Welcome to Norway the World’s EV capital - Tu.no€¦ · Welcome to Norway the World’sEV...
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Welcome to Norway the World’s EV capital
Transcript of Welcome to Norway the World’s EV capital - Tu.no€¦ · Welcome to Norway the World’sEV...
Welcome to Norway the World’s EV capital
Program
• IntroductionPetter Haugneland, Norwegian EV Association
• Perspectives on Norway’s Supercharged Electric Vehicle PolicyErik Figenbaum, Institute of transport economics
• Carrot and whip – How does Norway do it?Sveinung Kvalø, Cowi
• The bumpy road towards better charging infrastructureErik Lorentzen, Norwegian EV Association
• How did the car dealers cope, and who are the customers?Anita Svanes, Volkswagen and Marina Maneas Bakkum, Nissan
• Electric London Taxis in Oslo? Phil Henrick, LEVC, formerly known as the London Taxi Company
• TU TALK; live podcastJan Moberg, CEO, Teknisk Ukeblad Media and Odd Richard Valmot, Journalist, Teknisk Ukeblad Media
Norwegian market shares BEVs and PHEVs
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
BEV PHEV
21%
18%
Source: OFV
Europe
Top selling BEV models 2017
Source: Ofv.no
- 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000
Kia Soul
VW e-Up
Opel Ampera-e
Mercedes-Benz B-Klasse
Hyundai IONIQ
Renault ZOE
Nissan LEAF
Tesla Model S
Tesla Model X
BMW i3
VW e-Golf
Over 200,000 EVs in Norway!
Source: OFV and NPRA
-
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
BEV PHEV
Norway’s 2025-goal
• National Transport Plan for 2018–2029:
“The Government has established targets for new zero-emission vehicles. All new passenger cars and light vans
sold in 2025 shall be zero-emission vehicles. All new urban buses sold in
2025 shall be zero emitters or use
biogas”.
Erik Figenbaum
Institute of transport economics
Perspectives on Norway’sSupercharged Electric VehiclePolicy
Perspectives on
Norway’s supercharged
electric vehicle policy
Nordic EV Summit Oslo/Himkok 31.01.2018
Erik Figenbaum, Chief Research Engineer
Institute of Transport Economics, Norway
Page
Market shares by technology
Fleet at end of 2017
139 474 (5.1%) BEVs
67 577 (2.5%) PHEVs
Page
REGIME
La
nd
sc
ap
es
Nic
he
sR
eg
ime
GLOBAL LANDSCAPE
Time
NICHE MARKETS
Multi-level perspective (Geels)– Theoretical concept
Disturbances/Pressure
Window of opportunity
New technology
regime
Page
New actors developing and testing new
technologies/practices
Policies, incentives
Control of which vehicles are attractive to import/sell/buy
Global autoindustry, climate policies, oil industry,
energy prices, EU policies etc.GLOBAL
LANDSCAPE
NICHE
MARKETS
NATIONAL
GOVERNANCE
REGIME
Lan
dscap
es
Nic
hes
ICEV REGIME
Established actors (importers, dealers etc. and driving practicesRe
gim
e
Time
A multi-level perspective on BEVs in Norway
Page
GLOBAL
LANDSCAPE
NICHE
MARKETS
A multi-level perspective on BEVs in Norway
1990 2000
Source: Adapted from: Figenbaum, E. Perspectives on Norway’s
supercharged electric vehicle policy, Environmental Innovation and
Societal Transitions, 17. nov. 2016,
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2016.11.002
NATIONAL
GOVERNANCE
Ni-Cd battery French BEVs
Registration taxexemption
VAT exemp-tionFree parking
Toll road exemption
California ZEV mandate
Upstarts develop BEVsAutoindustry BEVs for ZEV
Ford buyThink. BEV production
start Fleet users
ICEV REGIME
1995
Toll road users
Think bankrupt
Ford US need BEV
Testing, industrial development, reduce local pollution
Lan
dscap
es
Nic
hes
Re
gim
e
Time
REGIME
First BEV imported
Think/Pivco industrialization
Kewet imports
500 BEVs100 BEVs
Switzerland Solar cars
Page
GLOBAL
LANDSCAPE
NICHE
MARKETS
A multi-level perspective on BEVs in Norway
2001 2009
Source: Adapted from: Figenbaum, E. Perspectives on Norway’s
supercharged electric vehicle policy, Environmental Innovation and Societal
Transitions, 17. nov. 2016, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2016.11.002
NATIONAL
GOVERNANCE
ICEV
REGIME
2005
Lan
dscap
es
Nic
hes
Re
gim
e
Time
Ford/Think BEV production
Fleet users
Toll road users
Ford sell
Think
Think bankrupt
Buslane users
Think restart
Second hand import
Kewet prod.
Think 2. gen
Bus-lanetest Oslo area
California ZEV mandate relaxed
National bus-laneaccess
Other countriesabandon BEVS
Climate policy focus
Reducedprice ferries
Chargers support
Climatepolicy focus
REGIME
2003 2007
600 BEVs 1100 BEVs 1300 BEVs 1900 BEVs 2800 BEVs
Financial crisis, BEV funding
Page
Multi vehicle households
BEV/ICEV
cost parity
Lan
dscap
es
Nic
hes
Re
gim
eGLOBAL
LANDSCAPE
Time
NICHE
MARKETS
A multi-level perspective on BEVs in Norway
Source: Adapted from: Figenbaum, E. Perspectives on Norway’s
supercharged electric vehicle policy, Environmental Innovation and
Societal Transitions, 17. nov. 2016,
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2016.11.002
NATIONAL
GOVERNANCE
ICEV
REGIME
2010 20172013
Global BEV focusNissan Leaf
Tesla Model-S
BEVs from VW, BMWMitsubishi
Peugeot, Citroën
Fleets
EmergingBEV regimeFirst BEVs
imported
More Importers sell BEVs
Single vehicle/BEV onlyhouseholds
Toll road usersBuslane users
More Importers sell BEVs
BEVs from Kia, Hyundai, Mercedes
Longer range BEVs
Fast chargers Transnova
Fast charger corridors, Enova
Tesla super-chargers
Renault ZOE
REGIME
20152011
140000 BEVs20000 BEVs 69000 BEVs5400 BEVs
Page
NORWEGIAN ICEV REGIME
TIME
Lan
dscap
es
Nic
hes
Re
gim
e
GLOBAL LANDSCAPE
Time
NICHE MARKETS
A multi-level perspective on BEVs in Norway
NATIONAL GOVERNANCE
Developed enabling technologies+vehicles
Stable policies – Strong incentives.
Bottom-up experimentation
ICEV-actors grabbing opportunity
Establishment of mass market
Source: Adapted from: Figenbaum, E. Perspectives on Norway’s
supercharged electric vehicle policy, Environmental Innovation and Societal
Transitions, 17. nov. 2016, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2016.11.002
Weak, no vehicle production
27 year time span
1990 2000 2005 20162010
Page
Household ICEV ownership peaked in 2014
Page
There was
no master plan
…….but it workedMore information:
[email protected] www.toi.no www.mozees.no
Sveinung Kvalø
Cowi
Carrot and whip – How doesNorway do it?
Sveinung André Kvalø
Senior adviser e-mobility, COWI
Norwegian EV policies
World leading market share for EVs
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%ja
n.0
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Zero emission Plug-in hybrid
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
POLICY DEVELOPMENT CARS FOR SALE
Zero registration tax
Zero toll
Zero VAT
Access to bus lanesFree parking
Mitsubishi I-Miev
Peugeot IonCitroen C-Zero
Nissan Leaf
Tesla SBMW i3
VW e-up!Ford Focus
Mitsubishi Outlander
Volvo V60Toyota PriusOpel Ampera
/Chevrolet VoltKewet (Buddy)
Pivco (Think)
Sources: OFV, Elbil på norsk (2013)
VW e-GolfRenault Zoe
BMW i8Audi A3
Tesla Model XHyundai IONIQ
Mercedes Benz GLCBMW 3-series
Audi Q7BMW 7-seriesKia Optima
Mercedes Benz E
Mercedes Benz BSmartForTwo
Volkswagen GolfVolkswagen Passat
BMW X5BMW 2-series
Mercedes Benz CVolvo XC90
Mercedes Benz GLEBMW i3 PHEV
Mercedes Benz S
Opel Ampera-e/Chevrolet BoltSmartForFourBMW 5-series
MINI CountrymanHyundai IONIQ
Volvo V90Volvo XC60
Kia NiroVolvo S90
33 200 USD0 USD0 USD
33 200 USD
Price before taxes: Registration tax:
Value added tax:Price including taxes:
Volkswagen Golf 1,2 TSI 110hp Comfortline
Volkswagen e-Golf 115hp
Volvo XC60 T6 Momentum R-design aut (3000 ccm, gasoline)
24 000 USD7 600 USD6 000 USD
37 600 USD
43 600 USD73 800 USD10 900 USD
128 300 USD
Examples:
The Registration Tax (or The Think Twice Tax)
Type approval vs. actual emissions
Source: Norwegian state budget 2018 Source: International Council on Clean Transportation
CO₂-emissions, new cars(grams CO₂/km)
Norway
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
jan.11 jan.12 jan.13 jan.14 jan.15 jan.16 jan.17
New
sale
s p
er
month
Diesel Gasoline Plug-in hybrid Battery electric
A closer look at Volkswagen Golf's sales in Norway
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Thank you!
Sveinung André KvaløSenior adviser e-mobility, COWI
[email protected]+47 991 12 001
COWINorge
cowinorge
Erik Lorentzen
Norwegian EV Association
The bumpy road towards bettercharging infrastructure
The bumpy road towards bettercharging infrastructure
Erik Lorentzen, Head of Analysis and Consultancy
Norwegian EV Association
www.elbil.no
Normal Fast
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%100%
At home (detached)
At home (flat/shared garage)
At work
At public charging stations
At fast charging stations
Daily Weekly Monthly Never
Source: Norwegian EV owner survey 2017
How often do you charge…
2015: A national plan
• Public tenders for national fast charging network
• Every 50 km on main roads
• Finished by end of 2017
Challenges
• Access to charging at home
• Reliable equipment
• And…
Next step: Larger and faster
Photo: Line K. Bergsjøbrenden
Pricing and payment systems
• Handfull operators with different payment systems
• Payment by RFID tags, SMS, mobile phone apps
• EV Association distributes universal RFID tag to members
• Pay per the minute
Charging – to sum it up
elbil.no
• Home charging is the backbone
• Initial support crucial
• Volume means business
• Large scale next
Photo: Geirangerfjorden Feriesenter as
Nordic EV Summit in Oslo
• 1. – 2. February 2018: www.nordicevs.no• Will the grid collapse?
• Large scale fast charging
• Smart charging systems in large charging networks
Anita Svanes Marina Maneas Bakkum
Møller/Volkswagen Nissan
Phil Henrick
LEVC, formerly known as theLondon Taxi Company
Electric London Taxis in Oslo?
TU TALK; live podcast
Jan Moberg, CEO, Teknisk Ukeblad Media and Odd Richard Valmot, Journalist, Teknisk Ukeblad Media
