Where Were Ware Wear a bles Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA.
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Transcript of Where Were Ware Wear a bles Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA.
![Page 1: Where Were Ware Wear a bles Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA.](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022081603/56649e435503460f94b37003/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
WhereWereWareWear ables
Peter Cochrane
ConceptLabs CA
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The next 20 years will see more change that the previous 200…
…this is the nature of exponential change
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QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
Beyond maps & mapping….
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…and beyond satellite images…
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Home made maps
& activity tracking
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USA amateurs are now venturing into 3D maps with panoramic camera additions of specific locations + vidcam feeds and data from sensors
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My prediction
Positioning systems will become as essentialas communication nets in the future economy
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People look at problems through one of these:
When they actually need one of these:
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Faster & faster wealth generation
0102030405060708090
100
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
New
Com
pan
y V
alu
e
US$Bn
PCInternet
Year
Mobile
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Prediction
2015
Super iPod
Every music track ever recorded on a single device in your shirt pocket…
…& 10 years later every movie…
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Change takes time…
Mobile phones > Fixed line = 12 yearsDigital Fax > Analogue Fax = 8 yearsColour TV > B&W TV = 11 yearsCD > Audio Tape = 9 yearsDVD > VHS Tape = 7 yearsDigital Nets > Analogue Nets = 15 yearsOptical Fibre > Copper + Microwave = 20 years
Society Companies Consumers Technologies
4020
101
Change
Time
Years
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Business
TechnologyPeople
HotSpot
Where the action always is!
Echo- System
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QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor
are needed to see this picture.
A commonly held view…more of the same… …but better!
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Today: Big growth areas in mobile...
• Gambling
• Ring Tones
• Wallet
• Pic sharing
•Music sharing
•Movie sharing
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Tomorrow: Big growth areas in mobile...
• Positioning
• Tracking
• Monitoring
• Sensors
• Healthcare
•Navigation
• Security
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watch
Phone
Game Console
GPS Device
Television
Walkie-Talkie
Rolodex
FM Radio
Camcorder
Camera
PDA
Pager
PortableMP3/Video
PC
What is All This Garbage?Let’s converge into one device
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Or a nightmare offeature death…doing everythingbadly?
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Personal Space
Bluetooth
UWB
RFID
LAN MAN WANPAN
City
Community
WMAN
WiMAX
Beam Forming
Cellular/Satellites
International
HSDPA
WCDMA
UMTS
WLAN 802.11X
WiFi
Campus, Office, Airport, Home
The dream….…seamless access!
3m 30m 3km Ubiquitous
Cameras - VOIP - Sensors - Positioning
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RFID will revolutionize every aspect of the supply chain - from raw materials to manufacture, logistics, supply & support.
In the field of healthcare RFID will save lives, increase efficiency and reduce costs.
A retail revolution - RFID &WiFi in every EPOS
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RFID + multiple sensor chips + nano gyroswill also fit inside mobile phones
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Cell Phone also becomes: a wallet, transaction centre, passport, ID and passport, insurance/medical record + locator and tracking device
Location by: triangulation, GPS, RFID, EPOS, WiFi, BlueTooth, NanoGyros - inertial record….
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If time = money......then so does position!
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Current GPS Applications
PowerTelecommunicationLaw EnforcementEmergency ServicesWeather ScientificConstructionCensusRecreationAsset Tracking
AviationMaritimeHighwayRailroadMass TransitCrime PreventionSurveyingAgricultureBankingDefenc(s)e
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2015
2005 = GPS Alone ~100 - 10m….military ~1m 2010 = GPS + GSM~1m…… military ~10cm2015 = GPS + GSM+ EPOS + MEMS ~1cm
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Ford Escape HEV Ford Escape HEV
The destruction of the insurance industryby RFID + GPS +++?
Where are my things?
Who has them?
What are they doing?
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One of the biggest opportunities… …risk mitigation in logistics…
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Things sometimes go abit wrong!
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>10,000 containersper yearpushed overboardin stormy weather…
…or lost atsea by somemechanism
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RFID
Packs
Containers
Goods
Higher orders of complexity
to come!
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Average truck fill in the UK ~17%
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In the next phase RFID + GPS +AI takes over….
…and > $2T may be saved!
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On-Line Monitoring Anywhere Anytime Any Activity
Sporting
Working
Zzzzzzz...
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Surrogate surgery
Dublin
Sheffield
MM, VR, Telepresence will change...
...the way service is delivered& education & training isprovided
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A world of opportunity & risk….
Thank you,
cochrane.org.ukconceptlabs.net