Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11...

26
1 Weekly Market Update 3-30-16 © 2016 · Phoenix Capital Research, Phoenix Capital Management Inc. All Rights Reserved. Protected by copyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This newsletter may only be used pursuant to the subscription agreement and any reproduction, copying, or redistribution (electronic or otherwise, including on the world wide web), in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited without the express written permission of Phoenix Capital Management Inc. · All Rights Reserved.

Transcript of Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11...

Page 1: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

1

Weekly Market Update 3-30-16

©2016·PhoenixCapitalResearch,PhoenixCapitalManagementInc.AllRightsReserved.Protectedbycopyright laws of the United States and international treaties. This newsletter may only be usedpursuanttothesubscriptionagreementandanyreproduction,copying,orredistribution(electronicorotherwise, including on theworld wideweb), inwhole or in part, is strictly prohibitedwithout theexpresswrittenpermissionofPhoenixCapitalManagementInc.·AllRightsReserved.

Page 2: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

Disclaimer: The informationcontainedon thisnewsletter is formarketingpurposesonly. Nothing contained in thisnewsletter isintendedtobe,norshallitbeconstruedas,investmentadvicebyPhoenixCapitalResearchoranyofitsaffiliates,norisittoberelieduponinmakinganyinvestmentorotherdecision.Neithertheinformationnoranyopinionexpressedonthisnewsletterconstitutesandoffertobuyorsellanysecurityorinstrumentorparticipateinanyparticulartradingstrategy.Theinformationinthenewsletterisnotacompletedescriptionofthesecurities,marketsordevelopmentsdiscussed.Informationandopinionsregardingindividualsecuritiesdonotmeanthatasecurityisrecommendedorsuitableforaparticularinvestor.Priortomakinganyinvestmentdecision,youareadvisedtoconsultwithyourbroker,investmentadvisororotherappropriatetaxorfinancialprofessionaltodeterminethesuitabilityofanyinvestment.OpinionsandestimatesexpressedonthisnewsletterconstitutePhoenixCapitalResearch'sjudgmentasofthedateappearingontheopinionorestimateandaresubjecttochangewithoutnotice.Thisinformationmaynotreflecteventsoccurringafterthedateortimeofpublication.PhoenixCapitalResearchisnotobligatedtocontinuetoofferinformationoropinionsregardinganysecurity,instrumentorservice.Informationhasbeenobtainedfromsourcesconsideredreliable,butitsaccuracyandcompletenessarenotguaranteed.PhoenixCapitalResearchanditsofficers,directors,employees,agentsand/oraffiliatesmayhaveexecuted, or may in the future execute, transactions in any of the securities or derivatives of any securities discussed on thisnewsletter. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and is no guarantee of future results. SecuritiesproductsarenotFDICinsured,arenotguaranteedbyanybankandinvolveinvestmentrisk,includingpossiblelossofentirevalue.Phoenix Capital Research, OmniSans Publishing LLC and Graham Summers shall not be responsible or have any liability forinvestment decisions based upon, or the results obtained from, the information provided. Phoenix Capital Research is notresponsibleforthecontentofothernewsletterstowhichthisonemaybelinkedandreservestherighttoremovesuchlinks.OmniSansPublishingLLCandthePhoenixCapitalResearchLogoareregisteredtrademarksofPhoenixCapitalResearch.OmniSansPublishingLLC-POBOX2912,Alexandria,VA22301

Page 3: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

3

1

TheFedisnowofficiallyfocusedonthepoliticalcyclemorethantheeconomiccycle.Yesterday,JanetYellengaveaspeechandQ&Asession.Init,sherevealed(implicitly)thattheFedhasbeengivenitsorderstokeeptheworldcalmfortheremainderof2016untiltheUSPresidentialelectionisover.Howdoweknowthis?BecauseYellenwasextraordinarilydovishconcerningFedpolicywhilealsoreferringto“global”issuesatotalof11times.RegardingthedovishaspectsofYellen’sspeech,shesuggestedthatraisingratesinacautiousmannerwas“especiallywarranted.”Shealsosneeredattherecentspikeininflationsuggestingitwastooearlytoseeifthiswas“durable.”SheevenwentsofarastosuggesttheFedhad“considerablescope”formorestimulus…Andthisissevenyearsintothe“recovery”?!?Allinall,Yellengaveoneofthemoredovishspeechesofhercareer.Thiscomesatatimewhen:

1) “official”unemploymentisat4.9%ornear“fullemployment.”2) “official”coreinflationratehit2.3%.

Inshort,accordingtothe“official”datapointsintheUS,theeconomyisdoingjustfine.Despitethis,theFedisclearlyterrifiedattheprospectofraisinginterestratesagain.Why?TheanswerisseeninYellen’suseoftheword“global”inherspeech.Shereferencedglobalissuesatotalof11times.

Thekey,shesaid,isthattheglobaleconomicandfinancialbackdroploomsmorethreateninglynowthanbefore,asevidencedbythemarketturbulenceoflastsummerandearlythisyear.AndeventhoughofficialsexpecttheU.S.economytoweatheranyfurtherroughpatches,thedangerscan’tbeignored.“Themajorthingthat’schangedbetweenDecemberandMarchthataffectsthebaselineoutlookisaslightlyweakerprojectedpaceofglobalgrowth,”shesaid.“Globaldevelopmentsposeongoingrisks,”sheadded,citingspecificallythedangersposedbytheeconomicslowdowninChinaandthecollapseinthepriceofoil.

WEEKLY MARKET UPDATE 3-30-16

Page 4: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

4

2

http://www.wsj.com/articles/yellen-says-global-uncertainty-justifies-slower-path-of-rate-increases-1459268438

Remember,theFedistheUSCentralBank.SowhyisYellensuddenlysofocusedon“global”issues?Fortheanswer,letusturnbackto2012:thelasttimetheUShadaPresidentialelection.InSeptember2012,theUSunemploymentratewasinasharpdowntrendhavingjusthit7.8%(comparedto9.0%inSeptember2011and9.5%inSeptember2010).Moreover,GDPgrowthwasexpandingatanannualizedrateof2.0%.Despitetheseclearlypositivetrends,then-FedChairmanBenBernankedecidedtolaunchQE3:anongoingQEprogramof$40billionpermonth.TheBernankeFeddidthisasacoordinatedeffortwiththeECB,whichannouncedtheverysameweekthatitplannedtobuyan“unlimited”amountofdebtviaitsOMTprogram.WhywastheFedcoordinatinganewmajormonetaryprogramwiththeECBdespitetheclearevidencetheUSeconomywasimprovingdramatically?Simple:theFedreceiveditsordersfromonhigh,asdidtheEU:

TheObamaadministrationwillpressureEuropeangovernmentsnottoletGreecefalloutoftheeurozonebeforeNovember'sPresidentialelections,BritishGovernmentsourceshavesuggested…TheyareurgingeurozoneGovernmentstoholdofffromtakinganydrasticactionbeforethen–fearingthattheresultingmarketdestabilisationcoulddamagePresidentObama'sre-electionprospects.Europeanleadersarethoughttobesympathetictothelobbyingfearingthat,underpressurefromhispartyinCongress,MittRomneywouldbeamoreisolationistpresidentthanMrObama.http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/obama-asks-eurozone-to-keep-greece-in-until-after-election-day-8076852.html

IwanttostressthatIamnotwritingthisfromaparticularpoliticalperspective.PrivateWealthAdvisoryisaninvestmentnewsletter,notapoliticalnewsletter.However,intoday’sworldofCentralPlanning,itisimpossibletomakesenseofmonetarypolicywithoutincludingmajorpoliticalissues.

Page 5: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

5

3

Astheaboveexampleshows,CentralBanksareclearlypoliticalentities.However,theyarenotpoliticalentitiesfromapartyperspective(i.e.BernankewasaRepublican,helpingObama,aDemocrat,seekre-election).Rather,CentralBanksarepoliticalentitiesinthattheirjobistomaintainthecurrentfinancialsystem’sstructureatanycosts,includinglaunchingmajornewunprecedentedmonetaryprogramsevenwhenthedatadoesn’twarrantthem,inanefforttohelpamoreCentralPlanning-friendlycandidatewinanelection.Attheendoftheday,CentralBanksareCentralbanks.AndtheywillsupporttheKeynesianglobalistagendasatanycosts.Withthatinmind,currentlythegoalfortheFedistocrushtheUSDollarbullmarket.Why?BecausethesinglebiggestproblemforCentralBanksisthe$9trillionUSDollarcarrytrade.Ifyou’reunfamiliarwiththeconceptofacarrytrade,itoccurswhenyouborrowinonecurrency,usuallyataverylowinterestrate,andtheninvestthemoneyinanothersecurity,whetheritbeabond,stockorwhathaveyou,thatisdenominatedinanothercurrency.Moreoftenthannot,youinvestdirectlyintheothercurrencyitself,pocketingthedifferenceininterestrates.SoiftheUSDollarpays0.25%andtheYuanoffers5%forexample,youborrowDollarsandinvestinYuanandpocketthe4.75%difference.

Now,investorsincurrenciesarepermittedtousegreaterleveragethantheircounterpartsinstocksorbonds.Whereasastockinvestormightbepermittedtoleverageupat20to1,(meaningheorshecanborrow$20forevery$1incapitalinhisorheraccount),currencyinvestorscanleverageinexcessof100to1oreven300to1…Nowacarrytradeonlyworkswhenthecurrencyyouareborrowinginremainsweak.Assoonasitbeginstostrengthen,youprofitsnotonlyevaporatebutyoucanendupdeepinthered(rememberyou’veborrowed$100forevery$1youhaveincapital).GloballytheUSDollarcarrytradeisnorthof$9trillion:largerthantheeconomiesofJapanandGermanycombined.AnditbegantoblowupinJulyof2014.

Page 6: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

6

4

Again,we’retalkingabout$9trillionhere.SoamassiveQEprogramoreven$1trillionormorewon’tnegateitifthingsreallybegintoblowup.ThefirstphaseoftheUSDollarcarrytradeblowingupwaslargelyconsideredbymostC-levelexecutivestobea“oneoff,”meaning,theythoughtitwasaflukeduetointerestratedifferentialsbetweentheUSDollarandtheEuro.Thisallchangedinmid-2015whentheUSDollarbegantoshowsignsofinitiatingitsnextleguponceitwascleartheFedwouldbehikingrates.

Page 7: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

7

5

ThisterrifiedtheFedbecause:

1) ThenextlegupfortheUSDollarbullmarketwaslikelytakingtheUSDollarto120orso.

Page 8: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

8

6

2) ThefirstlegoftheUSDollarbullmarkethadnearlyresultedinsystemicliquidationsas

the$9trillionUSDollarcarrytradeimplodedtheoil,commodity,andemergingmarketspace.

ThebelowchartshowstheinvertedUSDollar(whentheUSDollarstrengthens,theblacklinefalls),Oil(blueline),Commodities(redline),andEmergingMarketstocks(greenline).Asyoucansee,assoonastheUSDollarbegantorallyhard,Oil,Commodities,andEmergingmarketsallcollapsed.

WiththesecondlegoftheUSDollarbullmarketbeckoninginlate2015,theFedwasdesperatetotalkdowntheUSDollarbyanymeanspossibleonceitgotitssymbolicratehikeoutofthewayinDecember.ThisiswhytheFedfailedtoraiseratesinJanuaryorMarch.It’salsowhyJanetYellenissodovishdespitetheeconomicdatawarrantinganotherratehike.TheFedhasreceiveditsorders:DONOTallowtheUSDollartodamagethefinancialsystemduringtheelectioncycle.AndYellenandfriendswilldoalltheycantomakesurethisisthecase.Thusfaritisworking,withthetrade-weightedUSDollarfallingbelowsupportthankstotheFedtalkingdownanypotentialforanotherratehike.

Page 9: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

9

7

TheflipsideofthishasbeenpronouncedstrengthinEmergingMarketcurrencies.TogiveyouanexampleofhowextremetheFed’smovestocrushtheUSDollarbullmarkethavebeen,considerthatEmergingmarketcurrenciespostedtheirbestmonthlyperformancein18yearsthismonth:

It’sbeenatleast18yearssinceemerging-marketcurrencieshaditthisgoodastheFederalReserveadoptedagradualapproachtoitsrate-increasecycle,fuelingoptimismthatcapitalinflowscanbesustained.ABloomberggaugeof20currenciesgainedforafourthdayafterFedChairJanetYellensaidthatpolicymakerswouldact“cautiously”astheylooktoraiseborrowingcosts.Stocksrallied,sendingsharesinShanghaiupthemostinamonth,whileSouthAfricanequitiesreboundedfromatwo-weeklowandRussiaendedthelongestrunoflossessince2011.Thepremiuminvestorsdemandtoholdemerging-marketdebtdroppedfromthehighestsinceMarch16.

Page 10: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

10

8

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-03-30/emerging-markets-rally-gathers-pace-as-fed-stirs-inflow-support

We’vealsoseenanincrediblerallyinUSstocks(blackline),Oil(blueline),Commodities(redline),andEmergingmarketstocks(greenline).You’relookingatgainsrangingfrom11%to35%insixweeks’timeacrossnumerousmajorassetclasses!

Page 11: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

11

9

Pricemovesofthiscaliberarenotnormal.Sothequestionis,“whathaschangedsinceearlyFebruary2016towarranttheseextrememoves?”Theanswer:nothing.TheonlythingthathaschangedistheUSDollarcorrectedsharplythankstoFedverbalintervention.AsI’velongmaintained,theFedis“oneanddone”asfarasratehikesgo.Theremightanotherratehikedowntheroad,butthemarketshavereceivedtheFed’smessageloudandclear:currentlyfuturesmarketsbelievethereisalessthan7%chanceoftheFedhikingratesnextmonthandalessthan20%chanceofaratehikeinJune.Infact,thefirstdataatwhichthemajorityoffuturestradersbelieverateswillbeat0.75%insteadof0.5%isFebruary12017.

Page 12: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

12

10

Tosummate:theFedisnowinfull-blownelectionmode,attemptingtomaintaina“riskon”rallybytalkingdowntheUSDollarandtalkingupriskassets.Themarketsdonotbelieveanotherratehikeiscominguntil2017attheearliest.Howlongwillthe“riskon”rallylast?Ithinkit’sendingnow.Why?BecausetheECBandBankofJapanwillsoonbeforcedtoactorattheveryleastverballyintervenebecausetheywanttheircurrenciesweakeragainsttheUSDollar.TheFed’sdesiresforaweakDollarbenefitEmergingMarketsbutCRUSHtheEUandJapan.SoexpectsomeseriousverbalinterventioninthecomingdaysfromBankofJapanandtheECB.Whentheseinterventionsbegin,theUSDollarwillfinditsfootingagainandriskwillcrumble.Themarketsarealreadysensingthis.TheS&P500isstagingafinalpushto“kiss”thebrokentrendlineofitsbearishrisingwedgepattern:

However,theRussell2000isnowlagginginasignificantway(thisisindicativeofmajorturns):

Page 13: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

13

11

Financialsarealsolagginginabigway:

Page 14: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

14

12

Thebigpicturehereisevenworsethantheshort-term.Remember,financialsleadthemarkets!

Leveragedloanshavealreadybeguntheirnextlegdown:

Page 15: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

15

13

Highyieldbondsarepreparingtodothesame:

GoldmanSachs(GS),whichusuallyleadsthemarket,certainlyisn’tbuyingintotherally:

Page 16: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

16

14

Moreover,EuropeanFinancials(EUFN)tendtoleadUSFinancials(XLF)andtheformerissuggestingthatthepainisnowherenearover.

That’sthetechnicalperspective.Fromafundamentalperspective,corporateearnings,whichultimatelydrivestocks,areabsolutelyimploding.Theculprit?TheUSDollar.AndoncethenextlegupbeginsfortheUSDollar,it’sGAMEOVER.

Page 17: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

17

15

Here’saclose-upoftheendofthatchart.Asyoucansee,supporthasbeentakenout.

Page 18: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

18

16

Forsomeperspectiveonthis….Lastyear’sGAAPearningswere$86.48.ThisisjustbelowwhereearningslevelsfortheS&P500in2011atwhichtimethemarketwastrading1257foraP/Eof14.5.TodaywiththeS&P500at2063,thismeanswe’reataGAAPP/Eof23.85.Thisisfirmlyinbubbleterritory.Inconclusion,thissharpbouncein“risk”hasbeendrivenbytheFedtalkingdowntheUSDollarinanefforttomaintaincalmgoingintotheNovember2016elections.However,fromatechnicalandfundamentalperspective,thingsareworseningrapidly.ThisisbullishfortheUSDollar.Ibelievethisrallyinriskisendingthisweekwithendofthemonthperformancegaming.Whetherstocksturndownrightthisinstantorwaitalittlelongerisirrelevant,itishighlylikelythatTHEtopisinforstocks.Thismeansthatwearenowinacyclicalbearmarket.Thetrendwillbedown.Wewillgetsharpbouncesthroughoutthisprocessaswehaveinthelastsixweeks,butthebigpictureisDOWN.I’mwaitingforconfirmationonthenextlegdownhittingbeforeweopenmoretrades.Thisconcludesthisweek’sissueofPrivateWealthAdvisory.I’mwatchingthemarketscloselyandwillissueupdatesasneeded.Butmycurrentviewisthatthisrallyin“risk”isoverandthenextlegdownisjustaroundthecorner.Barringanynewdevelopments,you’llnexthearfrommenextWednesdayinourregularweeklyupdateofPrivateWealthAdvisory.Untilthen…

ChiefMarketStrategistPhoenixCapitalResearch

BestRegards,

Page 19: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

19

*Avg.priceof$17.50and$14.97Pricesasof3/30/16afterthemarket’sclose.Pricesincludedividends

OPEN POSITIONS US DOLLAR CARRY TRADE IMPLOSION PORTFOLIO

RELATIVE US STRENGTH PORTFOLIO

INFLATION PORTFOLIO

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

UltraBullishDollarETF UUP 5/23/11 $21.79 $24.5813%

UltraShortEuro EUO 4/10/15 $27.68 $23.36 -16% UltraShortYenETF YCS 5/27/15 $94.48 $76.36 -19%

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT

PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

NuveenMuni.Fund NIO 1/2/14 $13.12 $14.69 27% Wal-Mart WMT 7/30/14 $74.78 $68.80 -3% Exxon XOM 9/24/14 $95.82 $84.52 -8% 7-10YrTreasuryETF UST 11/26/14 $55.54 $60.82 11%

20+YrTreasuryETF TLT 7/15/15 $116.89 $129.69 13% RPXCorp RPXC 8/5/15 $15.48 $11.14 -28% Apple AAPL 9/11/15 $114.21 $109.56 -3%

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

Gold 3/17/10

$1,120$1,226.00

9%

Silver* 3/17/10

$16.23$15.21 -6%

OilETN OIL 3/17/16 $5.64 $5.12 -9%

CommoditiesETN DBC 3/17/16 $13.59 $13.31 -2%

Page 20: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

20

*Avgpriceof$25.89and$26.99Pricesasof3/30/16afterthemarket’sclose.Pricesincludedividends

TECH BUBBLE 2.0 PORTFOLIO

MARKET HEDGE PORTFOLIO

EU MELTDOWN PORTFOLIO

*Avg.priceof$385.37and$583

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT

PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

SpainETF(SHORT)* EWP 1/22/16 $25.89 $27.59 -4%

DeutscheBank(SHORT)DB

2/3/16$16.65

$17.12 -3%Santander(SHORT) SAN 2/3/16 $3.86 $4.45 -15%GermanyETF(SHORT) EWG 3/10/16 $24.25 $25.94 -7%

*Avgpriceof$60.95and$51.69**Avgpriceof$52.94and$42.90

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT

PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

Amazon(SHORT)* AMZN 2/25/15 $385.37 $598.69 -24%

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

CURRENT

PRICE

GAIN/ LOSS

UltraShortNikkeiETF EWV 1/6/15 $67.46 $50.83 -25%UltraShortEmergingMarketETF EEV 1/20/16 $31.27 $19.77 -27%UltraShortChinaETF FXP 1/20/16 $59.95 $42.38 -29%UltraShortBrazilETF BZQ 1/20/16 $110.71 $39.04 -65%UltraShortFinancials SKF 2/10/16 $56.82 $47.61 -16% UltraShortRussell2000ETF TWM 2/10/16 $47.92 $39.00 -19%

Page 21: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

21

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

Apple AAPL 4/2/14 $77.51 9/29/14 $98.84 28%

EuropeanFinancials(SHORT) EUFN 4/15/14 $24.89 10/10/14 $22.47 11%

UltraShortRussell2000 TWM 4/15/14 $49.46 10/10/14 $52.28 6%

UltraShortBrazil BZQ 10/15/14 $62.00 10/21/14 $71.92 16%

UltraShortGold GLL 10/24/14 $94.15 11/14/14 $104.21 11%

UltraShortSilver ZSL 10/24/14 $104.89 11/14/14 $122.00 17%

EnduroRoyaltyTrust NDRO 5/22/13 12.05 11/28/14 $7.06 -26%

UltraShortEuro EOU 1/20/15 $23.49 3/5/15 $26.51 13%

UltraShortBrazil BZQ 1/6/15 $91.07 3/6/15 $100.74 11%

Target TGT 5/28/14 $55.34 4/1/15 $82.13 52%

Pfizer PFE 7/30/14 $29.26 4/1/15 $34.56 20%

GeneralElectric GE 2/5/14 $24.57 4/13/15 $27.89 18%

BPPrudhoeBayRoyaltyTrust BPT 1/2/14

$76.775/20/15 $66.70 5%

ConocoPhillips COP 3/5/14$66.30

5/20/15 $65.27 4%

RussiaETF TRF4/9/15 $10.62 5/20/15 $11.36

7%

RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS

Page 22: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

22

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

UtraShortOilETF SCO 5/27/15 $61.08 7/6/15 $70.30 15%

UltraShortGoldETF GLL 2/25/15 $95.49 7/7/15 $101.75 7%

Copper(SHORT) JJC 3/10/15 $31.35 7/7/15 $28.78 8%

UltraShortBrazilETF BZQ 5/27/15 $85.70 7/7/15 $92.02 7%

IndustrialMetalsETF UBM 3/25/15 $15.24 7/7/15 $13.56 11% UltraShortChinaETF(half) FXP 3/10/15 $36.45 7/8/15 $41.93 15%

UltraShortOilETF(half)SCO 7/21/15 $76.19 7/23/15 $82.14 8%

UltraShortBrazilETF(half)

BZQ 7/21/15 $91.39 7/23/15 $102.36 12% UltraShortBrazilETF(secondhalf)

BZQ 7/21/15 $91.39 7/24/15 $109.60 20% UltraShortOilETF(secondhalf)

SCO 7/21/15 $76.19 7/27/15 $87.36 15%

LinkedIn(SHORT)LNKD 6/17/15 $215.45 8/4/15 $194.96 10%

AustraliaETF(SHORT)EWA 1/6/15 $21.97 8/11/15 $19.85 11%

UltraShortEmergingMktsETF

EEV 1/20/15 $19.48 8/11/15 $21.56 11%

RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS CONTINUED

Page 23: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

23

RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS CONTINUED

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

UltraShortChinaETF FXP 3/10/15 $36.458/19/15 $41.59 14%

ChinaRealEstateETF(SHORT) TAO 6/11/13 $20.11 8/24/15 $17.21 14% SouthKoreaETF(SHORT) EWY 8/18/15 $48.17

8/24/15 $43.82 10%

IndiaETF(SHORT) INP 8/18/15 $70.188/24/15 $59.38 18%

Santander(SHORT) SAN 8/13/15 $6.638/24/15 $5.99 10%

SpainETF(SHORT) EWP 8/13/15 $34.088/24/15 $31.38 8%

AustralianDollarETF(SHORT)

FXA 5/27/15 $77.368/26/15 $70.99 8%

UltraShortSilverETFZSL 7/29/15 $120.84

8/26/15 $132.02 9%

UltraLongS&P500 SSO 9/2/15 $56.129/9/15 $59.37 6%

UltraLongRussell200 UWM 9/2/15$79.20 9/9/15 $83.75 6%

CanadaDollarETF(SHORT)

FXC 5/27/15 $79.819/23/15 $74.47 7%

Canon(SHORT) CAJ 7/31/13 $30.849/23/15 $29.12 6%

UltraShortSemiconductorsETF

SSG9/18/15

$54.00 9/24/15 $60.2011%

UltraShortBrazilETFBZQ 9/22/15 $172.16

9/24/15 $199.00 16%

DeutscheBank(SHORT)DB

10/28/15$30.31 11/12/15 $26.17 14%

Page 24: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

24

RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS CONTINUED

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

Santander(SHORT)SAN

10/28/15$5.70 11/27/15 $5.36 6%

UltraShortGoldETFGLL 7/29/15 $112.00

11/27/15 $117.38 5%

UltraShortOilETF SCO 11/12/15 $95.3512/2/15 $108.18

13%

UltraShortBrazilETF BZQ 11/12/15 $66.3212/2/15 $72.46

9%

BancoDeChile(Short)

BCH 8/18/15 $61.8912/8/15 $57.68 7%

RussiaETF(SHORT)RSX 12/2/15 $16.35

12/8/15 $15.32 6% UltraShortEmergingMarketsETF EEV 11/12/15 $22.14

12/8/15 $23.767%

SpainETF(SHORT)EWP

9/30/15$29.66 1/14/16 $27.64 7%

UltraShortEmergingMarketsETF

EEV12/17/15

$23.84 1/14/16 $25.316%

SingaporeETF(SHORT)EWS 9/22/15 $10.31

1/7/16 $9.57 7%

MexicoETF(SHORT) EWW 12/23/15 $51.151/7/16 $46.66 9%

FranceETF(SHORT)EWQ

9/30/15$24.07 1/11/16 $22.64 6%

Nvidia NVDA 6/26/13$14.14

1/13/16 $30.04119%

Auto-Zone AZO 9/25/13$422.73

1/13/16 $716.2169%

Intel INTC 12/20/13$25.14

1/13/16 $32.4036%

Target TGT 5/28/14$55.34

1/13/16 $72.6838%

Page 25: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

25

RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS CONTINUED

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

Tesla(SHORT) TSLA 2/25/15 $203.761/14/16 $196.41 4%

UltraShortFinancialsSKF

9/18/15$52.39 1/14/16 $55.20

5%

EuropeanFinancials(SHORT)

EUFN1/6/16

$19.36 1/15/16 $18.02 7% UltraShortS&P500 SDS 9/18/15 $22.33

1/15/16$23.58 6%

MalaysiaETF(SHORT)EWM 9/22/15 $7.50

1/15/16 $7.16 5%

Kraft KHC 9/24/14 $56.811/15/16 $68.79

27%

McDonalds MCD 10/30/14 $92.871/15/16 $115.25

29%

Santander(SHORT)SAN

1/6/16$4.52 1/19/16 $4.19 7%

RetailETF(SHORT)XRT

1/13/16 $40.66 1/20/16 $38.01 7%

Coke KO 8/28/13$36.80

1/22/16 $41.8121%

GeneralElectric GE 2/5/14$24.57

1/22/16 $27.9120%

EliLilly LLY 12/3/14 $71.131/22/16 $83.09

20%

UniversalCorporation UVV3/5/15

$48.051/22/16 $52.23

12%

Pfizer PFE 7/30/14 $29.262/1/16 $30.16

8%

Microsoft MSFT 12/3/14 $48.082/1/16 $54.70

16%

Page 26: Weekly Market Update 3-30-16phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/PWA3-30-16.pdf · issues a total of 11 times. The key, she said, is that the global economic and financial backdrop looms more

26

RECENTLY CLOSED POSITIONS CONTINUED

POSITION SYMBOL BUY DATE

BUY PRICE

SELL DATE

SELL PRICE

GAIN/

LOSS

Netflix(SHORT) NFLX 1/27/16 $91.152/8/16 $81.55 11%

ItalyETF(SHORT)(half)

EWI1/27/16 $12.05 2/9/16

$10.88 10% BarclaysPLC(SHORT)(half) BCS 1/27/16 $10.37

2/9/16$9.09 12%

DeutscheBank(SHORT)(half) DB 2/3/16 $16.65

2/9/16$14.95 10%

ItalyETF(SHORT)(otherhalf)

EWI1/27/16 $12.05 2/11/16

$10.71 11% BarclaysPLC(SHORT)(otherhalf) BCS 1/27/16 $10.37

2/11/16$8.64 17%

GoldMinersETF GDX5/13/15 $17.49 3/23/16 $19.22

11%

GoldMiningJuniorsETF GDXJ1/27/16 $19.12 3/23/16 $26.91

41%