Who Watches the Watchers? Analysis of Embedded Vision Adoption in Consumer Electronics
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Transcript of Who Watches the Watchers? Analysis of Embedded Vision Adoption in Consumer Electronics
Who Watches The Watchers?
Consumer Perceptions of Embedded Vision Features in Consumer Electronics
Dr. John Feland, CEO
Page 2© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Quis Custodiet Ipsos Custodes
Fears shaped by 1984 and concerns of the Surveillance State not trusting citizens
Reality defined by concerns of citizens not trusting each other
Page 3© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Quis Custodiet Ipsos Custodes
More recently…
Page 4© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Does Anyone Really Care?
Page 5© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
A Bit About Our Methods – More Little Sister than Big Brother
COLLECTSocial media &
other unstructured consumer responses
REPORTWeb based SaaS Reporting Tool
with PowerPoint Ready Graphics
ANALYZEBest-in-Class Quantitative
and Qualitative Analytics
Page 6© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Yes Virginia, It’s Predictive of Consumer Adoption
$- $500,000,000
$1,000,000,000 $1,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $2,500,000,000 $3,000,000,000 $3,500,000,000 $4,000,000,000 $4,500,000,000
Comparing NPD Actual Tablet Sales to Argus Insights Predictions$ NPD Sold Actual
Predicted Using Argus Insights Metrics
Wo
rld
Wid
e M
on
thly
Sale
s
Copyright © 2013 Argus Insights, Inc.
Page 7© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Experience Equity Tracking – Stock Chart for UX
• Monitor Buzz and Delight for your customers products and the competition
• Identify market disruptions• Instantly compare responses
across the entire competitive landscape
• Measure the market impact of– Competitive product launches– Firmware updates– Marketing campaigns
• Find out why these disruptions are happening using our integrated qualitative analysis
Del
ight
Bubble area represents
periodic Buzz Volume
Bubble area represents
periodic Buzz Volume
Del
ight
Page 8© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Poached Egg Model of Innovation: Rolf Faste
• New matters more than Good/Bad
• Market decides where to move
• Argus Insights Measures that market dynamic
Page 9© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Where do we look for evidence of adoption?
What can we learn from Smartphones?
Page 11© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Benchmarking Eye Tracking Enabled Handsets
LG Optimus G Pro is delighting a niche market
Galaxy S4 finally recovering after a
rough launch
Page 12© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Sparse mentions of Eye Tracking in Consumer Reviews
• Of 2242 consumer reviews, only 104 mention eye tracking• Of those 60% are negative, impacting adoption
“[bought for] features it supposedly has like eye tracking and the camera featurs BUT NOTHING WORKS RIGHT!!!!!!! all the features are fake and dont work like they should!!!!”“The head and eye tracking is very twitchy but not really needed anyway”“The eye scrolling feature doesn't track me because either I wear glasses or the clear screen cover interferes with the sensors.”
“Eye scroll comes in handy anytime you're working on your computer and have to look at your phone at the same time.”“cool sci-fi like eye tracking technology. I use it every day, I was on lunch eating my food and my hands were sticky but I controlled the web browsing switching between tabs, scrolling up and down all without touching the screen”
Page 13© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Complaints along two vectors- Performance and Battery
“The eye scroll is too erratic as it goes very fast then stops then goes back up. The face recognition is also dumb as it takes way too long and the exact same lighting to recognize ( even with multiple pics stored) then unlock the screen so I disabled it.”
“I bought this phone because of the Gesturing and Eye tracking. However I found them difficult to use. Also they drained my battery within hours, (even when idle) and my phone got kinda hot. I turned those features back off, and my battery went to normal expectancy (about a days use per charge).”
Page 14© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
12/13/2012 2/16/2013 4/1/2013 5/7/2013 6/12/20130
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Apple BlackberryHTC LG NokiaSamsung
Tw
eet
Volu
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on-
ing E
ye S
crolli
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Eye Scrolling was a Key Feature for Galaxy S4
• Social Media buzz shows how much Samsung pushed feature in advertising campaigns
• Little mentions from actual consumers anticipating features• Analysis of Consumer Reviews tell a similar story
Most all buzz came from press releases, not consumer interest
LG buzz due to IP conflicts on eye tracking
Samsung Social Campaign, “what do you love about Galaxy S4?”
Page 15© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
But what about privacy concerns?
• Within over 2200 consumer reviews, zero mention of privacy concerns for the Galaxy S IV
• Love or hate the handset, Consumers were not concerned with privacy
• An analysis of tweets adds to the story
Page 16© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Privacy and Spying discussions from Social
12/13/2012 1/2/2013 1/22/2013 2/10/2013 2/27/2013 3/15/2013 4/5/2013 4/26/2013 5/17/2013 6/5/2013 6/21/2013 7/8/20130
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Privacy Related Mentions from Mobile Twitter Streams
Apple BlackberryHTC LG Motorola NokiaSamsung
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of S
pyin
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ivac
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12/13/2012 1/2/2013 1/22/2013 2/10/2013 2/27/2013 3/15/2013 4/5/2013 4/26/2013 5/17/2013 6/5/2013 6/21/2013 7/8/20130
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Privacy Related Mentions from Mobile Twitter Streams (without HTC)
Apple BlackberryLG Motorola NokiaSamsung
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of S
pyin
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ivac
y Tw
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HTC Settles with US FTC over Privacy Issues on millions of handsets
Security hole in Samsung Smart TV allows video spying
New Moto X phone will always
be listening to enable voice commands
Android App Spam to enable spying on
mobile users, nannycam style
Page 17© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Kano Model of Needs – Where does Embedded Vision Fit?
Delighters
Linear
Satisfi
ers
Must Haves
Ideal Path of Features
Performance
Satis
facti
on
Games are watching consumers at play
Page 19© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Vision-based systems outperform Accelerometer systems
Playstation Move seen as better motion controller initially
Kinect wins holiday 2012
Wii U waits for Zelda…
Page 20© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Across platforms, few mentions of privacy concerns
• Only 7 mentions of 2356 gaming reviews• Vision complaints from Microsoft Kinect Customers• Malware/Spyware complaints from Sony PlayStation
Customers
“I think it's creepy. with all of those cameras and such- who knows when Microsoft is spying on us for "advertising" purposes?”“and maybe [the Kinect is] the ultimate spyware to date?”
Page 21© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
How to drive adoption of Embedded Vision
Esteem
Love/Belonging
Safety/Security
Physiological
Self Actualization
Maslow’s Hierarchy of Needs Feland’s Hierarchy of Features
Compelling Experience
Performance/Consistency
Efficient Resources
Privacy
Security
Whe
re
cons
umer
s fo
cus
toda
y
Path
of C
onsu
mer
Ado
ption
Vulnerable Foundation Elements
Page 22© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
How to avoid the Three Mile Island of Embedded Vision?
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Mis Education of Consumers – Laptop Webcams
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Boiling the Frog, Facebook’s Privacy Default Swaps bio = "Love sports of all kinds."; birthday = "01/01/1980"; "favorite_athletes" = ( { id = 20242388857; name = "Usain Bolt"; } ); "first_name" = Chris; hometown = { id = 106033362761104; name = "Campbell, California"; }; id = 100003086810435; languages = ( { id = 108106272550772; name = French; }, { id = 312525296370; name = Spanish; } ); "last_name" = Colm; link = "https://www.facebook.com/chris.colm"; locale = "en_US"; location = { id = 104048449631599; name = "Menlo Park, California"; }; "middle_name" = Abe; name = "Chris Abe Colm"; timezone = "-7"; "updated_time" = "2012-08-09T03:33:32+0000"; username = "chris.colm"; verified = 1;
Page 25© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Key Takeaways
• Embedded Vision solutions have to score the hat trick– Compelling – Consistent Performance– Private and Secure
• Educate Consumers before they Mis-Educate themselves
• Don’t Be Facebook
Page 26© 2013 Argus Insights, Inc. Confidential: Do Not Distribute
Questions?
Sign up for a free copy of the weekly Peek™ Report for Smartphoneshttp://www.argusinsights.com/embedded-vision/free_report.htmlOr just email me at [email protected]