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Transcript of WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solutions usage pattern analysis
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7/27/2019 WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solutions usage pattern analysis
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WhiteCross/NARUSIBI Solutions
usage patternanalysis
Capturing and understanding subscriber usage patterns is
fundamental to the success of an IPSPs business. To
maximize profitability, IPSPs must attract, manage, and
maintain customers that fit best with the business model the
IPSP employs. In other words, an IPSPs business model will
dictate the usage profile of the most profitable subscribers.
a w h i t e c r o s s w h i t e p a p e r
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table of contents
1 WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions WhiteCross
6
5
4
32
1executive summary 2introduction 3
the business advantage of 4
usage pattern analysisbilling 4
churn management 5
new service offerings 5
acceptable use policy setting, monitoring and fraud detection 5
summary 6
characteristics of an effective 7UPA solution
data collection 7
data analysis and transformation 7
information presentation and delivery 7
WX/NARUS UPA solution 8NAR US IBI platform data collection and session reconstruction 8
WhiteCross servers (WXD ES) data analysis and transformation 9
WhiteCross and NARUS solutions information presentation 9
summary 12
appendix: WX/NARUS ASP 13
delivery services
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1executive summary
As fewer new customers sign up for IP services, Internet
Protocol Service Providers (IPSPs) will have to shift focus
away from simply capturing a fair share of new subscribers
to managing and capitalizing on existing customers by offer-
ing new billing plans and differentiated services, reducing
and managing subscriber churn, and setting and enforcing
acceptable usage policies. Little, however, has been spent
implementing the Internet Business Infrastructure (IBI) need-
ed to support this shift.
Fundamental to all IBI solutions is an understanding of
subscriber usage of IP services through Usage Pattern
Analysis (UPA). UPA is the analysis of subscriber usage
information captured at the application layer, combined with
offline data such as user demographics, billing data, and
customer service interaction to create service and subscriber
usage profiles.
By understanding service and subscriber usage profiles,
IPSPs can make more informed and effective decisions
regarding major IBI concerns such as billing, churn manage-ment, new service offerings, and acceptable use policies and
enforcement.
The elements of an effective UPA solution include data
collection, data analysis and transformation, and information
presentation and delivery. The data collection platform needs
to capture detailed information that completely characterizes
the applications and services used and the quality of the
users experience. The data analysis platform must correlate
this information with offline data sources such as user demo-
graphics, billing data, and customer support history and pro-
vide a data analysis capability that is flexible, scalable, and
powerful enough to handle large volumes of data quickly (for
train of thought analyses). Finally, the UPA solution must
present and deliver the results as actionable information; that
is, the solution must present answers, not just more data for
the user to analyze.
NARUS and WhiteCross have partnered to deliver
unique IBI solutions by leveraging core capabilities from
both companies.The result of the partnership is a suite of
business intelligence applications and services through
which IPSPs can understand their customers usage pat-
terns, and use that knowledge to prepare, implement and
monitor the success of new services and billing plans, man-
age customer churn, set and enforce usage policies, and
increase overall profitability.
The NARUS and WhiteCross solution is based on the
NARUS IBI Platform and the WhiteCross Data Exploration
Server (WX/DES). The NARUS IBI Platform captures appli-
cation-level subscriber usage information directly off high-speed networks, in real-time. The WX/DES provides a scal-
able platform with the power to perform rapid analysis of
large volumes of usage data at the speed of thought. The
resulting Usage Pattern Analysis (UPA) solutions are offered
through a service bureau. The solutions and services include
an out-of-the-box solution, project-based services, and on-
going, continuous custom reporting and analytic services.
The result is a unique set of tools that enable IP service
providers to manage their businesses and keep up with the
fast-moving pace of the IP services market.
WhiteCross WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions 2
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2
3 WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions WhiteCross
introduction
Until recently, IPSPs have focused almost exclusively on
building out their physical infrastructure. As more and more
individuals and businesses flocked to the Internet, IPSPs
focused on adding capacity, increasing bandwidth, and rush-
ing into new geographic areas. Services were undifferentiat-
ed, and the industry took a one size fits all approach to
pricing and bundling of services.
The environment in which IPSPs operate, however, is
changing dramatically:
s As fewer new customers sign up for IP services, and as
the market for IP service providers becomes saturated,
IPSPs are forced to shift their focus away from simply
capturing a fair share of new customers. Instead, they
have to actually steal share away from competitors.
s As new players enter the market with new business
models, no IPSP can afford to offer the same, undiffer-
entiated services. Instead, they must possess a dynam-
ic understanding of what services subscribers want andhow much they are willing to pay for those services.
s As more and more mission-critical systems are
deployed across IP networks, IPSPs cannot afford to
offer one grade of best effort service. Instead, IPSPs
will have to offer quality of service (QoS) and delivery
options to meet the different needs of different sub-
scribers.
s IPSPs business problems can no longer be solved by
simply throwing additional bandwidth on the network.
Instead, IPSPs must be able to identify new business
models, new markets, and new service bundles to offer
subscribers.
In other words, the focus of the IPSP market is shifting
away from the physical infrastructure towards the Internet
Business Infrastructure (IBI).
IBI is the set of capabilities that enable IP service
providers to manage customers, services, and business
models. IBI tools allow IPSPs to define and deploy new ser-
vices, offer flexible and differentiated billing options, provide
proactive customer care, detect and defeat fraud, and man-
age customer churn. Figure 1 illustrates how IBI solutions
allow ISPs to increase profitability.
Fundamental to all IBI tools is an understanding of sub-
scriber usage of IP services through Usage Pattern Analysis
(UPA). UPA is the analysis of subscriber usage information
captured at the application layer, combined with offline data
such as user demographics, billing data, and customer ser-
vice interaction.
This white paper discusses the importance of UPA to
IPSPs who want to differentiate their services in the highly
competitive market for providing IP services to consumers
and businesses. It describes why UPA is critical to under-
standing customers needs and their satisfaction with current
IP service offerings. It also describes why business models
based on Usage Pattern Analysis are essential for driving
profitable growth in the areas of customer acquisition and
retention. Finally, it describes how the WhiteCross-NARUS
UPA solutions deliver an especially efficient and effective IBI
solution.
Figure 1 IBI Solutions
Customerand Services
Profiling
ServiceDefinition
ProfitabilityAnalysis
Billing CUSTOMERUSAGE DATA
ChurnManagement
Provisioning
FraudDetection
CustomerCare
EZYLANA
TNEMELPMIDNA
NGI
SE
D
EUL
AVERUTPAC
EGANAM
EGDELWONK
EGDELWONK
Identify and Drive Opportunities
Reapthe
Rewards
Defineand
DeliverServices
Efficiently and Effectively ManageCustomers and Services
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3the business value of usagepattern analysis
Capturing and understanding subscriber usage patterns
is fundamental to the success of an IPSPs business. The
value of a subscriber to an IPSP is directly correlated to the
subscribers usage of the network and services offered by
the IPSP. To maximize profitability, IPSPs must attract, man-
age, and maintain customers that fit best with the business
model the IPSP employs. In other words, an IPSPs business
model will dictate the usage profile of the most profitable
subscribers; it also has the effect of dictating the usage pro-
file of the most costly subscribers. By understanding these
usage profiles, IPSPs can make more informed and effective
decisions regarding major IBI concerns such as billing, churn
management, new service offerings, and acceptable use
policies and enforcement.
BILLING
As stated in the introduction, many IPSPs have employed
the same business model to date: flat rate, one-service-fits-
all model. So, while segmentation exists among accessproviders in the form of wholesale vs. retail, dial-up vs.
broadband, consumer vs. business, the same model is gen-
erally used for all segments: flat-rate, best-effort access to
the entire (and identical) set of IP services. Today, IPSPs
offering differentiated services are the exception, not the
rule.
As the market becomes increasingly saturated and corre-
spondingly more competitive, IPSPs are looking to use new
and creative billing plans as a competitive advantage.
Residential customers are starting to ask IPSPs why they
should pay $19.95 or more per month when all they use is
email and the web. Business clients want to know if the IPSP
can offer higher quality of service for certain applications like
video conferencing over IP.
A major barrier to implementation of usage-based billing
is the fear of the unknown. Specifically, without an under-
standing of the current customer base, it is impossible to pre-
dict the possible uptake and impact of different billing plans.
As such, the key to effectively implementing usage-based
billing lies in Usage Pattern Analysis. With UPA, an IPSP
can, for example, understand which IP services are most
accepted across the user base. IPSPs can analyze new
billing plans using actual subscriber usage data to gauge
potential revenues from the new billing plan compared to the
old one. After implementing usage-based billing, UPA allows
the IPSP to monitor the effects of new billing plans on sub-
scribers service usage, which in turn allows the IPSP to fur-
ther refine billing plans.
Figure 2 below is and example of a NARUS Intelligence
report that shows the distribution of average web traffic gener-
ated across percentile ranges of active web users. It is useful
for IPSPs that are analyzing current flat-rate models in anticipa-
WhiteCross WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions 4
Mbytes
66
60
54
48
43
36
30
24
18
12
6
01.0 2.0 3.0 4.0
Percentile Range of Active Subs
Traffic (Mbytes)
Figure 2 Web Traffic Distribution
Mby
tes
8
6
4
2
0
0.00.51.0
1.52.02.5
3.03.54.0
4.55.0
5.56.06.5
7.07.58.0
8.59.09.5
Percentile Range of Active Subs
Traffic (Mbytes)
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5 WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions WhiteCross
tion of moving to a usage-based model. The report is broken
out into two charts. The first chart shows the top 5% of users.
The second chart shows the bottom 95%. In this example, the
report shows that the top 4% of web users generated at least
10 megabytes of traffic per user. It also shows that users in the
top 5% range generate eight times as much web traffic (per
user) as users in the bottom 50%. If the IPSP was using a flat
rate billing model, this report could be used to identify this top
5% as the "costliest" segment of subscribers.This report also
provides critical input for creating new, usage-based billing
plans by showing IPSPs how service usage is distributed
across the active subscriber base. That is, this report identifies
the extent to which different segments of active subscribers are
using the service.
CHURN MANAGEMENT
A second challenge is protecting high-value customers
from competitors i.e. customer retention. Customers rarely
register their dissatisfaction with a service directly, preferring
to express it through a more indirect and costly mechanism,
i.e. by switching to a competitor. Churn is one of the costliest
problems faced by IPSPs today. Many IPSPs give it scant
consideration, preferring instead to replace lost customers
through enticements (lower flat-rate prices) or mergers andacquisitions. As the market moves towards saturation, how-
ever, these methods will prove ever more costly experi-
ence shows that once high-value customers are lost, they
are expensive to replace or entice back. Highest profits con-
tinue to be earned from existing customers who prefer to
remain with their current service provider subject to careful
management of their inertial hurdle the level at which their
dissatisfaction overrides their resistance to change.
Fortunately, customer dissatisfaction shows up early in
usage. Careful UPA will highlight subtle changes in customer
behavior and potential dissatisfaction with services reduced
session frequency, shorter sessions, and other changes in the
usage profile all indicate potential dissatisfaction. The answer to
the churn problem is in the detail; monitoring detailed usage
activity provides IP service providers the vehicle for designing
truly proactive customer responses.
NEW SERVICE OFFERINGS
By offering value-added services, IPSPs can attract newcustomers, increase profitability, and reduce churn. UPA pro-
vides an ideal means for understanding new trends in IP ser-
vices and content. By carefully monitoring where subscribers
are going on the web, what content they are downloading,
and what services they are using, an IPSP can determine
which value-added services or new content to offer.
For example, nearly every IPSP offers a home page to its
subscribers, generally consisting of a links page, a search
engine, news and weather reports, and e-commerce offer-
ings. With UPA, the services and offerings on these home
pages can be much more complete, effective, and targeted.
Consider a case in which an IPSP using UPA discovers that
streaming news video usage is trending upwards across the
user base. The IPSP may want to partner with CNN or other
news providers to offer that coverage directly on the IPSPs
homepage, thus keeping subscribers on the site longer and,
ultimately, increasing advertising revenue. Additionally, the
IPSP may see that most subscribers logged on to the net-
work from noon to one oclock PM are browsing e-commerce
sites. The IPSP may want to dynamically change its home-
page content during that hour to focus primarily on its e-com-
merce offerings before shifting back to streaming video newsclips for the 6:00 to 9:00 PM time slot. Used in this fashion,
UPA enables an IPSP to optimize the attractiveness of its
services across the boundaries of time, geography, and cus-
tomer segments.
ACCEPTABLE USE POLICY SETTING
MONITORING AND FRAUD DETECTION
An additional way that IPSPs can manage customers and
profitability is by setting, monitoring, and enforcing accept-
able use policies regarding email spam, account fraud,
home-based servers, etc.
One such policy concerns outgoing email usage. Spam,
or unsolicited commercial email, is at best a nuisance for
users and at worst, a serious liability that consumes network
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resources and can accelerate churn. With an effective UPA
solution, potential spammers are more easily identifiable
through statistical analysis of current and historic email
usage of the potential violators.
A second example is home server usage. Particularly on
broadband residential IP networks, subscribers that are only
paying for Internet access may be hosting servers, a direct
violation of the service agreement. Through proper monitor-
ing using UPA, an IPSP has a much greater chance of identi-
fying these policy violators and either charging them for the
hosting service or terminating their service agreement.
Figure 3 is another example of a NARUS Intelligence report
that can be used to help detect fraud.This report identifies the
extent of potential account fraud by showing the percentage of
users with simultaneous logins.The report identifies the per-
centage of users who potentially gave out their personal
account name and password to others.
An IPSP can use this report to understand the scope of
account fraud, and then use the NI report that identifies
these users (along with that users total connection time,
maximum number of simultaneous logins, and total traffic
generated in terms of megabytes) to cut down on this type of
fraud. By identifying these users and taking action, the IPSP
can reduce costs and free up resources for other, legitimate
users.
SUMMARY
An effective Usage Pattern Analysis solution provides the
insight and actionable information needed to implement and
manage new and creative billing plans, new and better ser-
vice offerings, improved churn management systems and
policies, and enforceable acceptable-usage policies.
WhiteCross WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions 6
11%
89%
Simultaneous Segment Number of UsersUsers with No Simultaneous Logins 11,856
Users with Simultaneous Logins 1,450
Figure 3 Simultaneous Logins
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7 WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions WhiteCross
This section describes the characteristics of an effective
UPA Solution. The major areas of consideration include data
collection, data analysis and transformation, and information
presentation and delivery.
DATA COLLECTION
An effective UPA solution is built on a foundation of a
robust, scalable, and complete data collection methodology.
The solution must capture subscribers detailed network
usage at the application level (layer 7 of the OSI Model) to
completely characterize the applications and services used
and the quality of the users experience. This data collection
must be scalable to meet the needs of even the largest
IPSPs, and, since UPA is the foundation of all IBI solutions,
data collection must be revenue-grade: All applications and
services must be visible, and no data can be lost.
DATA ANALYSIS AND TRANSFORMATION
Once data is collected, it must be correlated with off-line
data such as user demographics, billing data and customer
support history. By filtering, aggregating, and statistically
analyzing the data, it is transformed from its raw form into
meaningful business knowledge, upon which an IPSP can
effectively implement IBI solutions, introduce and enforce
effective policies, and offer new, value-added services.
An effective UPA solution is flexible, scalable, and robust.
It must be able to accept a variety of data sources, including
real-time data drawn directly from the network, batch infor-
mation drawn from application servers, gateways, and other
devices, and offline sources such as account histories, billing
databases, demographic data, etc. Since users are often per-
forming train of thought analyses, the UPA Solution must be
able to process and store tremendous volumes of data with
minimal lag time.
To better understand the issues an effective UPA solution
must overcome, consider an IPSP with 100,000 residential
broadband subscribers. Assume that each subscriber is
actively engaged on the network for one hour per day, and
assume that each generates 120 records per day (records
per day can vary dramatically depending on the granularity of
data captured; 120 records per day is an average number of
records). This means that the subscribers on the IPSPs net-
work will generate 12,000,000 records per day. To work with
60 days of IP data, the IPSP would need a UPA solution that
could handle 720,000,000 records in a timely fashion. This is
a conservative estimate; by changing just a few assumptions,
the numbers of records are counted in billions.
INFORMATION PRESENTATION
AND DELIVERY
The final key to an effective UPA solution is the presenta-
tion and delivery of actionable business information. An
effective UPA solution offers two broad choices to the user:
predefined reports and analyses that can be used out of the
box to enable rapid characterization of broad patterns, or
custom reporting and analyses that support directed inquiry
once the basic patterns have been characterized.
Predefined reports provide a range of basic statistics on
user and service traffic across time, geography and users.
Custom reporting and analyses can combine this information
with user demographics, billing data and customer support
history to analyze the potential of new billing plans, price
changes, and new products. Alternatively, the data can be
subjected to directed inquiry to highlight potential misuse of
services or to predict churn.
4characteristics of aneffective UPA solution
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The WhiteCross/NARUS UPA Solution is a multi-level solu-
tion based on the following:
s The NARUS IBI Platform for usage data collection
s The WX/DES engine for high-performance analytical
processing
s Powerful applications for manipulating and viewing
analytic information
The power of the WhiteCross/NARUS UPA Solution means that
it scales to millions of subscribers creating billions of events,
with average report generation time measured in seconds, not
minutes or hours.
NARUS IBI PLATFORM DATA COLLECTION
AND SESSION RECONSTRUCTION
NARUS performs usage data collection using several
technologies. The most unique is NARUS Semantic Traffic
Analysis (STA), which extracts usage data directly from high-
speed carrier networks. NARUS Analyzers provide a physical
interface to the network to monitor the data stream and
parse each packet to extract packet header and payload
information in order to reconstruct user sessions in real-time.
The Analyzers extract information identifying the user, the
application (e.g. web browsing, messaging, streaming media,
IP telephony) and the content (URL, email, video, multi-point
conference) of each session. The Analyzers are non-intru-
sive, passive devices that process traffic without introducing
any latency or impacting network throughput. They are typi-
cally installed at major traffic collection points within a
providers network, i.e. at primary points of presence (POPs).
Data from NARUS Analyzers can be easily supplemented
with data from network and application devices using
NARUS Virtual Analyzers. The Virtual Analyzers interface
with network devices (e.g. routers, switches, gateways) and
application devices (servers) and gather information using
industry standard or vendor proprietary methods. Virtual
Analyzers are available for collecting data from a wide range
of devices and techniques including SNMP; log files, Cisco
NetFlow, and others.
Applying business rules to the data from STA and Virtual
Analyzers, NARUS LogicServers turn network-level events
into events that have meaning in terms of a service
providers offerings. For example, a streaming media session
might generate records that record the total elapsed time, or
the number of bytes transferred, or simply the fact that a spe-
cific piece of content was accessed. With the flexibility to
apply different business rules, these real-time aggregators
can process the same stream of events in different ways to
meet the needs of different applications, such as fraud detec-
tion, policy monitoring or billing.
Feeding this stream of events to a WhiteCross Data
Exploration Server (WX/DES) provides IP service providers a
potent weapon for analyzing, understanding and managing
customers and networks in broadband environments.
WhiteCross WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions 8
5WhiteCross/NARUS UPA solution
Figure 4 WhiteCross/NARUS UPA Solution
NARUS Analyzers
NARUS Logic Servers
NARUS API
WhiteCross Data Exploration Server
NARUSIntelligence
WhiteCross
EasyStart
WhiteCross
Xcellerate
WhiteCross
ReportingService
WhiteCross
AnalyticalServices
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9 WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions WhiteCross
WHITECROSS SERVERS (WX/DES) DATA
ANALYSIS AND TRANSFORMATION
At the heart of the WhiteCross/NARUS UPA Solution is
the WX/DES. The WX/DES is a linearly scalable server
architecture providing in-memory processing of large vol-
umes of data from gigabytes to terabytes. As well as phe-
nomenal processing speed, the WX/DES architecture is
designed to minimize the amount of effort spent on database
design and management concurrent loading and analysis,
support for fast, complex joins, and optimized processing of
highly complex queries without the use of indexes all of
which makes the WX/DES a simple data independent, load-
and-go environment.
WX/DES provides a truly scalable platform with the power
to perform rapid analysis of large volumes of IP data at the
speed of thought. It is already used, for example, by telecom-
munication companies to analyze call detail records and by
ISPs to analyze web logs.
The WX/DES has the proven power to:
s Perform train-of-thought analysis (unconstrained ad
hoc exploration) of large volumes of IP data it scales
to billions of rows/second
s Handle complex joins between different data sources
e.g. IP data, lifestyle and billing data, input from CRM
systems and third-party feeds
s React rapidly to changes in analysis needs by quickly
adding new or additional data and making the resulting
data ensemble analysis-ready through a concurrent
load & go approach to the process of data ETL
(Extraction, Transformation and Loading).
Combined with WhiteCross extensive exploration suite,
ExplorationSTUDIO, the WX/DES provides powerful, applica-
tion-based business intelligence (reporting, exploration and
mining) for sophisticated predictive behavior modeling. It has
the proven capability to analyze usage patterns to the finest
level of detail across thousands of services, millions of cus-
tomers and billions of events.
WHITECROSS AND NARUS SOLUTIONS
INFORMATION PRESENTATION
NARUS and WhiteCross have teamed to make it espe-
cially easy for IPSPs to benefit from UPA without having to
make significant upfront investments in IT infrastructure and
staff. The WhiteCross/NARUS (WX/NARUS) ASP Services
provide a range of UPA services on a hosted basis, providing
24 hour, 7 days a week access to comprehensive reports
from anywhere in the world.
Services are provided that enable clients to benefit from
both WhiteCross and NARUS technology, tools, skills, and
experience, without the capital investment normally required
to build a similar system in-house. WX/NARUS ASP Services
offer a range of business intelligence services to suit a
clients needs including standard reporting, custom report
development, and behavioral modeling. WX/NARUS ASP
Services are entirely scalable to the needs of the business
and completely secure. Each service can be delivered direct-
ly to the business unit that needs them via frequent reportsor via interactive models accessible across a company s
Intranet. Current services offered include:
NARUS Intelligence 2.0
NARUS Intelligence 2.0 (NI 2.0) provides a comprehen-
sive set of predefined reports to IPSPs showing summary
information in aggregate and across services (web browsing,
email, streaming media, etc.), over time, across the sub-
scriber base, and by geographic area.
Figure 5 is an example report showing the kind of summary
information provided by NI 2.0. Using this report, an IPSP can
understand the relative value of services by comparing the per-
cent of active users of a service to the percent of total traffic
accounted for by that service.
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In this example, newsgroups traffic and streaming traffic
are equal (15%), but twice as many users utilize streaming
audio (30%) as utilize newsgroups (15%). Additionally, email
traffic (10%) accounts for a smaller percentage of total traffic
than either, yet 85% of active subscribers use the service.
With an understanding of the value of a service relative to
other services, the IPSP executive can move on to the set of
reports available for that service. These reports will show
how usage of that service is distributed over the subscriber
base, how it varies over time or by region, and (in the case of
web browsing and streaming audio and video) where users
are going for content.
WX/Reporting Services (WX/RS)
WX/RS is an on-going service designed to deliver regular
tailored reports, models, or analyses to IPSPs. Typical areas
covered:
s Usage Reporting These reports determine which
activities customers are interested in, which informa-
tion, applications, and services get their attention, andwhere they find the most value in service offerings.
They are designed to provide the information needed
to optimize pricing models and shift to value-based
pricing. Usage Reports provide information on services
that customers are using (e.g. email, web browsing, file
transfer, streaming media), the amount of bandwidth
they are consuming, and the quality of service they are
experiencing. They also identify the most active users
e.g. show usage patterns for the top X% of active
users, broken out by service.
s Segmentation Reporting These reports are designed
to improve targeting of customers and services. The
reports identify significant groups by geographic region,
access type, bandwidth consumption, etc. and identify
strong correlations between services usage. Combined
with Usage Reports and creative billing plans, segmenta-tion reporting allows an IPSP to truly differentiate ser-
vices and offer the most effective, targeted billing plans to
subscribers. Figure 7 shows a decision tree extracted from
an investigation looking at attributes that are common to
people who shop at a website.
WhiteCross WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions 10
Percent
Service
Video Conferencing
VoIP
Web Browsing
Streaming Video
Streaming Audio
News Groups
File Transfer
Email
0 30 60 90
Percent of Total Traffic Percent of Active Users
Service Email File News Streaming Streaming Web VoIP VideoTransfer Groups Audio Video Browsing Conferencing
Percent ofTotal Traffic 10 8 15 15 5 40 5 2
Percent ofActive Users 85 10 10 30 15 90 5 1
Figure 5 User and Traffic Profile by Service
N ( 31 8, 12 7) 2 9. 4%Y ( 76 2, 65 1) 7 0. 6%Total 1,080,778 32.5%
N (2,212,492)66 .4%Y (1,117,572)33 .6%Total 3,330,064
N (18, 409) 28. 8%Y (45, 423) 71. 2%Tota l 63 ,082 1 .9%
N ( 27 7, 79 3) 3 4. 6%Y ( 52 4, 23 5) 6 5. 4%Total 802,028 24.1%
Type DType A
SEGMENT
Type CType B
FOOD_DRINK
ASTROLOGIST
GENDER HEALTH FITNESS INCOME FOOD_DRINK
GENDER GAMBLER TECHIE ACCESS
GENDER
NYYN
Y N F M
N (1,894,365)84 .2%Y ( 35 4, 92 1) 1 5. 8%Total 2,249,286 67.5%
N (2,848) 61.8%Y (1,758) 38.2%Tot al 4, 606 0. 1%
N (75,765) 9 4.1%Y (4,721) 5.9%To ta l 8 0, 48 6 2 .4 %
N (1,537,370)87 .8%Y ( 21 3, 83 8) 1 2. 2%Total 1,751,208 52.6%
N (78,613) 92.4%Y (6,479) 7.6%To ta l 8 5, 09 2 2 .6 %
N ( 278, 38 2) 6 7. 4%Y ( 134, 60 4) 3 2. 6%Total 412,986 12.4%
N (40,334) 14.5%Y ( 23 8, 41 6) 8 5. 5%Total 278,750 8.4%
N (21,925) 10.2%Y ( 19 2, 99 3) 8 9. 8%Total 214,918 6.5%
Figure 7 Automated Segmentation Analysis
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
Hour
0 2 4 68 1
0 12 1
416
18 2
022
VDOLive
KERBEROS
IMSPSMTP
TCP
VDOLive
NETBIOS-SSN
TELNET
KERBEROS
DOMAIN
FTP
IMSP
IMAP2
AUTH
SMTP
HTTPS
AOL
TCPPOP3
HTTP
Figure 6 Protocol Usage by Hour of Day
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11 WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions WhiteCross
s Customer Profiling These reports are designed to
score customers according to their value to the compa-
ny. The reports identify profitable versus unprofitable
customers, customers likely to churn, customers likely
to commit fraud, and customers abusing acceptable
use policies. The reports show an individual users
behavior over a specified period (e.g., which services
they used, when, and how much). The reports drill
down to which services an individual user prefers, and
which times of the week are peak times for them.
s Content Reporting These reports are designed to
generate important metrics for web content: popularity
of web sites, stickiness, long-term appeal, etc. These
reports also identify the characteristics of users using
the sites from an analysis of data such as raw hits, hits
by user segment, amount of time spent at site, number
of visits over specific time periods, sites visited per ses-
sion, pages viewed, content categories, etc. Figure 8 is
an example report showing the daily popularity of a page
by the hour.
s Network Usage Reporting These reports provide
network managers and architects with complete visibili-
ty into their networks. They are used to assist in reduc-
ing costs by optimizing usage of available network
resources. The reports help diagnose potential problem
areas within the network, optimally configure and man-
age all aspects of network operations, and make the
most cost-effective decisions regarding future equip-
ment investments.
WX/Analytical Services (WX/AS)
WX/AS is an on-going service for proactive investigation
of time critical business developments or changes in market
or customer behavior. Typical areas covered:
s Pricing These analyses measure the impact of pric-
ing on usage behavior, assist with the development of
models for optimization of pricing, analyze impact of re-
pricing, measure profitability by customer/day/time/etc
s Campaign Targeting These analyses identify key
customer segments, analyze the impact of special
offers, identify most/least profitable customers, and up-
selling/cross-selling opportunities
s Churn These analyzes build profiles of normal
usage to predict future customer behavior and to flag
patterns likely to predict churn, identify loyal customer
patterns and the impact of enticements.
PageImpressions
1600000
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday
Monday
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Page Impression by Day and HourAge Band 25-36
Hours of Day
Figure 8 Page Impressions by Day and Hour
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13 WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions WhiteCross
WX/NARUS ASP offers several services: one out-of-the-
box service (NARUS Intelligence), two project-based ser-
vices (WX/EasyStart & WX/Xcellerate) to establish the
framework and scope of working relationships as well as
delivering initial results, and two on-going services
(WX/Reporting Service & WX/Analytical Service) to deliver
results to clients in a continuous manner.
NARUS Intelligence 2.0is an easy to deploy, out-of-the box
reporting tool. The predefined reports contained in NARUS
Intelligence 2.0 allow an IPSP to quickly start viewing sum-
mary reports on network usage, both in aggregate and
across major IP services (web browsing, email usage,
streaming media, VoIP, etc.). The reports provide a great way
for an IPSP to start generating and viewing information and
as inputs into billing decisions, policy setting and monitoring,
and service profiling.
WX/EasyStart (WX/ES)is a project-based service for start-
up companies or business units that require basic analysis
and reporting. WX/ES provides clients a menu of reports andanalyses from which to choose. WX Consultants work with
client personnel to
1. Identify the most urgent business
issues to be investigated.
2. Determine appropriate data sources
and build the initial data ensemble.
3. Build the reports and analysis.
Once the scope of work for the WX/ES engagement is
complete, it is time to move into an on-going service mode,
either via a WX/Reporting Service or a WX/Analytical Service.
WX/Xcellerate (WX/XC) is a project-based service for
companies with needs that are more complex or those who
wish to expand their portfolio of analytical applications.
WX/Xcellerate is based on WhiteCross proven Exploration
Workshop methodology. WhiteCross facilitated workshops
are staffed by WhiteCross and NARUS consultants who work
with business managers to rapidly develop and interrogate
business scenarios to identify critical opportunities and return
high priority results. The key deliverable for extracting maxi-
mum information value is the design and construction of an
initial or expanded data ensembleand associated analyses
and reports. Once the scope of work for the WX/XC engage-
ment is complete, it is time to move into an on-going service
mode, either via a WX/Reporting Service or a WX/Analytical
Service.
WX/Reporting Service (WX/RS)is an on-going, continuous
service delivering regular reports, models or analyses to the
client. These reports can be provided in multiple forms to suit
specific needs for example, as hard copy, as spread-
sheets, as OLAP cubes, as a data summary, as SQL, etc. A
reporting service can take the form of reports or models, for
example, of high-profit customers, customer segmentations,
service usage, etc. Business managers can access the
Figure 9 WX/EasyStart & WX/Xcellerate
Process Flow
7appendix WX/NARUS delivery
service
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WhiteCross WhiteCross/NARUS IBI Solut ions 14
reports and analyses from their desktops for ad-hoc updates
as well as receive regularly scheduled delivery of updates.
WX/Analytical Service (WX/AS)is an on-going, continuous
service providing the use of WX/NARUS technology and
experts for the proactive investigation of time-critical business
developments and changes in market or customer behavior.
WX/NARUS provides the capability to execute complex analy-
ses at the direction and discretion of the client or at the initia-
tive of WX/NARUS. WX/NARUS provides a forward-looking
competitive intelligence function through this service.
WX/AS projects include ad-hoc analysis, data mining,
and data exploration projects to investigate particular busi-
ness issues or opportunities for maximizing the yield from
customer information assets.These may be based on
WX/NARUS existing portfolio of applications such as Churn
or Pricing, or be custom developed to meet a clients specific
needs. Examples include: special customer segmentation
exercises; churn analyses, profit sensitivity to pricing
changes, and preemptive competitive analyses.
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388 Market Street
Suite 1450
San Francisco, CA 94111 USA
Tel: 415 249 0124
Fax: 415 908 6889
Waterside Park
Cookham Road
Bracknell RG12 1RB
United Kingdom
Tel: 44 (0) 1344 300770
Fax: 44 (0) 1344 301424
www.whitecross.com