What to do when you don’t have a clue.
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Transcript of What to do when you don’t have a clue.
What to do when you don’t have a clue.
Terry A. RingChemical Engineering
University of Utah
First Job• MS ChE at UC Berkeley, BS ChE Clarkson– Well Educated in traditional unit operations
• 1st Project Develop Mass and Energy Balance for Alumina from clay Acid Leach process using a computer before ASPEN exists
• 2nd Project Al2O3 Nodules
Dryer
200C
Shaft Kiln
1800CHot Hot Gas
H2OAl2O3
2nd Project• Rotating Pan Nodulizer for Al2O3
– Control Pellet Size– Minimize Dust Generated– Minimize water Used– Minimize additives Used– Minimize Pore Volume
• Process Variables– Pan (1 m pilot, 5 m plant)
• RPM of Pan• Pan Angle• Spray Configuration• Alumina feed point• Ratio of Alumina to water fed
– Conveyor Dryer• Drying Temperature• Airflow
– Shaft Kiln• Sintering Temperature• Holding Time
• Project finished in 6 mo.
Project 3
• Found Synergism between additives– Decreased time/energy needed to sinter by ½– Lowered Operating costs to produce
• US Patent 4,045,234 “Process For Producing High Density Sintered Alumina”
• $1 million (1974 $s) in fuel savings ($4.83 million 2013 $s)• How much was I paid for this work?
Getting Started
• Call Plant and Talk to Engineer– Did not really know much– Relies on Operator to run Pan Nodulizer
• Call Plant and Talk to Operator– Everything controls Everything
• Call Technician who rate the Pilot Plant– Water and pan angle and RPM control nodule size
• Literature Search– 1 paper - P. Somasundaran and D. Feustenau– 1 PhD thesis - P. Somasundaran and D. Feustenau
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P. Somasundaran and D. Feustenau
What to do?
• Short Time for the Project – 6 months• No ChE Background that is useful!• No literature that is useful!• No people to help!
• So complain at lunch to fellow employees
Design of Experiments
• Lunch Companion– I think you might try statistically designed
experiments or design of experiments– We had a consultant come to talk about this two
years before you joined the company.– I do not know much about what the consultant
said.• Corporate Librarian Saved Me
Other Names
• Statistically Designed Experiments• Design of Experiments• Factorial Design of Experiments• ANOVA– Analysis of variance : A mathematical process for
separating the variability of a group of observations into assignable causes and setting up various significance tests.
Comparison I
Design of Experiments Traditional Experimentation• Tests
– Theory– Correlation
• Develop a new – Theory– Correlation
• End up with a mathematical understanding of experimental results based on process variables
Comparison I
Design of Experiments• Determines if Process Variables are
important (significant ) – compared to experimental errors
• Develops a mathematical relationship for experimental results based upon process variables– No Theory is developed or tested
• Allows Predictions of Results for all process variables within ranges used in experimentation
• Allows Process Optimizations• Understand the requirements on
processing conditions needed to meet production specifications
Traditional Experimentation• Tests Theory• Develop a new Theory• End up with a mathematical
understanding of experimental results
How is this approach different?
Design of Experiments Traditional Experimentation• Do a series of experiments
changing one variable at a time• 5 Process Variables (PV)
• RPM of Pan• Pan Angle• Spray Configuration• Alumina feed point• Ratio of Alumina to water fed
• 4 different values for PV• Number of Experiments
– 5^4= 625 experiments– 2 experiments/day ~ 1 yr work
How is this approach different?
Design of Experiments• Do a series of experiments
changing all variables at the same time
• 5 Process Variables (PV)• RPM of Pan• Pan Angle• Spray Configuration• Alumina feed point• Ratio of Alumina to water fed
• 2 levels for PV plus multiples of center point
• Number of Experiments– 25+1= 64 experiments– 2 experiments/day ~ 1 month work
Traditional Experimentation• Do a series of experiments
changing one variable at a time• 5 Process Variables (PV)
• RPM of Pan• Pan Angle• Spray Configuration• Alumina feed point• Ratio of Alumina to water fed
• 4 different values for PV• Number of Experiments
– 54= 625 experiments– 2 experiments/day ~ 1 yr work
Different Nomenclature
• Effects of PVs– Process Variables
• RPM of Pan• Pan Angle• Spray Configuration• Alumina feed point• Ratio of Alumina to water fed
• Scaled PVs ( -1 to +1)– original X value and converts to (X − a)/b, where a = (Xh + XL)/2 and b = (Xh−XL)/2
• Effect Ei = [Σ Ri (+) – Σ Ri (-) ]/N• Responses, R’s
– Diameter of Nodules– Water Content of Nodules– Pore Volume– Dust in Dryer– Sintering Temperature
• Variance (StDEV2)• Software
– Stat-ease, MiniTab• Response Surface • Ri = E1 X1 + E2 X2 + E3 X3+ …
+E11 X12 + E22 X2
2 + E33 X32 + …
+E12 X1 X2 + E13 X1 X3 + E23 X2 X3 + …
+E123 X1 X2 X3
Response Surface Map Bleaching Cotton
• Effects (PVs)– % NaOH– %H2O2
– Temp– Time
• Responses– Reflectance– Fluidity
• > 6 to be useful
Steps for DOE• Identify process variables
– Often more PVs than you initially think are important• Identify the range for each process variable
– High– Low
• Scale Process Variables• Set up experimental matrix
• (+,-,-), (+,+,-),(+,-,+), (+,+,+)
• Randomize Experiments• Identify Responses to be measured for each process variable• Run Experiments• Analyze Experimental results using ANOVA• Compare responses to experimental uncertainty (F-test)
– Remove insignificant process variables
• Calculate Response mathematics Ri = E1 X1 + E2 X2 + E3 X3+ … +E11 X12 + E22 X2
2 + E33 X32 + …
+E12 X1 X2 + E13 X1 X3 + E23 X2 X3 + … +E123 X1 X2 X3
• Use for Process Optimization• Use for 6-sigma
– Identify the range that a PV can vary and keep product within specification
Nodulizer Results
• Nodule Diameter– Important Effects (in order of importance)• Water to alumina ratio• RPM• Pan angle
• Dust Production– Important Effects (in order of importance)• Water to alumina ratio• Additive concentration• RPM
Results
• Sintered Density– Important Effects• Sintering Time• Pan RPM• Water to alumina ratio• Additives
• Water Control is Critical• IR water sensor and control system story