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Transcript of White Paper Final v 2
7/30/2019 White Paper Final v 2
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/white-paper-final-v-2 1/12
Before building Entelo and since we’ve started the company, we’ve hadhundreds (probably over a thousand by now!) of conversations with people
about how they recruit. We’ve heard all sorts of interesting stories and a lot of
great ideas. A recent conversation with a recruiter spurred something that’s
been smoldering for a while here at Entelo.
This recruiter felt that the recruiting industry is getting it wrong. He believes that
there is too much focus on the wrong aspects of recruiting and that, if you could
shift the recruiting mindset, recruiters would be more successful and companies
would be more satisfied with their recruiters. And for him, the missing piece
boiled down to one metric:
Candidate Response Rate (CRR)
Companies in fast-growth mode that are attempting to fill in-demand roles
in technology, sales, marketing, etc. can’t simply wait for the right candidates to
come to them. They need to proactively find their talent. In the industry, this is
referred to as passive candidate sourcing (a somewhat weak phrase for a
critical company activity, but that’s a topic for another day!). Facebook does this.
So does Google. And if you believe the research, many more companies will bedoing passive candidate sourcing in the future.
If you’re doing passive candidate sourcing, the number of responses you
receive from candidates is a function of two variables: (1) The number of
candidates you contact and (2) the percentage of candidates who respond.
Inside the Brain of the Passive Candidate
www.Entelo.com [email protected] @Entelo!
7/30/2019 White Paper Final v 2
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Let’s break down each element.
(1) The number of candidates you
contact: Theoretically, this number is
unlimited. The major limitation here is
your time as a recruiter. However,
there are two schools of thought.
School #1: Recruiters should aim for
volume, trying to mass-message as
many people as possible. This is one
of the benefits people find in tools like
LinkedIn Recruiter. It allows them to
mass-message more efficiently,thereby increasing the number of
people who have been contacted.
School #2: Mass-messaging
candidates is not efficient. For
starters, it’s not ideal for candidates to
receive dozens of generic-sounding
messages in their Inbox each week.
Many of the opportunities might not
be right for them. Some candidates
even view these messages as spam,
which both annoys them (to the point
that many folks have stopped
checking their LinkedIn InMails) and
potentially reflects negatively on you
and your company.
(2) The number of candidates who
respond: Sending customizedmessages to candidates is often best
(see a thorough blog post on this
here). Personalized messages
involves doing homework on potential
candidates to assess fit and crafting
messages specifically for each
candidate. This process makes for a
much better candidate experience
(most candidates are thrilled to
receive messages from recruiters who
very clearly took the time to
understand their work and expertise).
The response rate from custom
messages is significantly higher than
that from mass-messaging
But thoroughly researching
candidates and crafting custom
messages is hard work. An
automated sourcing tool like Entelocan save you 80-90% of research
time. Nevertheless, time and effort will
need to be spent in using that
research to draft a custom message.
Because of this time commitment,
you’re only going to be able to send a
certain number of messages per day.
Therein lies the rub and the crux of
this whitepaper.
If you’re limited in the number of
messages you can send per day, then
one of the most important decisions
you’ll be making as a recruiter is
which candidates you choose to
message. This decision will be a
critical factor in determining your
organization’s success.
For many open reqs, there are more
than enough quality candidates. Tools
like Entelo, LinkedIn and others make
it possible to view candidates with the
skills that you’re company needs. If
you’re looking for a Ruby on Rails
Inside the Brain of the Passive Candidate
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7/30/2019 White Paper Final v 2
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engineer in the Bay Area and there
are 10,000 Ruby on Rails engineers in
the area, you can’t message all
10,000 of them in the appropriate
fashion. You must choose your battles
wisely. How do you do that?
Identify which passive candidates
are actually more likely to be open
to new opportunities.
The rest of this whitepaper is devoted
to the signals that you can use to
identify which passive candidates
may be more likely to take on newopportunities.
#1 - Company-level data
Company-level data is composed ofinformation and news about the
company where a candidate is
currently working. There are pros and
cons to using company-level
indicators.
Pros - When you identify data which
suggests that candidates may be
more likely to change jobs, youidentify a whole new host of
candidates to contact. For example,
let’s say that Acme Software Corp just
announced that they will be laying off
1,000 people at the end of the year.
This immediately raises the odds that
people at Acme may be more likely to
leave, either because they fear being
laid off themselves or because lay-
offs typically have such a hit to morale
that even those with more job security
start to look around. If you’re attuned
to these things, it can mean that you
now have many candidates who may
be more receptive to your job
opening.
Cons - Company-level data is often
not the most powerful indicator of
propensity to change jobs. Even in
companies with bleak environments,there are often many die-hards who
won’t want to leave. The inverse is
also true. Companies that are doing
well have people leaving them all of
the time for a variety of reasons. If
you’re only focused on company-level
data, you would miss these
individuals. Therefore, you also need
to look at individual-level data, which
is explained in the second half of this
whitepaper.
When you’re looking at company-level
data, keep in mind that you’re looking
for anything that would suggest a
candidate’s propensity to leave or not
leave their current job. Even more
important, look for leading indicators
of candidate availability.
We’ve done countless hours of
research on this topic. Below is a list
of things to look for.
Inside the Brain of the Passive Candidate
www.Entelo.com [email protected] @Entelo!
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#1 - Company layoff announcements.
This is perhaps the #1 leading
indicator of employees departing the
company and looking for new
opportunities. Of course, there’s the
obvious fact that those being laid off
will leave the company. But when
layoffs happen, it typically means that
others who aren’t laid off start looking
for greener pastures. The
announcement of impending layoffs
significantly raises the odds that the
company’s employees will changejobs in the coming months. It’s one of
the reasons why layoff
announcements can be so toxic to a
company.
What to do: As a recruiter, you should
spend at least a portion of your day
paying attention to the business
press. Read the high-profile
newspapers and online media
publishing business news, and set up
google alerts.
#2 - High-profile departures. Another
sign of trouble at a company is when
senior-level executives leave. The
departure of, say, the VP of
Engineering of a company doesn’t
necessarily mean that others will
defect as well but, as with all of thesethings, you’re playing the odds. There
are a number of reasons why the
“domino effect” exists within
companies. Sometimes it signals
internal struggles. Often, the senior-
level executives will see trouble on the
horizon earlier.
What to do: Similar to layoff
announcements, you’ll learn a lot of
this through the business press. Think
about where high-profile departures
get announced for your industry/
geographic location and pay attention
to those publications. You can even
set up custom Google alerts to help
you stay on top of these types of
events.
#3 - Stock price declines. For
candidates working at publicly-traded
companies, one of the biggest
leading indicators of people leaving is
the recent performance of the stock
price. Stock price declines are telling
Inside the Brain of the Passive Candidate
www.Entelo.com [email protected] @Entelo!
7/30/2019 White Paper Final v 2
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of all sorts of things. They may
precede the kind of rough financial
performance that could lead to
layoffs. Poor stock performance also
affects employee stock option value,
which could impact retention. And
stock price is of course highly
correlated with morale in a company.
At the end of the day, very few people
want to go work in a dreary
environment all day.
What to do: Stay in touch with stock
price movements for companies that
you are recruiting from (e.g., if you arerecruiting for a gaming startup, you
might include the ticker symbols of all
of the publicly-traded gaming
companies in your portfolio). Set up a
portfolio on a site like Google Finance
and check in every day or two. In
addition to being able to better track
stock price movements, you’ll also get
updated news on related companies.
#4 - Acquisitions. When companies
get acquired, people leave. Not
everyone leaves and people typically
don’t leave right away, but the news of
a company getting acquired is
something to pay attention to. There is
typically a lock-up period in which
people who leave prior to the lock-up
will forfeit significant value, butemployees nevertheless find
something else right away. Many
startup employees get quickly
frustrated by big company
bureaucracy and choose to leave
money on the table instead of
continuing to work in a stifling
environment.
What to do: There’s a two-step
approach here. First, be aware of
acquisitions. You’re probably not
going to have the best results
emailing people right after the
acquisition is announced. Other
recruiters are likely contacting them
and candidates haven’t really had a
chance to know if they will enjoy
working for the acquirer. It’s better to
wait a month or two before sending a
message.
In addition, you may want to set up a
task to reach out to the candidate 10
months or so after the acquisition. The
lock-up may expire after 12 months
(many are longer, typically 24 months)
but even if it doesn’t, the 1-year mark
may be important financially. If
candidates know that they will be
leaving after 1 year, the 10-month
mark (give or take a month) is
typically when employees start
looking for new opportunities.
#5 - IPOs. IPOs are almost identical to
acquisitions in that many people will
stay through the IPO but depart
shortly thereafter (e.g. high-profile
Facebook departures after the IPO).IPOs tend to be less determinate
because many people will leave prior
to the IPO and some will stay well
past, particularly if the stock does
well. The event of an IPO has an
emotional component as well, as
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there are few things that are more
enjoyable than being at company
headquarters on IPO day.
What to do: At the risk of sounding
like a broken record here, pay
attention to the business press.
Other factors:
#6 - Funding status. If a company
announced funding a while ago buthasn’t announced anything recently,
it’s possible that the company may be
on the verge of shutting down. Sites
like Crunchbase can be helpful in
identifying this. Also look for any
press that the company has gotten
recently.
#7 - Bankruptcy or shutdown. By the
time a bankruptcy or shutdown isannounced, the writing has typically
been on the wall for a while and most
employees have secured new jobs,
but occasionally these
announcements are actionable (e.g.,
Lehman Brothers filing for bankruptcy
on short notice during the financial
crisis of 2008).
#8 - Alexa/Compete/Quantcast rank.
The health of consumer Internet
companies can often be ascertained,
at least in part, by their web traffic.
That information is publicly available
on sites like Alexa, Compete and
Quantcast.
#9 - Negative news about company
culture. Occasionally, there will be a
story in the press about the negativeconditions at a particular company.
While sometimes this is just the
feelings of a few select employees,
often where there’s smoke, there’s
also fire.
#10 - Quarterly earnings
announcements. This is tightly tied to
stock price. When a company
announces that they missed their
earnings for a quarter, that’s usually a
sign of worse news to come.
This list may seem overwhelming.
Remember that incorporating any of
this data into your recruiting process
will put you ahead of 99% of
recruiters. While savvy recruiters look
at many of the above items, mostdon’t, which is a huge missed
opportunity.
One final point on company-level
data: the above data points should
not be thought of as data only for one
Inside the Brain of the Passive Candidate
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specific company. Industries often
move in lockstep. If you hear that a
company is announcing layoffs, it’s
possible that it’s competitors may also
be announcing layoffs soon (due to
macro-level factors). Factor this into
your calculations as well.
#2 - Individual-level data
There are a lot of things to consider at
the company-level which play a role in
a candidate’s potential availability.
However, there might be even more
individual-level data to consider.
Recruiters have exponentially more
data available to them today than
ever before. As we mentioned with
company-level data, this can seem
overwhelming but once again,
remember that by incorporating even
just a small amount of this type of
data into your recruiting process,
you’ll be significantly ahead of most ofthe recruiters that you’re competing
with for talent.
Here are the things to look for in an
individual candidate to assess
whether or not they may be open to a
new opportunity.
#1 - Length of time at existing
company.
You can think of this like a bell curve.
People that have been at their job for
only a few months aren’t likely to be
looking for something new at this
point. Even if they are, it raises a red
flag that they might be a job hopper
and even if you could hire them, you
may not want to. On the other hand,people who have been at their jobs
for, say, 10 years, are also unlikely to
be randomly looking to leave their
company after all that time.
You want to focus on the “most
likelies,” which includes people who
have been at their job for anywhere
between 10 months to 4 years. It
breaks down like this:
10-month mark - If someone is
miserable early in the lifecycle of their
job, they will often look to wrap up in a
year and may be looking for their next
gig around the 10-month mark. Also,
employees may have a 1-year cliff for
stock options that they want to hit
before leaving. If they are looking toleave after 1 year, they’ll likely start
poking around for new stuff around
the 10-month mark. If your message
arrives then, the timing could be
perfect.
Inside the Brain of the Passive Candidate
www.Entelo.com [email protected] @Entelo!
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2-year mark - As with the 1-year mark,
the 2-year mark is also significant. It
often will mean that employees are
50% vested in terms of shares and 2
years at a company usually looks
better than a 1-year stint. Similar to
the above, you may want to reach out
to them 2-3 months in advance of
their 2-year anniversary.
4-year mark - This is the point at
which many people become fully
vested. If things have gone really well
for someone at a company, staying 4
years is usually pretty common. Andvery few people would fault an
employee for leaving after 4 years.
So the sweet spot for recruiting
passive candidates is usually
between 10 months and 4 years with
“spikes” at 10 months, 21-22 months
and around 45 months.
What to do: Looking specifically for
people who have been at their
company for 21-22 months is hard.
However, this general thinking should
guide you when looking at a
candidate. Someone who looks great
on paper but has only been at their
company for 5 months is typically not
as good a candidate as someone
who looks slightly less ideal but who
has been with their current company
for 23 months.
#2 - Social networking activity.
If you’re looking for the top leading
indicator of a career change, you’ve
found it. Most people don’t change
their social networking profiles very
often. They may be undertaking a lotof activity on a social network (e.g.,
posting status updates to Facebook)
but actual profile changes are rare.
When they happen, more often than
not, it’s because people realize that
someone will likely be viewing their
profiles soon and they want to make
sure their profiles looks as good and
accurate as possible. Sound like a job
hunt? :)
Social networking activity indicators:
Profile updates - This is the obvious
one. When people change certain
things on their LinkedIn, Twitter,
Github and other profiles, it is highly
correlated with their starting to look
for a new career opportunity. Ofcourse, this isn’t true 100% of the
time. But once again, we’re looking for
positive correlation, not perfect
correlation.
Inside the Brain of the Passive Candidate
www.Entelo.com [email protected] @Entelo!
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Uptick in activity - A recent uptick in
activity is another important indicator.
Did someone who never used to go to
Meetups all of a sudden start
attending them frequently? Or
perhaps you see someone on Github
who has committed a lot of code very
recently. These things can often be
highly correlated to someone looking
for a new job.
New membership on social sites -
Engineers are starting to hear that
Github is the new resume. This
motivates engineers who don’talready have a Github profile to
create one before they begin a new
job hunt. The same is true for many
other sites. There is a challenge here
in that many sites don’t make it easy
to determine when a profile was
created, but if you are able to figure
that out, it can be helpful.
Connecting with recruiters - If you
notice that someone you are
connected with starts connecting with
recruiters, that’s often a sign that
they’re looking to make a move. In
addition, if you see a lot of back and
forth on Twitter between a candidate
and a recruiter (even if it’s just friendly
banter and not related to work) that
can also be a leading indicator.
Adding recommendations on LinkedIn
- This is probably the biggest
giveaway that someone is looking to
make a move. After all, almost no one
thinks about asking for
recommendations when they are
happy at their current job. LinkedIn
lists the date the recommendation
was posted. Looking for the addition
of new recommendations when you’re
looking at a candidate’s profile could
give you a leg up.
Sentiment analysis on Twitter - While
it’s possible that someone’s “mood”
on Twitter can indicate their potential
willingness to make a career move,
this is tough to get right. There are too
many factors here to consider and so
much noise vs. signal for mostpeople. Sure, if you see someone say
“I hate my job and my boss is a
schmuck” on Twitter, then that person
might be open to a new career
opportunity. But this may not be the
person you want to hire anyways.
What to do: We’re publicly launching
something on Entelo to greatly help
with this soon but in the meantime,
check out tools like Bullhorn Radar,
Job Change Notifier and LinkedIn
Signal. These tools have varying
degrees of efficacy for this (e.g.,
Bullhorn Radar only shows you
changes for your 1st degree LinkedIn
connections; Job Change Notifier
sometimes isn’t helpful because it
often shows you people who havealready changed jobs, etc.) but these
tools can provide valuable insights.
LinkedIn Signal in particular can be
useful because it will allow you to see
changes for people you aren’t
connected to (a relatively recent
Inside the Brain of the Passive Candidate
www.Entelo.com [email protected] @Entelo!
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feature) although the interface
through which to do this is fairly
confusing.
#3 - Explicit hiring signals
All of the signals that we have listed
thus far are primarily indications that
someone might be looking for a new
opportunity. The aforementionedindicators are positively correlated
with passive candidates being on the
lookout for something new, and can
serve as strong signals of candidate
availability.
However, it’s even easier when
passive candidates explicitly say that
they are looking for something new.
This is the middle ground between acandidate actively applying for a job
via your company website or a job
board and a passive candidate who
has not explicitly stated an interest in
a new opportunity. Below are ways
that people signal that they are
looking.
#1 - Language indicators in socialnetworking profiles. Candidates will
often put phrases into their bios,
resumes, etc. that signal that they are
looking. Examples of these are things
like the following:
“actively pursuing”
“actively seeking”
available
“available for”
“in search of”
“new job”
“new opportunity”
“new opportunities”
“open to”
pursuing
seeker
seeking
These are just a dozen. There are
hundreds more of these types of
phrases that might be utilized and
many recruiters will incorporate
Boolean strings to find resumes that
match on these phrases. (Note: You
will typically find a good number of
false positives when doing these
types of searches.)
Glen Cathey at Boolean Black Belt
has written a very comprehensive
article on this topic entitled How to
Find and Identify Active Job Seekers
on LinkedIn. We highly recommend
Inside the Brain of the Passive Candidate
www.Entelo.com [email protected] @Entelo!
7/30/2019 White Paper Final v 2
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that you check it out for additional
background.
LinkedIn is also a special case here
for another reason. Every LinkedIn
profile contains “Opportunity
Preferences,” a section that allows
each user to signal their openness to
being contacted about various things.
The settings in this section are as
follows:
• Career opportunities
• Expertise requests
• Consulting offers• Business deals
• New ventures
• Personal reference requests
• Job inquiries
• Requests to reconnect
“Career opportunities” and “Job
inquiries” are the items most closely
correlated with someone’s likelihood
of being open to something new.
“New ventures” might also have some
signal, especially if you’re recruiting
for a startup. Do note that these
preferences are notoriously out-of-
date much of the time for candidates.
That said, it does make sense to look
at these for each candidate that
you’re planning to contact. LinkedIn
strongly advises against contactingcandidates for inquiries unless they
have explicitly mentioned that they
are open to that type of
communication.
#2 - Participation in hiring-related
sites. Recently, there has been a rise
in sites that attempt to match job-
seekers and employers in a non-
public way. While these services are
still fairly niche, they can often provide
good candidates depending upon the
industry and geographic region that
you’re focused on (they’re best right
now for tech candidates in major U.S.
cities). Some examples are the
following:
AngelList Talent
Developer AuctionStartupDigest VIP
WhiteTruffle
Sites like these are either completely
free (in the case of AngelList) or
charge a fee only upon successful
placement of a candidate. This lowers
the risk of using these services to no
avail.
#3 - Presence in a resume database.
While resume databases are on the
decline in many industries (the growth
of social networking sites has, in large
part, led to their demise) they can still
be valuable sources of data. For free
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resume databases and any paid resume databases that you have access to,
you should be looking for the following:
Recently added resumes. Candidates typically only add their resume to a
database when they start looking. If the database allows you to see who recently
added their resume, you’ll get a good sense of availability.
Recently updated resumes. Similar to recently added resumes, people typically
only update their resumes when they are thinking about looking for something
new.
Other explicit signals. There are literally hundreds of other ways for people to
explicitly signal their availability. For example, on the website Dribbble, people
have a flag called Hire Me that indicates their openness to new opportunities.
Freelance websites are other good places to look as the mere presence of aprofile on one of these sites typically signals openness to job inquiries.
What to do: Familiarize yourself with the various signals that are out there related
to explicit availability. Then, depending on the roles that you’re looking to fill, do
a deeper dive in the areas that are the most relevant to you. For example, if
you’re doing tech recruiting in the Bay Area, definitely sign up for AngelList,
WhiteTruffle, etc. as there’s no harm in doing so and it may yield some
candidates. If you’re recruiting for a position where people commonly post their
resumes to a resume database, actively check for new and newly updated
resumes.
Summary
There are, no doubt, many factors that can signal passive candidate availability.
We’re really excited about what we’re releasing at Entelo, which relates to many
of the things discussed in this whitepaper. If you’re interested in using our
product, sign up at www.Entelo.com. We wish you the best in your recruiting
efforts and if you have additional ideas on this topic, please don’t hesitate to
drop us a line at [email protected].
Inside the Brain of the Passive Candidate
www.Entelo.com [email protected] @Entelo!