Weekly Monsoon Report 11 July 2016 -...

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Weekly Monsoon Report 11 July 2016

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Weekly Monsoon Report

11 July 2016

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Weekly Monsoon Report 2 Monday, 11 July 2016

Backdrop

Monsoon is gradually picking up momentum and has already covered most parts of the country. There

is quick recovery in terms of the % rainfall departure from normal rains. However Gujarat remains the

worst affected state as the rainfall deficiency continues to remain there. The cumulative rainfall in the

country during the monsoon season i.e. 01 June, 2016 to 06 July, 2016 has been 1% higher than Long

Period Average (LPA). Rainfall (% departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the

country during the above period was higher than 19 and 16% in North West India and South Peninsula,

4% in Central India but lower by 17% in East & North East India.

Kharif sowing process has also gathered momentum. There is sharp increment in the total sown area

as compared to last week. Due to this progress, the total sown area under kharif season crops is just

6% below from the figures recorded same time last year. The total sown area at all India level as on 08

July, 2016 stands at 406.27 lakh hectare as compared to 431.82 lakh hectare at this time last year.

Trends in crop acreage have started emerging from some states. Preliminary indications with regards

to the diversion in sown area from one crop to other have started coming in. Cotton and Guarseed

seems to have loosing while pulses like Tur and Moong are the front runner in terms of snatching the

sown area from other crops. Groundnut and Maize also appear to get additional sown area.

It is to be learnt that the kharif season crops are sown during monsoon season. More than 50% of the

gross cropped area is still rain-fed and monsoon alone account for more than 75% of the total annual

rains. Around 49% of total food grain production and 67% of total oilseeds production of India is

contributed by Kharif season crops. Besides this production of commercial crops like cotton and

sugarcane also depends largely up on monsoon rains during Kharif season.

The impact of monsoon rains on agricultural production and farm incomes, etc., is substantial. A better

monsoon can boost the growth rate of agriculture sector which in turn can result in to overall growth of

the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Thus, the impact of monsoons on agricultural growth

would reflect into production, prices, incomes and GDP growth.

After witnessing two consecutive deficient monsoon rainfall years i.e. 2014 and 2015, India is expected

to receive bountiful rainfall during 2016. The temporal and spatial distribution of monsoon rainfall is a

key factor determining the agricultural production. The timing of the rain during critical growth periods

assumes great significance as the excess or deficient rainfall may adversely impact the yield.

With this backdrop, this report primarily appraise the weekly and seasonal progress of monsoon across

states, identifies the excess/normal/deficient/scanty rainfall regions. It further evaluates the sowing

progress of the kharif season crops. In the last it attempts to analyse the impact of deviation of monsoon

rains on the kharif crop production through Vulnerability Matrix Analysis.

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Weekly Monsoon Report 3 Monday, 11 July 2016

Classification of Seasonal Monsoon Rains (June – September) over the country as a Whole (based upon Long Run Average (LPA) Rainfall)

Category Rainfall Range (% of LPA)

Deficient < 90

Below Normal 90 - 96

Normal 96-104

Above Normal 104-110

Excess >110

The LPA of the seasonal rainfall over the country as a whole for the period 1951-2000 is 89 cm.

Classification of Rainfall based upon Actual and Normal Rainfall during a particular Period

Category % Departure of Actual rainfall from Normal Rainfall

No rains -100%

Scanty -60% to -99%

Deficient -20% to -59%

Normal +19% to -19%

Excess +20% or more

A: Actual Rain fall (mm), N: Normal Rainfall (mm), D Departure from Normal (mm)

There are 36 Meteorological Sub divisions in India

Seasons

Winter Season January –February

Pre-Monsoon Season March - May

Monsoon Season June - September

Post Monsoon Season October - December

Major crops grown during Kharif Season (i) Cereals : Paddy, jowar, bajra, maize, ragi;

(ii) Pulses : Tur (Arhar), moong, urad;

(iii) Oilseeds : Groundnut, soybean, sunflowerseed, sesamum, nigerseed, castor seed

(iv) Cotton

(v) Guarseed

(vi) Sugarcane

(vii) Spices : Chilli and turmeric

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Weekly Monsoon Report 4 Monday, 11 July 2016

The monsoon forecast during last three years

Year Forecast Actual

(% of LPA) Issued in April Issued in June

2013 98 % of LPA with a model error of ±5 98 % of LPA ± 4 106

2014 95 % of LPA with a model error of ± 5 93 % of LPA ± 4 88

2015 93% of LPA with a model error of ± 5% 88% of LPA ±4% 86

2016 106% of LPA with a model error of ± 5% 106% of LPA ±4% ?

The LPA of the seasonal rainfall over the country as a whole for the period 1951-2000 is 89 cm.

Long Range Forecast Update for 2016 South West Monsoon Rainfall

Highlights

Rainfall over the country as a whole for the 2016 southwest monsoon season (June to

September) is most likely to be ABOVE NORMAL (>104% to 110% of long period average

(LPA)).

Quantitatively, monsoon season rainfall for the country as a whole is likely to be 106% of the

long period average with a model error of ±4%.

Region wise, the season rainfall is likely to be 108% of LPA over North-West India, 113% of

LPA over Central India, 113% of LPA over South Peninsula and 94% of LPA over North-East

India all with a model error of ± 8 %.

The monthly rainfall over the country as whole is likely to be 107% of its LPA during July and

104% of LPA during August both with a model error of ± 9 %.

Source: IMD, Press Release, June 2, 2016

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Weekly Monsoon Report 5 Monday, 11 July 2016

Progress of Monsoon

Almost all parts of the country are covered with the monsoon showers. During the week ending 6 July

2016, southwest Monsoon further advanced into remaining parts of West Madhya Pradesh, East

Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and

Gujarat region. It also covered many parts of West Rajasthan and Saurashtra, Kutch & Diu. For the

country as a whole, cumulative rainfall during this year’s monsoon has so far up to 6 July been 1%

above LPA, thus making a further recovery of 13% from the last week ending on 29 June. Above normal

Rainfall activity likely over central India till 15 July. Rainfall activity likely to be normal to above normal

over northern parts of the country and north-eastern states between 16 to 25 July. Subdued rainfall

activity likely over south Peninsular India. (Source: IMD, New Delhi)

Advancement of Monsoon 2016

Source: IMD, New Delhi

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Weekly Monsoon Report 6 Monday, 11 July 2016

District Rainfall Map of India (Cumulative Basis) (01 June 2016 – 07 July 2016)

Source: IMD, New Delhi

Most of the districts of Gujarat continue to receive deficient/scanty rainfall. Nashik Division of

Maharashtra, parts of Western Rajasthan, and parts or Orissa are also rainfall deficient.

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Weekly Monsoon Report 7 Monday, 11 July 2016

Seasonal Rainfall Pattern in India (01 June 2016 – 06 July 2016)

Source: IMD, New Delhi

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Weekly Monsoon Report 8 Monday, 11 July 2016

Weekly Rainfall Pattern in India (Week: 30 June -06 July, 2016)

Source: IMD, New Delhi

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Weekly Monsoon Report 9 Monday, 11 July 2016

Distribution of Cumulative Rainfall (01 June- 06 July 2016) Actual rainfall in all the regions and country as a whole has remained above the normal rainfall level.

All India

Region: North-West India

Region: Central India

Region: South Peninsula

Region: East and North East India

Source: IMD, New Delhi

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Weekly Monsoon Report 10 Monday, 11 July 2016

Cumulative Seasonal Rainfall in the Country during Monsoon Season (01June - 06 July, 2016)

The country received a cumulative seasonal rainfall of 218.2 mm against a normal of 215.3 mm since

01 June – 06 July, 2016 (Departure: +1%) indicating a normal rainfall activity. Same time last year, the

departure in rainfall against normal was -4% while this year it is around +1 %.

The weekly rainfall for the country as a whole during the week (30 June – 06 July, 2016) was 35%

higher than normal rainfall. (All India Actual: 80.8 mm, Normal : 59.8 mm)

Data Source: IMD, New Delhi

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Actual 217.6 137.8 239.7 138.9 224.5 218.20

Normal 215.1 197.7 189.2 242.2 233.5 215.30

Departure 1% -30% 27% -43% -4% 1%

1%

-30%

27%

-43%

-4%1%

-60%

-30%

0%

30%

60%

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Dep

art

ure

(%

)

Rain

fall

(mm

)

Cumumative Rainfall Received during Monsoon Season (01 June - 06 July, 2016)

Actual Normal Departure

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Weekly Monsoon Report 11 Monday, 11 July 2016

Meteorological Sub-division wise Distribution of Rainfall

A: Seasonal rainfall

Seasonal rainfall was excess/normal in 32 and deficient/scanty in 04 out of the 36 meteorological

sub-division during the period under review. As compared to last year, the number of

deficient/scanty divisions is very less.

Data Source: IMD, New Delhi

B: Weekly rainfall

Weekly rainfall was excess/normal in 30 and deficient/scanty in 06 out of the 36 meteorological

sub-division. As compared to last year, the number of deficient/scanty divisions is very less.

Data Source: IMD, New Delhi

2011 2012 2013 2013 2015 2016

Excess/Normal 27 10 32 7 27 32

Deficient/Scanty 9 26 4 29 9 4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

No. of M

et.

Sub. D

ivis

ions

Number of Meteorological Sub-divisions with Excess/Normal and Deficit/scanty ranifall(01 June - 06 July, 2016)

Excess/Normal Deficient/Scanty

2015 2016

Excess/Normal 9 30

Deficient/Scanty 27 6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

No. of M

et.

Sub. D

ivis

ions

Number of Meteorological Sub-divisions with Excess/Normal and Deficit/scanty ranifall(Week : 30 June - 06 July, 2016)

Excess/Normal Deficient/Scanty

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Weekly Monsoon Report 12 Monday, 11 July 2016

C: Top Five Meteorological Sub-divisions based upon Cumulative Seasonal Rainfall

Data Source: IMD, New Delhi * States which are more important from view point of kharif Crop production are selected.

It can be observed that most of the Gujarat and Eastern part of the country like Odisha and West Bengal

have witnessed less rainfall. Central and north part of the country have started witnessing improved

rainfall.

D: Trend in Monsoon Rainfall Departure from Normal Rainfall during Week ending July 06, 2016

Data Source: IMD, New Delhi

On weekly as well as seasonal basis, % departure of rainfall from normal has become positive during

week ending July 06, 2016. The % deviation of actual rains from normal rain was 35% during week

ending July 06, 2016 as compared to 1% seen during week ending June 29, 2016.

6255

3634

31

1

-11-14-16

-51-52

RayalaseemaCostal Andhra Pradesh

East RajasthanPunjab

West Madhya Pradesh

India

Gengetic West BengalOdisha

KerlaGujarat Region

Saurashtra, Kutch & Diu

% Departure from Normal Rainfall

Top Five* Deficient and Excess Rainfall Sub-Divisions based upon cumulative Rainfall

-36-30-24-18-12-606

121824303642

% D

ep

art

ure

01-Jun

08-Jun

15-Jun

22-Jun

29-Jun

06-Jul

13-Jul

20-Jul

27-Jul

03-Aug

10-Aug

17-Aug

24-Aug

31-Aug

07-Sep

14-Sep

21-Sep

28-Sep

Weekly -7 -18 -29 -7 1 35

Seasonal 0 -19 -25 -18 -12 1

Trend in Rainfall Departue from Normal since the start of Monsoon Season

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Weekly Monsoon Report 13 Monday, 11 July 2016

E: Week wise Trend in Deficient/Scanty rainfall Sub-divisions

Data Source: IMD, New Delhi

On cumulative seasonal rainfall basis, the number of deficient rainfall sub-divisions remains 4 out of 36

for the week ending July 06, 2016. It is worth noting that number is gradually declining on as the

monsoon covers most parts of the country.

F: State wise Distribution of Number of Districts with Deficient/Scanty and Excess Rainfall

Data Source: IMD, New Delhi, * States which are more important from view point of kharif Crop production are selected.

As can be seen from above Table that out of 18 major states, only 2 states are having more than 50%

district which are deficient in rains. Gujarat is worst affected followed by Orissa. The situation is

gradually improving.

12

21 20

13 12

40

3

6

9

12

15

18

21

24

01-J

un

08-J

un

15-J

un

22-J

un

29-J

un

06-J

ul

13-J

ul

20-J

ul

27-J

ul

03-A

ug

10-A

ug

17-A

ug

24-A

ug

31-A

ug

07-S

ep

14-S

ep

21-S

ep

28-S

ep

05-O

ctN

o.

of M

et.

Su

b. D

ivis

ion

sWeek wise Deficient Rainfall Sub-divisions on the basis of Cumulative Seasonal Rainfall

(Since the begining of the Monsoon Season)

85%

53%44%

39%38%33%31%28%

21%21%20%16%12%11%10% 7%

0% 0%

33%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

*Districts with Deficient Rainfall in various States ( 01 June - 06 July, 2016)

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Weekly Monsoon Report 14 Monday, 11 July 2016

Kharif Crop Sowing Progress

There has been marked progress in the sowing progress during the week ending 8 July 2016. The total

sown area as on 8 July, 2016 for country as a whole stands at 406.27 lakh hectare as compared to

431.82 lakh hectare at this time last year. It is reported that rice has been sown/transplanted in 81.93

lakh ha, pulses in 45.94 lakh ha, coarse cereals in 75.02 lakh ha, oilseeds in 82.28 lakh ha, sugarcane

in 45.78 lakh hectare and cotton in 67.89 lakh ha. (Source: PIB, MoAFW, 08 July 2016).

All India Sowing Progress as on 8 July 2016 (all figures are in lakh ha)

Crops Area sown in

2016-17 Area sown in

2015-16

Change over 2015-16

Absolute Percentage

Rice 81.93 77.31 4.62 5.98%

Pulses 45.94 36.44 9.5 26%

Coarse Cereals 75.02 77.8 -2.78 -4%

Oilseeds 82.28 101.15 -18.87 -19%

Sugarcane 45.78 43.68 2.1 5%

Jute & Mesta 7.43 7.61 -0.18 -2%

Cotton 67.89 87.83 -19.94 -23%

Total 406.27 431.82 -25.55 -6%

Crop Sown Area Substitution Assessment

At all India level, Pulses have started replacing crops like Cotton and Oilseeds. Due to better prospects

of monsoon, the sown area under Rice has also witnessed increment.

State governments’ estimates and market feedback about the sown area shift have started coming in.

A summary of crops which appear losing sown area at the expense of other crops till date is presented

below for some major states.

State Sowing Trend and Substitution of crops

Gujarat Cotton sown area is reduced and has been diverted towards Oilseeds like Groundnut and Pulses specially Moong, Moth and Tur (Arhar). In Punjab and Haryana cotton area is already declined by 27%.

Rajasthan Guarseed area has reduced by more than 50%. Preferred commodities are Pulses like Moong and soybean. Due to late arrival of monsoon sowing is lagging far behind from the previous year.

Madhya Pradesh

Soybean area is expected to decline by 10-15 % and may be replaced by pulse and maize. However, in Telengana, Andra Pradesh and Karnataka soybean area is expected to increase slightly. Thus at all India level, not much decline in area is expected.

Maharashtra Cotton area is down by 19%, Soybean by 20%, Sugarcane new plantation by 77%.

Area of Pulses like Urad, Tur and Moon is up by 41, 16 and 10 % respectively till 9 July as compared to same period last year.

Telengana Cotton sown area has reduced however increment is seen in the sown area of Maize and Red gram (Tur).

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Sugarcane Acreage Report:

The total acreage under sugarcane in the country is estimated to be around 49.91 lakh hectares in

2016-17 Sugar Season (SS), which is 5.5% lower to 2015-16 sugar season’s cane area of around 52.84

lakh ha.

Uttar Pradesh is estimated to have a slightly higher area under sugarcane at 23.35 lakh hectares, as

against 23.02 lakh ha. last year.

Maharashtra’s cane area has declined in 2016-17 SS, which is mainly due to drought like situation last

year, poor rainfall and lesser water availability for irrigation. As against the cane area of 10.5 lakh ha.

in 2015-16 SS, area is expected to come down to 7.80 lakh ha in 2016-17.

Similar to Maharashtra, due to lesser rainfall and drought like situation, sugarcane area in Karnataka

has also declined in 2016-17. Area under sugarcane in 2016-17 SS is expected to be about 4.15 lakh

ha as against 5.10 lakh ha. in 2015-16 SS.

Sugarcane area in Tamil Nadu in 2016-17 SS has increased to 2.65 lakh ha. as against 2.50 lakh ha.

in 2015-16 SS.

The above is a preliminary estimate of sugarcane and sugar production in 2016-17 SS. ISMA will

review the analysis in end of September, 2016 and will release their 1st advance estimates for 2016-

17 season.

Source: Media Release, Indian Sugar Mills Association, 8 July 2016

-10%

-24%-23%

-6%

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

0.00

50.00

100.00

150.00

200.00

250.00

300.00

350.00

400.00

450.00

500.00

17-Jun 24-Jun 01-Jul 08-Jul

Sow

n a

rea (

Lakh h

a)

All Kharif Crops Sowing Progress (2016 vs 2015)

2016 2015 % Change in sown area in 2016

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Weekly Monsoon Report 16 Monday, 11 July 2016

-10%-9%

0%

6%

-12%-10%-8%-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%6%8%

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

90.00

17-Jun 24-Jun 01-Jul 08-Jul

Sow

n a

rea (

Lakh h

a)

Rice Sowing Progress (2016 vs 2015)

2016 2015 % Change in sown area in 2016

-27%

-21%

-11%

26%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

50.00

17-Jun 24-Jun 01-Jul 08-Jul

Sow

n a

rea (

Lakh h

a)

Pulse Sowing Progress (2016 vs 2015)

2016 2015 % Change in sown area in 2016

-38%

-45%-49%

-23%

-60%

-50%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

90.00

100.00

17-Jun 24-Jun 01-Jul 08-Jul

Sow

n a

rea (

Lakh h

a)

Cotton Sowing Progress (2016 vs 2015)

2016 2015 % Change in sown area in 2016

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Weekly Monsoon Report 17 Monday, 11 July 2016

-36%

-75%

-47%

-19%

-80%

-70%

-60%

-50%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

0.00

20.00

40.00

60.00

80.00

100.00

120.00

17-Jun 24-Jun 01-Jul 08-Jul

Sow

n a

rea (

Lakh h

a)

Oilseeds Sowing Progress (2016 vs 2015)

2016 2015 % Change in sown area in 2016

7% 7%

2%

5%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

39.00

40.00

41.00

42.00

43.00

44.00

45.00

46.00

47.00

17-Jun 24-Jun 01-Jul 08-Jul

Sow

n a

rea (

Lakh h

a)

Sugarcane Sowing Progress (2016 vs 2015)

2016 2015 % Change in sown area in 2016

-16%

-3%

-15%

-4%

-18%

-16%

-14%

-12%

-10%

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

90.00

17-Jun 24-Jun 01-Jul 08-Jul

Sow

n a

rea (

Lakh h

a)

Coarse Cereals Sowing Progress (2016 vs 2015)

2016 2015 % Change in sown area in 2016

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Kharif Crops Production Vulnerability Analysis

The analysis is aimed to assess the impact of rainfall departure from normal rainfall during the monsoon

season on the major kharif crops production.

Vulnerability Matrix (VM) Analysis:

Kharif crops production is largely dependent upon monsoon rainfall. A vulnerability matrix (VM) is drawn

which points out the vulnerability of the kharif crops on account of rainfall deviation from normal. It

typically will represent the percentage of crop production which is vulnerable on account of rainfall

deviation. Thus, higher the value of vulnerability Matrix, more will be chance of crop damage. Similarly,

crop production will be considered to be better if the value of the VM will be less.

Many uncontrolled climate variable like rainfall, temperature and sunshine days, etc. influence the crop

production. To represent the impact of all these uncontrolled variable, rainfall is taken as a

representative variable. The volume and distribution of rain at the time of various stages of crop growth

affect yield and thus production.

For drawing the matrix, for each kharif crop the major states are ranked based on the share of their

production in total India’s production. Further, the percent deviation of the rainfall from normal is taken

as a variable to represent deficient/excess rainfall during a period. Accordingly the vulnerability of crops

in rain deficient/excess zones has been checked.

Thus Vulnerability Matrix for a crop in a meteorological zone is calculated by multiplying the share of

that zone in the total crop production of India from percentage deviation of rainfall in that zone.

Other manageable factors impacting crop production are assumed to be constant. Further there may

be certain crops which do not require high rainfall and could witness higher production despite low

rainfall.

The crop yield and production is affected by many controlled and uncontrolled factors right from sowing

till harvesting. Even the quantum of precipitation at various growth states is equally important.

Thus, the above analysis gives an approximate idea about the crop condition as it considers rainfall

activity at aggregate level.

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Weekly Monsoon Report 19 Monday, 11 July 2016

Vulnerability Matrix – 2016

Crop

Percentage of Crop Vulnerable on account of rainfall deviation from normal (%)

22-Jun 29-Jun 06-Jul 13-Jul 20-Jul 27-Jul 03-Aug 10-Aug 17-Aug 24-Aug 31-Aug 07-Sep 14-Sep 21-Sep 28-Sep 05-Oct

Castor 77.8 61.8 38.9

Groundnut 52.8 41.6 25.4

Cotton 34.3 32.7 15.4

Moong 24.5 10.9 3.3

Arhar (Tur) 18.1 20.5 4.5

Soybean 13.2 9.8 0.0

Guar 10.7 1.5 0.6

Sugarcane 6.1 14.5 0.0

Urad 5.8 10.7 0.0

Observations:

Sowing trends have started coming in. Monsoon has also covered most parts of the country. However in some parts of the country especially Gujarat,

the rainfall deficiency continues to remain a cause of concern for the farmers.

Crops like Castor, Groundnut, Cotton, Moong and Arhar (Tur) are found to be more water stressed as the vulnerability numbers (VM) are on higher

side. However, the vulnerability numbers have declined from June last week till 6 July as the monsoon rains have picked up and the rainfall deficiency

has reduced due to good rains.

Detailed crop and state wise Vulnerability Matrix is presented on the next page.

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Weekly Monsoon Report 20 Monday, 11 July 2016

Vulnerability Matrix – 2016

Crop Major States

Percentage of Crop Vulnerable on account of rainfall deviation from normal (%)

22-Jun

29-Jun

06-Jul

13-Jul

20-Jul

27-Jul

03-Aug

10-Aug

17-Aug

24-Aug

31-Aug

07-Sep

14-Sep

21-Sep

28-Sep

05-Oct

Cereals

Bajra

Rajasthan 20.10 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Uttar Pradesh - 4.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Gujarat 4.5 3.9 2.5 - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Maharashtra 2.5 2.7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Harayana,Delhi - 2.3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 27.1 13.4 2.5

Maize

Karanataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Andhra Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Bihar - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Rajasthan 4.8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Uttar Pradesh - 1.7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Maharashtra 3.7 4.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Madhya Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 8.5 5.7 0.0

Rice

West Bengal - 2.7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Andhra Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Uttar Pradesh - 2.8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Punjab - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Orissa 2.0 1.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tamilnadu & Pondicherry - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Chattisgarh 2.9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Karanataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Bihar - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 4.9 7.0 0.0

Ragi Karnataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Uttarakhand - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

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Weekly Monsoon Report 21 Monday, 11 July 2016

Crop Major States

Percentage of Crop Vulnerable on account of rainfall deviation from normal (%)

22-Jun

29-Jun

06-Jul

13-Jul

20-Jul

27-Jul

03-Aug

10-Aug

17-Aug

24-Aug

31-Aug

07-Sep

14-Sep

21-Sep

28-Sep

05-Oct

Tamilnadu & Pondicherry - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Maharashtra 5.0 5.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 5.0 5.4 0.0

Pulses

Urad

Uttar Pradesh - 4.2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Maharashtra 3.6 3.9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Madhya Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tamilnadu & Pondicherry - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Jharkhand 1.1 1.5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

West Bengal - 0.7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Orissa 0.6 0.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Chattisgarh 0.5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 5.8 10.7 0.0

Arhar

Maharashtra 8.6 9.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Karnataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Uttar Pradesh - 2.2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Gujarat 8.1 7.1 4.5 - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Madhya Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Jharkhand 1.4 1.8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 18.1 20.5 4.5

Moong

Maharashtra 3.8 4.1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Rajasthan 12.6 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Karnataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Gujarat 6.0 5.2 3.3 - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Orissa 2.1 1.5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Uttar Pradesh - 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Madhya Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 24.5 10.9 3.3

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Weekly Monsoon Report 22 Monday, 11 July 2016

Crop Major States

Percentage of Crop Vulnerable on account of rainfall deviation from normal (%)

22-Jun

29-Jun

06-Jul

13-Jul

20-Jul

27-Jul

03-Aug

10-Aug

17-Aug

24-Aug

31-Aug

07-Sep

14-Sep

21-Sep

28-Sep

05-Oct

Oilseeds

Groundnut

Gujarat 46.0 40.2 25.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tamilnadu & Pondicherry - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Karnataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Maharashtra 1.3 1.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Rajasthan 5.5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Madhya Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 52.8 41.6 25.4

Soybean

Madhya Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Maharashtra 9.0 9.8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Rajasthan 4.2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 13.2 9.8 0.0

Sunflower

Karnataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Maharashtra 2.7 2.9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Punjab - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Harayana - 1.6 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Uttar Pradesh - 0.6 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

West Bengal - 1.9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 2.7 7.0 0.0

Sesame

West Bengal - 7.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Gujarat 12.1 10.6 6.7 - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Rajasthan 8.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Madhya Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Uttar Pradesh - 1.8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tamilnadu & Pondicherry - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Maharashtra 0.5 0.5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Orissa 0.3 0.2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 20.9 20.1 6.7

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Weekly Monsoon Report 23 Monday, 11 July 2016

Crop Major States

Percentage of Crop Vulnerable on account of rainfall deviation from normal (%)

22-Jun

29-Jun

06-Jul

13-Jul

20-Jul

27-Jul

03-Aug

10-Aug

17-Aug

24-Aug

31-Aug

07-Sep

14-Sep

21-Sep

28-Sep

05-Oct

Castor

Gujarat 70.6 61.7 38.9 - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Rajasthan 7.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Chattisgarh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Karnataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Orissa 0.2 0.1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 77.8 61.8 38.9

Others

Sugarcane

Uttar Pradesh - 7.9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Maharashtra 6.1 6.7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tamilnadu & Pondicherry - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Karnataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 6.1 14.5 0.0

Cotton

Gujarat 28.0 24.5 15.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Maharashtra 6.3 6.8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Punjab - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Harayana - 1.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Madhya Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Karnataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 34.3 32.7 15.4

Jute West Bengal - 23.1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others

Overall 0.0 23.1 0.0

Guar

Gujarat 1.0 0.9 0.6 - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Rajasthan 9.7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Harayana - 0.6 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others 0.0 0.0 0.0

Overall 10.7 1.5 0.6

Chilli Andhra Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Karanataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Orissa 4.1 2.9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

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Weekly Monsoon Report 24 Monday, 11 July 2016

Crop Major States

Percentage of Crop Vulnerable on account of rainfall deviation from normal (%)

22-Jun

29-Jun

06-Jul

13-Jul

20-Jul

27-Jul

03-Aug

10-Aug

17-Aug

24-Aug

31-Aug

07-Sep

14-Sep

21-Sep

28-Sep

05-Oct

Maharashtra 1.3 1.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

West Bengal - 2.1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Rajasthan 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others -5.4 -6.4 0.0

Overall 0.0 0.0 0.0

Turmeric

Andhra Pradesh - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Tamilnadu & Pondicherry - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Orissa 2.7 1.9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

West Bengal - 1.4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Karanataka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Maharashtra 0.9 0.9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Others -3.6 -4.3 0.0

Overall 0.0 0.0 0.0

Note: Figures for the initial two weeks have been revised. Thus may not match from previous reports.

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Weekly Monsoon Report 25 Monday, 27 June 2016

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