Why Governments Intervene in Exchange Rate Markets
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Transcript of Why Governments Intervene in Exchange Rate Markets
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Why governments intervene in exchange rate
markets?
Ans.
There are multiple reasons for which governmentmay seemingly intervene in exchange rate market.
However, all such reasons can be summed into one
objective i.e. to achieve macro-economic
objective of the government.
This is because in an open economy characterizedby the presence of export and import along with
the practice of freely floating exchange rate
system, an unstable exchange rate movement of
local currency against the reserve currency as well
as other major currencies with whom trading
relationship is very strong, may create substantialmacro-economic problems. Thus government may
intervene in exchange rate market for the
following derivative reasons:
to smooth exchange rate movements and thus
avoid negative impact of exchange rate on
international trading activities.
to establish implicit exchange rate boundaries so
that domestic macroeconomic policies can yield
best result for the economy i.e. reducing
inflation, fostering growth etc.
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to respond to temporary disturbances in
exchange rates market thus restrain speculative
activities in the currency exchange market.
Explain the mechanism for government
intervention in exchange rate markets?
There are two mechanisms for government to
intervene in the exchange rate market.
1. Direct intervention:Direct intervention refers the intervention of the
government in the demand and supply side of
the foreign exchange market. Alternatively
under direct intervention the government
becomes a party to the exchange rate market
either in the demand side or in the supply sideaffecting the change rate between two
currencies. Direct intervention is most effective
when two countrys central banks coordinate
their intervention in the market; otherwise there
may be repercussion by the other government.
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a.Sterialized interventionUnder sterialized intervention the
government undertakes additional
mechanism to adjust the money supply
domestically as a result of direct action to
strengthen or weaken a currency in the
foreign exchange market.
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b.Non-sterialized intervention
Under non-sterialized intervention the
government does not undertake additionalmechanism to adjust the money supply
domestically as a result of direct action to
strengthen or weaken a currency in the
foreign exchange market.
2. Indirect intervention
Indirect intervention refers the intervention of thegovernment in the economic variables those have
the potential to affect the demand and supply side
of the foreign exchange market. Alternatively
under indirect intervention the government does
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not become a party to the exchange rate market
rather it influences the macroeconomic factors like
interest rate, inflation rate, national economy i.e.
per capita GDP etc. or impose tariff or non tariffbarriers, quota restrictions to indirectly affect the
exchange rate in the market.
If a country observe relatively higher
inflation against other country, then local
demand for foreign goods will increase i.e.
local demand for foreign currency will
increase; while foreign demand for local
goods will decrease i.e. supply of foreign
currency will decrease and vice-versa. The
combined effect will result an increase in
foreign currency value i.e. devaluation of
local currency value.
If a country observe relatively higher interestrate against other country, then local demand
for foreign investment will decrease i.e. local
demand for foreign currency will decrease;
while foreign demand for local investment
will increase i.e. supply of foreign currency
will increase and vice-versa. The combined
effect will result a decrease in foreigncurrency value.
High inflation in USA means higher Pound Value.
High interest in USA means lowerpound value.
High inflation means high interest rate??????
The answer of such dilemma has been addressed in a famous
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theory called IFE (International Fishers Effect)
If a country observes relatively higher
income level, its consumer will be able to buy
more from foreign country resulting higherdemand for foreign currency. However, the
supply of foreign currency will remain same
since the foreign countrys income level has
not changed. The combined effect will result
an increase in foreign currency value.