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WiMAX: 2010 and Beyond
Washington DC / Paris
Presented by: Daryl Schoolar
Date: February 4, 2010
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About Current Analysis
Leading provider of Competitive Response Solutions – a combination of timely, in-depth competitive and market intelligence with actionable, analyst recommendations – to help clients beat their competition.
Serving the following markets:
� Fixed and Mobile Business Telecom Services (U.S., Europe, Asia)� Fixed and Mobile Consumer Telecom Services (U.S., Europe)� Enterprise IT Infrastructure and Software� Telecom Infrastructure
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� Telecom Infrastructure
Client base includes 125 global enterprises including market leaders in telecom, IT and software.
30,000+ Readers / Subscribers
Experienced staff of professionals; located in the US and throughout EMEA
Headquarters in Washington D.C. area (Sterling, VA); additional office in Paris, France; subsidiaries in France, United Kingdom and the Netherlands
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Agenda
State of the MarketWiMAX Drivers and Future Trends
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STATE OF THE MARKETWiMAX
4
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State of the Market
WiMAX is now a global technology, with 523 deployments in 147 countries
11251
21
Deployments by Region
Africa
CALA
5© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.
103
84
84
69
CALA
Eastern Europe
Asia-Pacific
Western Europe
North America
Middle East
Source: WiMAX Forum, 12/09
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State of the Market
Most deployments are in 2.3, 2.5, or 3.5 GHz
6%
14%24%
2.3 GHz
2.5 GHz
Deployments by Spectrum
6© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.
14%
2%
50%
4%
24%2.5 GHz
3.3 GHz
3.5 GHz
5+ GHz
Unknown
Source: WiMAX Forum, 12/09 N = 523
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State of the MarketOther Market Facts per WiMAX Forum� 434,400,000 pops covered
– 205 million coming from Asia Pacific– Africa and CALA next two largest regions
� Total certified products = 178– 57 base stations– 121 devices
Number of vendors with certified products
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� Number of vendors with certified products– 25 for base stations– 45 for devices
� WiMAX spectrum currently available in 178 countries
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State of the MarketThe WiMAX Forum tracks deployments� http://www.wimaxmaps.org/� Can sort by vendor, spectrum, profile, status
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State of the Market
Not all deployments are equal� Most of today’s deployments are fixed or portable� Clearwire, Packet One, UQ, Yota, and KT Wibro are the
exceptions, not the rule when it comes to deployment types� Some deployments are not what one would generally call
commercial – i.e. govt. agencies DISA in the US
Certification
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Certification� WiMAX Forum certification results include both D and E� On the device side, certification still revolves around data devices
(CPE, modems, laptops)� Certification has not kept up with Forum promises
– Didn’t hit 100 certified products goal for end of 2008– Predicting 1,000 certified products by end of 2011
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State of the Market
WiMAX’s two-year head start on LTE has changed� It is no longer about time between initial deployments� Head start is now about experience in deployments, ecosystem
development, and spectrum availability
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MARKET DRIVERS AND FUTURE TRENDS
WiMAX
11
FUTURE TRENDS
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Market Drivers and Future Trends
2.3 GHz Certification� The status of some deployments is uncertain, or not what you
generally call commercial – i.e. govt. agencies DISA in the US� Previous 2.3 GHz certification was for WiBRO� Certification expected in 2010
2.3/2.5/3.5 GHz support on single chipset
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� Intel Kilmer Peak, just shown at 2010 CES� Will help drive volumes and lower prices with single SKU to support
multiple deployments� Important part of future WiMAX roaming
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Market Drivers and Future Trends
WiMAX Roaming� Will increase service coverage, which will lead to increased service
interest� Clearwire has MOU of roaming with UQ and Yota� Forum is active in setting up roaming requirements, arranged trial
between Clearwire and Digital Bridge Communications
Open Retail Certification Program
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Open Retail Certification Program� Important for expanding device ecosystem� Help end service provider device subsidies, quicker positive ROI for
new subscribers� Major WiMAX Forum initiative for 2010
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Market Drivers and Future Trends802.16m or WiMAX Release 2� Will give current 802.16e operators a migration path to higher
capacity network� Completion of specification expected in 2010� Devices and infrastructure in 2011 or 2012� Samsung has already demonstrated 802.16m with Yota
India spectrum auction
14© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.
India spectrum auction� Plagued by delays� State run operator BSNL has already launched some services� Forum forecasts 20% of 2012 users will be from India� Services and device prices need to be low
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Market Drivers and Future Trends
Broadband Stimulus fund� WiMAX projects have applied for $1.6 billion of the $14.2 billion to
be awarded� Plagued by delays� Vendors have set up programs to help operators win funds� http://match.broadbandusa.gov/BTOPpartners/BPMhome.aspx
WiMAX needs to leverage Wi -Fi
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WiMAX needs to leverage Wi -Fi� There are thousands of Wi-Fi devices on the market� Wi-Fi/WiMAX devices, like Clear Spot, solves current issues with
limited availability of WiMAX consumer devices� Needs to be built into devices, like phones
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Market Drivers and Future Trends
Applications� To attract users, needs to be more than a dumb pipe� Voice is an obvious application, and not just for fixed voice like
Clearwire� Operators/vendors need to create programs to enable application
development� Need flexible billing options
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� Need flexible billing options� Explore non-carrier opportunities like utilities
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Conclusion
WiMAX has built a sustainable market� Growth for WiMAX will come from existing fixed operators and new
market entrants� Wi-Fi on steroids isn’t a bad thing
Devices, Devices, DevicesServices need to differentiate from existing offeri ngs,
17© Current Analysis Inc. All rights reserved.
Services need to differentiate from existing offeri ngs, can’t just compete on priceWiMAX’s ecosystem remains one of its key strengths
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For more information, please contact…Daryl SchoolarPrincipal Analyst703–[email protected]|
www.currentanalysis.com
Thank You
1818
Washington, D.C.21335 Signal Hill Plaza, Suite 200Sterling, VA 20164, United StatesPhone +1 703 404 9200Toll free 877 787 8947Fax +1 703 404 9300
Paris, FranceBureaux de Sèvres - 2, rue Troyon92316 Sevres Cedex, FrancePhone +33 (0) 1 41 14 83 15
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WiMAX: Opportunities
and Key Factors for and Key Factors for
Success in 2010 &
Beyond
Kelvin Lee
Senior General Manager
4 February 2010
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Green Packet
Overview
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Greenpacket - Overview
21Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd
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CONVERGED SERVICES
Packet One Networks (M) S/B
Ruumznation S/B
PRODUCTS & SOLUTIONS
� Software & VAS
2 Key Business Pillars
22Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd
NGTNetworks
NGT Networks Pte LtdOneVois Pte Ltd
(Thailand)
Next Telecommunications S/B
Offer seamless connectivity, improved communication and compelling content & services to increase revenue streams for clients.
� WiMAX based solutions and services
� pWiMAX Global Services
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Global PartnershipsEquipment Vendor . Chipset Manufacturer . Device Ma nufacturer . WiMAX Operator
Strategic Alliances
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Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet BhdContinue building strong alliances within ecosystemContinue building strong alliances within ecosystem
Quanta Microsystems
SphereSerbia
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24Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd
TRENDS & CHALLENGESSource: Inmagine
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4years
523Networks
434‘000,000
POPS
WiMAX Is Here To Stay!
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Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd
years 147Countries
300WiMAX Products
WiMAX is here to stay! Momentum faster than WF initial forecast despite economic downturn
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45Million
By 2013
WiMAX Growth
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Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd
4Million
End 2009
Source: Maravedis
Substantial MOMENTUM and
GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES for the WiMAX industry
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Wide range of WiMAX enabled devices
The Rise of WiMAX Enabled Devices
Embedded ComputersLaptop, Netbook
Mobile Internet DeviceseBook, Mediaphones
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VoIP or CordlessWiMAX or WiMAX / Wi-Fi
Mobile WiMAX and 3G
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WIMAX 2010 & BEYOND
28Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd Source: Inmagine
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Lower priced
WiMAX devices
Introduction of Maturing
Integrated
WiMAX WiFI
devices
Availability of
WiMAX: A Maturing Ecosystem
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Introduction of
Dual Mode
devices
Maturing
EcosystemAvailability of
more certified
products
Emergence of Advance
Technologies –
MIMO, Switched Tx
Diversity and
Beamforming
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Trends - Open Retail Certification
Drives the proliferation of WiMAX devices
Open Retail Certification
Traditional Certification
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Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd
Economies of Scale - Lower cost of network
equipments & devices
Consumer has wider choice of WiMAX devices and
applications.
Drives the proliferation of WiMAX devices
Address interoperability and standard compliance
issues
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ad
op
tio
nincrease Availability of
more certified
WiMAX products
Open Retail
Certification
Program
Lower total certification cost
WiMAX Global
Roaming
Program
Increase of WiMAX Adoption
31Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd
WiM
AX
ad
op
tio
n
Savings can go into more device certifications
Speed up global roaming
Improve economies of scale
Faster time to market
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Key Factors for Success
32Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd Source: Inmagine
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Proliferation of wide range of WiMAX devices (handheld devices, computers and consumer electronics )
WiMAX DevicesMIDs,eBook, ,Netbook
Mediaphones
Key Success Driver
Leading-edge technologies and
Technologies
33Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd
Contents and ApplicationsInnovative and differentiated Value-Added Services to attract to subscribers adoption
technologies and innnovations to drive Industry development (MIMO, Switched Tx Diversity and Beamforming)
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34Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
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Greenpacket’s
Value Proposition
Source: Inmagine
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Greenpacket’s Advantage
FULL RANGE of
outdoor, indoor, US
B modems for
3in the world
35countries
6continents
35Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
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B modems for
2.3, 2.5 & 3.5GHz
frequencies 13deployments
countries
35operators
continents
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TOWER
Greenpacket WiMAX Modems
• VoIP Capabilities
Supports phone and fax transmission over IP network
• WiMAX WiFi
Built-in WiFi for convenient wireless access around the home / SOHO
• High Gain Omni Antenna
Flexible modem placement with 5dBi omni antenna gain
• Smart Signal Transmission
Switched Tx Diversity ,2Tx CDD & *2 Tx STC Technologies
Improved uplink performance and better indoor coverage
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Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd
SHUTTLEThe first Hybrid USB modem that supports 4G Broadband for
Home, Office and On-the-Go!
• Wideband Support
One device to access WiMAX in the 2.3 GHz – 2.7GHz frequency range
• High Gain Omni Antenna
Flexible modem placement with 5dBi omni antenna gain
• Smart Signal Transmission- Switched Tx Diversity Technology
Improved uplink performance and better indoor coverage
• Plug ‘n Play
Improved uplink performance and better indoor coverage
• Plug ‘n Play
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Increase ARPU by
Accelerating Product
and Service Creation
Seamless Handover Solutions
AppstoreFront
Enablers
Multi Device, Multi Operator , Multi
networks Connection
Manager
#1
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Optimizing Profits by
lowering OPEXData
Congestion Management
Device and Subscriber
Management
Intelligent Diagnostics
#2
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Preliminary
Study
Conceptualize
& Design
Develop &
Prototype
End to End Services
Greenpacket’s End to End WiMAX Solutions
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Product IOTCustomized
PackagingDeliver
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• Complete range of high performance and award-winning WiMAX modems from Indoor, Outdoor to USB Mobile.
• Carrier -grade connectivity and content solutions
Greenpacket Value Proposition
39Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd
• Carrier -grade connectivity and content solutions to help Operators to enjoy improved ARPU, shorter time-to-market and cost savings.
• End to end consulting services.
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Downloads
For more information, kindly visitwww.greenpacket.com
40Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
Private and ConfidentialGreen Packet Bhd
Download Greenpacket WiMAX Modem brochurehttp://www.greenpacket.com/devices_wm_overview.html
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Opportunities and success factors
Devices Network
Factors
Quality
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Devices
WiMAX will be
everywhere and anywhere
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Mobilize the Internet
Anywhere, Anyhow and Anytime
Devices
Connect to the world
Man to man, man to machine, machine to machine
Internet Lifestyle
Social Media
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Key success factor
& Challenges
Cost
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Coverage – expanding aggressively
Coverage targets
• 2009: achieved 35% population coverage of Peninsular Malaysia
• 2010: 45% population coverage of Malaysia
• 2012: 65% population coverage of Malaysia
States with P1 Wimax Coverage
(35% of pop. coverage)
States have yet to be covered
by P1 Wimax
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Malaysian Reserve,
Dec 07, 2009
Coverage – Broadband for all
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A daily life of Roast Duck SellerP1 W1MAX
Coverage – Broadband for all
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Still,
We can’t build fast enoughWe can’t build fast enough
We can’t serve fast enough
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Key success factor & Challenges
Speed
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Quality
Fast & Fast &
Consistent connectivity &
customer service
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Key success factor & Challenges
Bandwidth & Bandwidth &
CapacityCapacity
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Broadband your life.Broadband your life.
WiMAX your soul.