Week Outlook from Enrich Investments
-
Upload
vishal-manchala -
Category
Documents
-
view
219 -
download
4
Transcript of Week Outlook from Enrich Investments
Inside This Issue
1 Recap
2 Economy and Data Releases
3 Corporate happenings
4 Politics
5 Markets
6 Outlook
7 Calls for the Week
Date 3rd March 2014
6.60%
6.07%
5.07%
4.46%
4.61%
4.38%
4.78%
4.35%
4.81%
4.70%
3.63%
-0.68%
7.56%
-2.00%
-1.00%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
GDP Growth - India
Overall Agri YoY
Industry YoY Services YoY
5-4-106/2, Ranigun
040-66332125, 66www.
Recap
Markets inched up 2% during the last week as short covering
before the F&O February series expiry propped stocks.
broad based rally as stocks across the sectors staged recovery
on expectations of a turnaround in FY’15. FIIs continue to remain
buyers for all the days of the shortened week. Long b
seen in many stocks on the March series of F&O
rise, the benchmark Nifty rallied close to 5.8%
February beginning.
It was a good week for markets with many mid
witnessing sharp accumulation.
Economy and Data Releases
Indian Economy grew by 4.7% in the Dec’13 quarter, as per CSO.
The revised numbers for previous FY indicate that the economy
grew at 4.6% against 5% as announced earlier. The services sector
witnessed a recovery while both Mfg and Agriculture sectors saw
slump in growth rates
Stating that the forthcoming elections will delay the reform process
and hurt growth, international rating agency Moody’s on Monday
said it expects growth to pick up to only 5.5% in FY15
Online retailing will triple to Rs 50,000 crore in three years: Crisil
Jharkhand owes loans of around Rs 36,000 crore. If the total loan is
divided with number of the total population, it will come around Rs
10,000 debt on each person of the state
Raghuram Rajan sees no disruption to economic policies d
polls. Bimal Jalan panel on bank licences
recommendations to RBI
Gold imports rose in December to 25 tonnes, higher than 19 tonnes
in the previous month, mainly on account of wrong interpretation
of the RBI's 80:20 scheme.
Outlook for the Week
unj, Secunderabad-3
66329219, 9346336312 w.enrichinvestment.in
Markets inched up 2% during the last week as short covering
propped stocks. It was a
broad based rally as stocks across the sectors staged recovery
15. FIIs continue to remain
Long build up was
the March series of F&O. With last week’s
close to 5.8% from the lows of
It was a good week for markets with many mid-cap counters
Economy and Data Releases
Indian Economy grew by 4.7% in the Dec’13 quarter, as per CSO.
The revised numbers for previous FY indicate that the economy
grew at 4.6% against 5% as announced earlier. The services sector
witnessed a recovery while both Mfg and Agriculture sectors saw
Stating that the forthcoming elections will delay the reform process
and hurt growth, international rating agency Moody’s on Monday
in FY15
in three years: Crisil
Jharkhand owes loans of around Rs 36,000 crore. If the total loan is
divided with number of the total population, it will come around Rs
economic policies due to
Bimal Jalan panel on bank licences submits
Gold imports rose in December to 25 tonnes, higher than 19 tonnes
in the previous month, mainly on account of wrong interpretation
Outlook for the Week
5-4-106/2, Ranigunj,
040-66332125, 663www.e
Corporate happenings
Vodafone-Tata Tele deal hits fervor
Gujarat Gas board okays merger with 4 other cos
Wipro bagged a 10-year IT and BPO contract from UK's Carillion
Mahindra Ugine, Mahindra Forgings and Mahindra CIE
merged into one entity
Sahara chief Subrata Roy was arrested for his failure to appear
before SC in connection with the case in which his two
companies have been directed to refund Rs 20,000 crore to
investors
BNP Paribas upgrades India to “Over Weight”
The flow of money into the fast growing online retailing space
continues unabated. US giant eBay buys further stak
based online retailer Snapdeal by pumping in $13
According to sources, the fresh deal values Snapdeal at $650
Million
Honda plans India R&D unit to develop affordable cars
Politics
The Modi wave started to gather steam after softening of stance
from the leaders of so called secular parties, which
the PM aspirant as an untouchable
Ex Army General VK Singh joins BJP and is likely to contest LS Polls.
It is rumored that Kiran Bedi will make an announcement soon
RamVilas Paswan lead LJP comes back to NDA fold after almost
11 years. In the pre-election pact reached between LJP and BJP,
LJP will contest in 7 seats in Bihar
DMK Chief Karunanidhi praises Modi; calls him a 'hardwo
a ‘good friend’, sparking off speculation of a possible alliance
Ahead of the Lok Sabha polls, 11 parties got together with a vow
to defeat Congress-led UPA and prevent BJP from coming to
power by presenting themselves as an alternative to them
TRS chief Chandrasekhar Rao, remains noncommittal about
either a merger or an alliance with Congress for 2014 LS Elections
A week after Kiran Kumar Reddy resigned as Andhra Pradesh
Chief Minister, the Centre today decided to impose President's
Rule in the state while announcing a few sops for the
Seemandhra region which has been oppos
Telangana state
106/2, Ranigunj, Secunderabad-3
66329219, 9346336312 w.enrichinvestment.in
Gujarat Gas board okays merger with 4 other cos
PO contract from UK's Carillion
Mahindra Ugine, Mahindra Forgings and Mahindra CIE will be
for his failure to appear
in connection with the case in which his two
nd Rs 20,000 crore to
The flow of money into the fast growing online retailing space
ther stake in Delhi
by pumping in $133.77 Million.
sh deal values Snapdeal at $650-700
Honda plans India R&D unit to develop affordable cars
softening of stance
so called secular parties, which have seen
Ex Army General VK Singh joins BJP and is likely to contest LS Polls.
It is rumored that Kiran Bedi will make an announcement soon
RamVilas Paswan lead LJP comes back to NDA fold after almost
reached between LJP and BJP,
Karunanidhi praises Modi; calls him a 'hardworker' and
parking off speculation of a possible alliance
got together with a vow
led UPA and prevent BJP from coming to
elves as an alternative to them
remains noncommittal about
Congress for 2014 LS Elections
A week after Kiran Kumar Reddy resigned as Andhra Pradesh
Chief Minister, the Centre today decided to impose President's
Rule in the state while announcing a few sops for the
Seemandhra region which has been opposing creation of
Markets
Top Price Gainers and Losers
KTKBANK 11.02% NTPC
CESC 9.20% TATASTEEL
PTC 8.49% UNITECH
JPPOWER 8.41% NMDC
VOLTAS 7.90% MARUTI
Top Open Interest Gainers and Losers
NTPC 51.66% GSKCONS
TATASTEEL 35.60% ZEEL
TATAPOWER 21.16% BATAINDIA
RELCAPITAL 19.25% BANKBARODA
TECHM 16.26% ONGC
FII Investments in Indian Equity Markets
Date
Purchases ` Crores
Sales ` Crores
Net ` Crore
24-Feb-14 2370.9 1756.6 614.3
25-Feb-14 2380 2098.5 281.5
26-Feb-14 2702.2 2211 491.2
28-Feb-14 4051.7 3485.3 566.4
Nifty PE : 17.67
6000
6050
6100
6150
6200
6250
6300
41694 41695 41696 41697 41698
Nifty
9700
9800
9900
10000
10100
10200
10300
10400
5-4-106/2, Ranigunj,
040-66332125, 663www.e
Top Price Gainers and Losers
-14.43%
-7.58%
-7.23%
-6.66%
-4.94%
Gainers and Losers
-47.89%
-38.44%
-36.53%
BANKBARODA -35.95%
-35.74%
FII Investments in Indian Equity Markets
Net Crore
Net in
$
614.3 98.82
281.5 45.32
491.2 79.25
566.4 91.44
*Developed in-house by Enrich Investments
Ultra
Bullish
BullishRange
Put Call Ratio
9700
9800
9900
10000
10100
10200
10300
10400
41694 41695 41696 41697 41698
CNX IT
10100
10200
10300
10400
10500
10600
10700
10800
10900
41694 41695
Bank Nifty
Indices this week:
Index Close Change
Nifty 6276.95
BankNifty 10764.70
CNX IT 10338.55
Gainers
BHEL 11.39%
HINDALCO 7.89%
BANKBARODA 6.40%
LUPIN 6.37%
AXISBANK 6.18%
106/2, Ranigunj, Secunderabad-3
66329219, 9346336312 w.enrichinvestment.in
house by Enrich Investments
Range
Bearish
Ultra
Bearish
Put Call Ratio - Indicator
41695 41696 41697 41698
Bank Nifty
Indices this week:
Change % Change
121.50 1.97%
210.35 1.99%
237.50 2.35%
Losers
11.39% NTPC -15.14%
7.89% TATASTEEL -8.17%
6.40% NMDC -7.04%
6.37% MARUTI -5.17%
6.18% SSLT -4.49%
Outlook and Calls for the Week
Weak third quarter GDP numbers released during the weekend
and tensions prevailing in Eastern Europe after Russian tr
infiltration into Ukraine were the negative developments
markets start the week with. The econ
week after week has nothing positive
the expectations of a decisive mandate in the 2014 LS elections
are getting stronger by the day and this is keeping the market
sentiments buoyant.
Nifty’s recovery from the lows of February beginning is quite
remarkable considering the kind of
prevailing in the markets. In the immediate term Nifty has
broken the immediate term resistance and is waiting to breach
the major hurdle of 6360. Nifty may
beyond this barrier in a hurry, as
remains open. On the downside, strong short term support is
placed at the level of 6160 where Nifty may find buying
support. The short term oscillators have reached over bought
territory and point towards a correction once markets show a
day of weak close.
Considering the above, one must look for a negative close
short the markets before jumping the guns
near term is going very strong. The long term positives remain.
Expected Range in Nifty Futures:
Happy Trading Week,
Sunil K Daga Disclaimer:
Enrich investments makes no guarantee or warranty of any information provided in the
expressed in the report are purely of the author. All efforts are made to provide data as accurately as possible and t
the sources which are considered reliable. However, Enrich Investments do not take responsibility for any errors or omissions
is not, in any manner whatsoever, responsible for any losses incurred from action ta
document. The content of this presentation is property of Enrich Investments and is not for circulation or publishing
Trading Calls:
SCRIPCODE Recommendation
BHARATFORG Buy
DIVISLAB Buy
M&MFIN Sell
RELCAPITAL Sell
5-4-106/2, Ranigunj,
040-66332125, 663www.e
Outlook and Calls for the Week
hird quarter GDP numbers released during the weekend
Eastern Europe after Russian troops’
were the negative developments
The economic data being released
positive to write home about but
the expectations of a decisive mandate in the 2014 LS elections
by the day and this is keeping the market
February beginning is quite
remarkable considering the kind of weak fundamentals
prevailing in the markets. In the immediate term Nifty has
broken the immediate term resistance and is waiting to breach
may find it difficult to move
a fall towards 6000 level
strong short term support is
placed at the level of 6160 where Nifty may find buying
The short term oscillators have reached over bought
territory and point towards a correction once markets show a
look for a negative close to
before jumping the guns as the momentum in
near term is going very strong. The long term positives remain.
Expected Range in Nifty Futures: 6320 - 6160
Enrich investments makes no guarantee or warranty of any information provided in the report. The information provided, views and analysis
All efforts are made to provide data as accurately as possible and the data is extracted from
However, Enrich Investments do not take responsibility for any errors or omissions
is not, in any manner whatsoever, responsible for any losses incurred from action taken on basis of the data or analysis presented in the
The content of this presentation is property of Enrich Investments and is not for circulation or publishing
Initiation Price Target StopLoss
378 394 373
1410 1480 1390
252 238 256
312 298 315
106/2, Ranigunj, Secunderabad-3
66329219, 9346336312 w.enrichinvestment.in
The information provided, views and analysis
he data is extracted from
However, Enrich Investments do not take responsibility for any errors or omissions. Enrich Investments
ken on basis of the data or analysis presented in the
MAX Reward
to Risk Ratio
3.20
3.50
3.50
4.67