Why Governments Intervene in Exchange Rate Markets

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    Why governments intervene in exchange rate

    markets?

    Ans.

    There are multiple reasons for which governmentmay seemingly intervene in exchange rate market.

    However, all such reasons can be summed into one

    objective i.e. to achieve macro-economic

    objective of the government.

    This is because in an open economy characterizedby the presence of export and import along with

    the practice of freely floating exchange rate

    system, an unstable exchange rate movement of

    local currency against the reserve currency as well

    as other major currencies with whom trading

    relationship is very strong, may create substantialmacro-economic problems. Thus government may

    intervene in exchange rate market for the

    following derivative reasons:

    to smooth exchange rate movements and thus

    avoid negative impact of exchange rate on

    international trading activities.

    to establish implicit exchange rate boundaries so

    that domestic macroeconomic policies can yield

    best result for the economy i.e. reducing

    inflation, fostering growth etc.

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    to respond to temporary disturbances in

    exchange rates market thus restrain speculative

    activities in the currency exchange market.

    Explain the mechanism for government

    intervention in exchange rate markets?

    There are two mechanisms for government to

    intervene in the exchange rate market.

    1. Direct intervention:Direct intervention refers the intervention of the

    government in the demand and supply side of

    the foreign exchange market. Alternatively

    under direct intervention the government

    becomes a party to the exchange rate market

    either in the demand side or in the supply sideaffecting the change rate between two

    currencies. Direct intervention is most effective

    when two countrys central banks coordinate

    their intervention in the market; otherwise there

    may be repercussion by the other government.

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    a.Sterialized interventionUnder sterialized intervention the

    government undertakes additional

    mechanism to adjust the money supply

    domestically as a result of direct action to

    strengthen or weaken a currency in the

    foreign exchange market.

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    b.Non-sterialized intervention

    Under non-sterialized intervention the

    government does not undertake additionalmechanism to adjust the money supply

    domestically as a result of direct action to

    strengthen or weaken a currency in the

    foreign exchange market.

    2. Indirect intervention

    Indirect intervention refers the intervention of thegovernment in the economic variables those have

    the potential to affect the demand and supply side

    of the foreign exchange market. Alternatively

    under indirect intervention the government does

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    not become a party to the exchange rate market

    rather it influences the macroeconomic factors like

    interest rate, inflation rate, national economy i.e.

    per capita GDP etc. or impose tariff or non tariffbarriers, quota restrictions to indirectly affect the

    exchange rate in the market.

    If a country observe relatively higher

    inflation against other country, then local

    demand for foreign goods will increase i.e.

    local demand for foreign currency will

    increase; while foreign demand for local

    goods will decrease i.e. supply of foreign

    currency will decrease and vice-versa. The

    combined effect will result an increase in

    foreign currency value i.e. devaluation of

    local currency value.

    If a country observe relatively higher interestrate against other country, then local demand

    for foreign investment will decrease i.e. local

    demand for foreign currency will decrease;

    while foreign demand for local investment

    will increase i.e. supply of foreign currency

    will increase and vice-versa. The combined

    effect will result a decrease in foreigncurrency value.

    High inflation in USA means higher Pound Value.

    High interest in USA means lowerpound value.

    High inflation means high interest rate??????

    The answer of such dilemma has been addressed in a famous

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    theory called IFE (International Fishers Effect)

    If a country observes relatively higher

    income level, its consumer will be able to buy

    more from foreign country resulting higherdemand for foreign currency. However, the

    supply of foreign currency will remain same

    since the foreign countrys income level has

    not changed. The combined effect will result

    an increase in foreign currency value.