 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 0.12 0.12 0.12

0.03Australia -13.64-0.010.000.000.040.03 0.03 0.03 1.52 1.52 1.36 1.36 0.04 0.04 0.04

0.42Others -5.59-0.03-6.64-0.030.420.44 0.44 0.42 0.92 1.02 1.02 1.00 0.38 0.45 0.45


February 2012

Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production


MMTPercent

Yield


Feb 2009/10 MMT

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production



2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

31.42World 0.720.430.910.5560.8333.32 33.52 33.44 1.94 1.81 1.80 1.82 60.96 60.40 60.28

0.33United States -37.20-0.410.000.000.700.58 0.42 0.42 2.03 1.92 1.65 1.65 0.67 1.11 0.70

31.09Total Foreign 1.430.850.920.5560.1332.74 33.10 33.02 1.94 1.81 1.80 1.82 60.30 59.29 59.59

none

6.52EU-27 -7.76-1.610.000.0019.106.99 6.75 6.75 3.31 2.96 2.83 2.83 21.55 20.71 19.10

1.47 Germany -29.80-1.700.000.004.001.49 1.45 1.45 4.29 3.83 2.75 2.75 6.31 5.70 4.00

1.48 France 9.840.470.000.005.291.47 1.55 1.55 3.80 3.29 3.41 3.41 5.62 4.82 5.29

0.57 United Kingdom 18.830.420.000.002.650.64 0.70 0.70 3.35 3.47 3.79 3.79 1.91 2.23 2.65

0.82 Poland -17.26-0.390.000.001.850.85 0.81 0.81 3.06 2.63 2.28 2.28 2.51 2.24 1.85

0.36 Czech Republic 3.360.040.000.001.080.37 0.37 0.37 3.18 2.82 2.89 2.89 1.13 1.04 1.08

0.16 Denmark -13.04-0.080.000.000.500.17 0.15 0.15 3.90 3.46 3.33 3.33 0.64 0.58 0.50

0.26 Hungary -5.36-0.030.000.000.530.26 0.24 0.24 2.23 2.15 2.22 2.22 0.58 0.56 0.53

0.44 Romania -30.95-0.330.000.000.730.58 0.39 0.39 1.55 1.81 1.88 1.88 0.68 1.05 0.73

0.17 Slovakia 9.290.030.000.000.350.17 0.15 0.15 2.32 1.92 2.43 2.43 0.39 0.32 0.35

0.10 Sweden 1.080.000.000.000.280.11 0.10 0.10 2.99 2.56 2.82 2.82 0.30 0.28 0.28

0.19 Lithuania 0.000.000.000.000.420.20 0.20 0.20 2.17 2.10 2.10 2.10 0.42 0.42 0.42

0.09 Latvia -4.65-0.010.000.000.210.09 0.09 0.09 2.20 2.31 2.28 2.28 0.21 0.22 0.21

0.06 Austria 5.880.010.000.000.180.05 0.05 0.05 3.00 3.15 3.33 3.33 0.17 0.17 0.18

0.08 Finland -35.61-0.070.000.000.130.16 0.09 0.09 1.57 1.30 1.43 1.43 0.13 0.21 0.13

0.08 Estonia 3.050.000.000.000.140.10 0.09 0.09 1.66 1.34 1.52 1.52 0.14 0.13 0.14

7.28China -0.76-0.104.000.5013.007.37 7.10 7.10 1.88 1.78 1.76 1.83 13.66 13.10 12.50

South Asia

6.45 India 0.000.000.000.007.007.00 7.00 7.00 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.00 6.40 7.00 7.00

0.27 Pakistan 21.740.050.000.000.280.27 0.29 0.29 0.85 0.85 0.97 0.97 0.23 0.23 0.28

0.30 Bangladesh 2.220.010.000.000.230.30 0.31 0.31 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.23 0.23 0.23

6.38Canada 10.901.390.000.0014.176.50 7.47 7.47 2.02 1.97 1.90 1.90 12.89 12.77 14.17

1.71Australia 23.430.560.000.002.942.09 1.80 1.80 1.12 1.14 1.63 1.63 1.92 2.38 2.94


1.01 Ukraine 2.040.030.000.001.500.86 0.85 0.85 1.85 1.70 1.76 1.76 1.87 1.47 1.50

0.56 Russia 56.720.3810.530.101.050.61 0.77 0.84 1.20 1.09 1.23 1.25 0.67 0.67 0.95

0.34 Belarus 6.950.030.000.000.400.31 0.30 0.30 1.80 1.22 1.33 1.33 0.61 0.37 0.40

0.04Paraguay -1.960.000.000.000.100.06 0.07 0.07 1.11 1.59 1.43 1.43 0.04 0.10 0.10

0.24Others 44.880.11-12.38-0.050.370.37 0.39 0.24 0.95 0.68 1.09 1.53 0.23 0.25 0.42


February 2012

Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production

Country / Region

Production


2009/10

Prel.

2010/11

2011/12 Proj.

Jan Feb MMT Percent MMT Percent



Oilseed, Copra

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Philippines 2.52 2.602.602.60

0.00 0.00 -0.06 -3.90 Indonesia 1.60 1.481.481.54

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 India 0.74 0.740.740.74

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Vietnam 0.24 0.240.240.24

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mexico 0.23 0.230.230.23

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.13 0.130.130.13

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thailand 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sri Lanka 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mozambique 0.05 0.050.050.05

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.05 0.050.050.05

0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.85 World 5.88 5.845.845.89

Oilseed, Palm Kernel

0.00 0.00 0.50 7.94 Indonesia 5.88 6.806.806.30

0.00 0.00 0.16 3.54 Malaysia 4.52 4.684.684.52

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nigeria 0.67 0.670.670.67

0.00 0.00 0.02 7.69 Thailand 0.27 0.290.290.26

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.13 0.140.140.14

0.00 0.00 0.02 25.00 Colombia 0.10 0.100.100.09

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.08 0.080.080.08

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brazil 0.06 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cameroon 0.07 0.070.070.07

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Congo (Kinshasa) 0.06 0.060.060.06

0.00 0.00 0.71 5.62 World 12.22 13.3513.3512.64

Oil, Palm

0.00 0.00 1.80 7.63 Indonesia 22.00 25.4025.4023.60

0.00 0.00 0.48 2.63 Malaysia 17.76 18.7018.7018.22

0.00 0.00 0.16 12.40 Thailand 1.35 1.451.451.29

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nigeria 0.85 0.850.850.85

0.00 0.00 0.10 12.82 Colombia 0.77 0.890.890.78

0.00 0.00 0.03 6.00 Papua New Guinea 0.49 0.530.530.50

0.00 0.00 0.04 8.70 Ecuador 0.43 0.500.500.46

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.30 0.300.300.30

0.00 0.00 0.02 7.69 Brazil 0.24 0.280.280.27

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Honduras 0.25 0.250.250.25

0.00 0.00 2.64 5.51 World 45.86 50.5750.5747.93


February 2012

Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production


MBalesPercent

Yield

(Kilograms per hectare)

Feb 2009/10 MBales

Country / Region

Area

(Million 1000 HA)

Production

(Million 480 lb. bales)


2009/10

Prel.

2010/11 Jan Jan

Prel.

2010/11 Feb

Prel.


2011/12 Proj.2011/12 Proj. 2011/12 Proj.

2009/10

30.14World 5.916.880.410.51123.3433.39 35.73 35.73 741 759 749 752 102.59 116.46 122.84

3.05United States -13.42-2.430.000.0015.674.33 3.95 3.95 871 910 865 865 12.19 18.10 15.67

27.09Total Foreign 9.479.310.470.51107.6729.06 31.78 31.78 726 737 734 738 90.40 98.35 107.16

none

5.30China 9.843.000.000.0033.505.15 5.50 5.50 1,315 1,289 1,326 1,326 32.00 30.50 33.50

South Asia

10.31 India 2.270.600.000.0027.0011.14 12.20 12.20 503 516 482 482 23.80 26.40 27.00

3.00 Pakistan 18.181.604.000.4010.402.80 3.20 3.20 697 684 680 708 9.60 8.80 10.00


1.30 Uzbekistan 2.440.100.000.004.201.30 1.34 1.34 653 687 682 682 3.90 4.10 4.20

0.55 Turkmenistan -20.00-0.350.000.001.400.64 0.58 0.58 582 595 530 530 1.47 1.75 1.40

0.17 Tajikistan 43.030.1817.000.090.590.17 0.20 0.20 488 540 544 637 0.38 0.41 0.50

0.12 Kazakhstan -9.09-0.044.110.020.380.13 0.14 0.14 809 700 568 591 0.45 0.42 0.37

Sub-Saharan Africa

0.42 Burkina 7.690.050.000.000.700.40 0.40 0.40 363 354 381 381 0.70 0.65 0.70

0.25 Mali 68.420.330.000.000.800.26 0.48 0.48 383 398 363 363 0.44 0.48 0.80

0.38 Zimbabwe 15.000.080.000.000.580.40 0.43 0.43 286 272 295 295 0.50 0.50 0.58

0.18 Benin 8.330.030.000.000.330.18 0.17 0.17 423 363 416 416 0.35 0.30 0.33

0.22 Cote d'Ivoire 25.000.090.000.000.430.20 0.22 0.22 346 370 421 421 0.35 0.34 0.43

0.15 Cameroon 18.180.050.000.000.330.14 0.18 0.18 327 428 404 404 0.23 0.28 0.33

0.40 Nigeria -15.79-0.080.000.000.400.41 0.36 0.36 248 252 242 242 0.45 0.48 0.40

0.03 Sudan 65.000.070.000.000.170.04 0.09 0.09 403 518 399 399 0.05 0.10 0.17

South America

0.84 Brazil 0.000.000.000.009.001.40 1.40 1.40 1,419 1,400 1,400 1,400 5.45 9.00 9.00

0.44 Argentina -5.88-0.080.000.001.200.61 0.55 0.55 495 459 475 475 1.00 1.28 1.20

0.02 Paraguay 100.000.060.000.000.110.03 0.07 0.07 302 399 342 342 0.03 0.06 0.11

Middle East

0.28 Turkey 47.621.000.000.003.100.32 0.48 0.48 1,361 1,429 1,406 1,406 1.75 2.10 3.10

0.17 Syria 22.450.170.000.000.900.13 0.15 0.15 1,359 1,280 1,306 1,306 1.03 0.74 0.90

0.11 Iran 14.290.050.000.000.400.12 0.14 0.14 605 635 645 645 0.30 0.35 0.40

0.20Australia 19.050.800.000.005.000.59 0.60 0.60 1,932 1,550 1,814 1,814 1.78 4.20 5.00

0.26EU-27 44.140.490.000.001.610.31 0.37 0.37 888 797 942 942 1.07 1.12 1.61

0.20 Greece 50.000.450.000.001.350.24 0.30 0.30 1,023 816 980 980 0.94 0.90 1.35

0.06 Spain 20.770.040.000.000.250.06 0.07 0.07 424 715 778 778 0.12 0.21 0.25

0.12Egypt 33.330.200.000.000.800.16 0.22 0.22 790 843 792 792 0.43 0.60 0.80

0.08Mexico 63.930.470.000.001.200.12 0.19 0.19 1,343 1,374 1,375 1,375 0.48 0.73 1.20

1.82Others 17.420.470.160.013.171.94 2.14 2.14 292 303 322 322 2.44 2.70 3.16


February 2012

TABLE 18

The table below presents a record of the differences between the February projection and the final Estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, the "root mean square error” means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 0.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 1.0 percent. The average difference between the February projection and the final estimate is 2.5 million tons, ranging from 0.0 million to 7.3 million tons. The February projection has been below the estimate 22 times and above 8 times.

RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/

COMMODITY AND

REGION

Root mean

square error

90 percent

confidence

interval

Difference between forecast and final estimate

Average Smallest Largest

Years

Below

final

Above

final

Percent ---Million metric tons---

WHEAT

World 0.6 1.0 2.5 0.0 7.3 22 8

U.S. 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 12 8

Foreign 0.7 1.2 2.5 0.0 7.3 22 8

COARSE GRAINS 2/

World 1.2 2.0 8.9 0.0 26.0 24 6

U.S. 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 13 7

Foreign 1.7 2.9 8.9 0.0 26.0 22 7

RICE (Milled)

World 1.7 2.9 4.4 0.1 14.0 22 8

U.S. 1.7 2.8 0.1 0.0 0.3 12 5

Foreign 1.7 2.9 4.4 0.1 14.0 22 8

SOYBEANS

World 2.8 4.7 3.7 0.4 15.3 20 10

U.S. 1.4 2.3 0.6 0.0 2.5 12 12

Foreign 4.7 7.9 3.7 0.3 14.8 21 9

COTTON ---Million 480-lb. bales---

World 2.3 3.9 1.6 0.0 5.4 22 8

U.S. 0.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.3 11 18

Foreign 2.8 4.8 1.6 0.1 5.7 22 8

UNITED STATES -------Million bushels-------

CORN 0.2 0.3 3 0 41 2 2

SORGHUM 0.2 0.3 0 0 4 0 2

BARLEY 0.5 0.9 1 0 11 12 4

OATS 0.2 0.4 0 0 2 4 3

1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2009/10. Final is defined as the first November estimates following the marketing year. 2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain

February 2012 Office of Global Analysis, FAS, USDA

February 2012

World Agriculture Production-USDA Feb-2012

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