Who is the Boss? Family Control without Ownership in ...€¦ · Who is the Boss? Family Control...
Transcript of Who is the Boss? Family Control without Ownership in ...€¦ · Who is the Boss? Family Control...
WhoistheBoss?FamilyControlwithoutOwnershipinPublicly-traded
JapaneseFirms
MortenBennedsen,aVikasMehrotra,bJungwookShim,cYupanaWiwattanakantangd
AbstractWedocumentthat50%ofpubliclistedJapanesefamilyfirmsarestillunderthecontrolbythefoundingfamily50yearsaftertheIPO.Thecontroloftopmanagementispersistentevenwhenownershipstakesbecomes insignificantandwithout theuseofdualclasssharesorpyramids. Examples include eponyms such as Casio, Toyota and Suzuki. The families’reputation,networksoffinanciers,andtalentcorrelatewithlongevityoffamilycontrol.Ourresultschallengethelifecycleviewofcorporationsinadvancedeconomiesandhighlightstheimportanceofintangible“family”assetsinunderstandingtheevolutionoffamilycontrol.JELCodes:G32;L26Keywords:Familycontrol;Ownership;Successiona. Correspondingauthor.UniversityofCopenhagen,DenmarkandINSEAD,Paris,France.
E-mail:[email protected]. UniversityofAlbertaSchoolofBusiness,Edmonton,Canada.
E-mail:[email protected]. KyotoSangyoUniversity,Kyoto,Japan.
E-mail:[email protected]. NationalUniversityofSingaporeBusinessSchool,Singapore.
E-mail:yupana@nus.edu.sgWearegratefulforhelpfulcommentsfromRoystonGreenwood,DannyMillerandseminarparticipantsattheEntrepreneurshipTheoryandPracticeconferenceinBankofFinlandEdmonton,andBeijingUniversity,Columbia/INSEADconferenceonFamilyFirms2018,ConferenceonFamilyFirms inLehighUniversity,Copenhagen Business School, Development Bank of Japan, European Finance Association meetings,HankenSchoolofEconomics,INSEADBrownBag(economicsandfinance).ThisprojectisalsobenefitedfromthefinancialsupportfromSingaporeMinistryofEducationAcademicResearchFundTier1grants(R-315-000-111-112&R315-000-086-133),thevisitingscholarprogramoftheResearchInstituteofCapitalFormationattheDevelopmentBankofJapan,andtheDanishNationalResearchFoundationundertheNielsBohrProfessorship.
2
“Eversincehewasalittleboy,hismotheralwaystoldhim,‘Onedayyou’llbepresident.’”1AboutToyota’sPresident,AkioToyoda
1. Introduction
Family control of the modern corporation is ubiquitous even in countries with well-
developedcapitalmarkets.2Howfoundingfamilieskeepcontrolovertheirfirmsintheface
ofgrowthimperativesisacontinuingpuzzle.RajanandZingales(1996)suggestthattheease
ofexternalfinancingforcapitalinvestmentsdictatesboththeevolutionoffoundingcontrol
overtime,aswellastherealizedlevelofgrowth.TheircontentionfindssupportinFrank,
Mayer,VolpinandWagner(2011),whoshowthatfamilyownershipdilutionintheUKand
continentalEuropeislargelydeterminedbythefirm’sneedforexternalfinancingforboth
capital investmentsaswell asmergersandacquisitions.These studiesper force focuson
controlderivedfromequityownershipandconcludeinfavouroffinanceasthesinglebiggest,
ifnotthesole,determinantofthelossoffoundercontrolovertime.
Inthisstudy,weextendtheliteratureonfamilycontrolbeyondownershipbystudying
thedilutionofthefoundingfamily’sownershipasdistinctfromalossoftopmanagement
control. We explore the determinants of how families keep control with little or no
ownership. Anecdotal evidence exists fromother advanced countries including the U.S3,
however,theysharetwofeatures:theuseofcontrolenhancingownershipmechanisms,such
asdualclasssharesorpyramids,andagenerallydilutedownershipstructurewithnoother
significantowners.Thus,thisisthefirstlargescalesampletodocumenttheprevalenceof
1 Jason Clenfield and Yuki, Doubting Toyota Prince Defeats Crisis to Prove Self Wrong: Cars, Bloomberg,November21,2013,accessedonJanuary18,2018,http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-20/doubting-toyota-prince-defeats-crisis-to-prove-self-wrong-cars.html.2 See, for example, La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes and Shleifer (1999), Morck, Stangeland and Yeung (2000),AndersonandReeb(2003),Morck,Wolfenzon,andYeung(2005),andVillanlongaandAmit(2006).3TheJ.M.SmuckersCompanyhasbeenrunbytheeponymousfamilyforfourgenerationsnow,eventhoughtheSmuckers’familyequitystakeinthefirmisnowlessthan6%.AuniqueaspectoftheirsharestructureisTimePhasedVoting.Underthisset-up,1shareinSmuckersequals1voteifheldforlessthan4yearsandequals10votesifheldformorethan4years.Afewotherwell-establishedcompaniessuchasFordMotorCompanyandtheNewYorkTimesalsohavecontrolinthehandsofthefoundingfamilywithverylittleequityownership,albeitinbothcases,dualvotingsharesprovidethefoundingfamilywithmajoritycontrol.
3
familycontrolwithoutownershipinanadvancedcountrywithlittleuseofcontrolenhancing
mechanisms.
Weemployauniquedatasetofalllistedfirmsinpost-warJapanandbeginbycharting
theevolutionoffamilycontrolfromtheearly1960sthrough2010.Ourpaneldataallowus
tomove beyond static analysis and to document the factors that have allowed founding
familiesinJapantomaintaincontrolovertheirfirmswithorwithoutsignificantownership.
UnliketheU.S.,Japandoesnotpermitdualclassvotingshares,sotheone-share-one-voterule
applies.UnlikeotherAsiancountries,pyramidalfamilygroupownership,asarule,isabsent
in Japan.4Thusvotingcontrolandownershipgohand inhandanda loss inownership is
identicaltoalossinvotingcontrol.Furthermore,ourdataincludefamilycharacteristicssuch
astheeducationalattainmentoftheexecutives,founders,theirheirs,aswellasdetailson
familystructure.Thisallowsustoassesstherelativeimportanceoffinancevs.familyassets
indeterminingthedilutionofcontrolbyfoundingfamiliesinIPOtime.
The literature has used various thresholds such as 25%, 20%, 10% or even 5% of
outstanding shares to define family firms. 5 We find that such cut-offs are ad hoc and
excessivelyrestrictiveindescribingfamilycontrol.Forinstance,basedontheownershipcut-
offdefinition,manyfirmswherethefoundingfamilyholdsthetopmanagementposition,but
hasvery lowownership stakes, riskbeing classifiedasnon-family firms.To illustratewe
highlightthethreeeponymousfamilyfirms,Casio,ToyotaandSuzuki.Familymembershave
takenturnstoholdtheleadershippositionsasPresidentorChairmanforgenerationseven
whenthefamilies’ownershipstakeshavebeendilutedtoinsignificantlevels.Wegeneralize
anddocumentthatbetween10%and30%oflistedJapanesefirmsaremanagedbyheirsof
thefoundingfamilywhohavelittleownershiptoreport.
To our knowledge, this paper is the first documenting the commonplace nature of
familycontrolintheabsenceofmaterialownership.Ourfindingalsoexplainswhyexisting
4 Thefamouspost-warkeiretsusystemisnotafamily-basedstructure(MorckandNakamura,1999&2000)andislargelyseenasawebofhorizontalcross-shareholdings(Nakatani,1984)4. 5See, for e.g., La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanesand Shleifer (1999), Faccio and Lang (2002), Anderson andReeb(2003),VillalongaandAmit(2006),Franks,Mayer,andRossi(2009),andFoleyandGreenwood(2009).
4
studieshavefoundaverylownumberoffamilyfirmsamonglargebusinessesinJapanand
elsewhere(e.g.,Claessens,Djankov,andLang,2000;andMasulis,Pham,andZein,2011).We
showthatincludingfamiliesthatcontrolfirmswithoutownershipmorethandoublestheir
shareamong Japanese listed firms.Wealsodocument the longevityof family involvement
followingthefirm’sIPO–almost50%oflistedfirmsarefamilycontrolled(managedand/or
owned)upto50yearsfollowingtheirIPO.Wearenotawareofcorrespondingstatisticsfrom
othercountries.
Thispaperalsocontributestotheliteraturebyprovidinginsightsintotheimportant
issueofwhyfamiliesexitthefirmstheirancestorshavefounded.Existingempiricalstudies
focusonthedynamicsoffamilyownershipandshowthatfinanceplaysanimportantrolein
thedilutionofownership.Typicallythishappenswhengrowthimperativesrequireexternal
equity infusions, and when equity markets provide a ready source of capital. 6 Well-
functioning equity markets step in to finance growth, and this process is generally
responsibleforthedeclineoffounders’ownershipaftershelistsherfirm.
We show that an important and hitherto overseen determinant of future family
ownership and control is the strength of intangible “family assets” as contended by
BennedsenandFan(2014)andBennedsenetal.(2015).Familyassetsaretherelationship
specific(Williamson,1986),andoftenintangible,investmentsmadebythefoundingfamilies
thataddtofirmvalue,muchasorganizationalcapitaldoes.7Keyexamplesoffamilyassets
arethelegacyofthefamilybusinessasembodiedinthefamilynameandreputation,family
networksinbusinessandpolitics,andthefamilytalentpool.
We document how variation in family assets correlate with variation in time
persistenceoffamilyownershipandfamilycontrol.Weincludeanarrayofproxiesforfamily
6Forexample,Frank,Mayer,andRossi(2009)showthatfoundingfamilyequitystakesgotdilutedintheU.K.largelyasaresultofcapitalinvestmentsviaM&Aactivity.Helwege,PirinskyandStulz(2007)showthattheownershipbyblockholdersdeclinesrapidlyaftertheIPO,andthatthishappensfasterforfirmswithmoreliquidstocks.Frank,Mayer,VolpinandWagner(2011)confirmthesefindingsinalargerinternationalsetting,linkingtheeaseofequitydilutionspecificallytoinvestorprotection,againunderscoringtheimportanceoffinanceindeterminingpost-IPOownershipdeclineintheUnitedStates.Finally,Klasa(2007)documentsthatthefoundingfamily’ssaleoftheircontrollinginterestiscorrelatedtopoorperformanceandfirmageamongtheU.S.firms.7See,fore.g.,LevandRadhakrishnan,(2005)andEisfeldtandPapanikolaou(2013,2014).
5
assets and finance variables in exploring the determinants of the decay in the founding
family’s control over time. Our main results are that more profitable firms, and those
managed by younger CEOs, are less likely to transition to lower levels of family control,
whereasfirmsthatneedexternalcapitalaremorelikelytodoso.Weshowthatfamilycontrol
ismorelikelytobemaintainedinfirmsthatbearthefoundingfamilyname,havecapable
heirs8and trusted employees. Families also sustain control through establishing a close
partnership with investors. In short, our evidence underscores the joint importance of
financialandfamilyfactorsintheevolutionofownershipandmanagementcontrol.
Therestofthepaperisorganizedasfollows.Section2presentsthreecasesofCasio,
Toyota and Suzuki to illustrate how families organize control of their companies when
ownershipisdiluted.Section3presentsourdatameasuringtheevolutionofownershipand
controlofpublictradedfirmsinJapan.Section4dividesfirmsintofourcategoriesdepending
onfamiliesbeingdominantownersand/orincontrolofmanagement.Wethendescribethe
evolution of family ownership and family control over management. Section 5 analyses
factorsthatimpactthetransitionoffirmsamongallfourcategoriesofownershipandcontrol
composition.WeconcludeinSection6.
2. Family control in the absence of material ownership: The Casio,ToyotaMotors,andSuzukiMotorsCases
ThethreewellknownJapanesecompanies,Casio,ToyotaMotor,andSuzukiMotorillustrate
howthefoundingfamilymaintainsmanagementcontrolinsituationswheretheyhavevery
littleownership.Thecases illustratehowfamiliesuseparticularandsometimeselaborate
familyassetsandgovernancestructurestosecureandmaintaincontroloftheirfirmseven
whentheydonothavesignificantownershipstakes.
We describe the ownership evolution aswell asmanagement transitions in these
threefirmsoveraforty-yearperiodspanning1960-2000inFigure1.Inallcases,ownership
8Mehrotra,Morck,ShimandWiwattanakantang(2013)describeshowthepracticeofadultadoptions,wherefounders,facedwitheithernon-existentorinadequatebloodheirs,frequentlyadoptoutsidersintothefamilyandappointhimasasuccessor,hasbeenacommongovernancefeatureinJapanesebusinessfamilies.
6
stakesofthefoundingfamiliesarereducedtoinsignificantlevelsbytheendofthesampling
period(andinonecasewereneversignificant)andyet,aswedescribebelow,scionsofthe
founding family continue toholdswayovermanagement in importantways.These three
firms reflect different ways that families retain management control even when their
ownershipisverysmall:First,Casioillustrateshow,evenwhilegrowthandfinancialneeds
dilute familyownership, the founding familykeepscontrol throughalineofverytalented
familymanagers.Second,ToyotaMotorCompanyillustrateshowmanagementcontrolcan
persistviacomplexcrossownershipandmanagementofcompanieswithintheToyotagroup
of firms by the extended family of the founder.9We note that such a structure of inter-
corporate control by the extended Toyoda clan is distinct from the well-known keiretsu
structure,whichrepresentsagroupoffirmstiedbycross-shareholdingsbutlooselylinked
in terms of management. 10 Third, Suzuki Motor Company, where the family never had
significantownership,illustrateshowthepracticeofadultadoptionscanbroadenthetalent
poolforsuccessionpurposesandprovideableandcompetentheirs(Mehrotraetal,2013).
2.1CasioComputerCo.:Ownershipdilutionthroughglobalexpansion.
WestartwithCasio, the iconiccalculatorandelectronicwatchcompany,andshow
how high growth, financed via equity, dilutes founding family ownership over time.We
submitthatfamilytalentneverthelesshaskeptthefoundingfamilyincontroltothisday.
Casiowasfoundedin1946asKashioSeisakujobyateamoffounders,fatherandfour
sonsfromtheKashiofamily.TheKashiomenworkedtogethertodeveloptheworld’sfirst
electroniccalculatorwhichwaslaunchedin1957.Tofinanceexpansion,Casiowentpublicin
1970ontheTokyoStockExchange,withthefamilyretaining61%ofshares.Threeyearslater,
CasioalsolistedontheAmsterdamStockExchange,andontheFrankfurtStockExchangein
1979.Thenetimpactofthesepublicofferingswasasteepdeclineinthefoundingfamily’s
relative share ownership. Indeed, the family’s direct shareholdings in Casio declined
dramatically to 8% in 1990 (see Figure 1). For comparison, we note that the average
9SeeBennedsen,HenryandWiwattanakantang(2016).10See,amongothers,Nakatani(1984),Prowse(1992),Flath(1993)andWeinsteinandYafeh(1995).
7
ownershipbytheleastandmostrestrictivedefinitionsoffamilyfirmsinVillalongaandAmit
(2009) is 16% and 28%. The ownership stake of theKashio family continued to decline
further,dippingunder6%in2000andunder4%in2014.
In reality, however, the Kashio family has always been running Casio. TheKashio
brothers took turns tohold the topmanagementpositions,namely thePresidentand the
Chairman,aswellastoserveonitsboard11.Casio’sfirstpresidentwasthefather,andthen
hisfirstson,Tadao,whosucceededhim.Tadaowithareputationasafinancialwizardserved
aspresidentfor28years,duringwhichperiodhisthreeyoungerbrothersservedonCasio’s
board.Tadaofinallyretiredaspresidentattheageof71in1988andremainedasCasio’s
adviseruntilhisdeath in1993.The secondbrother,Toshio (born in1925),whowas the
inventor of many of Casio’s hit products, became Casio’s Chairman from 1988 until his
retirementin2011attheageof86.
Thethirdbrother,Kazuo(bornin1929),withanexpertiseinsalesandmarketing,led
CasioasitsthirdPresidentfrom1988andassumeddualpositionsasthebothPresidentand
ChairmanafterToshio’sretirementin2011.Thefourthbrother,Yuiko(bornin1930),was
theproductionchiefandservedasvicepresidentfrom1991untilhisretirementin2014at
theageof84.
Kazuoworkedwith the companywell into his 80s to groomhis successorswhich
includedhiseldestsonaswellasthreenephews.InJune2015whenCasio’sprofithitanall-
timehigh,Kazuopromotedhis49-year-oldson,KazuhiroasthePresident,whilehehimself
servedasCasio’sexecutiveChairman.Byspring2019,Kazuowhoturned90andhasbeen
running Casio formore than30 years,has shownno signof disengagement fromCasio’s
management.12
The largest shareholder group in Casio is represented by financial institutions,
followedby foreign investors.Theownershipdilutionof the founding familywasadirect
11SeeCasiohistoryatthecompanywebsite,accessedonJanuary18,2018,https://www.casio.co.jp/company/history/.12ChangingoftheGuard:Casiopresidentsettohandreinstoson,NikkeiAsianReview,May12,2015,accessedonJanuary19,2018,https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Companies/Casio-president-set-to-hand-reins-to-son.
8
consequenceofCasio’srapidgrowthfinancedbyequitycapital.ThepresenceoftheKashio
foundersandheirs in thetopmanagementcadreofCasiohasnotbeenchallengedbythe
continuederosionoftheirequityownershipinthecompany,andpointstofamilyresources
playinganimportantroleinmaintainingcontrol.
2.2ToyotaMotorCorporation:Controlthroughgroupownershipandstrongfamilyassets
ToyotaMotorisoneoftheworld’slargestautomobilemanufacturers,withamarket
capitalizationatitspeakofUSD220billioninfiscalyear2015.TheToyotacaseillustrates
howcomplexownershipandmanagementstructuresoveragroupoffirmscanempowerthe
family - even when direct family ownership stakes are insignificant. Specifically, Toyota
MotorCompanysatattheapexoftheToyotaGroupwhichcomprisedanetworkofcompanies
connected to each other via cross-shareholdings and shared top executives from the
extendedToyodaclan.
Givenitssizeandstatusasamultinationalcorporation,aswellasextremelylowdirect
ownershipstakesofthefoundingfamily,Toyotadoesnotfitintotheconventionaldefinition
of family firms. Based onwidely accepted ownership thresholds (for e.g., 10% of voting
rights),Toyotawouldbedefinedasawidelyheldfirm.Table1showsToyota’stenlargest
shareholders at six points in time in the last 50 years. Almost none of its 10 largest
shareholdersheldmorethan5%ofoutstandingsharesfrom1950to2000.Toyota’slarge
shareholdersweremostly financial institutionsthatheldtheirshares forseveraldecades.
AmongthetopshareholdersisToyotaIndustriesCorporation,whichheldastakeof5.3%in
2000and6.6%in2015.SettingasidetheownershipinToyotaMotorbyToyotaIndustries,
thefamily’sdirectownershipstakeinToyotaMotorswasandremainsinsignificant.
Thegroupname,Toyota,wasderivedfromthefoundingfamilyname,Toyoda.13The
founderwasSakichiToyoda(1867–1930)whoestablishedToyotaIndustriesasasuccessful
loom maker. The second-generation patriarchy was handed to his adopted son-in-law,
Risaburo(born1884),whosebiologicalson,Kiichiro(born1894),wentontostartToyota
MotorCompanytomanufacturecarsin1937.ToyotaMotorwentthroughfinancialdifficulty
13Toyotahistory,Toyota’swebsite:http://www.toyotaglobal.com/showroom/emblem/history/
9
inthe1940sandeventuallywasonthebrinkofbankruptcyin1949.Themainhouse,Toyota
Industries, sent its president, Taizo Ishida, to rescue Toyota Motor. 14 Ishida, who had
inheritedthefounderspirit,actedasthefamily’scaretaker(Hino,2005).Followingthedeath
ofthetwoToyodabrothersinthesameyearin1952,IshidacontinuedrunningToyotauntil
1961,whilegroomingyoungEijiToyoda,thefounder’snephew,asthenextsuccessor.
EijiwasnamedasToyota’s5thPresidentin1967.HeledToyotaasthechairmanand
honorary advisor until his death in 2013 at the age of 100. During his helm, Eiji was
instrumental in transforming Toyota into the world’s top automobile company and
developedwhatbecameknownasthe“ToyotaProductionSystem”.
Toyota’s6thpresidentwasShoichiroToyoda,whowasthe firstsonofKiichiroand
thereforeadesignatedheirbybirth.Astheclan’spatriarch,hegroomedhisyoungerbrother,
Tatsuro, who was promoted to the presidency in 1991. Shoichiro remained as Toyota’s
executivechairmanduring1991-1999,andthenashonorarychairmanandaboardmember
until2009.ShoichiroalsosupervisedotherToyotagroupfirms,servingasAisin’sauditorand
Denso’sboarduntil2015whenheturned90yearsold.
Tatsuro,however,endedhistermshortlyin1995duetohealthproblems.Toyota’s
next threepresidentswere loyal employees (or sararimen)namelyHiroshiOkuda (1995-
1999),KatsuakiWatanabe(1999-2005),andFujioCho(2005-2009).Duringthishighgrowth
decade,Toyotalookedasifithadabsolutelytransformeditselftobecomeanon-familyfirm
runbyprofessionalmanagers.ThetwoToyodaseniors(EijiandShoichiro),however,had
continuedprovidingadviceoncorporatepolicies, inparticular installingToyodascions in
seniormanagementpositions.15Infact,bythistime,twooftheToyodafamilydescendents
werepromotedasToyotaMotor’sboardmembers.
AkioToyoda,theonlysonofShoichiro,wastoldbyhismothersincehewaslittlethat
14Toyotahistoryatthecompanywebsite.15 Family tensions and succession manoeuvring darken Toyota's top ranks, Sentaku, December 2016,accessedonJanuary18,2018,https://www.sentaku.co.jp/articles/view/16445.
10
“Onedayyou’llbepresident.”16ThefamilydreamcametrueinJune2009when49-yearsold
AkiowasnamedasToyotaMotor’s11thPresident.Hisappointmentcameontopofthelargest
recallscandal,Toyota’sworstcrisisinacentury.PerhapsthecompanyneededtheToyoda
nametosignalthatitwasreturningtoitsrootsandwouldrestorethevalues,qualityand
reputationuponwhichthebusinesswasfounded.
TopexecutivesbearingtheextendedToyodaname–uncles,nephews,andcousins
fromthethreefamilybranchesRisaburo,Eiji,andKiichiro–havealsoservedatkeyToyota
groupcompanies.ThreesonsfromtheEijibrnachhaverunothergroupfirmsaspresident
andchairmanfordecades.KanshiroheadedAisin,whileTetsurohasbeeninchargeofToyota
Industries since 2005. The youngest brother, Shuhei, took the leadership at automotive
componentmanufacturerandgroupmemberfirmToyotaBoshokuCorporation(Bennedsen,
Henry,andWiwattanakantang,2016),servingasitsChairmansince2015.
TheToyotagroupillustratesthatthefoundingfamily’scorporatecontrolcanbemuch
more than the size of the family ownership stake alone would warrant. Backed by the
ownershipstakesofthememberfirmsbelongingtotheToyotagroup,managementcontrol
by the Toyoda clan continues unimpeded to present day. Furthermore, the case also
illustratesthattimegapsbetweencapablefamilyleadersareoftenfilledoutbylongserving
employeesthatareloyaltothefamily.
2.3SuzukiMotorCorporation:Controlthroughadultadoptions
SuzukiMotoroffersaninterestingcasethatchallengestheconventionalwisdomoffamily
control.Eversinceitwentpublicinin1949,thefoundingfamilyhasneverbeenlistedamong
the top ten shareholders. Suzuki’s largest shareholders have been banks and insurance
companiesthathavehelditssharesfordecades.
SuzukiMotor,amajorglobalmanufacturerofsmallcars,wasestablishedbyMichio
Suzuki in 1909. Osamu Suzuki, the current patriarch of the Suzuki family, assumed the
16 Jason Clenfield and Yuki, Doubting Toyota Prince Defeats Crisis to Prove Self Wrong: Cars, Bloomberg,November21,2013,accessedonJanuary18,2018,http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-20/doubting-toyota-prince-defeats-crisis-to-prove-self-wrong-cars.html.
11
leadershippositionin1978.Osamu’sentryintotheSuzukifamilycameaboutcourtesyofhis
marriagetotheeldestdaughterofSuzuki’s2ndPresident,ShunzoSuzuki.Osamuadoptedthe
SuzukisurnameandbeganworkingatSuzukiin1958androsethroughtherankstosenior
management positions. In 1978 when Chairman Shunzo passed away and Suzuki’s 3rd
President,JitsujiroSuzuki,hadhealthproblems,OsamuwaspromotedasthePresidentatthe
ageof48.LikeOsamu,histwopredecessors,ShunzoandJitsujiro,werealsothefounder’s
adoptedsons-in-lawwhotookontheSuzukinameaftermarriage.
Osamufollowedhis family traditionwhenplanning forsuccessionbygroominghis
son-in-law(HirotakaOno)forPresidentbutunfortunately,Onodiedofcancerin2007atthe
youngageof52.17In2008,partlytocopewiththefinancialcrisis,Osamu,aged78atthetime,
assumed the firm’s toppositionsas combinedPresident/CEO/Chairman. In2015,his55-
years old eldest son, Toshihiro Suzuki, was appointed as the President, while Osamu
continuedservingaschairmanandhasshowednosignsofretiringevenasheturned88years
oldin2018.
To sum, the three cases described above illustrate some common themes: First,
Japanese families often retain control over corporations founded by them even without
materialownershipstakes.Second,theheadofthefirmoftenservesinthejointconsolidated
positionsofchairmanoftheboardandtheCEOorpresidency.Third,controlissustainedover
timethroughcrossownershipandtheuseofspecificgovernancemechanismssuchastrusted
sarariman as CEOs during timeswhen there are no suitable familymembers, or adoptee
candidates, to run the firm.These casesmotivateour focusonseparatingownershipand
controlinthefollowinganalysisandinunderstandingtheroleoffinancialconstraintsand
familyassetsindeterminingthetemporalvariationsinfamilyownershipandcontrol.
17Reuters,“SuzukiMotorExec,CEO'sson-in-lawDiesat52,”December13,2007,accessedonJanuary29,2018,https://www.reuters.com/article/suzuki-obit/suzuki-motor-exec-ceos-son-in-law-dies-at-52-idUST4050820071213.
12
3. DataSourcesandDescriptiveStatistics
Westartourdatasetconstructionbyincludingallcompaniesthatwentpublicinthe1949-
2000period.Weexcludeasmallnumberofthefirmswherefinancialorownershipdataare
missing.Thefinalsamplecoversalmosttheentireuniverseofpubliclistedfirmsinpost-war
Japan.
Toidentifyfamilyfirms,wefollowtheprocedureandthedatasetusedbyMehrotraet
al(2013).WeextendtheirsampleastheirsonlyincludesfirmsthatwentIPOpriorto1970.
OurextensioncoversIPOsthrough2000.OwnershipdataarefromtheDevelopmentBankof
Japandatabasefor1981through2000,asareouraccountingdatafrom1962through2000.
TheToyoKeizaidatabaseprovidesinformationonstockpricesandboardcompositionfrom
1989through2000.Forprioryearsandmissingdata,Mehrotraetal(2013)constructedthe
databyhand-collectingownership,boardstructureandfinancialdatafromhardcopyannual
reportsavailableattheInstituteofInnovationResearchofHitotsubashiUniversity.
Ownershipdatadisclosedinannualreportsinclude:(1)thestakeofeachofthetop
tenshareholders,(2)thecombinedstakeofallbanksandotherfinancialsectorfirms,and(3)
the combined stake of all other firms. Board data include detailed information on each
director’seducation(almamater,majorandgraduationyear),birthdate,yearinitiallyhired,
yearappointedtotheboard,yearmadepresident(shacho)orChairman(kaicho),andprior
workexperience.
We identify each firm’s founder by consulting the following sources: (1)
commemorative volumes (shashi) celebrating company anniversaries, (2) Toyokeizai
Shimposha(1995),(3)NihonKeizaiShimbun(2004)and(4)companywebsites.Toidentify
relationships within the founding family, we use various Japanese language sources: (1)
TokiwaShoin(1977)providesthefamilytreesof1002businessleaders,(2)aseriesofbooks
publishedbyZaikaiKenkyusho(1979,1981,1982,1983,1985)providesthenamesoffamily
membersof theboardsof listed firms,and(3)asetof thirty-eightNihonKeizaiShimbun
(2004)volumesprovidesthebiographiesof243prominentpost-warbusinessleaders.
13
Additionalinformationonfamilyrelationshipsisobtainedfromthefollowingsources:
Japanese equivalents of Who’s Who published by Jinjikoshinjo, the Nikkei Telecom 21
database of corporate news items published from 1975 onwards in the Nikkei group of
newspapers(NihonKeizaiShimbun,theNikkeiBusinessDaily,theNikkeiFinancialDailyand
the Nikkei Marketing Journal), company archives, Koyano (2007) and website searches.
Usingallthisinformation,weannotatefamilytreeswiththenamesandbusinessrolesofall
members of each firm’s founding family. This information lets us identify each firm’s
founder(s)andultimateowners,andascertaineachCEO/Chairman’srelationship,ifany,to
thefoundingfamilybyblood,marriage,oradoption.
Wedefinefamilyfirmsusingbothownershipandmanagementinformation.Onthe
ownership side we will in most of our analyses define a family firm as one where the
aggregated familyownership isat least5%.Familyownership ismeasuredasbothdirect
ownership by family members and indirect ownership through family foundations and
companies controlled by the family. Our ownership data contains the largest ten
shareholders for each firm in each year. It is therefore theoretically possible that we
underestimate family ownership in situationwhere there are family owners that are not
amongthelargesttenshareholders.Inalmostallcases,thenumber10thlargestshareholder
ownslessthan2%oftheshares,wellbelowourthresholdof5%.Thuswebelievethatthe
potentialerrorinourcategorizationissmall.
Figure2 shows the listingofnew firmsonall fourmajor Japaneseexchanges (the
Tokyo,Nagoya,FukuokaandOsakastockexchanges)inthepost-warperiod,spanning1949-
2000.Wenoticeaspikein1949whentheTokyoStockExchange(TSE)andtheOsakaStock
Exchange(OSE)reopenedafterthewar,andthenagainin1961-62,whenthesecondtierof
the TSEwas opened.We also see a spate of new family firms listings in the late 1990s,
coincidingwithsignsofrenewed,thoughultimatelybrief,lifeintheNikkeiIndex.Wedivide
thefirmsintothosethatwerelistedbyindividualsorfamilies(familyfirms)andthosethat
werelistedbyotherentitiessuchascorporations(non-familyfirms).Inmostofthefollowing
analysiswewillfocusontheformergroupandexaminehowownershipandmanagement
evolveovertime.
14
Table2providesdescriptivestatisticforthefirmsinoursample.Itreportsthemean,
standarddeviation,minimumandmaximumforall30,138firm-yearobservations.Wehave
groupedthevariables intothethreecategories thatwefocuson inthe followinganalysis:
FinanceVariables,FamilyVariablesandControlVariables.Financevariablesincludethose
thatarerelatedtotheneedforcapitalandthusprovidetestsoftheextenttowhichfinance
can explain the evolution of ownership and control.We find that averageROA is 4.75%,
similartothevalueof4.64%documentedinMehrotraetal(2013)andcomparabletothe
figureof3.1%documented foramore recentperiod (1986-2000) inDeliosandBeamish
(2005)basedonJapanesemultinationalfirms.ThemeanTobin’sQratiois1.5,similartothe
valuedocumentedinMehrotraetal(2013)–thecorrespondingQ-ratioforthe1986-2000is
1.30inDeliosandBeamish(2005).Themeanvolatilityofindustrysalesis20.7.Themean
firmsizeinnaturallogis17.345andequals¥34billion.Themeanleverage(basedonthe
long-termdebttoassetsratio)is0.20.Equityissuancehappensonaveragein17.4%ofthe
firmyears,correspondingtoafrequencyofapproximatelyonceeverysixyears.Themean
foreign ownership is 1.02% of outstanding shares, lower than themore recent figure of
11.8%byForeignInstitutionalInvestorsreportedinMiyajimaandHoda(2015).
Thefamilyvariablesareourproxiesforintangiblefamilyassets.Tomeasurefamily
legacyweemployanindicatorvariablethatcapturesifthefirmnameisrelatedtothefamily
name,whichoccursinroughlyone-thirdofthesample(seeBelenzon,ChatterjiandDaley,
2017).Ourproxiesforfamilyresourcesarethepresenceoffamilymembersontheboardof
thecompany,aswellasthepresenceoffamilymemberswitheliteeducationontheboard18.
Alittlemorethan28%offirmshaveafamilymemberontheirboard,while24%offirms
haveamemberwithEliteeducationontheboard,indicatingthatmostfamilymembersthat
serveonthefirm’sboardshaveEliteeducation.
The next variable in this set is stable ownership, defined as the percentage of
shareholdingsbythetop10shareholderswhohaveheldthefirm’ssharesforatleastfive
consecutiveyears.Wesubmitthatstableownershipindicatesthepresenceoffriendlyblock-
18WefollowMehrotraetal(2013)indefiningEliteeducationasadegreefromoneofTop5nationaluniversitiesinJapan.
15
holders.Theaverageshareofstableownershipis24%,whichisaround10%morethanthe
averagefamilyownership.Wenotethatstableownershipmayalsoproxyforentrenchment,
andrecognizethatassuch,itseffectonfirmvaluemaybeambiguous.
Finally, we have a group of control variables that are hypothesized to influence
ownershipandcontrolbutdonotidentifyclearlyasFinanceorFamilyAssets–theseareleft
asControlvariables.TheaverageCEOageiscloseto60years.OnaverageCEOshavebeenin
their position for 12 years and 23% of them have an education from an elite Japanese
university.Wefindthatthemeanfamilyownershipis14%.Whentherearemanyelitenon-
familymembersontheboard,weconjecturethatthereisanimpendingtransitionawayfrom
thefamily.Theaveragenumberofelitenon-familymembersontheboardofdirectorsis0.8.
4.Evolutionoffamilycontrolandfamilyownership
Inthissectionwecategorizefamilyfirmsbasedonownershipthresholdsandmanagement
control and describe the evolution of eachover time.We then explore factors that affect
families’attritionofownershipandlossofmanagementcontrol–thesefactorsincludeboth
FinanceandFamilyvariablesasdiscussedaboveinsection3.
4.1 Categorisingfamilyfirmsaccordingtoownershipthresholdsandmanagementcontrol
We begin the analysis by categorising publicly traded Japanese firms into four groups
according to the size of familyownership and the presence of the founding family in top
management.Ontheownershipsideitiscommontouseparticularownershipthreholdsto
definefamilyfirms.Asdiscussedabove,commoncut-offlevelsintheliteratureare5%,10%
and20%ownership.19Wegowith the lowest cut-off, and repeatall ourtestswithhigher
thresholds as robustness checks.20With respect tomanagementwe define family control
basedonwhethertheCEOposition (thePresidentposition inmost Japanese firms inour
19InJapanthiscorrespondsexactlywithvotingrightsshareaswellsincedualvotingsharesarenotpermitted,andverticalpyramidalownershipstructuresarerare.20Sincetheresultsdonotchangequalitativelyweonlypresenttablesusingthe5%threshold.Resultsusinghigherownershipthresholdsareavailablefromtheauthorsuponrequest.
16
sample)isoccupiedbyamemberofthefoundingfamily.Basedontheabovedualscreens,we
definethefourtypesoffirmsasfollows.
Type 1 firms are the classical closely-controlled family firms where the family’s
ownershipstakeisabovethecut-offlevelandafoundingfamilymemberservesastheCEOof
thefirm.Type2firmsarethosewherethefamilyownershipisbelowthecut-offlevel,buta
familymembernonethelessservesastheCEO.Insection2wesawthatthiswasindeedthe
case for the families behind Toyota, Casio and Suzuki.Type 3 firms are thosewhere the
family’sownershipstake is above the cut-off level,but theCEOposition isoccupiedbya
sararimanCEO.21Type4 categorizesex-family firms,wherethe familyownership isbelow
thecut-offlevelandthefamilynolongerholdsthetopmanagementposition.Itisimportant
tonotethatType4firmswerefamilyfirmsattheIPOdateinoursample.
4.2 Evolutionoffamilyownershipandfamilycontrol
PanelAinFigure3describesthedistributionoffirmsacrossthefourtypesinIPOtime.Atthe
endoftheIPOyear,morethan85%ofthenewlylistedfirmsarecategorizedasType1where
thefamilycontrolstopmanagementandhassignificantownership.Ittakesalmost20years
aftertheIPOtoreduceType1firmstolessthan50%ofalllistedfirms.Itisremarkablethat
theshareofType2firmswithfamilymanagementandnosignificantownershipincreasesin
IPO time.At the IPO timeType2 firmsare rare,but10yearsafter the IPO,Type2 firms
accountformorethan10%ofallfirms,andafter20yearstheyrepresentalmostoneoutof
fivelistedfirms–thisfractionismaintainedfortheremainderofthe50-yearpost-IPOperiod.
Type 3 firms (significant familyownershipwith non-family CEO) show themost stability
followingIPO,varyingbetween10%and15%ofall firmsoverthe50years followingthe
firm’sIPO.Ittakesmorethan10yearsforType4firms(ex-familyfirms)toreachalevelof
10%ofalllistings.Twenty-fiveaftertheIPO,almostoneinfourlistedfirmsisclassifiedas
Type4firms.
21Sarariman,aJapaneseterm,connotesacompanyemployeewhoworksforsalary–weusethetermtodenoteprofessionalmanagersunrelatedtothefoundingfamily.
17
Aswearguedearlier,when family firmsaredefinedbasedonownershipalone, all
Type2 firms riskbeingmis-categorisedasnon-family firms.PanelA showed thatType2
representsalargegroupoffirmsevenwhenweuseanownershipthresholdof5%.Themis-
categorizationisobviouslyevenlargerwhenahigherownershipcut-offisapplied.Weshow
thisinPanelBwhereweapplya20%ownershipcut-off.Notsurprisingly,theshareofType
1firmsdeclinesrelativelyfastervis-à-visPanelA.After10years,Type1firmsrepresent33%
ofalllistings,almosthalfasbigastheirshareunderthe5%ownershipthreshold.After25
yearsType1firmsrepresentonly1in10ofthesample,vs.40%inPanelA.Ontheotherhand,
asexpectedwiththehigherthreshold,Type2firmsaremorecommoninallyearsfollowing
theIPO.After12yearstheshareofType2firmsamonglistedfirmsiscloseto50%.
Wehave alreadynoted that if ownershipalone isusedto identify family control, a
significantunder-reportingbiasagainstfamilyfirmsresults.Anadditionalsourceofpotential
biasincountingfamilycontrolamonglistedfirmscomesfromignoringnewlistingsandde-
listings from theexchange.Toaddress thisbias,weexpand the sample toall listed firms,
includingthosethatwerenotfamilyfirmsatthetimeoftheIPO.Wecallthemneverfamily
firmstodistinguishthemfromType4(ex-family)firms.Were-plotfigure3incalendartime
withthenewdata,firstusinga5%ownershipcut-offlevelandpresenttheplotinfigure4.
Wefindthat, first, theshareofnever-family firmsamong listed firmsdeclinesover
time.Inthe1950s,itwasmorethan70%,inthe60sand70sitwasmorethan50%andinthe
late90sitfelltolessthan40%.Asignificantjumpinthefractionoffamily-controlledfirms
occursintheearly1960s,withtheopeningofthesecondtieroftheTokyoStockExchange
whentheshareofType1firmsalmostdoublesto30%ofalllistedfirms(andstaysatthis
levelthroughtheendof2000).TheshareofType2firmshasbeenstablearound10%over
mostof the last50yearswithaslightdeclinein thelate90s.Bycomparison, theshareof
familyowned,butprofessionallymanaged,firms(Type3firms)hasbeenincreasingovertime
andrepresentsaround15%ofalllistedfirmsintheyear2000–thismarkstheextentofthe
ChandlertransformationamongJapaneselistedfirms.Finally,andnotsurprisingly,theshare
offormerfamilyfirms(Type4firms)hasalsoincreasedovertimeasfirmsageandfamilies
sellout.
18
InFigure4PanelBwerepeattheexerciseusinga20%ownershipcut-off.Whereas
the share of firms thatwerenever family firms is by definition unchanged,we see a few
interestingvariationsacrosstheothertypes:TheshareofType1firmsdropsto20%inthe
late90swhiletheshareofType2firmsismuchlarger–notethatthesearethefirmsmost
likelytobemis-classifiedasnon-familyfirmsundertheownershipthresholdcriterion.Not
surprisingly,therearealsofewerType3firmsandmoreType4firms.Thisexerciseshows
thetwindangersofusinghigherownershipcut-offsaswellasignoringfamilymanagement
whendefiningfamilyfirms.Thismis-categorizationismaterial.Ifa20%ownershipcut-off
levelisused,morethan20%ofalllistedfirmsinthelastfiftyyearsarecategorizedasnon-
familyfirmsevenwhenafamilymemberservesastheCEO.CountingType1,2and3firmsas
familyfirms,wefindthatapproximatelyfouroutoftenlistedfirmsinJapanqualifyasfamily
firms.Thisnumberhasbeenrelativestablesincethe1960s.Weconcludethatfamiliescontrol
asignificantfractionofpublictradedJapanesefirms,eitherthroughownership,and/orvia
topmanagement.
4.3 Transitionacrossfamilyfirmtypes
AswehaveseeninFigure3,intheyearsaftertheirIPO,alargeshareoffamilyfirms
eitherloosentheircontroloverownership,ortheircontrolovermanagement.Whereasthe
figureprovidesageneralpictureoftransition,itisnotacompletepictureofthepathtowards
exitfromcontrol.Tocomplementthefigure,Table3providesthetransitionmatrixofhow
familyfirmsmovebetweendifferentcategories.Wefindconsiderablemovementacrossthe
fourfirmtypesinourdataset.Wedefinesucheventsasexitswhentheyareassociatedwith
eitheralossofexecutivepositionbyafamilymemberwiththeincomingCEObeingunrelated
tothefoundingfamily,orinvolvethefamilyownershipdecliningtoinsignificantlevels,or
both.Fore.g.,whenafamilyrelinquishesownership,butretainscontrolinanexecutiveoffice,
we have a transition going from Type 1 to Type 2. Retaining ownership but hiring a
professionalCEOresultsinatransitionfromType1toType3firm.Sellingoutcompletely
withnomanagementroleresultsinatransitiontoType4.
Table3,PanelAdescribesfirmsoriginatingasType1firms,PanelBdescribesfirms
originatingasType2firms,andPanelCdescribesfirmsoriginatingasType3firms.PanelA
19
showsthatthemostcommonexitforType1familyfirmsisfrommanagement;thismarksa
transitionwhereafamilyCEOisreplacedwithasararimanCEO(ornon-familyCEO).These
transitionsaccountforalittleoversixoutoftenexitsforType1firms.Morethanthreeout
oftenexits(36%)involvethefamily’sownershipshrinkingbelowthe5%thresholdwhile
retainingmanagement(exitfromType1toType2firms).Interestinglyonly3%ofexitsfrom
Type1firmsaretoType4firms,underscoringthelimitationofrelyingonalossofownership
andmanagementasthedefiningfeatureofexitsbyfamilyfirms.
PanelBdescribestheexitpathforType2firms.Notsurprisingly,100%ofexitsareto
Type4firm,essentiallynotingthatforfamilymanaged(butnotowned)firms,exitinvolves
thelossofmanagementbutnogainofownership.Similarly,panelCdescribesthetransition
pathforType3firms.Wenoticethatthattherearetwotypesoftransitionshere.Firstthere
is thetransitionwhere firmsreplacetheprofessionalmanagerwitha familymemberand
thusgofromType3backtoType1.Thesetransitionssuggestthatfamiliessometimesuse
professional managers as placeholders before ready and capable heirs re-position
themselvesinmanagementroles.Second,andslightlymorefrequently,thefamilygivesup
theownershipofthefirmandmovestoType4.
5.Determinantsoftheevolutionofownershipandmanagement
In this section we analyse factors that influence the evolution of family ownership and
management.Theaimistounderstandwhysomefamiliesendupwithmanagementcontrol
withoutownership(Type2firmsinourclassification);somefamiliesretainownershipand
either keepmanagement control (Type 1 firms) or professionalizemanagement (Type 3
firms);whileothersexitbothontheownershipandthemanagementside(Type4firms).The
existing literaturehas focusedon financialneedsandconstraintsaskeydeterminants for
ownershipdilutionthatwouldberelevantintransitionsfromType1toType2,Type1to
Type4,andType3toType4transitionsthatinvolvealossofmaterialownership
Weshowthatinadditiontofinancialconstraints,relation-specificfamilyassetsare
equallyimportantfactorsinexplainingtheevolutionoffamilyownershipandcontrol.Inthe
20
following subsections we first analyse ownership dilution alone since the literature has
focused on this variable. We provide a cross-sectional analysis of the determinants of
ownershipdilutioninIPOtime,andrepeattheexercisewithanovelmeasureofownership
dilutionbasedontheconceptofhalf-livesdenotingthetimeforownershiptodecaytohalf
its level.We then investigate the twin questions ofwhy firms relinquishmanagement to
outsiders (the Chandlerian professionalization of management), and how families retain
control overmanagement despite having little share ownership.We end this section by
analysingdeterminantsoffamilyexitsfrombothownershipandmanagement.
5.1Univariatedifferencesacrossfamilyfirmtypes
Table4providesfirmyearmeanstatisticforthefourtypesoffirms.Wegroupourvariables
into three categories: Financial variables, family variables and control variables.We have
30,138firmyearswhichinclude14,697Type1firmyears,4,606Type2firmyears,and3,821
Type3firmyears(therestareType4firmyears).Thetablebeginsbyprovidingthemeanof
allvariablesforthevariousfirmtypesandfollowsthisbyprovidingmeandifferencesacross
pairtypes.Fore.g.,thecolumntitledType3-4(readasType3minus4)isthemeandifference
forthevariablebetweenType3andType4firms.
We begin by comparingmean statistics for the financial variables. Looking at the
relationship between family control and operating performance we find that family
ownership on average is correlated with higher accounting performance measured as
operatingreturnoverassets(ROA).ROAforType1firmsisthehighestat5.3%,vs.3.4%for
Type4firms.Type2andType3firmsareinthemiddlewithROAsof4.2%and4.7%.The
pairwisedifferencesacrosseachcategoryarestatisticallysignificant.However,valuations,
basedonQ-ratios,arenotstatisticallydistinguishableacrossthefirmtypes.Likewise,there
islittlevariationamongthefourgroupswhenwelookatthevolatilityofindustrysales.In
general,familyownedfirms(Type1andType3)aresmallerthanType2andType4firms.
Thatisonlynaturalsincefamilyownershipdilutioniscorrelatedwithassetgrowth.Wealso
noticethatinfirmswherefamiliesretainbothmanagementaswellasownership,financial
leverageislowervis-à-visfirmswherethefamilyhaslowerownershipand/ornoexecutive
positions.Lowerfamilyownershipiscorrelatedpositivelywithfirmage–Type4andType2
21
firmstendtobeolderthanType1andType3firms.Foreignownershiptendstobelowacross
alltypesoffirms.SharesheldbyforeignersarethehighestforType4firms,buteventhere
meanownershipbyforeignersislessthan2%.Comparisonswithotherstudiesaremuddied
by the fact that we do not look at non-family firms in our study, which may attract
disproportionateinvestmentfromforeigners.
Next,wefocusonvariableswewilluseasproxiesforfamilyassets.Byconstruction,
theshareoffamilyownershipissignificantlyhigherforType1andType3firmsthanforthe
othertwotypes.Moreinterestingly,familyownershipandinvolvementarehigherinLegacy
firms that share theirnameswith the founding family.Type1 firmsaremore likely tobe
LegacyfirmscomparedtoType2andType4firms,indicatingareluctanceoflegacyheirsto
disengagefromtheirfirms.Forthesamereason,bothType2andType3firmsaremorelikely
tobeLegacyfirmscomparedtoType4firms.Type2andType3firmsaremorelikelytohave
a family member on their board vis-à-vis Type 4 firms; they are also more likely to be
graduates of Elite universities in Japan. These two results point to the unique resources
families bring to the board – when these are not in evidence, the family’s departure is
hastened.ItisworthnoticingthatType2firmsaremorelikelytohaveelitefamilymembers
ontheirboardsthanType1andType3firms.Thisisconsistentwiththeideathatstronger
familyassetsempowerfamiliestocontrolfirmsevenwhentheirownershipstakesaresmall.
Finally,wefocusonthesetofcontrolvariables.Type1firmshavetheyoungestalbeit
longest-servingCEOs,whileCEOsofType4firmshavetheshortesttenuresandtendtobe
the oldest. Type 2 andType 3 firms are situated in themiddle.We note that ownership
bestowsexecutiverolesatanearlyageandtendstobeassociatedwithlongtenureswhenthe
CEOisanheirofthefoundingfamily.WheretheCEOisasarariman,tenuresareshorter,and
suchapositioncomesatamoreadvancedage.ItisalsoclearthatfamilyCEOs(Type1and2)
arelesslikelytohaveeducationfromeliteuniversitiesrelativetonon-familyCEOs(Type3
and4).
22
5.2Determinantsofownershipdilution
Westartbygraphingmeanandmedianfamilyownershipfollowingtheexchangelistingin
Figure5.Attheendofthelistingyear,familyownershipaveragesabout35%.Whiledirect
comparisonwith other countries aremuddied bymeasurement issues, we note that the
ownershipofsharesbyfamilyinthesampleofsell-outsstudiedbyKlasa(2007)is36%,and
ownershipbyCEOs(officersandboardmembers)intheyearoftheIPOis16%(44%).By
year5,meanownershipdeclinesto26.6%,andbyyear10,itis19.6%.Twentyyearsafter
IPO,averageownershipdeclinesfurtherto12.4%,andafterthirtyyears,itis8.9%.Median
ownershipissignificantlysmallerinallyearsindicatingthatthereisagroupoffirmsthat
keeparelativelyhighfamilyownershipforalongertimeafterIPO.
Themodelweusetostudythedeterminantsofpost-IPOownershipdecayisgivenin
equation(1).!",$isthefamilyownershipinfirmiandattimet,x’sareexplanatoryvariablessuchasROA,Q-ratio,Familylegacy,Stableownership,z’sarecontrolvariablessuchasfirm
age,CEOage,CEOtenureandCEOeliteness.a’sandb’sarecoefficientestimates,c1’sarefixed
yeareffects,ande’srepresenterrorterms.Weclusterstandarderrorsatthefirmlevel,and
includefixedyeareffectsinallregressionspecifications.
%&,' = ∑ *++ ,+,&,' + ∑ .// 0/,&,' + 123' + 4&,' Eq.[1]
InTable5PanelAwepresentthefirstresultsonownershipdecay.InColumn1we
testtheFinanceexplanationsforownershipdecay.First,weexpectmoreprofitablefirmsto
retainfamilyownershipforalongerperiod,whilefirmsthatneedexternalfinancefacefaster
ownershipdecay.WefindthatROAandTobin’sQarebothhighlypositivelycorrelatedwith
family ownership, confirming that families tend tomaintain controlovermore profitable
firms.Firmsinindustrieswithhighervolatilityofsaleshavesmallerfamilyownershipstakes.
Letting industry volatility of sales be a measure of competition, this is consistent with
competitiveindustrieshasteningtheexitoffamilyownership.Largerfirmsandfirmswith
23
higherlevelsofleveragehavelowerlevelsoffamilyownership.Thisisconsistentwiththe
ideathatfirmswithhigherleverageandgreaterpastgrowth(resultingincurrentlargersize)
havelowerfamilyownership.Similarly,firmsthathaveissuedequityinthepriortwoyears
areassociatedwithfasterownershipdecayduetothedilutiveeffectsoftheequityoffering.
Overall our results confirm the importance of Finance in explaining the dynamics of
ownershipinthepost-IPOperiod,andareconsistentwiththenarrativeandresultsinRajan
andZingales(1996).
Inallregressionswecontrolforfirmage,theageandtenureoftheCEO,andtheelite-
nessof theCEO,measuredasan indicatorvariable if theCEOhasadegree fromanelite
university.InallTableswefindthatfirmage,CEOageandhavingeliteCEOsarecorrelated
withlowerlevelsoffamilyownershipwhileCEOtenureispositivelycorrelated.Thelatter
canbeexplainedbythefactthatfamilyCEOsingeneralhavelongertenurethannon-family
CEOsandthathavingafamilyCEOiscorrelatedwithlargerfamilyownership.
Column2analyses the importanceof familyassets inexplainingownershipdecay.
First,weaffirmtheimportanceoffamilylegacy–firmseponymouswiththefoundingfamily
tendtohavehigherfamilyownership.Second,thepresenceoffamilymembersonthefirm’s
boardisassociatedwithhigherfamilyownership,asisthepresenceoffamilymembersfrom
EliteUniversities.Bycontrast,thepresenceofElitenon-familymembersonthefirm’sboard
isassociatedwithalowerleveloffamilyownership.Stableownership,whichwedefineas
sharesheldbygroupfirmsthathavenotchangedhandsinthelastfiveyears,isassociated
withhigherfamilyownership.Alltheseresultsarestronglysignificantinstatisticalterms.
ThesplitbetweenfinanceandfamilyvariablesinColumn1and2makesitpossibleto
doahorse racebetween the twoexplanations.Wedo thisby comparing thevariation in
familyownership that eachof the twomodels canexplainasmeasuredby thepseudoR2
statistic.ItisinterestingtonotethattheexplanatorypowerofthefamilymodelinColumn2
ishigher(PseudoR2=34.1)thanforthefinancemodel(PseudoR2=20.7).
Column3estimatesthedecayinownershipaddingbothfinancialandfamilyvariables
in the samemodel. This only has amarginal impact on the coefficients. For the financial
24
constraintswenoticethattheresultsarealmostidenticaltowhenwerunthefinancialmodel
without the familyvariable.For the familyvariables,wealsonotice that all variablesare
significantinstatisticallytermsandhavethesamesignasinColumn2.
Overall,we find support forboth familyaswell financevariables inexplaining the
cross-sectionalvariationinfamilyownership.Whiletheroleoffinancehasbeenexplicitly
noted in the literature, our results point to the hitherto overlooked importance of family
assetsindeterminingthedynamicnatureoffamilyownership.
InPanelB,we repeat the regressionsusingownershiphalf-livesas thedependent
variable.Wedefineownershiphalf-lifeasthetimeinwhichfamilyownershipdeclinestohalf
itsvalueatthatpointintime(measuredinpost-IPOyears).
LetownershipatanytimetbeWt,withinitialownership=W0
Assumingadecayingownershipfunction,thehalf-life,5,attimetiscalculatedasfollows:
5=t1/2=t.log(2)/log(W0/Wt) Eq.[2]
Totestthevariationinhalf-lifeacrosstimewereplacetheactualownershiplevelwith
thehalf-lifemeasuredefinedaboveinEquation(1).ResultsareprovidedinTable5PanelB.
TheyareingeneralverysimilartotheresultsinTable5PartA.Column1showsthatfinancial
constraintsmatter.First,ROAisassociatedwithlongerhalf-livesforownership,indicating
thatalossofprofitabilityisanimportantdriverofownershipdilution.However,Tobin’sQis
notsignificantlyrelatedtoownershipdecay;neither is thevolatilityof the firm’s industry
sales.Second,bothfirmsizeandleveragearecorrelatedwithshorterhalftimes,confirming
thattheneedforfinance(tosupportgrowth)isakeyfactorforownershipdilution.Third,
foreign ownership is negatively correlated with ownership half-lives, indicating that
foreignerstendtobeassociatedwithfasterdecayoffamilyownership.Equityissuancehas
noimpactonthehalf-lifeofownershipdecay–notethatthisisakeyFinancevariablesince
25
it implies thatownershipdilution ishastenedvia saleof equity tooutsiders.Thehalf-life
resultsdonotsupportsucharoleforFinance.
Column 2 presents a model based on proxies for family assets. Family legacy
(measuredaseponymous firmsandfamilies) isstronglypositivelycorrelatedwith longer
half-lives,affirmingourconjecturethatfamilylegacytendstoprolongfamilycontrol.Family
and Elite Family members on the board and business networks (measured by stable
ownership) are also positively correlatedwith longer half-lives. Finally having elite non-
familymembersoftheboardisnegativelycorrelatedwithhalf-lives.Theseresultsportray
the followingpicture–ownershipdecay ishastenedby thepresenceof smartnon-family
membersonthefirm’sboardandretardedbythepresenceofsmartfamilymembersonthe
firm’sboardandbytheimportancefamiliesplaceonlegacy.Allfamilyassetsvariablesare
statisticallysignificantatconventionallevels.
Column3presentstheresultsofincludingbothfinancialandfamilyvariablesinthe
samemodel.TheresultsaresimilartothepartialanalysisinColumn1and2.Forthefinancial
variableswenoticethatthecoefficientshaveverysimilarsizeandstatisticalsignificance.For
thefamilyvariables,wenotethatEliteNon-familymembersontheboardlosessignificance
bothineconomicandstatisticalterms.Fortheothervariableswenoticeamarginalincrease
inthestrengthofthecoefficients.Inallthreecolumnswenoticethatolderfirms,olderCEOs
andCEOElitenessincreasethespeedofownershipdecay.
To sum, Table 5 shows that family ownership decay over time is related to both
financial needs and the strength of family assets. Relative to existing literature we have
documentedthatintangiblefamilyassetsareimportantfactorsinunderstandinghowand
whenfamiliesexittheirownershipstakes.
5.3Determinantsofprofessionalization
InTable6,weanalyse thedeterminantsof familiesexiting frommanagementof the firm
whileretainingownership–theso-calledprofessionalizationofmanagementtalkedabout
by Chandler (1977). Strong family assets leverage the value of family management
(Bennedsenetal2014).Thus,thelossoffamilyassetsinbusinessfamiliesshouldpredictthat
26
familiesaremorelikelytoprofessionalizethefamilyfirm.Bycontrast,inthetransitionfrom
Type1toType3,ownershipremainsunchanged.Hence,wepredictthatfamilyassetsproxies
aremoreimportantthanfinancialvariablesinunderstandingthetransitionfromType1to
Type3.
This is to a large extent confirmed in Table 6,Model 1,with two exceptions. First
accountingperformanceisnegativelycorrelatedwithprofessionalization.Thisisconsistent
withthe ideathatacrisis isoftenthetrigger for implementingprofessionalization.When
profits are strong, it is easier to postpone the decision to give up the private benefits
associatedwithrunningthefirm.However,whendeficitsaccumulate,thepressuretobring
in professional managers increases. Second, we also note that more valuable firms are
correlatedwithtransitiontoprofessionalmanagement.
InModel 2we again focus on family variables. First, we notice that strong family
ownershipmakesprofessionalizationmorelikely.Thisisconsistentwiththeideathatthe
familiesretainsufficientpowerviaownershiptodelegatemanagementdecisionswithoutthe
fearoflosingcontrol.Wealsonotethesignificantinfluenceoffamilymembersontheboard
of the firm.Thus,when the family is able to controlprofessionalmanagers through their
board presence, it is also easier to embark on a professionalization path. Finally, stable
ownershipisnegativelycorrelatedwithprofessionalization.Thisisconsistentwiththeview
thatnewownersandchangesinthedistributionofownershipmayincreasethepressureon
familytogiveupthemanagementposition,whilestableownershippreservesthestatusquo.
With respect to the controlvariableswenotice thatbothCEOageandCEO tenure
(whicharecorrelated)arepositivelycorrelatedwithprofessionalization.Thus,olderCEOs
aremorelikelytoretire,andthismaybethetimingforwhichthefamilydecidestoputanew-
nonfamilyCEO.
InModel3weaddbothfinancialandfamilyvariablesinthesamemodel.Theresults
are similar but emphasize the importance of family variables for understanding the
professionalizationprocess.Wenoticethatfirmageisnotstatisticallysignificantanymore.
It appears that only ROA and firm value from the set of finance variables correlatewith
27
professionalization.Ontheotherhand,wefindthathavingelitenon-familymembersonthe
boardincreasestheoddsofreplacingthefamilyCEOwithanoutsider.Overall,theresults
affirmtheimportanceoffamilyassetsinadditiontotheroleplayedbyfinanceindetermining
theoddsofprofessionalizationofthefamilyfirm.
5.4Determinantsofcontrolwithoutownership
Perhapsthemostpuzzlingfindinginthisstudyisthelargefractionoffirmswherefamilies
retainthetopmanagementjobevenwhentheirownershipstakebecomesinsignificant.In
Table7weexplorethedeterminantsofsuchType1toType2transitions.Wefollowthesame
analyticalpathasinTable6bypresentingtwopartialanalysesandonethatcombinesboth
financialandfamilyvariables.Bydefinition,thistransitionisaboutlossofownership.Aswe
saw in our three cases the dilution of ownership hasmuch to dowith the imperative of
financing growth. Thus, a priori,we expect the finance variables to be important for this
transition.
AsModel1shows,severalfinancevariablesdomatter.AsinTable5,wefindapositive
correlationbetweenfirmsizeandtheoddsoftransitioningfromType1toType2.Thisis
consistentwith larger firms needingmore capital for their investments. Leverage is also
positively correlated with ownership transition, underscoring a rising need for external
capitalforfirmswithtighterbalancesheets.Finally,equityissuanceisalsoseenashastening
theexit fromType1toType2 firms.Contrastingthiswiththe insignificantcoefficienton
EquityIssuanceinTable6,weconcludethatequityissuanceisrelatedtothelossoffamily
ownership,butnottothelossoffamilymanagerialcontrol.
Undertheassumptionthatfamilyresourcescreatevaluethroughactivemanagement,
andsinceType1toType2transitionspreservefamilymanagement,wedonotexpectthem
tobedirectlyrelevantinthesetransitions.Nevertheless,familyresourcesmaybeimportant
in allowing families to retain controlwithoutownership in Type 2 firms, and hencemay
indirectlyberelevantinthelikelihoodofthesetransitions.Weletthedatatellthestory.
Indeed,Model2inTable7showsthattheonlyfamilyvariablesthataresignificantare
familyownershipandstableownership.Unsurprisingly,whenfamilyownershipissmallitis
28
morelikelythatagivenreductionpushesthefamilyunderthe5%threshold,whichtriggers
thetransitiontoType2.However,networksdomatter.Itisinterestingtoobservethatwhen
thefamilyhasastrongnetworkasmeasuredbythestabilityofownership,theyarealsoless
likelytodilutetheownership.Lookingatthecontrolvariables,wenoticethatyoungerCEOs
aremorelikelytobeaskedtostayonasCEOsevenasownershipdeclinesintoinsignificance.
Ontheotherhand,CEOtenureispositivelycorrelatedwiththetransition–foragivenCEO
age,tenureonthejobincreasestheoddsofbeingretainedastheCEO.Puzzlingly,CEOsfrom
Elite universities are less likely to be associated with these transitions. We would have
thought that such CEOs are more likely to be retained as ownership levels became
insignificant.PerhapsmoretalentedCEOsfindopportunitieselsewhereastheirownership
stakeisreducedtozero.InModel3weaddbothfinancialandfamilyvariablesinthesame
Model. The results are robust.Wenotice thatnow firm age is negatively correlatedwith
ownershipdilutionand thatelite familymemberson theboardaremarginally correlated
withownershipdilution.Elsetheresultsareverysimilartothetwopartialmodels.
5.5 Determinantsofexitpaths.
Table8exploresthetransfertototalexit(toType4)regardlessofwhetherthefirmis
Type1,Type2orType3.MostoftheseexitsoriginateinType2andType3firms,veryfew
firmsaresoldwhenthefamilycontrolsbothownershipandmanagement,aswedocumented
inTable3.
Model1focusesonfinancialvariables.Consistentwiththeexistingliterature,wefind
thatprofitablefirmsarelesslikelytoexit.Itmaybethatprofitablefirmsareabletobothraise
outsidecapitalforinvestments,aswellasfinanceinvestmentsviaretainedearnings.Larger
firmsaremorelikelytobesold.Thisisconsistentwiththenotionthatlargerfirmshavemore
interestedbuyersandhavecapitalneedsthatexceedthatoffamilies’privatewealth.Wealso
noticethatfirmswithhigherleveragearemorelikelytobesold.Leverageputspressureon
the family to find new capital and oneway to do that is through sale of equity. Foreign
ownershipappearstoexpediteexitsaswell–wecannotdistinguishifthisisbecauseofa
selectionbiaswhereforeigninvestorsshunfirmswithfamilyownership,orifforeignowners
somehowactivelyadvocateforanexit.Alloftheseeffectsarebotheconomicallyrelevantand
29
statisticallysignificantataonepercentlevel.Interestingly,theequityissuancedummyisnot
significant.This iscontraryto theextantliteraturethathasarguedthatequity issuance is
relatedtothedilutionofownershipbyfounders(seeforexampleHelwege,PirinskyandStulz,
2007,whoshowthatbothequityissuanceaswellassalesofsharesbyinsidersexplainthe
declineinpost-IPOfounderownership).
Model 2 explains exit using the set of variables that proxy for family assets. Not
surprisingly,wefindthatfamilyownershiplowerstheoddsofanexitforacoupleofreasons.
First,higherfamilyownershipmayrepresentayoungerearlierstageofthesefirmswhenexit
islesslikely,asinKlasa(2010).Second,totheextentinsiderstakesfacedilutionfromequity
issuance, smaller stakes aremore likely to risk falling belowour5% threshold following
equityissuesthanlargerstakes.
Perhapsmore interestingly,we find thatourproxy for family legacy–eponymous
firms–issignificantlyassociatedwithalowerlikelihoodofexit.Thisisconsistentwiththe
viewthatthepresenceandvisibilityofthefamilycreatesvalueinfirmswherefamilylegacy
isanactivepartofthebusinesshistoryandthebusinessbrandingBelenzon,Chatterji,and
Daley (2017). Alternately, it could be also true that founders who name the firm after
themselvesplaceahighervalueoncontrol.
Weemploytwomeasurestogaugetheintensityoffamilyresourcesassociatedwith
the firm. The first variable is an indicator variable to checkwhether one ormore family
membersserveasboardmembers.Thesecondproxyisanindicatorvariablethatmeasures
whether the familyboardappointeehasadegree fromanelite Japaneseuniversity– this
variablehasbeenusedasaproxy for talent inPerez-Gonzales(2006)andMehrotraetal
(2013).Wefindthatingeneralhavingfamilymembersontheboardreducesthelikelihood
of exit, and, furthermore, the interaction of board presence with elite education, is also
negative.Thisindicatesthatbothmonitoringandtalentareimportantfamilyresourcesthat
havetheeffectofdelayingexits.Webelievethatwhilemonitoringconsiderationshavebeen
addressedintheliterature,theideathattalentasafamilyresourceplaysaroleincontrolis
anovelone.
30
Finally,weinvestigatewhetherstableownershipretardsthelikelihoodofexits.We
basethisontheassertionthatstrongfamilynetworksengenderstableblockholdersthatcan
preserve the status quo for a longer time. The results inTable 8 do not support such an
assertion–infact,wefindthatstableownershipisassociatedwithahigherlikelihoodofexit.
Wedonot investigate further the reasonsbehind this–perhaps it ispossible that stable
blockholders facilitate sale of equity by insiders or allow families to retainmanagement
positionsdespiteownershiploss.
Inallregressionspecifications,wenoticethatsuccessionconcernsloomlarge–the
presenceofolderCEOsincreasestheoddsofanexit.Thishasbeennotedintheliterature
(seeKlasa,2010)and indeed, succession isoften seenas theAchilles’heelof family firm
longevity.Similarly,CEOtenureisseenasinverselyrelatedtoexits–thisisnotsurprising
since a longer tenure has the natural effect of postponing exits. The last of the control
variables is theeducational attainmentof theoutgoingCEO.We find thatCEOswithelite
universitypedigrees seems to facehigheroddsof exits.This isperplexingsincewewere
expecting that smarterCEOs (thosewithelitedegrees)wouldbeassociatedwitha lower
likelihoodofexits.Asnotedabove,perhapseliteCEOsfindsuperiorcareeroptionselsewhere
andarenotbeholdentothefirmsfoundedbytheirancestors.
ItisinterestingtonoticethatwhenwecomparetheFinanceandFamilymodels,they
haveverysimilarR-squares–thisisnoteworthysincetheliteraturehaslargelyfocusedon
Financeasapropellerofexits.OurresultsshowthatFamilyisequallyimportant(indeed,
Model2hasamarginallyhigherpseudoR2thanModel1)inexplainingexits.Theliterature’s
focusonFinancehastheeffectofmissingoutonasetoffamilyfactorsthatarestatistically
similarintheirabilitytojointlyexplaintheexitprobabilities.Inprinciple,omittingthefamily
variablescouldalsobiastheobservedcoefficientsontheFinancevariables.Weincludeboth
setsofvariablesinthethirdspecificationpresentedinModel3.
Barringafewdifferences,theresultsareverysimilartothepartialanalysisinModel
1and2.However,firmsizeisnolongersignificantinexplainingexitlikelihood.Thismaybe
duetofirmsizeandfamilyownershipbeingcorrelatedandomittingeithervariablehasthe
potentialtointroducebiasintheestimatedcoefficients.Similarly,wealsonoticethatfirm
31
ageisnowsignificant,suchthatolderfamilyfirmsareseenaslesslikelytoexit,controlling
forthesetofFinanceandFamilyvariables.ThisisinterestingsinceitimpliesthatFirmAge
per se is not a handicap for family control – rather, it may be other variables that are
correlatedwithFirmAgethatarefundamentallymoreimportantindeterminingexits.Our
measureoffamilylegacyisnolongersignificantatthe5%level,thoughthepointestimateis
similar in magnitude to that in Model 1. Finally, we note that the impact of the control
variablesremainsunchanged.
In Table 8 Panel Bwe split up the starting points and look independently on the
transferfromType1toType4,Type2toType4andType3toType4.Thefirstmodelisless
interestingsinceitisbasedononly18observationsindicatingthatadirectexitofafamily-
ownedandcontrolledcompanyisrareinJapan.Whenfamiliesexitbygivingupmanagement,
wenoticethatfamilylegacy,andfamilyandelitefamilymembers’presenceontheboard,
significantlyreducetheoddsofexit.SimilarobservationscanbenoticedwhenType3firms
(professionalizedfirms)aresold.
Overall,theresultsintables5through8providenewinsightsintowhyfamiliesexit
theircorporation.First,acrossallpanels,wefindthatbothfamilyandfinancevariablesare
importantinexplainingthepartialexitprobabilities(basedoncomparingpartialR-squares
frommodel1andmodel2acrossthethreetables).Second,wenoticethatfinancialvariables
seemtoberelativelymoreimportantinexplainingownershipdilution(thetransitionfrom
Type1toType2)whereasfamilyvariablesarerelativelymoreimportantinthedecisionto
professionalizethefamilyfirm(thetransitionfromType1toType3).Thisisconsistentwith
theargumentsputforwardinBennedsenandFan(2014)whoarguethatfamilyassetsare
keyindeterminingtheoptimalmanagementstructureoffirms,whereasfinancialroadblocks
arekeytounderstandingafirm’sownershipstructure.
6. Conclusion
Usinganoveldatasetfortheevolutionofownershipandcontrolofpubliclytraded
firmsinJapanweshowthatintangiblefamilyassetsareimportantfactorsinunderstanding
32
thepersistenceoffamilycontrol.Infact,wefindthatfamiliesexercisecontrolovercorporate
assetsevenintheabsenceofmaterialshareownership–aidedinpartbyanexusoffriendly
andstableinvestorsaroundthem,andinpartbywhatarebestdescribedassoftfamilyassets
suchasafamily’snameandreputation.ThebottomlineisthatfamilycontrolinJapanismore
persistentthantheverylowequityownershipbyfoundingfamilieswouldindicate.
Wealso conclude that familyand financial factors jointlydetermine thedilutionof
familyownershipandlossofmanagementcontrol.Wefindsuggestiveevidencethatfinancial
variablesaremoreimportantinexplainingthedilutionofownership,whereasfamilyassets
arerelativelymoreimportantinexplainingthedecisiontodelegatethetopmanagementjob
tooutsiders.
33
References
Anderson, R.C., & Reeb, D.M., 2003, Founding family ownership and firm performance:EvidencefromtheS&P500,JournalofFinance,58(3),1301-1328.
Belenzon, Sharon, Aaron Chatterji, and Brendan Daley, 2017, Eponymous Entrepreneurs,AmericanEconomicReview,107(6):1638-55.
Bennedsen, Morten, Kasper Meisner Nielsen, Francisco Pérez-González and DanielWolfenzon,2007,InsidetheFamilyFirm:TheRoleofFamiliesinSuccessionDecisionsandPerformance,QuarterlyJournalofEconomics122(2),647-691.
Bennedsen,MortenandJosephP.H.Fan,2014,TheFamilyBusinessMap:FamilyAssetsandRoadblocksinLongTermPlanning(Prentice-MacMillian).
Bennedsen,Morten,JosephP.H.Fan,MingJianandYin-HuaYeh,2015,TheFamilyBusinessMap: Framework, Selective Survey, and Evidence from Chinese Family FirmSuccession,JournalofCorporateFinance33:212-226.
Bennedsen,Morten and Nicolai J Foss, 2015, Family-driven innovation strategies: Familyassetsand liabilities in the innovationprocess,CaliforniaManagementReview,Fall,65-81.
Bennedsen,Morten,BrianHenry, andYupanaWiwattanakantang,2016,Toyota:AFamilyHeirSteersCarmakeroutofCrisis,INSEADCasePublishing.
Bertrand,MarianneandAntoinetteSchoar,2006,TheRoleofFamilyinFamilyFirms,JournalofEconomicPerspectives20(2),73-96.
Bhide,Amar,1993,Thehiddencostofstockmarketliquidity,JournalofFinancialEconomics34(1),31-51.
Burkart,Mike,FaustoPanunzi,andAndreiShleifer,2003,Familyfirms,JournalofFinance,58(5),2167-2201.
Chandler,Alfred,1977,TheVisiblehand:TheManagerialRevolutioninAmericanBusiness.(Cambridge,Mass.:HarvardUniversityPress).
Claessens,Stijn,SimeonDjankov,andLarryLang,2000,TheSeparationofOwnershipandControlinEastAsianCorporations,JournalofFinancialEconomics58(1-2),81-112.
DeephouseDavidL.andPeterJaskiewicz,2005,DoFamilyFirmsHaveBetterReputationsThanNon-FamilyFirms?AnIntegrationofSocioemotionalWealthandSocialIdentityTheories,JournalofManagementStudies,503,337-360.
Delios,AndrewandPaulW.Beamish,2005,RegionalandGlobalStrategiesofJapaneseFirms,ManagementInternationalReview,45(1),19-36.
34
Flath, David, 1993, Shareholding in the Keiretsu, Japan's Financial Groups, Review ofEconomicsandStatistics,75(2),249-257.
Foley,C.Fritz,andRobinGreenwood,2009,TheEvolutionofCorporateOwnershipafterIPO:TheImpactofInvestorProtection,ReviewofFinancialStudies23(3),1231-1260.
Franks, Julian, Colin Mayer, and Hideaki Miyajima, 2014. The Ownership of JapaneseCorporationsinthe20thCentury,ReviewofFinancialStudies27(9),2580-2626.
Franks,Julian,ColinMayer,andStefanoRossi,2005,SpendingLessTimeWiththeFamily:TheDeclineofFamilyOwnership in theUnitedKingdom, inRandallMorck(ed.),AHistory of Corporate Governance around the World: Family Business Groups toProfessionalManagers,(ChicagoandLondon:UniversityofChicagoPress),581-607.
Franks,Julian,ColinMayer,andStefanoRossi,2009,Ownership:EvolutionandRegulation,ReviewofFinancialStudies22(10),4009-4056.
Franks, Julian, ColinMayer, Paolo Volpin andHannes F.Wagner, 2011. The Life Cycle ofFamilyOwnership:InternationalEvidence,ReviewofFinancialStudies25(6),1675-1712.
Franks,Julian,ColinMayer,HideakiMiyajima,2014.TheOwnershipofJapaneseCorporationsinthe20thCentury,ReviewofFinancialStudies27(12),2581–2625.
Helwege,Jean,ChristoPirinskyandRenéM.Stulz,2007,WhyDoFirmsBecomeWidelyHeld?AnalysisoftheDynamicsofCorporateOwnership,JournalofFinance62(3),995-1028.
Hino,Satoshi,2005,InsidetheMindofToyota:ManagementPrinciplesforEnduringGrowth,(Tokyo:ProductivityPress).
Klasa, Sandy, 2007, Why Do Controlling Families of Public Firms Sell Their RemainingOwnershipStake?,JournalofFinancialandQuantitativeAnalysis,42,339-368.
LaPorta,Rafael,FlorencioLopez-de-Silanes,andAndreiShleifer,1999,CorporateOwnershipAroundtheWorld,JournalofFinance54,471-517.
Miyajima,HideakiandTakaakiHoda,2015.OwnershipStructureandCorporateGovernance:Has an Increase in Institutional Investors’ Ownership Improved BusinessPerformance? InPolicyResearchInstitute,MinistryofFinance, Japan,PublicPolicyReview,Vol.11,No.3,July2015.
Masulis,RonaldW.,PeterKienPham,andJasonZein,2011,FamilyBusinessGroupsaroundtheWorld:FinancingAdvantages,ControlMotivations, andOrganizationalChoices,ReviewofFinancialStudies24(1),3556-3600.
Mehrotra, Vikas, Randall Morck, Jung-Wook Shim, and YupanaWiwattanakantang, 2013,Adoptive Expectations: Rising Sons in Japanese Family Firms, Journal of FinancialEconomics108,840–854.
35
Miller Danny, and Isabelle Le Breton-Miller, 2005,Managing for the Long-run: Lessons inCompetitive Advantage from Great Family Businesses (Boston: Harvard BusinessSchoolPress).
Miller,Danny, IsabelleLeBreton-Miller,RichardLesterandAlbertCannella, Jr.,2007,AreFamilyFirmsReallySuperiorPerformers?JournalofCorporateFinance13,829-858.
Morck Randall, David Stangeland, and Bernard Yeung, 2000, Inherited wealth, corporatecontrol, and economic growth: The Canadian Disease?, in Concentrated CorporateOwnership,inRandallMorck(ed.),(ChicagoandLondon:UniversityofChicagoPress),319-372.
MorckRandall,DavidStangeland,andBernardYeung,2005,CorporateGovernance,EconomicEntrenchment,andGrowth.JournalofEconomicLiterature43(3),655-720.
Nakatani, I., 1984, The economic role of corporate financial grouping, in M. Aoki, ed.:EconomicAnalysisoftheJapaneseFirm(Elsevier,NewYork).
Perez-Gonzales, Francisco, 2006, Inherited Control and Firm Performance, AmericanEconomicReview96(5),1559-1588.
Prowse,Stephen,1992,TheStructureofCorporateOwnershipinJapan.JournalofFinance,47(3),1121-1140.
Rajan,RaghuramG.andLuigiZingales,1996.FinancialDependenceandGrowth,AmericanEconomicReview,88(3):559-586.
Smith, Brian F. and Ben Amoako-Adu, 2005, Management Succession and FinancialPerformance of Family Controlled Firms, in RobertWatson (ed.), Governance andOwnership,(Elgar:Cheltenhamfort),314-341.
Villalonga, Belen and Raphael Amit, 2006,How do family ownership, control, andmanagementaffectfirmvalue?JournalofFinancialEconomics,80(2),385-417.
Weinstein, David and Yishay Yafeh, 1995, Japan's Corporate Groups: Collusive orCompetitive?AnEmpirical Investigationof KeiretsuBehavior. Journal of IndustrialEconomics,43(4),359-376.
WilliamsonOliverE.,1985,TheEconomicInstitutionofCapitalism,(NewYork:FreePress).
WilliamsonOliverE.1975,MarketsandHierarchies:AnalysisandAntitrustImplications,(NewYork:FreePress).
36
Figure1FamilyOwnershipofCasio,ToyotaMotor,SuzukiMotor(1960-2000)
ThisfigurepresentsthefoundingfamilyownershipofCasio,ToyotaMotorandSuzukiMotor.Thepercentageoffamilyshareholdingsincludestheownershipbythemembersofthefoundingfamilyaswellasbygroupcompanies.Verticalaxisnumbersareinpercent.
4.88 6… 6.977.17
4.35
60.22
55.86
49.85
43.27
34.5132.29
29.76
25.69
18.415.35 12.44
11.43 8.24 8.06 7.375.66
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
19601961196219631964196519661967196819691970197119721973197419751976197719781979198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000
Toyota
Suzuki
Casio
37
Figure2
NewlistingsontheJapaneseStockExchanges(1949-2000)
ThisfigurepresentsIPOsonallstockexchangesinJapanduringthe1949-2000period.1949marksthere-openingoftheTokyoStockExchangeafterthewar.1961marksthespurtofnewlistingswhenthesecondtieroftheTokyoStockExchangewasopened.Familyfirmsaredefinedasthosewherethefoundingfamilyeitherhasat5%ownershiporservesastheCEO.Non-familyfirmsaretheremainingones.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1949 1951 1953 1955 1957 1959 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999
Family
Non-family
38
Figure3PanelA:Family’sownership&managementinIPOTime,5%ownershipdefinition.
Type1arefirmswherethefoundingfamilyhasatleast5%ownershipandthetopmanagementposition.Type2arefirmswherethefamilyhaslessthan5%ownershipbutafamilymemberservesasthetopmanagementposition.Type3arefirmswherethefamilyhasmorethan5%ofthesharesbutthetopmanagementpositionisnotafamilymember.Type4areex-familyfirms,wherethefamilyownershipisnolongersignificantandthefoundingfamilydoesnotholdthetopmanagementposition.IPOtimeismeasuredinyearspasttheIPOyear.ThesampleincludesallpubliclytradedfirmsinJapancoveringtheperiodof1955-2000.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50
Years following IPO
Type 4
Type 3
Type 2
Type 1
39
PanelB:Family’sownership&managementinIPOTime,20%ownershipdefinition.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44
Years following IPO
Type 4
Type 3
Type 2
Type 1
40
Figure4PanelA:Family’sownership&managementincalendaryears(1955-2000),5%ownershipdefinition.
Type1arefirmswherethefoundingfamilyhasatleast5%ownershipandthetopmanagementposition.Type2arefirmswherethefamilyhaslessthan5%ownershipbutafamilymemberservesasthetopmanagementposition.Type3arefirmswherethefamilyhasmorethan5%ofthesharesbutthetopmanagementpositionisnotafamilymember.Type4areex-familyfirms,wherethefamilyownershipislessthan5%andthefoundingfamilydoesnotholdthetopmanagementposition.ThesefirmswerefamilyfirmsatthedateoftheIPO.Non-familyarefirmsthatwerenotfamilyfirmswhentheydidanIPO.ThesampleincludesallpubliclytradedfirmsinJapancoveringtheperiodof1955-2000.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
Calendaryear
Non-family
Type 4
Type 3
Type 2
Type 1
41
PanelB:Family’sownership&managementincalendaryears(1955-2000),20%ownershipdefinition.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
Calendaryear
Non-family
Type 4
Type 3
Type 2
Type 1
42
Figure5FamilyOwnershipfromIPO(1949-2000)
Familyownershipforeachfirminagivenyeariscalculatedasthepercentageoftotalsharesoutstandingowneddirectlybythe foundingfamilyaswellasindirectlyviacompaniesthatthefamilyultimatelycontrols.Themeanandmedianownership level is calculated each year since the IPO time. The sample includes all publicly traded firms in Japancoveringtheperiodof1949-2000.
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
Mean
Median
43
Table1ToyotaMotor’sTop10Shareholders
Thistablepresentsthetop10shareholdersofToyotaMotorsatafiscalyearendingonMarch31.
Fiscal year Top 1 % Top 2 % Top 3 % Top 4 % Top 5 % Top 6 % Top 7 % Top 8 % Top 9 % Top 10 %
1962 Toyo Trust 7.86 Toyota
Industries4.48
Mitsubishi Trust
3.82 Mitsui Bank
3.04 Tokai Bank 2.94 Daiwa Bank
2.86 Nippon
Life1.79
Sumitomo Trust
1.50 Sanwa Bank
1.45 Kyowa Bank
1.43
1970Toyota
Industries 4.48
Mitsui Bank
4.46 Tokai Bank 4.40 Sanwa Bank
4.02 Nippon
Life3.48 LTCB 3.35
Daiwa Bank
2.80 Toyo Trust 2.56 Kyowa Bank
2.28 Toyota Tsusho
2.16
1980Mitsui Bank
4.98 Tokai Bank 4.94 Sanwa Bank
4.79 Toyota
Industries4.56
Nippon Life
3.90 LTCB 3.47 Toyota Tsusho
2.61 Daiwa Bank
2.56 Dai-ichi
Life2.46
Taisho Marine &
Fire2.26
1990Sanwa Bank
4.96 Mitsui Bank
4.96 Tokai Bank 4.96 Toyota
Industries4.63
Nippon Life
3.75 LTCB 3.11 Mitsui Marine
2.46 Daiwa Bank
2.29 Mitsui Life 2.23 Dai-ichi
Life2.23
2000Toyota
Industries5.34
Sanwa Bank
4.75 Mitsui Bank
4.33 Nippon
Life 4.32 Tokai Bank 3.92 Chuo Trust 3.87
Japan Trustee
Srvcs Bank3.83
Chiyoda Bank
3.05 Mizuho
Trust Bank 2.96 LTCB 2.73
2010Japan
Trustee Srvs Bank
####Toyota
Industries5.83
Master Trust Bank
5.55 Nippon
Life 3.78
State Street
Bank & Trust
2.54 Trust & Custody
Srvcs Bank2.51
Bank of New York
Mellon2.31
Tokio Mar. & Nichido
Fire2.24
Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance
1.88 Denso 1.70
2015Japan
Trustee Srvs Bank
9.99 Toyota
Industries6.57
Master Trust Bank
5.29
State Street
Bank and Trust
3.73 Nippon
Life 3.39
Bank of New York
Mellon2.51
Trust & Custody
Srvcs Bank2.05 Denso 2.03
Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance
1.93 Capital Group
1.75
44
Table2DescriptiveStatistics
Summarystatisticsforthevariablesusedintheremainingtables.AllvariablesaredescribedinAppendix1.***,**,and*denotesignificanceatthe1%,5%and10%levels.
Factors Variables Mean S.D. Min Max
Controlfactors CEOage (1) 59.577 8.572 26 95
CEOtenure (2) 11.958 10.577 1 53
CEOeliteness (3) 0.228 0.420 0 1
Familyfactors Familyownership (4) 14.633 15.789 0 95.79
Familylegacy (5) 0.319 0.466 0 1
Familyontheboard (6) 0.284 0.451 0 1
ELITEfamilyontheboard
(7) 0.240 0.427 0 1
Elitenon-familyontheboard
(8) 0.804 0.397 0 1
Stableownership (9) 23.688 18.077 0 95.79
Financefactors ROA (10) 4.750 4.572 -21.983 32.654
TobinQ (11) 1.497 0.521 0.289 5.478
Volatilityofindustrysales(12) 20.710 1.413 14.331 23.995
Firmsize (13) 17.345 1.409 12.782 23.226
Leverage (14) 19.960 14.124 0 91.963
Equityissuancedummy (15) 0.174 0.379 0 1
Firmage (16) 42.766 15.524 7 107
Foreignownership (17) 1.026 4.687 0 89.8
TimevalueforCoxregression
(18) 12.770 9.419 1 46
45
Table3
SuccessionTransitionMatrixPanelA,PanelB,andPanelCdescribethetransitionfromType1,Type2,andType3toothercategories,respectively.ThestatisticsrefertothefractionoffirmsendingupinthatType.AllvariablesaredefinedinAppendix1.PanelA:TransitionfromType1
Familyownership Nofamilyownership
TYPE1 TYPE2
FamilyCEO Startstage 0.36
TYPE3 TYPE4
Non-familyCEO 0.62 0.03
PanelB:TransitionfromType2
Familyownership Nofamilyownership
TYPE1 TYPE2
FamilyCEO 0 Startstage
TYPE3 TYPE4
Non-familyCEO 0 1
PanelC:TransitionfromType3
Familyownership Nofamilyownership
TYPE1 TYPE2
FamilyCEO 0.45 0
TYPE3 TYPE4
Non-familyCEO Startstage 0.55
46
Table4UnivariateDifferencesAcrossFirmTypes
Type1arefirmswherethefoundingfamilyhasatleast5%ownershipandretainsthetopmanagementposition.Type2arefirmswherethefamilyhaslessthan5%ownershipbutafamilymemberservesinthetopmanagementposition.Type3arefirmswherethefamilyhasmorethan5%ofthesharesbutthetopmanagerisnotafamilymember.Type4firmsareex-familyfirms,wherethe familyownership is less than5%andthe founding familydoesnotholdthetopmanagementposition.AllvariablesaredefinedinAppendix1.***,**,and*denotesignificanceatthe1%,5%,and10%levels.Familyfirmclassification Type1 Type
2Type3 Type4 Type1-2 Type1-3 Type1-4 Type2-3 Type2-4 Type3-4
ROA 5.292 4.225 4.740 3.432 1.0663*** 0.5518*** 1.8595*** -0.5145*** 0.7932*** 1.3077***
TobinQ 1.490 1.493 1.575 1.454 -0.0059 -0.0953*** 0.0261** -0.0894*** 0.0320*** 0.1214***
Volatilityofindustrysales 20.68 20.59 21.049 20.71 0.0920*** -0.3681*** -0.0179 -0.4600*** -0.1099*** 0.3501***
Firmsize 16.96 17.84 17.578 17.84 -0.886*** -0.6219*** -0.8793*** 0.2637*** 0.0064 -0.2574***
Leverage 20.45 21.30 17.647 19.66 -0.857*** 2.7979*** 0.7901*** 3.6548*** 1.6470*** -2.0078***
Equityissuancedummy 0.195 0.165 0.162 0.12 0.0308*** 0.0337*** 0.0754*** 0.0028 0.0446*** 0.0418***
Firmage 38.61 48.55 41.908 50.03 -9.941*** -3.3005*** -11.4244*** 6.6413*** -1.4825*** -8.1239***
Foreignownership 0.668 1.137 0.894 2.133 -0.469*** -0.2262*** -1.4648*** 0.2434* -0.9953*** -1.2387***
Familyownership 21.26 0.00 26.404 0.00 21.2555*** -5.1483*** 21.2555*** -26.4038*** 0.00 26.404***
Familylegacy 0.349 0.288 0.354 0.238 0.0605*** -0.0058 0.1103*** -0.0663*** 0.0498*** 0.1161***
Familyontheboard 0.316 0.251 0.316 0.141 0.0646*** -0.0001 0.1753*** -0.0647*** 0.1107*** 0.1754***
ELITEfamilyontheboard 0.262 0.295 0.254 0.106 -0.0336*** 0.008 0.1561*** 0.0417*** 0.1898*** 0.1481***
Elitenon-familyontheboard
0.738 0.865 0.825 0.907 -0.1267*** -0.0866*** -0.1692*** 0.0401*** -0.0425*** -0.0826***
Stableownership 22.25 15.83 30.059 31.84 6.4220*** -7.8071*** -9.5899*** -14.2291*** -16.011*** -1.7828***
Contd.nextpage…
47
CEOage 57.95 59.34 61.110 62.17 -1.3920*** -3.1636*** -4.2248*** -1.7715*** -2.8328*** -1.0613***
CEOtenure 16.57 14.03 5.009 4.569 2.5389*** 11.5611*** 12.0012*** 9.0222*** 9.4623*** 0.4401***
CEOeliteness 0.145 0.219 0.287 0.387 -0.0742*** -0.1417*** -0.2419*** -0.0675*** -0.1677*** -0.1002***
Numberofobservations 14,697 4,606 3,821 5,393
48
Table5DeterminantsofOwnershipDilution
ThistablepresentspooledOLSregressionestimatesofFamilyShareholdings(PanelA)andFamily Half-life Ownership (Panel B) as dependent variables against family and financefactors.Theregressionincludesfixedyearandindustryeffects.Allvariablesareasdefinedin Appendix 1. Standard errors are clustered by firms. t-statistics are reported inparentheses.***,**,and*denotesignificanceatthe1%,5%and10%levels.PanelA:ThedependentvariableisthePercentageofFamilyShareholdings
Model1 Model2 Model3
Financefactors
ROA 0.2393*** 0.1784*** (9.12) (8.14)
TobinQ 1.8326*** 1.5496*** (7.42) (7.60)
Volatilityofindustrysales -0.4937** -0.4131** (2.57) (2.49)
Firmsize -1.7946*** -1.6165*** (24.74) (24.43)
Leverage -0.0543*** -0.0405*** (7.50) (6.64)
Equityissuancedummy -0.8419*** -0.8259*** (3.87) (4.52)
Firmage -0.2317*** -0.2047*** (33.67) (34.10)
Foreignownership -0.2282*** -0.0590*** (14.64) (3.96)
Familyfactors
Familylegacy 2.0228*** 2.7292*** (12.71) (17.75)
Familyontheboard 3.3226*** 3.0317*** (20.44) (19.33)
ELITEfamilyontheboard 4.1872*** 5.1170*** (21.24) (27.06)
Elitenon-familyontheboard -3.7619*** -2.0828*** (19.69) (11.21)
Stableownership 0.3977*** 0.3721*** (65.47) (63.60)
Controlfactors
CEOage -0.1653*** -0.2853*** -0.2132*** (15.09) (30.58) (23.59)
CEOtenure 0.1557*** 0.3017*** 0.2280*** (18.08) (41.94) (32.48)
CEOeliteness -1.0674*** -3.9650*** -3.3263*** (5.47) (18.42) (16.00)
Constant 58.3212*** 18.8215*** 49.9143*** (14.60) (16.31) (14.53) Numberofobservations 28303 28303 28303 PseudoR2 0.2069 0.3414 0.4059
49
PanelB:DependentvariableisFamilyHalf-lifeOwnership
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
Finance factors
ROA 0.0621*** 0.0638*** (4.65) (4.79) Tobin Q -0.0692 -0.1590 (0.60) (1.38) Volatility of industry sales 0.0541 0.0722 (0.61) (0.81) Firm size -0.7296*** -0.7926*** (18.95) (20.33) Leverage -0.0083** -0.0071** (2.39) (2.04) Equity issuance dummy 0.0698 0.0732 (0.62) (0.65) Firm age -0.0142*** -0.0180*** (3.98) (5.02) Foreign ownership -0.0143** -0.0277*** (2.51) (4.88)
Family factors
Family legacy 0.2831** 0.3502*** (2.97) (3.67) Family on the board 0.4798*** 0.5702*** (4.79) (5.75) ELITE family on the board 0.7845*** 1.0758*** (6.53) (9.03) Elite non-family on the board -0.6337*** -0.0593 (5.29) (0.50) Stable ownership -0.0263*** -0.0294*** (11.38) (12.85)
Control factors
CEO age -0.0880*** -0.0879*** -0.0782*** (15.48) (15.32) (13.66) CEO tenure 0.1363*** 0.1306*** 0.1240*** (27.89) (26.34) (24.97) CEO eliteness -0.0048 -0.4650*** -0.3446*** (0.05) (4.52) (3.40)
Constant 24.9892*** 15.2289*** 25.3672*** (12.01) (12.20) (12.23) Number of observations 15396 15396 15396
Pseudo R2 0.4056 0.3954 0.4201
50
Table6DeterminantsofNonFamilyCEO:TransitionfromType1toType3
ThedependentvariableinthelogisticregressionsisdefinedasaneventwhenaType1firmtransitionstobecomeaType3firm.AllvariablesaredefinedinAppendix1.t-statisticsarereportedinparentheses.***,**,and*denotesignificanceatthe1%,5%,and10%levels.
Model1 Model2 Model3 ROA -0.0750*** -0.0817*** (4.30) (4.62) TobinQ 0.3039** 0.3047** (2.21) (2.22) Volatilityofindustrysales 0.0536 0.0731 (0.43) (0.58)
Finance Firmsize 0.0173 -0.0012Factors (0.31) (0.02)
Leverage 0.0002 0.0000 (0.04) (0.01) Equityissuancedummy 0.1990 0.2132 (1.11) (1.19) Firmage -0.0094* -0.0084 (1.90) (1.52) Foreignownership 0.0065 0.0087 (0.34) (0.52) Familyownership 0.0116*** 0.0117** (2.60) (2.32) Familylegacy -0.0895 -0.0788 (0.61) (0.54)
Family Familyontheboard 0.5751*** 0.6101***Factors (4.36) (4.55)
ELITEfamilyontheboard -0.2154 -0.2049 (1.25) (1.15) Elitenon-familyontheboard 0.2761* 0.2964* (1.74) (1.81) Stableownership -0.0099** -0.0099** (2.19) (2.19)
Control CEOage 0.0614*** 0.0577*** 0.0604***Factors (7.03) (6.55) (6.70)
CEOtenure 0.0240*** 0.0265*** 0.0253*** (4.19) (4.67) (4.32) CEOeliteness 0.0784 0.1529 0.1569 (0.43) (0.78) (0.79) Numberofobservations 21110 21110 21110 Numberoftransitions 299 299 299 PseudoR2 0.1125 0.1107 0.1205
51
Table7DeterminantsofControlwithoutOwnership:TransitionfromType1toType2
ThedependentvariableinthelogisticregressionsisdefinedasaneventwhenaType1firmtransformstobecomeaType2firm.AllvariablesaredefinedinAppendix1.t-statisticsarereportedinparentheses.***,**,and*denotesignificanceatthe1%,5%,and10%levels. Model1 Model2 Model3
ROA -0.0239 -0.0091 (1.33) (0.44) TobinQ 0.0603 0.1364 (0.38) (0.90)
Financefactors Volatilityofindustrysales 0.3332 0.2796 (1.79) (1.46) Firmsize 0.1544*** -0.0339 (2.65) (0.49) Leverage 0.0207*** 0.0220*** (3.70) (3.82) Equityissuancedummy 0.5114*** 0.5206*** (3.31) (3.31) Firmage 0.0025 -0.0134** (0.52) (2.34) Foreignownership 0.0253 0.0007 (1.32) (0.03)
Familyfactors Familyownership -0.1002*** -0.1109*** (7.78) (7.72) Familylegacy -0.2146 -0.0782 (1.42) (0.50) Familyontheboard -0.1281 -0.1635 (0.80) (1.01) ELITEfamilyontheboard 0.2033 0.3007* (1.15) (1.65) Elitenon-familyontheboard 0.1823 0.1944 (0.96) (1.00) Stableownership -0.0402*** -0.0398*** (4.80) (4.73)
Controlfactors
CEOage -0.0174** -0.0290** -0.0245*** (2.08) (3.13) (2.61)
CEOtenure 0.0154** 0.0268*** 0.0208*** (2.49) (3.84) (2.98)
CEOeliteness -0.2406 -0.4639** -0.4517** (1.28) (2.36) (2.26)
Numberofobservations 19626 19626 19626 Numberoftransitions 233 233 233 PseudoR2 0.0574 0.1414 0.1566
52
Table8DeterminantsofExit:TransitiontoType4
ThedependentvariableinthelogisticregressionsisdefinedasaneventwhenaType1,2,and3firmtransformstobecomeaType4firm.AllvariablesaredefinedinAppendix1.t-statisticsarereportedinparentheses.***,**,and*denotesignificanceatthe1%,5%,and10%levels.PanelA:Determinantsoftransformationoffamilyfirms(Type1,2,and3)toType4
Model1 Model2 Model3
ROA -0.0873*** -0.0748*** (5.02) (4.15) TobinQ 0.0060 0.0730 (0.04) (0.47) Volatilityofindustrysales -0.0057 -0.0518Financefactors (0.05) (0.44) Firmsize 0.1239*** 0.0109 (2.68) (0.21) Leverage 0.0115*** 0.0094** (2.75) (2.09) Equityissuancedummy -0.1969 -0.2001 (1.15) (1.15) Firmage -0.0032 -0.0162*** (0.74) (3.38) Foreignownership 0.0400*** 0.0319** (3.10) (2.32) Familyownership -0.0804*** -0.0828***
(10.10) (9.59) Familylegacy -0.2712** -0.2275* (2.14) (1.69) Familyontheboard -0.4622*** -0.4166***
Familyfactors (3.43) (3.06) ELITEfamilyontheboard -0.8904*** -0.8927*** (5.03) (4.88) Elitenon-familyontheboard 0.1481 0.1705 (0.91) (1.02) Stableownership 0.0235*** 0.0239*** (5.97) (6.12)
Controlfactors CEOage 0.0561*** 0.0525*** 0.0560*** (8.47) (7.51) (8.03) CEOtenure -0.0251*** -0.0235*** -0.0250*** (4.62) (3.86) (4.08) CEOeliteness 0.2800** 0.7412*** 0.7812*** (2.14) (4.60) (4.72) Numberofobservations 22622 22622 22622 Numberoftransitions 369 369 369 PseudoR2 0.0758 0.1343 0.1500
53
PanelB:DeterminantoftransformationforeachtypeoffamilyfirmstoType4Firms
Type1to4 Type2to4 Type3to4
Model1 Model2 Model3 ROA -0.2015** -0.1267*** -0.0117 (3.20) (5.83) (0.46) TobinQ 0.8060 -0.2120 0.0220 (1.71) (0.85) (0.10) Volatilityofindustrysales -0.9772** -0.1186 0.1469 (2.19) (0.70) (0.75)
Financefactors
Firmsize -0.2019 0.3276*** -0.0929
(0.70) (4.89) (1.20) Leverage 0.0199 0.0078 0.0149** (0.98) (1.32) (2.36) Equityissuancedummy -0.4256 -0.3534 0.1594 (0.58) (1.43) (0.61) Firmage -0.0394 0.0166*** -0.0320*** (0.85) (3.26) (3.49) Foreignownership -0.0146 0.0449*** 0.0306 (0.43) (3.43) (1.50) Familyownership 0.0092 -0.0271*** (0.45) (4.29) Familylegacy 0.1216 -0.3769** -0.3566 (0.18) (2.10) (1.69) Familyontheboard -0.7092 -0.3561** -0.9286***
Familyfactors (0.86) (1.99) (4.08) ELITEfamilyontheboard -2.8273** -0.4631*** -1.2876*** (2.12) (2.62) (3.82) Elitenon-familyonthe
board0.5052 0.3021 -0.0241
(0.65) (1.25) (0.10) Stableownership -0.0418*** 0.0006 0.0107* (2.66) (0.11) (1.67)
Controlfactors CEOage -0.0091 0.0527*** 0.0595*** (0.18) (5.14) (6.25) CEOtenure 0.0961*** 0.0155*** -0.1768*** (2.62) (2.62) (10.32) CEOeliteness 1.7525 0.4059** 0.7822***
(1.57) (2.30) (3.31)
Numberoftransitions 18 204 147 PseudoR2 0.2457 0.1176 0.2050
54
Appendix1
VariableDefinitions
Variable VariableDefinition
Ownership&controlvariables
Familyshareholdings Fractionoftotalsharescontrolledbythefoundingfamily
Half-lifeOwnership Familyhalf-lifeownership
Type1firms Firmswherethefoundingfamilyretainsbothsignificantownership(atleast5%oftheshares)andtopmanagementpositionastheCEO.
Type2firms Firmwherethefoundingfamily'sownershipisinsignificantbutoneofitsmembersistheCEO
Type3firms FirmwherefoundingfamilyretainssignificantownershipbutnoneofitsmembersistheCEO
Type4firms FirmwherefoundingfamilyneitherretainssignificantownershipnorastheCEO
Familyfactorvariables
Familylegacy Dummyvariablesetto1whenthefoundingfamilynameandfirmnamearethesame;setto0otherwise
ELITEfamilyontheboard
Dummyvariablesetto1whenthereisatleastoneELITEfamilyontheboard;setto0otherwise
ELITEnonfamilyontheboard
Dummyvariablesetto1whenthereisatleastoneELITEnon-familyontheboard;setto0otherwise
EliteEducation Dummyvariablesetto1ifanexecutivehasabachelordegreefromatopnationaluniversity,definedasformerImperialuniversities(Tokyo,Kyoto,Osaka,Nagoya,Kyushu,andHokkaidoUniversity)aswellasKobeandHitotsubashiUniversity;setequalto0otherwise
Stableownership Thepercentageofshareholdingsbytheshareholderswhowerelistedinthetop10shareholdersforatleast5consecutiveyears
Financialfactorvariables
ROA ReturnonAssetsdefinedasoperatingincomescaledbytotalassets
TobinQ Themarketvalueofequityplusthebookvalueofdebtscaledbytotalassets
Volatilityofindustrysales
Standarddeviationofsalesoftheindustrywherethefirmoperatesinthepast5years.Theindustryismeasuredatthe2-digitSICcode.
Firmsize Thenaturallogoftotalassets
Leverage Totaloutstandingdebtscaledbytotalassets
Equityissuancedummy
Dummyvariablesetequalto1iffirmsexperiencethechangeofshareoutstandingfrompreviousyearmorethan10%;set0otherwise
Firmage Thenumberofyearssinceincorporation
Foreignownership Fractionofsharesheldbyforeigninvestorswhoarelistedinthetoptenshareholders
55
Variable VariableDefinition
Controlvariables
CEOage AgeoftheCEO
CEOtenure NumberofyearsastheCEO
ELITECEO DummyvariableindicatingwhethertheCEOhasabachelordegreefromaneliteuniversity