Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion...

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Why is the Earth habitable? Philip Pogge von Strandmann Earth Sciences UCL

Transcript of Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion...

Page 1: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years

WhyistheEarthhabitable?

PhilipPoggevonStrandmannEarthSciences

UCL

Page 2: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years
Page 3: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years

HubbleDeepfield

Howoldistheuniverse?13.77billionyears

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X-RayimageofourSunNuSTAR(NASA)+Hinode(Japan)+SDO(NASA)

HowoldisourSun?

4.6billionyears

Page 5: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years

TheBlueMarbleApollo171972

HowoldistheEarth?

4.54billionyears

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CuriosityFeb2014

Venera9,1975

Theageofalltheterrestrialplanetsisthesame

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Whatdoyouneedforlifetoexist?1. Aplanetoftherightsize

HLTauri(450lightyearsaway)ALMA(AtacamaSub-mmArray)image,Nov2014

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15°C

-55°C

460°C

2.Liquidwateratthesurface

170°C

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TheBlueMarbleApollo171972

IftheEarthis4.54billionyearsold,howlonghaslifeexisted?

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42Myr–11,000yr

5Myr–4,500yr

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68–66Myr

155–150Myr

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521–250Myr

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Ediacaranfauna–600millionyearsago

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WhendidtheEarthgainoceans?Zircon–ourwindowintoancientEarth

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WhendidEarthhaveoceansby?

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road to Cue

170 km

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26° 00' 00"

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Ultramafic rocks

Muscovite granite

Major fault/shear zone

Road

26° 15' 00"

N

Mt Taylor

Mt Hale

Yarameedie HillErawondoo HillJH992 locality

Mt Narryer

Jack Hills

YilgarnCraton

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© 2001 Macmillan Magazines Ltd

Mantlecomposiaon

Interacaonwithliquidwater

Earthhadahydrospherewithin260millionyearsofforma6on

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Oceans

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ClimateacrossEarthhistory

Hessler,2011,NatureEducaaon

GreatOxygena,onEventNeoproterozoic

Oxygena,onEvent

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Jaffresetal.,2007

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WhatmakestheEarthunique?

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Platetectonics

Platetectonics:importantforclimate,buttooslowtocontrolit

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Platetectonicsstarts(?)

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TheGaiaTheory

JamesLovelockLynnMargulis

“Lifeispartofaself-regulaangsystem,manipulaangthephysicalandchemicalenvironmenttomaintaintheplanetasasuitablehomeforlifeitself.”

“GaiacannotarisefromDarwinianevoluaonoflife—theplanetasawholeisnotaunitofselecaon.”

RichardDawkins

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TheMedeaHypothesis

PeterWard

“Microorganism-basedlifekillsmulacellularlife–e.g.theoxygencatastrophe,SnowballEarth,etc.”

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Thecarboncycle

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Thelong-termcarboncycle

Berner,1999,GSAToday

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WeatheringandCO2Carbonateweathering:Limestone+CO2+waterBicarbonateLimestone+CO2+water

CaCO3+CO2+H2O=>Ca2++2HCO3-=>CaCO3+CO2+H2O

Silicateweathering:Rock+CO2+waterLimestonesilica+CO2+water

(Ca,Mg)SiO3+2CO2+2H2O=>(Ca,Mg)CO3+SiO2+CO2+2H2OSilicateweatheringburiescarbonincarbonate.Italsoferalisesorganiccarbonburial

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How is climate mitigated?

BernerandCaldiera,1997

Runawaygreenhouse(Venus)

Runawayicehouse(Mars)

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Howcanweatheringstabiliseclimate?

e.g.Walkeretal.,1981

Negaavefeedbackmechanismforclimatestabilisaaon

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BeachyHead,EastSussex

δ13C

OceanicAnoxicEvents

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0

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-10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2

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a)

Norm.δ7Li

Timingofweatheringcontroloverclimate

280,000years

Example:HyperthermalOAE2intheCretaceous(93.5millionyearsago)Globalwarming,CO2increase,massexancaon

PoggevonStrandmannetal.,2013

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Sowhydoesclimatechange?

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…butwehavelong-termclimatechange Platetectonics

…andneitherVenusnorMarshaveplatetectonics...

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Thereisalsoanthercontrol…

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Himalayas

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Earthdevelopedlifebecause…

1.  Largeenoughtokeepwater

2.  Platetectonics

3.  Organicmolecules?Luck?

Earthkeptlifebecause…

1.  Theweatheringthermostat

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Methane

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Sea-levelrise

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Recent MOC decline

Robsonetal.,2014

“From2008to2012…thetransportoflowerNorthAtlanacdeepwaterslowedby7%peryear(95%confidencethattherateofslowingisgreaterthan2.5%peryear).”Smeed,2014

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Page 52: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years

Temperaturepredic[ons

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Page 54: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years

So…

WedonothavethepowertodestroytheEarth…theEarthwillalwaysrecoveriname.

Wedohavethepowertodestroyourselves

(andwe’redoingquitewellatthat)

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Page 56: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years

Highweatheringsite(highCO2drawdown),Iceland

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AverageglobaltemperatureAntarcactemperature

Shakunetal.,2012,Nature

“CO2concentraaonleadstheglobaltemperaturestackin90%ofthesimulaaonsandlagsitin6%.”

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Is Antarctica deglaciating?

Myth:AntarcacglaciersareincreasingFact:•  TherehasbeenanincreaseinpartsofEast

Antarcaca(fasterhydrocycle)•  TotalAntarcaclandiceisdecreasing•  TotalAntarcacsea-iceisincreasing

Shepherdetal.,2012

Page 59: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years

Is solar activity causing warming?

Krivovaetal.,2007,andNASAdata

Myth:climatechangeiscausedbysolaracavityFact:sincethe1990s,solaracavityhasdecreasedwhileclimatehaswarmed

Page 60: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

-15 -10 -5 0 5 10

Time(M

a)

Norm.δ7Li

Post-Marinoan

OAE2

PETM

Hirnanaan

Timingofweatheringcontroloverclimate

50ka

250ka(4xincrease)280ka(1.5–2xincrease)

509ka(2xdecrease)

Colbou

rneetal.,2015

Sund

quist,1991

Page 61: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years
Page 62: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years
Page 63: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years
Page 64: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years
Page 65: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years

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road to Cue

170 km

Western Australia

26° 00' 00"

117°

00'

00"

117°

15'

00"

0 5 10km

Clastic sedimentary rocks

Chert and banded iron formation

Ultramafic rocks

Muscovite granite

Major fault/shear zone

Road

26° 15' 00"

N

Mt Taylor

Mt Hale

Yarameedie HillErawondoo HillJH992 locality

Mt Narryer

Jack Hills

YilgarnCraton

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3,800 3,900 4,000 4,100 4,200 4,300 4,400 4,5004

5

6

7

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9

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S-type zircons

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JH992_12 JH992_42 JH992_48 JH992_76 JH992_88 JH992_90 JH992_95

207P/206Pb zircon age (Myr)

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

δ18O

WR

δ18O

zirc

on

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© 2001 Macmillan Magazines Ltd

Page 66: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years

Cenozoicseawaterδ7Li

Misra&Froelich,2012,Science

Page 67: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years
Page 68: Why is the Earth habitable?...The Blue Marble Apollo 17 1972 How old is the Earth? 4.54 billion years