What's the Future of Smart Growth in America? presented by Don Chen Cleveland State University 15...
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Transcript of What's the Future of Smart Growth in America? presented by Don Chen Cleveland State University 15...
What's the Future of Smart Growth in America?
presented by Don Chen
Cleveland State University
15 December 2006
Governors
• 25 governors re-elected, 11 new governors elected
• Democrats picked up 6 seats – 28 Democratic Governors – 22 Republican Governors
Gubernatorial Election
Governors
Governors & Smart Growth
• Not a campaign issue in most states• However some DID campaign on it - mostly very low
key– Patrick (MA) [TOD]; O’Malley (MD); Rell (CT); Baldacci
(ME) [endorsed Brookings rpt and rail]; Lynch (NH); Bredesen (TN) [transit]
• For others it was moot; they had governed on it already
– Granholm (MI); Napolitano (AZ); Schwarzenegger (CA) [form-based codes];Richardson (NM); Douglas (VT); Doyle (WI)
Governors & Smart Growth
• However, several more appear poised to govern on these issues:
– Spitzer (NY)
– Strickland (OH)
– Ritter (CO)
Energy
• Energy Security an Issue– Renewables – Alternative energy sources
• Transportation– Rarely linked
• “Household” energy security– Not on the agenda
Legislatures
• Democrats gained control of 5 state legislatures
– Democrats control both houses in 25 states, Republicans control both in 14 states, 10 are split
• Democrats picked up roughly 323 seats
LegislaturesControl of both houses
LegislaturesParty control switch
Government ControlGovernor’s seat & Control of both houses
Ballot Initiatives
• Voter fatigue likely led to a smaller percentage of ballot initiatives passing
• Anti-government initiatives failed– Term limits– Limits on the judiciary– Tax limitations– Regulatory takings
Ballot Initiatives & Smart Growth
• Transportation– All 7 statewide transportation initiatives
passed (CA-4, MN, NJ, RI)– 3 involved funding for transit
• Environment & Natural Resources– 23 states approved nearly 100 ballot
measures– $5.73 billion increase state or local
funding for land conservation
Colorado
Oregon Measure 37
• Earlier version (Measure 7) passed in 2000, but found unconstitutional
• Measure 37 passed in 2004
• Land Use
• Retroactive
• Pay or Waive
Exporting Measure 37
• The libertarian movement’s plan is to export the success they have had in Oregon to other states.
• Kelo-Plus strategy
Eminent Domain
Ballot Initiatives & Smart Growth
• Regulatory Takings– California: failed 48%-52%– Washington: failed 41%-59%– Idaho: failed 24%-76%– Arizona: passed 65%-35%– Nevada & Montana
What does is mean for Smart Growth?
• We can go on the offensive– Educate administrators and political
leaders – Engage at the state level– Make Smart Growth the answer (relate to
topical issues- energy, climate, economic prosperity, transportation)
• Inoculate ourselves– Fix eminent domain
A Grassroots Effort?
• How do the initiatives get on the ballots?
• Where does the money come from?
Following the Money• In Arizona, California, Idaho, and Washington proponents reported having raised more than $5.7 million through September 21.
• Organizations led by Howard Rich have contributed nearly 85 percent of the total.
15%other
85% Howard Rich-FundedOrganizations
California Prop 90 Polling and ResultsCalifornia Prop 90 Polling and Results
36%32%
30%34%
37%40%
37%33% 33% 32% 33%
35%
40%42% 43% 42%
48%
34%38% 39%
41% 40% 40% 41%43%
41% 40%37% 38% 38%
40% 41%45%
52%
18%20%
29%27%
25%27%
30% 29% 30%
25%23%
19%22% 22%
25%27% 28%
25%22%
18%14% 13%
0%
43%
37%
42%
37%39%38%
36%32%
37%35%34%35%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2006
Total Yes Total No Undecided
Total Yes 42% 43% 37% 38% 39% 37% 36% 32% 30% 34% 37% 40% 37% 33% 33% 32% 33% 35% 40% 42% 43% 42% 48%
Total No 36% 37% 32% 35% 34% 35% 34% 38% 39% 41% 40% 40% 41% 43% 41% 40% 37% 38% 38% 40% 41% 45% 52%
Undecided 18% 20% 29% 27% 25% 27% 30% 29% 30% 25% 23% 19% 22% 22% 25% 27% 28% 25% 22% 18% 14% 13% 0%
June 15-22
Aug 27-31
Oct. 12, 15-
16
Oct. 15-17
Oct. 16-18
Oct. 17-19
Oct. 18-19, 21
Oct. 19, 21-
22
Oct. 21-23
Oct. 22-24
Oct. 23-25
Oct. 24-26
Oct. 25-28
Oct. 27-29
Oct. 28-30
Oct. 29-31
Oct 30-Nov 1
Oct 31-Nov 2
Nov.1-2,4
Nov. 2,4-5
Nov4-6
Nov. 6Final Vote
47%55% 55%
21%
32%
18% 20%
0%
39%33%
35% 41%
22%
23%
44% 43%45%
59%
23%
23%
22%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Total Yes Total No Undecided
Total Yes 47% 55% 55% 39% 33% 35% 41%
Total No 21% 22% 23% 44% 43% 45% 59%
Undecided 32% 23% 22% 18% 23% 20% 0%
Mar 29 - Apr 2
May 10-15 July 15-19 Oct 3 Oct 19 Oct 25-26 Final Result
Washington I-933 Polling and ResultsWashington I-933 Polling and Results
Insert series of map slides here
What is our preliminary framework for policy reform?
3
1
2
5
Fix the Basics
4
Build on Economic Strengths
Grow the Middle Class
Transform the Physical Landscape
Create Neighborhoods of
Choice
3
What does is mean for Smart Growth?
• Opportunity to build new alliances and constituencies– Reach out to new groups outside our
traditional alliances– Build grassroots support
For More Information
www.smartgrowthamerica.org