Wheels Off! Or On? - TAAD€¦ · Risk Variables MHP vs RVP •MHP’s are generally more stable...
Transcript of Wheels Off! Or On? - TAAD€¦ · Risk Variables MHP vs RVP •MHP’s are generally more stable...
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Wheels Off! Or On? The In’s and Out’s of Mobile Home Parks
Actual footage…
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HUDManufacturing Process Changes
Where there’s a tornado….
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Importance of MHP/RVP
• Manufactured housing provides a low cost housing option
• RV’s provide temporary or transitional housing options
• Both exist to fill a void left by multifamily and traditional housing
Affordable Housing is a Real Problem!
• The current MEDIAN sale price in US is $238,000 - Zillow
• Current MEDIAN Rental Rate in US is $1,690 – Zillow
• The Current Median Household Income in US is $59,055
• Housing Expenditures (PITI) are over 35% of Gross Income!!
• Housing Expenditures (PITI) are over 43% of Net Income!!!
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Largest owner of mobile homemanufacturing and financing in the U.S
Affordable Housing – Homeless
Tiny Houses Not Allowed…
• Tiny Houses not defined in most city zoning codes.• By default, they aren’t allowed
• “It doesn’t say you can, so, you cant”
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Meet The Cramper!
Is it a bicycle? Is it an RV?Cities: How can we regulate it?
Assessors: Is it taxable?
Cities want a solution, but are afraid of MHP’s• Council members will say they want a solution, but, MHP’s are
politically risky • “Single minded seekers of re-election”• Scarcity of Land is also a factor
“We need a solution” “Not In My Backyard!”
Analyzing MHP’s RVP’s• Ultimately comes down to Supply and Demand
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Demand Analysis
• Current Vacancy Rate of Parks in Jurisdiction
• Employment Centers
• Manufacturing, Construction, Skilled Trades
• For RV’s: Not just vacation!!!
• Oil/Gas Industry
Man Camps
• Oil & Gas Industry must house workers• Mainly in Remote Locations• Major Formation Developments• Pipeline Installation
MHP – Revenue Sources
• Lot Rent
• Late Fees!!
• “Park Owned” Trailers
• Utilities Markup
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RVP Revenue Sources
• Lot Rent
• Late Fees!!
• Utilities Markup
• Laundry/Vending
Miscellaneous Income• The late fees are a big deal!!
• Utilities markup and sub metering is usually regulated by state law
• RV parks may utilize monthly flat fees for electric
• RV Parks may also do “All Bills Paid”
MHP Expense Analysis
• MHP’s with land only will be comparable to industrial property expense ratios.
• Park owned trailers will increase maintenance cost significantly.
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MHP Expense Analysis
• MHP’s with all park owned trailers will see expenses similar to older multifamily
• On site sewer facilities and well water supplies will increase expense ratios as well.
RVP Expense Analysis
• Don’t forget the trash!
• Utilities will likely be all bills paid or submeter• Offsetting revenue/expenses
• Common area maintenance – pool, clubhouse, etc.
• Lots of weedeating!
• Road maintenance can be costly
• Septic system maintenance
Risk Factors – Cap Rate Analysis
• #1 Risk/Cap Rate Factor… Management!!!
• AKA… How much time am I going to have to spend on this thing?
• Large parks with low Owner Involvement = Low CAP
• Small parks with high Owner Involvement = High CAP
• Big Question: Would you rather work for 12% or get 6% Mailbox Money?
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Risk Factors – Park Owned Homes
• Mobile homes depreciate!!! Fast!!
• Tenants are hard on them!
• Requires a high/fast recapture rate
• Investors will typically require a 2-5 year payback
Risk Factors - Financing
• Financing for MHP’s under $1mm can be challenging
• Owner financing is common
• Larger parks will be bought and sold by regional or national investors
Risk Factors – Investor Behavior
• Investors balance Management and Return
• High demand for strong historical occupancy
• Large parks with land only and city utilities are gold
• Substantially higher returns required for parks with park owned homes and on site sewer or well water
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Risk Variables MHP vs RVP
• MHP’s are generally more stable• MH’s are expensive to move
• RV’s can generally be gone in less than 30 minutes
Risk Variables MHP vs RVP
• RV’s generate higher rent per acre• Usually 2:1 over MH’s
• RV’s are usually month to month or week to week• MH’s will usually be on long term contract.
• Park Owned Homes option for MHP’s
• All Bills Paid Option w RVP’s
Valuation Modeling
• Valued on Price Per Lot/Space
• Typical CAP rates range from 6% to 12%
• Local owned parks will not likely be at market rent• **USE MARKET RENT***
• Should see $10-$20 bumps annually
• MHP Vacancy rates 5-15%
• RVP Vacancy Rates 5-25%
• Use Expense Ratios and “Tweak”
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“One day Son all this will be yours.”
IT RUNS
DOWNHILL!
Wastewater Options
Three main types:
• Lagoon
• Septic
• City Sewer
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Lagoon – Good
Lagoon Systems
• Lagoon systems use a natural process to break down waste water through aerobic bacteria and photosynthesis.
• Grey water is the discharge from a lagoon. • Sludge must be periodically removed as a solid.• Requires substantial land area for the pool
Septic – Better
• Aerobic Systems becoming very common.
• Must have substantial size discharge zone
• Monthly service may be required
• Traditional septic systems require sandy soil
• Monthly service required to prevent blockage in pipes
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City Sewer – Best
• Very little maintenance
• If there's a problem, call the city
• Park responsible for lot lines
Water Supply
• A clean and continuous water source is critical
• Areas with extended drought periods may become uninhabitable
• No water… No tenants
• No tenants… No value
Well Water – Good
• Well water can be very high quality
• Generally requires daily or weekly testing
• Logbook must be kept for agency review
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City/Community Water – Best
• Highly reliable
• Virtually no maintenance for park owner
• Water restrictions can limit use by tenants
• Sub-metering can be profitable for park owner
Just because it doesn’t have the best, doesn’t mean it’s worthless
“One man’s trash is another man’s treasure”
Relative Investor Demand
Ownership:
Utilities:
Park Owned Mixed Ownership Land Only
Lagoon Septic City Sewer
Well Water City Water
HighLow
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Future of Mobile Home Parks• Sex Offender Parks
• Convicted Felon Parks
• Senior Parks
• Transitional Housing• Homeless -> Renter -> Owner
• Tiny Houses
• REIT Influence• Bundle Parks in Regional Area
• Consolidate management expense
Thank You!