Weekly BULLETIN - miti.gov.my Weekly... · MITI Weekly Bulletin | S a l e s V a l u e Number and...
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1 MITI Tower, No. 7, Jalan Sultan Haji Ahmad Shah, 50480 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Tel: +603 - 8000 8000 Fax: +603 - 6202 9446 VOLUME 593 VOLUME 593 MINISTRY OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INDUSTRY Weekly BULLETIN BULLETIN 7 July 2020 | NO. ISSN : 2180-0448 Malaysia Statistics PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI) MALAYSIA PPI Local Production May 2020 decreased 5.5% as compared to May 2019 April 2020 -2.7% Month-on-Month -0.2% April 2020 -5.1% Year-on-Year Year-on-Year -5.5% PPI by sector Month-on-Month Agriculture, forestry & fishing Mining Electricity & gas supply Water Supply Manufacturing 5.5% 0.2% -0.8% -1.1% -52.7% -4.5% -0.3% -0.8% -0.3% -16.6%
Transcript of Weekly BULLETIN - miti.gov.my Weekly... · MITI Weekly Bulletin | S a l e s V a l u e Number and...
1MITI Tower, No. 7, Jalan Sultan Haji Ahmad Shah, 50480 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Tel: +603 - 8000 8000 Fax: +603 - 6202 9446
VOLUME 593VOLUME 593
MINISTRY OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND INDUSTRYWeekly
B U L L ET I NB U L L ET I N7 July 2020 | NO. ISSN : 2180-0448
Mal
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atis
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PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI) MALAYSIAPPI Local Production May 2020 decreased 5.5% as compared to May 2019
April 2020-2.7%
Month-on-Month
-0.2%
April 2020-5.1%
Year-on-Year
Year-on-Year
-5.5%
PPI by sectorMonth-on-Month
Agriculture, forestry & fishing
Mining
Electricity & gas supply
Water Supply
Manufacturing
5.5%
0.2%
-0.8%
-1.1%
-52.7%
-4.5%
-0.3%
-0.8%
-0.3%
-16.6%
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PPI BY STAGE OF PROCESSING
PPI SELECTED COUNTRIES2020
-0.8%USA
UK
ROK
PRC
THAILAND
TAIWAN
-1.4%
-1.7%
-3.7%
-4.8%
-11.6%
-1.2%
-0.7%
-1.7%
-3.1%
-4.3%
-10.8%
MAY
Year-on-Year change
Month-on-Month change
APRIL
Source: Department of Statistics, Malaysia
Source: https://tradingeconomics.com/
Crude materials for further processing
Intermediate materials,supplies& components
Finished goods
Total
3.4%
-0.5%
-1.1%
-0.2%
-0.9%
0.2%
-5.5%
-26.6%
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MALAYSIA'S PRODUCTIVITY PERFORMANCEECONOMIC AND PRODUCTIVITY
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MAIN SECTORS LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY PERFORMANCE
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Inte
rnat
iona
l R
epor
tMITI Weekly Bulletin | www.miti.gov.myMITI Weekly Bulletin | www.miti.gov.my
Current forecasts suggest that the coronavirus (COVID-19) global recession will be the deepest since World War II, with the largest fraction of economies experiencing declines in per capita output since 1870. Output of emerging market and developing economies
(EMDEs) is expected to contract in 2020 for the first time in at least 60 years.
UNDERSTANDING THE DEPTH OF THE 2020 GLOBAL RECESSION
Source:https://blogs.worldbank.org/opendata/understanding-depth-2020-global-recession-5-charts
The global economy has experienced 14 global recessions since 1870: in 1876, 1885, 1893, 1908, 1914, 1917-21, 1930-32, 1938, 1945-46, 1975, 1982, 1991, 2009, and 2020. The COVID-19 recession will be the deepest since 1945-46, and more than twice as deep as the recession associated with the 2007-09 global financial crisis
Global per capita GDP growth
Economies with contractions in per capita GDP
In 2020, the highest share of economies will experience contractions in annual per capita gross domestic product (GDP) since 1870. The share will be more than 90% higher than the proportion at the height of the Great Depression of 1930-32.
Declines in per capita output in all EMDE regions
Although the magnitude will vary across EMDE regions, current projections indicate that five out of six are projected to fall into outright recession. The majority of EMDE regions will experience the lowest growth in at least 60 years, and all of them will see declines in regional per capita output for the first time during a global recession
EAP - East Asia and PacificECA - Europe and Central AsiaLAC - Latin America and the CaribbeanMNA -Middle East and North AfricaSAR -South Asia RegionSSA -Sub-Saharan Africa
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Sales Value
Number and Value of Preferential Certificates of Origin (PCOs)
Note: *Provisional Data Source: Ministry of International Trade and Industry, Malaysia
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
Generalised System of Preferences (GSP)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
Note: The preference giving countries under the GSP scheme are Liechtenstein, the Russian Federation, Japan, Switzerland, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Norway.
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,00012
Ap
r
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
ASEAN Trade in Goods Agreement (ATIGA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement (ACFTA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
ASEAN-Korea Free Trade Agreement (AKFTA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
ASEAN-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership (AJCEP)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
ASEAN-India Free Trade Agreement (AIFTA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand Free Trade Agreement (AANZFTA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
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Number and Value of Preferential Certificates of Origin (PCOs)
Note: *Provisional Data Source: Ministry of International Trade and Industry, Malaysia
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
0
50
100
150
200
250
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
Malaysia-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (MJEPA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
Malaysia-Pakistan Closer Economic Partnership Agreement (MPCEPA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
Malaysia-New Zealand Free Trade Agreement (MNZFTA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
Malaysia-Chile Free Trade Agreement (MCFTA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
Malaysia-India Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement (MICECA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
Malaysia-Australia Free Trade Agreement (MAFTA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
12 A
pr
19 A
pr
26 A
pr
3 M
ay
10 M
ay
17 M
ay
24 M
ay
31 M
ay
7 Ju
n
14 J
un
21 J
un
28 J
un
No.
of C
ertif
icat
e of
Orig
in
RM m
il.
Malaysia-Turkey Free Trade Agreement (MTFTA)
Total FOB (RM mil.) Total CO
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Malaysian Ringgit Exchange Rate with Selected Countries,January 2019 - June 2020
Source : Bank Negara Malaysia
US Dollar
Chinese Yuan
Thai Baht
Japanese Yen
Singapore Dollar
New Taiwan Dollar
4.1161
4.0746
4.3553
4.2755
4.06
4.11
4.16
4.21
4.26
4.31
4.36
4.41
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2019 2020
RM
USD 1 = RM
0.6064
0.5880
0.6156
0.6033
0.57
0.58
0.58
0.59
0.59
0.60
0.60
0.61
0.61
0.62
0.62
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2019 2020
RM
CNY 1 = RM
12.9318
12.8563
13.788413.7216
12.20
12.40
12.60
12.80
13.00
13.20
13.40
13.60
13.80
14.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2019 2020
RM
THB 100 = RM
3.7814
3.6696
4.0505
3.9774
3.60
3.65
3.70
3.75
3.80
3.85
3.90
3.95
4.00
4.05
4.10
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2019 2020
RM
JPY 100 = RM
3.0350
2.9959
3.0667
2.96
2.98
3.00
3.02
3.04
3.06
3.08
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2019 2020
RM
SGD 1 = RM
13.3508
13.2198
14.508214.4137
13.00
13.20
13.40
13.60
13.80
14.00
14.20
14.40
14.60
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2019 2020
RM
TWD 100 = RM
9MITI Tower, No. 7, Jalan Sultan Haji Ahmad Shah, 50480 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia Tel: +603 - 8000 8000 Fax: +603 - 6202 9446
MITI Weekly Bulletin | www.miti.gov.my
Sources: Ministry of International Trade and Industry Malaysia, Malaysian Palm Oil Board, Malaysian Rubber Board, Malaysian Cocoa Board, Malaysian Iron and Steel Industry Federation, and Bloomberg.
Commodity Prices
Notes: All figures have been rounded to the nearest decimal point * Refer to % change from the previous week’s price i Average price in the year except otherwise indicated
4.0%*US$240.0
(low)
3.6%*US$270.0
(high)3 July 2020
12.0%*US$50.9
18.3%* US$1,313.0
RUBBER SMR 20 -per MT-
2.0%*US$1,173.5
COCOA SMC 2 -per MT-
COAL -per MT-
SUGAR -per lbs-
5.3%*US$12.2
SCRAP IRON HMS -per MT-
Average Price 2019 i : US$1,414.6 Average Price 2019 i : US$1,592.4 Average Price 2019 i : US¢12.4
Average Price 2019 i : US$316.9 (high)Average Price 2019 i : US$291.6(low)Average Price 2019 i : US$56.5
Domestic Prices3 July 2020
Steel Bars(per MT)
RM1,980 – RM2,130
Billets(per MT)
RM1,700 - RM1,800
3 July 2020 3 July 2020 3 July 2020
3 July 2020
4.3%*US$42.8
CRUDE PETROLEUM (BRENT) -per bbl-
3 July 2020
CRUDE PALM OIL -per MT-
2.0%*US$563.5
3 July 2020
17 May 2019 : US$72.2
Highest2019/2020
03 Jan 2020 : US$68.6
24 Apr 2020 : US$21.4 09 Aug 2019 : US$54.5
Lowest2019/2020
27 Dec 2019 : US$794.5
Highest2019/2020
10 Jan 2020 : US$761.9
8 May 2020 : US$473.0 26 Jul 2019 : US$488.5
Lowest2019/2020
Average Price 2019 i : US$64.2 Average Price 2019 i : US$557.1
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Commodity Price Trends
Sources: Ministry of International Trade and Industry Malaysia, Malaysian Palm Oil Board, Malaysian Rubber Board, Malaysian Cocoa Board, Malaysian Pepper Board, Bloomberg and Czarnikow Group, World Bank, World Gold Council, The Wall Street Journal.
1,615.1
1,741.1
1,768.4
1,620.01,605.1
1,599.0
1,650.0
1,681.5
1,582.31,559.9
1,607.1
1,313.01,300
1,350
1,400
1,450
1,500
1,550
1,600
1,650
1,700
1,750
1,800
17 Apr 24 Apr 30 Apr 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
2020
US$/
mt
Cocoa
1,132.5
1,112.0
1,081.5
1,106.5
1,099.5
1,104.51,108.5
1,157.0
1,142.5
1,160.5
1,151.0
1,173.5
1,070
1,090
1,110
1,130
1,150
1,170
17 Apr 24 Apr 30 Apr 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
2020
US$
/mt
Rubber SMR 20
18.316.9
18.8
24.7
29.4
33.3
35.5
39.6
36.3
39.838.5
40.7
28.1
21.4
25.3
31.032.5
35.1 35.3
42.3
38.7
42.241.0
42.8
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
17 Apr 24 Apr 30 Apr 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
2020
US$
/bbl
Crude Petroleum
Crude Petroleum (WTI)/bbl Crude Petroleum (Brent)/bbl
10.5
9.8
10.4 10.310.4
10.9 10.9
12.1 12.0 12.2
11.6
12.2
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
12.5
17 Apr 24 Apr 30 Apr 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
2020
US¢
/lbs
Sugar
525.0
494.5
484.6
473.0478.7
506.2
525.0
557.7559.5
580.3575.2
563.5
460
480
500
520
540
560
580
600
17 Apr 24 Apr 30 Apr 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
2020
US$
/mt
Crude Palm Oil
1,696 1,6961,711
1,7191,704 1,697 1,702
1,760
1,838
1,9081,909
2,059
1,670.0
1,720.0
1,770.0
1,820.0
1,870.0
1,920.0
1,970.0
2,020.0
2,070.0
2,120.0
17 Apr 24 Apr 30 Apr 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
2020
US$
/mt
Pepper
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15.3 15.3
15.0
15.8
17.1
17.7
18.5
17.5
17.9 17.818.0
18.3
14.0
14.5
15.0
15.5
16.0
16.5
17.0
17.5
18.0
18.5
19.0
17 Apr 24 Apr 30 Apr 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
2020
US$
/oz
Silver
54.4
55.2
54.7 54.8
55.8 55.7
55.6
54.1
55.7 55.8
56.2
57.0
54.0
54.5
55.0
55.5
56.0
56.5
57.0
57.5
17 Apr 24 Apr 30 Apr 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
2020
US
$/g
Gold
Sources: Ministry of International Trade and Industry Malaysia, , Malaysian Iron and Steel Industry Federation, Bloomberg and Czarnikow Group, World Bank, World Gold Council, The Wall Street Journal.
2,08
2 2,
052
2,02
6 2,
030
1,93
9
1,92
0 1,
854
1,86
3 1,
871
1,84
5 1,
781
1,75
6 1,79
7 1,
741
1,75
4 1,
726 1,
775
1,77
1 1,
773
1,68
8 1,
611
1,46
0 1,
466
1,56
9
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
2,100
2,200
Jul
Au
gSe
pO
ctN
ov
Dec Jan
Feb
Mar
Ap
rM
ay Jun
Jul
Au
gSe
pO
ctN
ov
Dec Jan
Feb
Mar
Ap
rM
ay Jun
2018 2019 2020
US$
/ to
nn
e
Aluminium
6,25
1 6,
051
6,05
1 6,22
0 6,
196
6,07
5
5,93
9
6,30
0 6,43
9 6,
438
6,01
8 5,
882
5,94
1 5,
709
5,75
9 5,
757
5,86
0 6,07
7 6,
031
5,68
8 5,
183
5,05
8 5,24
0 5,
755
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
Jul
Aug Se
pO
ctN
ovD
ec Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun Jul
Aug Se
pO
ctN
ovD
ec Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
2018 2019 2020
US$
/ to
nne
Copper
13,7
94
13,4
11
12,5
10
12,3
15
11,2
40
10,8
35
11,5
23 12
,685
13
,026
12
,773
12
,016
11
,944
13,5
46
15,7
49
17,6
57
17,0
46
15,1
72
13,8
29
13,5
07
12,7
16
11,8
46
11,8
04
12,1
80
12,7
27
7,000
9,000
11,000
13,000
15,000
17,000
19,000
Jul
Aug Se
pO
ctN
ovD
ec Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug Se
pO
ctN
ovD
ec Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
2018 2019 2020
US$
/ to
nne
Nickel
Commodity Price Trends
64
.56
67
.15
68
.44 7
3.4
1
73
.26
69
.15
76
.16
88
.22
86
.47
93
.70 1
00
.15
10
8.9
4
12
0.2
49
3.0
7
93
.08
88
.53
84
.98
92
.65
95
.76
87
.68
88
.99
84
.73
93
.65
10
3.3
0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
110.0
120.0
130.0
Jul
Au
g
Se
p
Oct
No
v
De
c
Jan
Fe
b
Ma
r
Ap
r
Ma
y
Jun
Jul
Au
g
Se
p
Oct
No
v
De
c
Jan
Fe
b
Ma
r
Ap
r
Ma
y
Jun
2018 2019 2020
US
$/d
mtu
Iron Ore
785.3
773.8
813.0
789.3
817.1
886.3
874.6
830.4
824.0 827.3
809.9
831.6
740.0
760.0
780.0
800.0
820.0
840.0
860.0
880.0
900.0
17 Apr 24 Apr 30 Apr 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
2020
US
$/o
z
Platinum
275.0 275.0 275.0 275.0
270.0 270.0
280.0 280.0
270.0270.0
280.0
270.0
255.0 255.0 255.0 255.0
250.0 250.0
260.0 260.0
250.0 250.0 250.0
240.0
230
240
250
260
270
280
290
17 Apr 24 Apr 30 Apr 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
2020
US
$/m
t
Scrap Iron Scrap Iron/MT (High) Scrap Iron/MT(Low)
34.1
39.5 39.9 40.0
38.8 38.7 38.5
46.2
44.545.0
45.5
50.9
30
35
40
45
50
17 Apr 24 Apr 30 Apr 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
2020
US
$/t
Coal
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