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Wind Energy Business of Korea · 2019-06-03 · Reserved potential off-shore projects in EEZ of...
Transcript of Wind Energy Business of Korea · 2019-06-03 · Reserved potential off-shore projects in EEZ of...
Wind Energy Business of Korea
(Focused to Off-shore)
2010. 10. 15
Dr. Rimtaig Lee Korea Wind Energy Industry Association
Evolution of Human Life depending upon Energy Source
1.Wood
2.Wind sail
1. Electrification 2. Automobile 3. Airplane 4. Water Supply & Distribution 5. Electronics 6. Radio and Television 7. Agricultural Mechanization 8. Computers 9. Telephone 10. Air Conditioning & Refrigeration 11. Highways 12. Spacecraft 13. Internet 14. Imaging 15. Household Appliances 16. Health Technologies 17. Petro-chemical Technologies 18. Laser and Fiber Optics 19. Nuclear Technologies 20. High-performance Materials
Up to 1800s Based on Bio Energy
1900s ~2000s Based on Fossil Energy
2100s thereafter Based on Renewable Energy
?
Demand and Supply of Oil
The Growing Gap
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
GBarrels
Past
Discoveries
Future
Discoveries
Demand
Projected
Demand (IEA)
Projected
Supply
Global Energy Status and Forecast
Source: Global Energy Outlook 2009,GWEC Report 2009,COP 15
Wind Energy available at Earth
Energy Mix of EU Electricity Supply in 2050
300
1000
2300
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
연도
용량
(GW )
Real Data 2005 Forecast
2008 Forecast 2009.11 Forecast
Up-trend
Accumulated wind power installed in the world
Actual and up-dated Forecast
Source: GWEC 2009
Super Grid for Off-shore WE(2020)
Ormonde
• Windfarms to be completed 2010
Bard Offshore 1
Aberdeen
15GW6GW
4GW
3GW
2.5GW
46GW
2GW
European Offshore Market Forecast – UK is No1
Germany
Sweden
Norway
Netherlands
Denmark
UK
BelgiumFrance2GW
Over 80GW of
offshore wind
development
planned in
Northern Europe
Scotland
7-5.
Component Supplier of China (China Wind Power Report 2007)
Off-shore WTG inatallation by Barge type equipment(1)
Off-shore WTG inatallation by Barge type equipment(2)
Off-shore WTG inatallation by Barge type equipment(3)
Off-shore WTG inatallation by Barge type equipment(4)
Off-shore WTG inatallation by Barge type equipment(5)
Sample of Off-shore Wind Farm
Sample of Off-shore Wind Farm in EU
Air Flow in Off-shore WE Farm
Construction Methodology
‘Onshore Assembly’
Barge for off-shore wind turbine installation
Foundation Installation
Arklow Banks Wind Farm - The Irish Sea
Photos: R.
Thresher
- GE 3.6 MW x 7 units - Installed in June 2004 - 1st offshore windfarm in Ireland
Substructure Load-out and Installation
Photo Credit: Talisman Energy Offshore Demonstration, 2007 5 MW 126m Repower Turbine 45 m water depth, North Sea Aberdeen, Scotland
자료: Wind Electric Generating Equipment R & D, Brian Smith of NREL,USA. 2009.3
Shallow Water
Transitional Depth
Deepwater Floating
0m-30m 430-GW
30m-60m 541-GW
60m-900m 1533-GW
Land-based
No exclusions assumed for resource estimates
Commercially Proven
Technology
Estimated US Resource
Demonstration Phase
Offshore Wind Turbine Foundations – U.S. Example
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future
Offshore Wind Environment is Challenging
NREL Simulation of Floating Barge Turbine System
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future
ADAMS mov.wmv
National Renewable Energy Laboratory Innovation for Our Energy Future
Image Credit: www.greenlaunches.com
• R&D project by StatoilHydro, and Siemens, expected to produce power in July 2010
• 12 km southeast of Karmøy in Norway
• SWT - 2.3 MW architecture
82 meter diameter
65 meter tower
• Spar buoy technology
100 meter draft
202 meter water depth
Reference: w1.siemens.com
Spar Buoy Floating Wind Turbine: Hywind
World’s first large-scale floating wind turbine Siemens SWT-2.3 MW Hywind
Power grid system for off-shore wind project(Case of Scottish)
DC Cable application (ABB )
Cable Installation under the sea and its equipment
NordE.ON 1 Project (Case of Germany)
Power Network in off-shore wind project (Case of ABB)
Off-shore wind project of German (Invested by Korean Business Firm and under promotion)
(북해동부)
(Amrum만 서부)
(영역) (대륙기초)
(12해리영역/연안)
(국제경계)
(승인)
(계획)
Case of USA: Cape Offshore Wind Project
1)Capacity:468MW(3.6MWx130units)
2) Location: Massachusetts State of USA
3) Progress:
- Start: 2001
- G-permit:2010.4 (Massachusetts local Gov.)
- Completion Est.:2013
4) PPA:20.7 cents/KWh for 15 years with annual
inflation adjustment of 3.5% over 15 years,
34.7cents/KWh at the end of the contract.
5) Price break down: Energy price:12.5, REC:6.7,
Hedge value(CRA):1.5, total:20.7cents/KWh
6) Tariff Increase: about 2% added up
(1.59 $/month/customer)
Off-shore wind projects in China Potentials:1,000GW off-shore:750GW on land:250GW Installed:25GW(2009)
Off-shore under developing :18GW 2012:100MW 2015:2.7GW
Reserved potential off-shore projects in EEZ of Japan EWEC2009 24 Jun 2009
Graduate School of Maritime Sciences, Kobe University, Japan
Fig. 6 Annual energy production per square kilometer (GWh/km2).
Blue lines show boundaries of Japan’s EEZ (including disputed areas).
• Japanese EEZ
(Incl.disputed area) :
4.47×106 km2
• Reserved potential
energy: 48,600 TWh/yr
(50 times of Japanese annual
production)
• Japanese annual
electricity production:
(2008): 971.87 TWh/yr
Wind Initiatives in Ontario
• Government policies and environmental priorities - driving for change
• Renewable Energy Supply (RES) Projects
• Renewable Energy Standard Offer Program (RESOP)
• Feed-in Tariff (FIT) and Green Energy and Green Economy Act (GEGEA) 2009
• Ontario’s Feed-in Tariff (FIT program)
• FIT Projects – Renewables including onshore & off shore wind
• Wind capacity expected to again double by end of 2011
• Korean Consortium (2500 MW renewable generation) 58
Offshore Wind potential in South Korea
*
*
• With a technical potential of 31.4 GW
South Korea is poised to begin a new era
involving the development of offshore wind
• The Korea Electric Power Research
Institute are currently looking at the
feasibility of building a 100MW offshore
wind farm in the West Sea. The wind farm
is planned for 2012 and could be extended
to 1,000MW at a later date
West Sea
Jeju-do
7.4
15.5
23
34.5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
연도
용량
(GW )
Reviced Forecast by MKE in 2008(Scenario1) Reviced Forecast by MOCIE in 2003
Dream1(Scenario2) Dream2(Scenario3)
Scenario1
Scenario2
Scenario3
Down-Track
Up-Dream
Installation Trend of wind power in Korea (Case Study)
61
2.7GW 9.7TWh
Renewable (Hydro)
13%
Fossil 87%
Fossil 58.3%
Nuclear 35.2%
Renewable (Hydro included) 6.5%
76GW 420TW
h
120GW 600TWh
Nuclear 45%
Wind 25%
Solar 20%
Other
renewable
10%
Energy Source Mix for Generation (Past-Current-Future)
1970 (-40)
2010
(Base) 2050 (+40)
62
Dreams of Korea Wind Energy Industry Association
1) Wind projects under consideration by private sector
developers Location Capacity (MW) Remarks
1.KNOC/HEC Chonnam Yusu 20MW Under design, to be completed by 2012,
Est.budget: 83 B won
2. Kwmho Industry Chonnam Yusu 100MW
3. KOSPO Busan off-shore 350MW(3.5MWx100기) Target: 2020.
390W/m2, 0~30m depth, 10Km away
4. KNHC/Doosan/NCE Jeju off-shore Hangkyung 30MW Gov.permit in 2006, Delayed due to lack of
viable ,review to start.
5. Dongkuk S&C/EWP/Yurus Chunnam Beegwkdo 200MW Target: 2013 / Est. budget:1.2T won
6. POSCO E&C Chonnam Off-shore West-South 600MW Target: 2015 / Est. budget:2.5 T won
7.POSCO E&C Chonbuk 100MW(5MWx20) Const. period: 2011 ~ 2015
Est. budget:0.5 T won
8. Hanwha Consortium Off-shore Incheon 100MW
(2.5MWx40기/3MWx33기)
333W/m2/7mdepth/20Km away.
Start:2012, Est.budget:500 B won
9. Hanshin Energy Jeju off-shore Gapa 50MW Target: 2012
10. Halla Consortium Jeju off-shore east-west 500MW Target: 2013
11. Hanshin Energy Samdal Ext. (onshore) 32 MW Target: 2011
12. Accioner Korea Kyongnam Yangyang(onshore) 500MW 60MW completed in 2009, Balance step by step
13.DMS/Enometal Ezrobot Off-shore Taean 100MW(3.6MWx27) Est. budget:400 B won
14. KMIPO Jeju Esidol(on shore) 20MW Under design
15. Korea Gov. Off-shore Saemangwm Dam 40MW 2MW track record build-up,
Open for the new model from
16. KARICO Consortium Chonnam Haenam 400MW Target:2016 / Est. budget:1.2 T won
Total 3,142MW
2) Wind projects under planning by Chonnam local government
Capacity
(MW)
On-shore
(MW)
Off-shore
(MW)
Est. budget:
B won for 1st stage
KOSEP 600 40 560 938.6
KOMIPO 300 100 200 250
KOSPO 500 100 400 460
EWP 200 50 150 181.3
KNHC 50 50 60
Fund Institute Consort. 1,000 200 800 4,400
POSCO PWR 600 200 400 2,300
LG E&S 1,000 1,000 3,000
Mitsui/Daewoo E&C 400 400 1,200
Dongkuk S&C 200 200 1,200
Acciona Korea 720 120 600 1,600
Total 5,570 2,210 3,360 15,589.9
Source: Chonnam Local Gov.
WTG Manufacturing Technology
* Shift from Indigenous to International Tech.
1.Indigenous Technology Developers:
1) Hyosung:
- 750KW and 2MW(Under test operation)
- 5MW(Under developing)
2) Unison: 750KW and 2MW(Under test operation)
3) Doosan:3MW(Under test operation)
4) Hanjin:1.5MW(Under test operation)
WTG Manufacturing Technology
2. International Technology Inducement:
1) Hyundai Heavy Industry(AMSC Wintec,USA):
- 1.65MW(under mass production, to supply domestic market and Pakistan )
- 5MW(Under developing for offshore project)
2) Samsung Heavy Industry(UK):
- 2.5MW(under mass production for onshore project)
- 5MW(under development for offshore project)
3) Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine(Dewind,USA)
- 750KW,1.5MW,2MW(under production in USA)
- Ship for offshore WTG erection(Client: RWE)
4) STX Heavy(Harakosan,Netherland)
- 2MW, 3MW(under production in Netherland)
Component Producing Industry
1)Dongkuk S&C: Tower(Client:Vestas)
2) CS Wind:Tower(Client:Siemens,Vestas,GE)
3) Taewoong:Main shaft,Flange,Forged or molded materials(Client:Vestas,Siemens,GE)
4) PMS Pyongsan:Flange, Gear ring,distance plate, lock plate, rotor shaft, gear box for 1.5MW(Client:Vestas,Siemens,GE,Gamesa)
5) KM: Blades for 2MW, 3MW
6)Hyunjin Source Material:Main shaft, tower flange,Forged materials.
7) Korea Tech.: Rotor hub,Bed Plate 66
Plant projects including off-shore, overseas contract by Korean Firms
Overseas Market of Off-shore Wind (1) Round 2 in UK
Overseas Market of Offshore Wind (2) Round 3 in UK
Scottish Territorial Waters (STW) and Round 3 Sites
Source: Crown Estate 2010
11
12
Key STW Site Name Developer MW
1 Wigtown Bay DONG Energy 280
2 Solway Firth E.ON 300
3 Kintyre SSE Renewables 378
4 Islay SSE Renewables 680
5 Argyll Array Scottish Power Renewables 1,500
6 Beatrice SSE Renewables & SeaEnergy 920
7 Inch Cape RWE Npower & SeaEnergy 905
8 Bell Rock SSE Renewables & Fluor 700
9 Neart na Gaoithe
Mainstream 360
10 Forth Array Fred Olsen 415
Round 3 Site11 Moray Firth EDP Renewables & SeaEnergy 1,300
12 Firth of Forth SSE Renewables and Fluor 3,500
Total 11,238
Overseas Market of Off-shore Wind (3) in Germany
Overseas Market of Offshore Wind (4) in EU
Overseas Market of Off-shore Wind (5) in EU
Thanks for your kind attention
Korea Wind Energy Industry Association
Web-site:www.kweia.or.kr (822-553-6260)