WEBINAR 3: Governance, economics and financing for€¦ · WEBINAR 3: Governance, economics and...
Transcript of WEBINAR 3: Governance, economics and financing for€¦ · WEBINAR 3: Governance, economics and...
WEBINAR 3: Governance,
economics and financing for
climate-smart agroforestry
Peter A. Dewees
Forests Adviser
World Bank
TRANSITIONS ARE UNDERWAY
Global forest cover
is degrading and
declining;
Tree cover as well
as the number of
trees on farms is
increasing.
Source: FAO (2005). State of the
World’s Forests.
THREE MAJOR CHALLENGES
FOR THE 21ST CENTURY
• Globally, there is a need to more
than double food production to
forestall food crises, particularly in
Africa
• …while making agriculture more
resilient to climate shocks, and
• …and reducing greenhouse gas
emissions
Cereal Yields
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001
Kg
pe
r H
ec
tare
East Asia and
Pacific
Sub-Saharan
Africa
South Asia
Latin America &
Caribbean
Fertilizer
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1961 1971 1981 1991 2001
Year
10
0 g
ra
ms
pe
r h
ec
tare
East Asia and
Pacific
South Asia
Sub-Saharan
Africa
Latin America
& Caribbean
CLIMATE CHANGE AND AGRICULTURE
Triple wins in agriculture
• Increasing crop productivity
and income (poverty
reduction)
• Building resilience into
farming systems (adaptation)
• Capturing carbon (mitigation)
Is there a role for trees in
farming systems?
WHICH FARMING SYSTEMS?
• Intensive farming systems that integrate trees
with annual crops, maintaining a green cover on
the land throughout the year.
• Farming systems which feature both perennial
and annual species (food crops and trees).
EXAMPLES FROM AFRICA
• Faidherbia albida in maize production systems
• Intercropped coppicing leguminous trees in maize (eg Gliricidia in
Malawi)
• Fodder shrubs for balanced dairy nutrition (eg Caliandra in the East
African Dairy Project)
• Mango and other fruits intercropped in maize systems
• Grevillia robusta intercropped in maize for timber, fodder & fuel
• Relay-cropped leguminous species managed as annual green manure
(eg Tephrosia)
• Improved fallows with leguminous species (eg Sesbania sesban)
National recommendations for maize in Malawi & Zambia:
Faidherbia fertilizer Trees at 100 trees per ha
INNOVATIONS IN FARMING SYSTEMS
ECONOMICS OF AGROFORESTRY
W H A T M A T T E R S
M O S T:
• Yields with and
without
• Establishment
costs
• Management
costs
• Net benefits
• Discount rates
C O S T - B E N E F I T A S A
T O O L
• Useful for
lifecycle analysis
• Comparative
• Benefit-cost
ratios
• But it’s a blunt
instrument
See: Dewees, P. “Trees on farms in Malawi: private investment,
public policy, and farmer choice.” World Development, 23, (7),
pp.1085-1102, July 1995
FAIDHERBIA ECONOMICS
2 5 T R E E S I N
F I E L D S R E S U LT S
• Low establishment costs
and low maintenance
costs
• Even at low yield
increases, B/C ratio is > 1
• Yield increases of up to
70 percent suggest that
Faidherbia is a good
agroforestry species
LEUCAENA ECONOMICS
A L L E Y C R O P P I N G R E S U LT S
• High establishment costs and high maintenance costs
• Because of high annualized costs, even at high yields, this system is not economic
• Labor costs are the key disincentive
IMPACTS IN AFRICA, AT SCALE
Adoption of systems like Faidherbia albida/Gliricidia
sepium on an additional 5 million ha:
Value of nitrogen fertilizer
produced by farmers at the
farm level
$500 million per year
Amount of additional maize
produced
5 to 10 million tons per year
Value of additional maize
produced
$1 to $1.5 billion
Amount of additional carbon
captured
30 to 50 million tons per
year (valued between $450
million and $1.25 billion)
WHAT ARE THE KEY DEVELOPMENT ISSUES?
• Challenge to stimulate national and
international policy support
• Integrate tree seed systems with private sector
input dealers
• Insert evergreen agriculture into integrated soil
fertility management & conservation agriculture
• Build capacity within national systems to do
further research and development on evergreen
agriculture
• Test a range of scaling-up models for wider
impact
RESOURCES
World Agroforestry Center
www.worldagroforestrycentre.org
Center for International Forestry Research
www.cifor.org
World Bank
www.worldbank.org/forests
Program on Forests (PROFOR)
www.profor.info