WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF ADMINISTRATION Wisconsin Population Trends Patrick J. Farley Wisconsin...

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WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF ADMINISTRATION Wisconsin Population Trends Patrick J. Farley Wisconsin Department of Administration Division of Intergovernmental Relations

Transcript of WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF ADMINISTRATION Wisconsin Population Trends Patrick J. Farley Wisconsin...

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Wisconsin Population Trends

Patrick J. FarleyWisconsin Department of AdministrationDivision of Intergovernmental Relations

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Wisconsin PopulationCensus 1990 and 2000

1990 2000Change

Residents: 4,891,769 5,363,675471,906

Median Age: 32.9 36.0 3.1

Households: 1,822,118 2,084,544262,426

Household Size: 2.61 2.50 (.11)

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

US Population GrowthCensus 1990 to 2000

>20%

10-20%

7-10%

0-7%

United States: 13.15%

Wisconsin: 9.65%

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Wisconsin as a Share of US PopulationCensus 1900 to 2000

2.712.53 2.48

2.39 2.372.27 2.2 2.17

2.081.97 1.91

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

2.2

2.4

2.6

2.8

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Congressional Power Shifts to the South and West...2000 Change in House Seats

2 Seat Gain

1 Seat Gain

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

…from the Midwest and NortheastCensus 2000 Change in House Seats

2 Seat Gain

1 Seat Gain

1 Seat Loss

2 Seat Loss

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Seats in the House of Representatives

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Wisconsin

California

Arizona

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Wisconsin at Census 2000

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

500,000 and over

250,000-499,999

50,000-249,999

Fewer than 50,000

Wisconsin County PopulationCensus 2000

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

500,000 and over

250,000-499,999

50,000-249,999

Fewer than 50,000

Wisconsin County PopulationCensus 2000

4-Year UW Campus

2-Year UW Campus

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Wisconsin and Surrounding Metro PopulationCensus 2000

500,000 and over

250,000-499,999

50,000-249,999

Fewer than 50,000

4-Year UW Campus

2-Year UW Campus

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Wisconsin and Surrounding Metro PopulationCensus 2000

Wisconsin 5,363,704 32%Chicago & Rockford Metro 8,747,837 52%Twin Cities Metro 2,868,847 17%Total 16,980,388

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Wisconsin and Surrounding Metro PopulationCensus 2000

Wisconsin 5,363,704 32%Chicago & Rockford Metro 8,747,837 52%Twin Cities Metro 2,868,847 17%Total 16,980,388

Florida 15,982,378New York 18,976,457

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Selected County Migration Patterns

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Dane CountyNationwide Migration 1995-2000

To Dane From Dane Net

85,273 (76,903) 8,370

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Dane CountyTop Ten County to County In-Migration 1995-2000

1. Milwaukee County, Wisconsin 4,858 2.3. Waukesha County, Wisconsin 3,026 4. Rock County, Wisconsin 2,425 5. Columbia County, Wisconsin 2,266 6. Jefferson County, Wisconsin 2,006 7. Sauk County, Wisconsin 1,967 8. Brown County, Wisconsin 1,923 9.

10. Grant County, Wisconsin 1,339

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

1. Milwaukee County, Wisconsin 4,858 2. Cook County, Illinois 4,243 3. Waukesha County, Wisconsin 3,026 4. Rock County, Wisconsin 2,425 5. Columbia County, Wisconsin 2,266 6. Jefferson County, Wisconsin 2,006 7. Sauk County, Wisconsin 1,967 8. Brown County, Wisconsin 1,923 9. Hennepin County, Minnesota 1,883

10. Grant County, Wisconsin 1,339

Dane CountyTop Ten County to County In-Migration 1995-2000

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Dane CountyTwin Cities and Northern Illinois Migration 1995-2000

To Dane From Dane Net

Northern Illinois 7,583 (5,469) 2,114

Twin Cities 3,721 (3,792) (71)

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Milwaukee CountyNationwide Migration 1995-2000

To From NetMilwaukee Milwaukee

101,758 (149,723) (47,965)

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Milwaukee County Top Ten County to County In-Migration 1995-2000

1. Waukesha County, Wisconsin 14,9872. Cook County, Illinois 9,0343. Racine County, Wisconsin 4,4844. Dane County, Wisconsin 3,8555. Washington County, Wisconsin 2,7626. Ozaukee County, Wisconsin 2,7067. Brown County, Wisconsin 2,0948. Kenosha County, Wisconsin 1,6649. Dodge County, Wisconsin 1,616

10. Los Angeles County, California 1,593

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Milwaukee County Twin Cities and Northern Illinois Migration 1995-2000

To From NetMilwaukee Milwaukee

Northern Illinois 12,580 (7,229) 5,351

Twin Cities 2,148 (3,720) (1,572)

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Kenosha CountyNationwide Migration 1995-2000

To From NetKenosha Kenosha

26,393 (22,479) 3,914

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Kenosha County Top Ten County to County In-Migration 1995-2000

1. Lake County, Illinois 6,0102. Cook County, Illinois 3,3403. Racine County, Wisconsin 2,3324. Milwaukee County, Wisconsin 1,2615. McHenry County, Illinois 6626. DuPage County, Illinois 4697. Dane County, Wisconsin 3858. Waukesha County, Wisconsin 3599. Walworth County, Wisconsin 340

10. San Diego County, California 269

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

St. Croix CountyMigration 1995-2000

To From NetSt. Croix St. Croix

13,745 (10,095) 3,650

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

St. Croix CountyCounty to County In-Migration 1995-2000

1. Washington County, Minnesota 1,6392. Ramsey County, Minnesota 1,3133. Pierce County, Wisconsin 1,2184. Hennepin County, Minnesota 9085. Dakota County, Minnesota 7746. Polk County, Wisconsin 5737. Dunn County, Wisconsin 5548. Eau Claire County, Wisconsin 3719. Rusk County, Wisconsin 282

10. Anoka County, Minnesota 247

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Projected Population of Wisconsin

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Wisconsin Population

0

1,000,0002,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,0006,000,000

7,000,000

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Actual

Projected

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Wisconsin Population ProjectionsBy Broad Age Groups

0500,000

1,000,0001,500,0002,000,0002,500,0003,000,0003,500,0004,000,000

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

0-17

18-64

65 & over

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Projected Population Growth 2000-2015

20% and greater

10% to 20%

0% to 10%

Population Loss

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Projected Population Growth 2000-2015

20% and greater

10% to 20%

0% to 10%

Population Loss

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Concluding Points

• Wisconsin's share of the U.S. population will decline.• West Central counties, Dane County, the Fox Valley and

southeastern counties will lead Wisconsin’s growth over the next 30 years.

• Northern Illinois and the Twin Cities provide growth opportunities for Wisconsin.

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Concluding Points

• The elderly population will increase dramatically as the Baby Boom generation enters retirement age.

• Wisconsin’s changing demographics present challenges and opportunities for educators and public policy makers.

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Bibliography

• U.S. Bureau of the Census. 1991. "1990 Census of Population and Housing: Summary Population and Housing Characteristics".

• U.S. Bureau of the Census. 2001. "2000 Summary File 1- 100 Percent Data"

• Minnesota Planning- State Demographic Center. 2003. "Minnesota Population Projections 2000-2030."

• Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity. 1997. "Population Projections for the State and Counties of Illinois, 1990 to 2020."

• Wisconsin Department of Administration. 2002. "Wisconsin Population Projections: 2000-2030."

WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF

ADMINISTRATION

Wisconsin Population Trends

Patrick J. Farley(608) 267-6902

[email protected]